Bitcoin Weekly Update: 2025 Boom Boom Bull-Market Confirmed!If this week closes green it will be the first green close after three weeks red. This would confirm that the small retrace that we experienced recently is over. That the early February flash-crash was a market flush. That the consolidation phase we've been talking about is reaching its end. That the 2025 bull-market is now on! (We have only 2 days left!)
Good morning my very much and highly appreciated reader, how are you feeling in this wonderful now?
The fact that the retrace is over and the consolidation phase is over means that the next move is starting. The start of the next move is no small feat, no; this is something huge, it is something big.
It is not the same to say that Bitcoin is going up; know that Bitcoin is going up and waiting for Bitcoin to go up vs seeing the actual Bitcoin going up.
It is not the same knowing vs experiencing.
When Bitcoin starts to grow we are officially in the 2025 bull-market bullish wave. When Bitcoin starts growing, the entire world will move, the entire world will shake.
As Bitcoin grows, everything will change, for the better.
New players will enter the different markets all across the world.
New personalities will come to the front. New laws, new life, new energy; freedom and prosperity, the Altcoins also will grow.
It is not a small event, we are in front of a very strong market, many millionaires will be created during this bullish phase.
Plan calm. Be smart. Do what it takes. Do your own thing.
Your results are yours. You are special and you deserve the best.
The market offers endless opportunities, it is for you to take action and prepare to accept abundance, wealth, health and growth.
The bottom is in, Bitcoin is super strong.
This is the start of the next bullish wave. This bullish wave will produce a very strong bull-run at the end.
We are likely to witness slow and steady rising prices for a while and then bullish momentum will grow. We will have months and months and months to enjoy a positive market, a growing market, and this bull-market might evolve and give us more than what was initially thought.
Whatever the market does, you will be rewarded based on your own actions. What you get will be defined by your thoughts.
Develop a positive attitude, a positive mind. Visualize yourself achieving your goals. There is no limit, you can aim as high as you want.
Namaste.
2025
(SHIB) shiba inuThere is no cup and handle coming. The activity online by community programmer Kusama and other people seem to have led to a disgracing of the SHIB token and all that has happened is losing. Too much talk, not enough action. Silence is golden inu. There is still hope for Shiba Inu on the likes the acceptance of Shiba came far before many other meme tokens. Right now the Solana craze is being phased out in favor of Base chain memes. Base seems to be countering the popularity of Ethereum. Shiba Inu on Ethereum is not seen as trending the same way Solana memes and now Base memes are trending.
Polkadot 2025 Bull-Market: Long-Term Accumulation Zone ActiveThis is one of the easiest trades to take.
Polkadot (DOTUSDT) is now activating a long-term, bottom range, support and accumulation zone. Each time this price range becomes active what follows is a bullish breakout.
Here is the interesting part. This zone was first activated in late 2022, as part of the previous bull-market correction or bear-market.
In 2023 we had the recovery year so the growth period was very small compared to 2021. 2024 is the same, the "initial bullish breakout" and this is very small compared to 2021 and what happens now, 2025.
2025 is different. 2025 is bull-market year and goes in the same proportion with 2021 but much higher.
Why would 2025 end up producing much higher prices compared to 2021 rather than the same levels? Because the market is bigger now. Because the market is evolving and everything that is related to Cryptocurrency is being globally accepted. There are so many positive developments that it is hard to mention but let's give it a try.
The USA is now favorable towards the Cryptocurrency market. This might be the biggest development of all. Other countries that were unfavorable are following the USA and changing their policies.
Many countries are considering a "Bitcoin reserve." Unique dynamics developing now.
There are many new companies, many new projects and global adoption continues to expand. Crypto is now mainstream and legal all across the world.
This can make the 2025 bull-market the biggest bull-market in the history of Crypto. If it doesn't, well, prices are going up and that's more than enough for us to be bullish and to go LONG.
Polkadot is now going bullish. Prices will go literally off this chart.
We will visit the 2025 ATH potential in a new publication.
If you want the information now, you can always visit my profile and type DOTUSDT.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Let's trade together long-term.
Namaste.
(RL) ralph lauren A chart to view Ralph Lauren through some visual of my indicators for anyone who wants to see. Make what you will from the image and make up your own mind about the fear and greed concept for Ralph Lauren right now. Will the price continue, or will the price not?
The shares represents shares bought. The green line would then mean there are few shares bought and the shares are soon to go negative against the price of the stock. The more shares bought the higher the line spikes, pertaining to the lineMath_v3 (shares) indicator.
(RL) ralph lauren Crazy high price for Ralph Lauren right now. The RL stock is doing excellently; as I just noticed today. I was unable to find any clothing that fit me or fashion styles that looked both vintage and modern at the same time during the Holidays this year; or any year. On average, inside the RL store in Lehi, UT the quality of styles is limited and the prices are typical of what one would expect from RL. I wish RL would offer more styles that they used to based on the 90s and early 2000s here in Utah. I wish the discounted styles in my size were offered or not completely gone as soon as the sale arrives during the Holidays. RL is a highly sought after brand but I've only ever owned one piece of cotton blue button up Ralph Lauren Levi's-esque shirt that ripped at the elbow due to the cotton material being so tender. I'm not rating RL as a short due to the fact that I don't own the clothing and can't afford the clothing. The MACD is really high right now.
