2024
HSI ForecastThe current status is uncertain, and there are two possibilities:
1. If it is the 2nd wave of an upward trend, the HSI (Hang Seng Index) will rebound in the short term and surpass 16500. The level of 16500 will be tested multiple times, which would be the most favorable situation for the HSI.
2. If it is the 5th wave of a downturn, the HSI will break the 15400 level and drop even further, below 14470, previous bottom, and towards 13000.
In 2024, I expect the HSI to fluctuate between 15300 and 17100 until the market gains a clearer understanding of China's economic performance.
At the beginning of 2024, in the very short term, the trend is likely to decline further. I anticipate that the HSI will test a near-term new low at 15300. However, after the 1st quarter, it could benefit from a lower Federal Reserve interest rate. Nevertheless, the strength of the rebound may not be very strong due to the prevailing uncertainty in the market. We can target the rebound to 16500 or max 17000.
Disclaimer
Please understand the forecasting will be subjected to many factors and this is the vision at this moment. This comment is not encouraging you to follow or make any investment decision. You will be the only one be responsible for your investment decision and any related behavior. I am not going to bear any legal or non-legal responsibility.
BTCUSD Trend Analysis, Halving, & ETF ApprovalAs of January 13, 2024, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $42,000. From a technical perspective, the price is approaching the support area of the blue trendline. This trendline has been in place since Sep 2023. If the price breaks below this trendline, it could open the door to further decline. On the other hand, if the price is able to hold above the trendline, it could signal a bottoming formation. In this case, the price could then begin to rally.
Bitcoin Halving
Bitcoin Halving is a scheduled event that occurs every four years. During the Halving, the reward for mining Bitcoin is cut in half. This event is expected to occur in early 2024. The Bitcoin Halving is typically followed by a period of price volatility. This is because the Halving reduces the supply of Bitcoin, which can lead to increased demand.
ETF Approval
The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) recently approved the first Bitcoin ETF. This is a significant development for the cryptocurrency market. The ETF approval could lead to increased institutional investment in Bitcoin. This could help to support the price of Bitcoin in the long term.
ASTR-2024A promising parachain in the DOT ecosystem
The price came to an imbalance zone of 0.13-0.22
The next zone is 0.56-1.42
The growth potential is 7-9 $
The price of the total volume is 0.0427
The purchase price of 0.035
At the level of 0.14 closed 50% of the pose (body removal)
The rest went into a long-term portfolio!
BTC - It is a matter of time ⏱Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📈 BTC has demonstrated an overall bullish trend, trading within the ascending channel outlined in red.
Following a rejection at the 48,000 - 50,000 resistance range, BTC experienced a decline and is currently approaching the lower red trendline.
Additionally, the zone between 44,500 and 45,000 serves as a robust support area.
🎯 Therefore , the highlighted red circle signifies a significant zone to consider for potential buy setups. This area is noteworthy as it marks the convergence of the blue support and the lower red trendline, acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 In accordance with my trading style:
As BTC nears the red circle zone, I will actively search for bullish reversal setups to capitalize on the anticipated next bullish impulse movement.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bitcoin's next cycle top REVEALEDAs you can see from the chart, if you measure how many days before a halving, did the cycle low occur.
For ex, in November 2012's halving, ~373 days before btc found a cycle low, projected into the future, ~373 days after the halving, a cycle top is in.
Same thing with 2016's halving.
Cycle low ~540 days before the halving, projected into the future ~540 days after the halving, we have a cycle top ($20k).
Yet again, with 2020's halving, btc found a low around 513 days before the halving, projected into the future, it took 513 days for a cycle top to be in.
Now in 2024's halving. Btc found a cycle low ~525 days before the 2024 halving ($15k)..Projected into the future ~525 days after the halving we should get a cycle top in Sept 2025.
Will history repeat itself yet again?Check back with this chart in 2025 :)
Good luck
happy new year 2024✨(BTC)❤️❤️Thanks for boosting 🚀 and supporting us!
📈First idea (signal) in new years
📊 (Entry) : 43225
🔴 Stop Loss : 43707
🎯 Take Profit : 42828-42437-42103-41688
🔗 For more communication with us, In the footnote and send a message in TradingView.
👨🎓 Experience and Education: Our trading team has five years of experience in financial markets, especially cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: 2024 ideasPrice Projections:
Anticipating Bitcoin's price to range between $30,000 and $50,000 until the end of 2024.
In case of a dip below $30,000, expecting potential support levels at $27,000 or $24,000.
Halving and Support Levels:
Recognizing the significance of halving events, expecting a higher support level than the commonly noted $24,315 due to bullish sentiments.
Emphasizing the importance of timing and previous cycles in determining support levels.
Institutional Influence:
Suggesting that institutions aim to push the price down pre-bull run to accumulate for ETFs, potentially resulting in a flush of long positions.
Market Behavior:
Observing historical trends where price often dips prior to significant bull runs, allowing accumulation by institutions and smart money.
Drawing a channel diagonal to illustrate reaction points, timing related to halving events, and support levels.
