2024
$MSFT 1W Bear ABCD Ext harmonic, expecting 50% + drop in priceABCD Ext harmonic pattern is active on MSFT 1W chart. Expect price to form an hns taking sharply lower--50%+ from current levels. See also recent idea on bearish patterns on ES1/NQ1/YM1. HNS will drive to point B, and there is a smaller ABCD bear harmonic that will drive the price to C point of the higher tf ABCD Ext pattern.
BTC btc "arrowhead"neutral zone orange line based on past moving averages and current measurement up to november 1st 2024,. Purple lines represent arrowhead fibonacci of price above and below the standard average neutral between support and resistance based from all the way back to october 2024, one year prior. Not a lot of activity above 160%, main range of bitcoin remaining in 78% lower half and over 100% gains upper region.
XYO xyo "price return"The price of XYO has flipped over from a falling movement to a growing movement after being in a slump for a very long time; As some may already know from the blatantly obvious change in position for the price of XYO. The indicator proves this to be true rather than rely on the fact that the price increased through a slight spike in price last week and so on. The price reflects the death trap descend based on BTC falling in price at the same time that XYO was finally gaining in price. Typical of a scenario where a cryptocurrency does well and the BTC people have complete control over the system to collapse the price of minor tokens when they at long last increase in price thus shuttering the momentum and possibility for the smaller tokens to receive attention. Once the price suddenly collapses, as it did so when BTC fell in price, the momentum is broken and the trivial aspect of interest from outside investors reduces. Nevertheless, Solana does well, Polygon does well, Tron does well, practically every known cryptocurrency on the CoinGecko list of SEC coins/tokens does well over the long term except XYO, conspiracy,.
BTC dominance 2024-2025(prodolzhenie prognoza po dominacii bitkoina 2023-2024)
Proshlyj prognoz otrabotal prakticheski ideal'no, nemnogo promazal po vremeni (uskorilsya), nemnogo oshibsya s metodikoj raschyota dominacii (uchyol al'tkoiny - podrobno v obnovleniyah na proshlom prognoze po dominacii). Odnako v celom prognoz pravil'nyj!
Nakaplivat' bitkoin bylo bolee pravil'nym resheniem nezheli otkupat' al'tkoiny.
Podavlyayushchee bol'shinstvo al'tkoinov obnovilo svoi minimumy k bitkoinu.
Teper' prishla pora razvorota. Tyazhelo sprognozirovat' tochku razvorota (kak eto bylo s proshlym prognozom) kak po vremeni tak i po urovnyu, odnako ya sklonyayus' k variantu chto eto proizojdyot ot 55-65% vo vremennom promezhutke konca2024 achala2025 goda. I ustremitsya v blok 35-45% k koncu 2025 goda.
!!! Etot prognoz bolee kak prodolzhenie v popytke najti mesto razvorota, a ne kak samostoyatel'nyj predydushchij prognoz. Ya by ne stavil mnogoe na nego, odnako tendenciya dolzhna byt' yasna - gryadyot al'tsezon.
Nasdaq Long
Memory updated
Technical Analysis:
The market is currently trading within an ascending channel, characterized by two distinct touches on both the upper resistance and lower support levels. We recently observed a bullish rebound from the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, where sell pressure was rejected, allowing buyers to take control. Given this setup, there is a strong likelihood that the market will test the resistance level for a third time, with potential new highs projected between 20,500 and 20,800.
Fundamental Analysis:
As we enter the fourth quarter, seasonal consumer behavior, particularly driven by the upcoming festive period, is expected to influence the markets. With an uptick in consumer spending, many companies are likely to see a boost in sales, providing a positive backdrop for continued bullish momentum. Another catalyst for this period is yet to emerge but may further support the bullish outlook as we progress through Q4.
Current Position:
I am currently holding a long position, having identified 19,915 as a key resistance level that has recently been breached. The daily candlestick closed firmly above this level, indicating potential support for the continuation of the bullish trend. This breakout reinforces the case for upward momentum in the near term.