BTC (BTC/USDT) 4H Chart: Bullish Momentum BuildingThe 4-hour Bitcoin chart is showing clear signs of bullish continuation. Price action is forming a series of higher lows, supported by an increase in volume, signaling strong buying interest. The RSI is trending upward but remains below overbought levels, leaving room for further upside.
Support remains well-defined, providing a solid foundation for this setup and a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Traders should watch for a clean retest of the breakout zone or a confirmation candle for potential entry.
Overall, market structure, volume dynamics, and momentum indicators are aligning for a possible bullish continuation on the 4-hour timeframe.
Ethereum (ETH/USD) Long Setup on 1D – Bullish Breakout Ahead Ethereum (ETH) stands at a crucial crossroads on the 1-day chart. After weeks of consolidation, the battle between bulls and bears intensifies. Yesterday’s candle closed above the critical $2,800 resistance—a level the market has respected for weeks. This isn’t just a line on a chart; it’s a signal that the tides may be turning.
Markets reward those who act with insight, not impulse. Is this the moment Ethereum reclaims its momentum?
do you trust the breakout or expect a fake-out? Let’s discuss below! 👇
PEPE (PEPE/USDT) Potential Bottom and Key Levels to Watch 4HPepe Coin (PEPE) has been showing some interesting price action recently, and many traders are keeping a close eye on its movements. At current levels, there is a possibility that the asset is approaching a potential bottom, making it an intriguing spot for both spot and leverage orders.
Looking at the charts we can see that Pepe is testing some critical support levels. If these levels hold, we could be looking at a reversal or at least a stabilization phase that offers solid entry points for traders.
Strategically placing both spot and leverage orders around these levels could lead to favorable outcomes, but as always, make sure to use proper risk management and assess market conditions closely.
Phala (PHA/USDT) Bullish Setup on the 1H Chart - Zoom outPhala (PHA) is currently showing a promising bullish setup on the 1-hour chart. The price has been moving within an ascending channel recently, with clear signs of bullish momentum. Here are the key points indicating a potential rise:
If the bullish scenario plays out, traders could set profit targets around $0.30and $0.40. To manage risk, stop-loss orders can be placed below the rising support line or the most recent low, depending on individual risk tolerance.
Dogecoin (DOGE/USDT) 4H Analysis - Potential Setup in Play DOGE is forming a bullish pennant pattern on the 4-hour chart, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend. A breakout above the upper trendline could trigger a strong move upward.
However, there are some risk factors to consider. A bearish divergence on the RSI suggests the possibility of a short-term correction. Furthermore, the 200 EMA on the 4-hour chart is acting as dynamic support. Losing this level could shift momentum to the downside.
Currently, DOGE is trading at $0.2524, with an intraday high of $0.2679 and a low of $0.2481.
Snowflake ($SNOW) | Rerating Incoming with 2-3x PotentialOur top analyst Shay Boloor (@StockSavvyShay) is adamant that Snowflake will be rerated in 2025 with a price target of $300 (called out live on Fox Business). Their NRR is at 127%, meaning existing customers will spend 27% more YoY. For Snowflake to grow 27% within the next year, all they need to do is nothing. They can afford to sit.
Data consumption models make money out of thin air. 40% of the Fortune 2000 data is stored in Snowflake’s ecosystem ALREADY. They are trading at 25% of Palantir’s valuation and 20% of Cloudflare’s. This could be a 3-4x trade. There is still no floor on AI and its applications.
On the technical side, over $205 and we have a liquidity zone up to $300. Our entries are at $109 and $125, but this would be a secondary entry for a position trade to capitalize on one of the top names in stage two AI (software/applications).
Entry: Over $205
Targets: $230, $300, $400
NYSE:SNOW
Is Bitcoin Topping Out? Critical Levels to WatchSince the low of $15,476 on November 21, 2022, Bitcoin has surged to an all-time high of $109,588 on January 20, 2025. That’s an incredible +608% increase over 791 days. We also hit the long-anticipated $100K mark. But for almost three months now, Bitcoin has been stuck in a range between $90K and the all-time high, showing some indecision in the market.
Looking Back: Market Structure & Trends
Bitcoin spent over 250 days consolidating between $50K and $70K before finally breaking out in November 2024, right around the U.S. election. That breakout triggered a massive rally, pushing Bitcoin to 100K in just one month. Since then, bulls and bears have been battling it out, trying to establish control over this crucial psychological level.