ETH - Break Or Make Zone ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
From a long-term perspective, ETH is currently hovering around a robust resistance zone and the upper bound of the brown channel.
Weekly Chart:
📈 To maintain control and establish a long-term bullish perspective, a weekly candle close above 2500.0 is essential for the bulls.
If achieved, a movement toward the next resistance at approximately 3000.0 could be anticipated.
H4 Chart:
📉 Conversely, the bulls will remain in control unless the local support in red at 2100.0 is broken downward.
In this case a bearish correction till the 1750.0 mark would be expected.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen first? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
CGC (Cannabis stock )Investing in cannabis stocks has been a rollercoaster ride, with fluctuating values due to legal, regulatory, and market factors. Despite volatility, the future looks promising as legalization continues in various regions. Motivation lies in the potential growth as the industry matures and gains wider acceptance, leading to increased market opportunities and potential profits for savvy investors. Understanding the landscape, staying informed about legislative changes, and diversifying your portfolio can help navigate the uncertainties and maximize the potential of cannabis stocks in the long run
XRP Analysis and Trading Plan for 2024 📊Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
On Daily: Left Chart
XRP has been hovering inside a significant range between 0.55 and 0.75, and it is currently retesting the lower bound of the range.
Moreover, it is approaching the lower red trendline of the channel that XRP has been respecting for a couple of weeks now.
🏹 Hence, XRP is situated around a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue support and the lower red trendline.
Thus, we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes as long as the 0.54 support holds.
On H4: Right Chart
📈 For the bulls to take over in the short term, we need a momentum candle close above the last minor high in green at 0.592.
And then, for the bulls to remain in control from a medium-term perspective, we need a break above the last major high in red around 0.66.
📉 Meanwhile, until the bulls take over, XRP would be bearish, and if the 0.54 support is broken downward, we can expect a bearish continuation towards the 0.45 - 0.5 weekly support zone.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC - First Update of 2024 📍Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
As per my last analysis, BTC rejected the lower bound of the symmetrical triangle and traded higher.
Now, what?
📈 BTC broke above the 45,000 resistance zone ; thus, we expect a movement toward the 48k-50k resistance zone.
📉 The bulls will remain in control as long as the 44,500 support holds.
If 44,500 is broken downward, we will expect another bearish correction until the lower orange trendline is reached again.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
02/01/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $43821.44
Last weeks low: $42563.55
Midpoint: $41305.65
HAPPY NEW YEAR TRADERS!
A new year has arrived and with it another year of price action or BITCOIN. This year the general sentiment is as strong as it has ever been with ETF's & THE HALVING events in the first half of the year alone.
Last weeks price action showed a consolidation just under the local high allowing some of the lagging altcoins to run and others to cool off for the next move in the market. The rumour is ETF decision will be announced this week, there is talk of whether the event is a sell the news event or if it's bullish. I would say I'm sceptical and I have said previously I think it would be a sell the news, the majority of big money players would have made their money on the way up to the decision, not gamble on the result. BTC price tripled in 2022 and those kinds of returns for big investors are great, why risk the volatility after the decision. However... Having said that I would also be a fool to disregard the sheer power of FOMO, a big headline in the news about BlackRock's ETF approval would send retail investors back into the market to make a "quick buck" which brings a buying pressure, volatility and also a risk of a blow-off top.
A case for the bulls would be BlackRock would not want to let their brand new ETF look bad, it would need to be an attractive investment and so they would probably do their best to steady and volatility to be able to attract customers and extract fees from them.
I do also see BTC being at new highs by the end of the year, so depending on the timeframe of your investment you may be able to ride out the volatility of the ETF's, however you may get a better entry by being agile.
XAU/USD Bullish continuationRisk Reward : 16,67
We are following here secret pattern that made us 108,95% in 2023 so far. This is not a 100% strategy as no one is... we did have 3 loss in total of 9 trade. We are looking here for a bullish continuation that will occure after a nice retracement that will make think seller are in control... the problem is that there's already a trade in progress that no one see right now. The only thing is we have to grab the selling position before we continue to go higher.
Enjoy and have a wonderful year of trading in 2024. ( Focus on big movement ) and take the time to analyse all of them to see the pattern that repeat over and over again.
Peace.
Thank you for your idea!In a surprising turn of events, the market response to adverse news about the US dollar has defied expectations, exhibiting a counterintuitive pattern. Market makers appear to be strategically assessing liquidity levels before allowing further price increases.
Two potential scenarios could unfold in the coming days. If market makers have successfully positioned themselves, they may endeavor to guide prices towards a buying zone, possibly forming around 2069-2075. Should prices stabilize in this region, a new growth phase may commence.
However, there exists a possibility of miscalculation regarding the 2069-2075 range. Should prices consolidate below this area, the decline could persist into a crucial liquidity zone at 2047 before witnessing additional growth towards 2100.
This intriguing market behavior prompts a reevaluation of conventional expectations, as traders closely monitor developments to gauge the trajectory of the US dollar.