(BTC) bitcoin "triangle"The directional triangle pattern on BTC looks as it does from the image included. Each day the triangle slightly changes towards progress either positive or negative depending on the unusal observations studied by traders wealthy and poor. Whether or not people care to note about the subject of the traditionally poor trader and the impact millions of poor traders have on the study of investments compared to one sole giant bank, hedge fund, or other considering how many poor traders follow trends more than super wealthy traders. The rich do not need to care about trends as much as poor traders hypothetically due in part in the way the superrich creates hypermarket bubbles that poor traders follow, study, and observe. BTC is now falling trap to the conversations by many to be considered lost to the hedge funds, i.e. Blackrock, etc.; why not a poor man's trade instead of the million-dollar man, the millions of dollars by many humans all directly influencing the drive and spirit of investments through small exchanges of money that amounts to large increases and decreases in trend. When market studies are done on the largest investor trades it is easy to answer all the questions using one super trader investment type compared to the millions of individual trades all happening in smaller increments being much harder to study. As with all cryptocurrency trades BTC is worth many thousands of dollars per share yet the trades people make do not have to equal the amount of that per share amount and the price does not need to split to allow for more investments to reach the price. This factor in cryptocurrency is what makes cryptocurrency special compared to the traditional stock markets and reason for why cryptocurrency is not a security, commodity or any other traditional revenue building stock. The reason people are lost on stock trading is due to the fact that the most successful companies often cost the most per share and this makes it more difficult to invest in. When comparing this to cryptocurrency any cryptocurrency traded as available to any person of any amount of investment given they pay the transaction fee with doing so using defi services like Uniswap, or otherwise, if using a centralized exchange with reduced fees for transactions then the outcome is the possibility of trading a multitudinous of cryptocurrency coins and tokens without the concern over the price per share being more in tune with the amount being physically spent allocated directly to the buyers own holding value with investment over the restrictions found in traditional stock industries that hold the buyer to bid at a price strictly on the study of price per share. In more recent years Robinhood exchange unveiled the feature to trade microshares of large industry stocks from the NYSE and NASDAQ. This feature did unlock some greater reaches to the best DJI companies and since then the companies known to be DJI companies continue to gain in popularity, trend and momentum. True, cryptocurrency has seen better days in the past and in the past two years found a poor man's bog so why give all the credit to investment firms, hedge funds, and banks a plenty as a matter fact knowing fully well the losses incurred during the past two years following the greatest rise in cryptocurrency history all groups were involved. There is no reason to put the blame on the people and give all the credit to the bankers, hedge funds, and wealth class of people. When the price of cryptocurrency lost all groups lost. As the cryptocurrency trades rise and the prices increase all groups succeed, all those involved that is. Anyone who has ever traded has surely had the feeling of wishing they would have invested more in the past based on what they see in the present. Well guess what, today is the present and one day today will be the past, so what is your move?
BTC: NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE!!Hey everyone!
Appreciate a like and follow if this analysis helps!
Bitcoin has successfully broken out from a symmetrical triangle in the 4-hour timeframe. However, a retest of the broken resistance level is likely. Avoid impulsive buying (FOMO) and wait for a potential pullback.
Anticipated Timeline:
Sideways Movement: Expect Bitcoin to trade sideways for the next week or two.
Retest: A retest of the broken resistance level (around $60k) is probable.
Post-Retest Outlook:
Bullish Momentum: A successful retest and subsequent close above the resistance could ignite a strong rally.
Target: The next major target is $80k.
What are your thoughts on BTC's current price action? Share your analysis in the comments!
(MSOL) marinaded staked SOL "lots of volume recentlyl"marinade staked SOL is seeing a lot of consistent volume all of the sudden in recent weeks. The price is doing exceptionally well compared to the majority of cryptocurrency and I wonder what is the reason behind the storied chart? Since October the price grew and never really had a problem with losing price. More recently, and on-going, the volume is much more compared to the entire year of 2024. Lots of volume.
(BTC) bitcoin "BB Trend - long range view"Here is another look at the BollingerBand Trend indicator with a greater reach in view. As seen in the graph with correlated indicator BTC reached a red zone at the time when the price was at its highest this year before falling and as the price fell the indicator began to rise once more. Being in a red, or under 0, with the BBTrend indicator right now and what does it mean is a good question to try to answer. There are too many indicators and all of them cannot be laid on top of one another to see one giant indicator mess while trying to discover the hidden gem of the chart.
(BTC) bitcoin "miners make less money -- work harder"Due to the halving, the miners make less money. This means the miners have to work twice as hard to make the same amount of money. Historically, a miner earns on transactional process. When that money is conceived into a usage case scenario the money as BTC is spendable, or capable of being saved for later. Right now and since April 19/20th 2024 the newest halving should mean miners make less money and therefore have to work harder to make the same amount of money they were making the four years previously. Miners have to adapt and adjust to the new progress sheets earning less money for the same amount of work as before.
The graph chart indicator appears to show the blue line rising over all over moving average lines. This is a good sign that needs to happen to allocate all moving average lines into an order to represent the pattern where Bitcoin's price increases strongly from retail traders interests. The blue line rose above the other MA lines in July but did not commit and failed to see a complete flip of all MA lines. The line formation is tighter now so it is possible the strength is better this time around despite the price slowly falling month to month since the halving.
My Bollinger Band trend graph indicator shows BTC still in the red based on slower incremental movements.
(ETH) ethereum "donchian channels - pattern"See the pattern. It's easiest to see on the ETH Kraken USD. There is a 20 day pattern found. There is donchian channels pattern currently going on. The ending of the pattern is on the 25th. Will the price go up towards the 25th and dramatically fall given the current movement of Ethereum? I also noticed there is news concerning IOTX with an event happening on the 25th of september concurrently. Interesting.
XAUUSDXAUUSD . Potential short opportunity.
Our idea remains the same as yesterday however we are posting an adaptive analysis.
The price on XAUUSD has made a new ATH (All Time High) we are due for a pullback (at least 50%). Our new key levels are sitting at 2600, 2560, 2545, 2530. Our entry is at 2589. We are expecting the price to drop down to our Key Levels (KL). Every break of the new KL will result in deeper pullback . Stops are set at yesterday’s high. We must keep in mind that gold is still overall bullish and even if we see our KL4 (2530) we would still expect the price to go up from there.
Overall still bullish on XAUUSD .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2589
- SL: 2600
- TP1: 2560
- TP2: 2545
- TP3: 2530
KEY NOTES
- Possible double top on XAUUSD.
- Break of KL2 could result in deeper pullbacks (KL2 -> KL3).
- Break of yesterday’s low could result in deeper pullbacks (KL3 -> KL4).
- Stop is set at the previous days high.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
USDJPY: Slight Bullish Bias This Week? (19/09/2024)As of September 19, 2024, traders are closely monitoring the USDJPY pair for potential bullish momentum. Several fundamental factors and market conditions indicate that the pair might see a slight upward bias this week. Let’s dive into the key drivers affecting the USDJPY price action.
1. Diverging Central Bank Policies
One of the primary influences on USDJPY is the monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
- Federal Reserve’s Stance: As we move into the week, the market expects the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance or at least keep interest rates elevated. Although there’s some speculation about a possible pause in future rate hikes, the Fed's priority remains controlling inflation. This higher interest rate environment in the US makes the US dollar more attractive, pushing USDJPY upwards.
- Bank of Japan’s Ultra-Loose Policy: In contrast, the BoJ continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, aiming to stimulate Japan’s sluggish economy. Despite rising inflation in Japan, the BoJ has shown little inclination to raise rates aggressively. This Interest rate differential between the US and Japan tends to weaken the yen, giving a bullish outlook for USDJPY.
2. Risk Sentiment in Global Markets
Risk sentiment plays a crucial role in the movement of USDJPY. When global markets are in a risk-off mode, investors tend to flock to safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen, strengthening it. However, recent global economic data and financial news have maintained a somewhat stable risk appetite, leaning towards a risk-on environment.
- US Economic Data: Recent reports from the US, such as better-than-expected retail sales and strong labor market data, continue to support the narrative of economic resilience. This fuels demand for the dollar and supports USDJPY’s bullish momentum.
- Global Geopolitical Risks: While geopolitical tensions in regions like Europe and the Middle East may inject some volatility, there hasn’t been a major shift toward a risk-off sentiment that would heavily favor the yen. For now, dollar strength seems to dominate.
3. Japanese Economic Conditions
Japan’s economy continues to struggle with low growth despite rising inflation. The BoJ’s consistent approach to stimulus, combined with the government's push for wage growth, has not yet translated into significant yen strength. Additionally, trade deficits in Japan, exacerbated by higher import costs, have weighed on the yen’s valuation.
Without a major shift in BoJ policy or a significant improvement in Japan's economic performance, the yen will likely remain under pressure, keeping USDJPY on a slightly bullish path.
4. US Bond Yields
US Treasury yields are another major factor driving the USDJPY. Higher US bond yields, often seen in response to tighter monetary policy and strong economic data, make the dollar more attractive to foreign investors. The upward trajectory of bond yields has been a persistent theme, reinforcing dollar strength. If this trend continues through the week, we can expect additional support for USDJPY.
5. Technical Indicators
Looking at the technical analysis for USDJPY, the pair has been trading near key resistance levels in recent sessions. If the pair breaks above these resistance zones, we could see further bullish momentum.
- Key Support and Resistance Levels: The 145.00 level has been a psychological support level for USDJPY, while 148.50 serves as resistance. Should the pair break beyond this resistance, it could trigger more buying pressure, pushing USDJPY higher.
Conclusion: USDJPY’s Slight Bullish Bias
In conclusion, the USDJPY pair is expected to exhibit a slight bullish bias this week, primarily driven by:
- Monetary policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ.
- Favorable US economic data and rising Treasury yields.
- Limited economic growth in Japan, with persistent trade deficits.
- Stable global risk sentiment supporting the dollar over the yen.
Traders should keep an eye on US bond yields, Fed comments, and any sudden shifts in risk sentiment or geopolitical events, as these could influence USDJPY’s trajectory throughout the week.
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Keywords:
- USDJPY forecast
- USDJPY bullish bias
- USDJPY analysis September 2024
- USDJPY technical analysis
- USDJPY key drivers
- USDJPY trading strategy
- USDJPY and Federal Reserve policy
- USDJPY support and resistance levels
- USDJPY risk sentiment
- USDJPY bond yields impact
(SUPER) superverseFrom the looks of this chart and the indicators I've placed onto the chart Superverse is clearing up from a rough break out. The indicators seem to tell the story there is a position within Superverse to which the price will hold and potentially improve away from such a rough break out.
Market$ CorrelationsICEUS:KC1! Coffee Harvest in Colombia starts in October: Colombia is reported to produce 10-15% of the worlds entire coffee supply, the third largest coffee producer in the world! Speculating ICEUS:KC1! will be +MOVING ABOVE $260. I also speculate ICEUS:KC1! will support the Colombian index NASDAQ:NQCOMC to continue above its $726 highs. Lastly I don't see the present correlation between the NASDAQ:NQCOMC and the AMEX:SPY having a negative effect on the US economy; as it pertains to the fears of a USA recession popping up in recent headlines while approaching the Federal Interest rate decision in the days ahead.
(SOL) solana "resilient"Solana appears to be holding a strong flat pattern throughout the duration of the trending cycle of moving averages with the holding pattern reaching a resolute moment where the unknown may prove to be postively received, or negative if the MACD lines fall beneath the 0 neutral measurement. Solana is not immune to losing in price; it is capable of gaining too though.
(BTC) bitcoin "auto fib retracement - 100"BTC falling beneath the 100 auto fib retracement.
Other cryptocurrency also beneath the red layer of the auto fib retracement include;
AVAX, BADGER, CELO, COIN, CURVE, DASH, EGLD, HFT, KSM, MINA, RAD, SUSHI...and ICP is in the red unlike the other top traded cryptocurrency remaining in green, neutral or blue areas of the auto fib retracement.
Others below the red line include:
IMX, SUPER, AUCTION, PERP, IDEX, NMR, OGN, YFI, BLUR, DYP, STORJ, UMA, AXS, BTRST, SEI, APE, C98, DIA, LDO, METIS, GRT, TIA, MATIC (POLS), XCN and FX.
Still no info from the newly listed tokens/coins of 2024.
(BTC) bitcoinIs this the bitcoin price? In the indicator I used to view this chart I drew some information based on a guess into the future is Bitcoin does what I think it is doing to do in the following week, 10 days exactly. If I am wrong then I guess I saw the change being too predictable. I think the force of energy will push down on Bitcoin and that force of energy from the indicators will entice buyers to buy against the energy pushing Bitcoin down.
(JASMY) JASMY The price is maintaining nicely, the graph shows an indicator that measures moving averages and overlapping information. Circles are progress signals, crosses are negative signals. The recents show crosses around the same time the price was falling. Also I modified my indicator's colors and adjusted things to be more starry to look at. Sometimes it's more for the sake of knowing I'm going to stare at the same indicator for a long time. Many indicators outside BTC, ETH, Jasmy, are showing signals of cryptocurrency overall reaching a well point surpassing the crossunder length of the longest running moving average lines. Jasmy is not showing long moving average lines crossing and is maintaining a strong price increasing inertia. Long lines will have big circles or big cross and short lines will have small circles or small cross in this indicator. The 10 and the 50 is the yellow line.