A look at the pitchfork tool shows that Bitcoin has been rejected at the 0.618, 0.666, and 0.786 levels multiple times while trying to push higher. Recently, we lost the median line of the pitchfork and dropped below 100K, suggesting bullish momentum is fading. The 233 SMA/EMA on the 4-hour TF as well as the 21 EMA/MA on the daily TF has also flipped into resistance, adding to the bearish pressure.
Is February Shaping Up to Be a Bearish Month?
If we compare the current cycle to the 2020 bull market, the price action looks similar, forming a top where Bitcoin struggles to break higher. February could bring a healthy correction before any new leg up.
Key Support Zones & Confluences
Here’s where we could see solid support:
Unfilled CME Gap at $77,930 – Historically, Bitcoin tends to fill these gaps over time
Pitchfork Lower Support Line (~$80K) – If Bitcoin drops, this level aligns with multiple confluences by late February or early March
Fib Speed Fan (0.618 from $50K to ATH) – Perfectly lines up with the pitchfork lower support around $80K
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1.618) – Another confluence at the $79K mark
Fib Retracement (0.5 from $50K to ATH) – Adds more support at $79.3K
Negative Fibonacci Retracement (-0.618) – Lands right at the open gap, reinforcing this zone
Daily 233 EMA/MA – Sitting at $81.3K and $76.4K, further supporting this region
Key Support Zone: $80K - $78K – With all these confluences, this is a strong area for a potential long setup
Additional Support Zone: FWB:88K - $86K – Another important region to watch for a bounce
Resistance Levels & Confluences
Psychological Resistance at 100K – A major battle zone between bulls and bears
Daily 21 EMA/MA (~$99.5K - 101K) – A key resistance level that could cap any upward movement
233 SMA/EMA on the 4H Timeframe – Now acting as resistance, adding pressure to the downside
Potential Trade Setups
Long Setup #1: A potential entry from FWB:88K - $86K
Long Setup #2: $80K - $78K support zone with confirmation could present a high-probability trade
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is facing strong resistance at 100K, with multiple technical indicators suggesting a possible pullback. While the bigger trend remains bullish, February might bring a correction, providing great long opportunities around the FWB:88K - $86K and $80K - $78K region. Keep an eye on key support zones and look for confirmation signals before jumping into trades.
New Indicator Release
The 4H, Daily, and Weekly support zones seen on the charts are from my new indicator, which I released for free a few days ago. Feel free to check it out and incorporate it into your analysis.
Market3I haven’t been posting much lately simply because there’s nothing particularly interesting to say, the market has been a bit dull.
2025 should be a strong year for altcoins, as they’ve been consistently suppressed. With BTC dominance reaching 64%, which is quite significant, all attention remains on Bitcoin.
On this chart, you can see that $1.17 trillion acted as a rejection level for the crypto market (excluding BTC and ETH). Time will tell, but I anticipate a $4 trillion altcoin bull market before the end of 2025.
Remember, Fibonacci plays a crucial role in long-term market predictions.
Invest wisely and at the right time.
Happy Tr4Ding !
S&P 500 Forecast for 2025: Insights from Stock Market CyclesAMEX:SPY
CME_MINI:ES1!
SP:SPX
January Barometer: The month of January has already closed with a net gain over December. Therefore, in accordance with the January Barometer this suggests a positive year.
First Five Days Indicator: The first five trading days being positive further supports this outlook. Although they were barely positive at +0.6% it still counts.
December Low Indicator: This indicator is bearish if the December low is taken out in Q1 of the year. Unfortunately, the December low was already breached in January, which adds a note of caution. We now have two bullish indicators and one negative indicator.
Presidential Cycle: With 2025 being the first year of a presidential term, historically this has been bearish for the stock market. It brings uncertainty, which may temper expectations. This is the year where presidents typically enact changes and tough fiscal measures, although president Trump may prove to be atypical here; especially if he enacts any of his tax policies, rate cuts or large government spending programs this year. So, while this indicator is bearish, it has a caveat given how unorthodox Trump is as a president. For example, in 2016 the stock market was very volatile but still gained 10% under Trump’s first term year.
Outlook: Combining these factors, the outlook for 2025 is cautiously optimistic. While the January barometer and the first 5 days indicator point to a positive year, the breach of the December low coupled with this being the first-year of a presidential cycle suggests a volatile to bearish year. When combining all indicators we arrive at the conclusion that we are in for a volatile RANGE year. The bulls and bears will battle it out in a tug of war. While January-April tend to be seasonally bullish, May-October tend to be bearish. November and December are seasonally bullish too. So whether the year closes with a slight gain or slight loss isn’t the focus. The best approach for this year is to capitalize on the swings. Therefore, mean reversion strategies (buy low, sell high) are ideal. Momentum and breakout strategies should be avoided. Finally, avoid being caught in a drawdown in the May-October period and position yourself to capitalize on the Nov-Dec seasonally bullish period.
BTC Correction Nearing Key Support – What’s Next?Bitcoin has been in a corrective phase over the past two days, retracing from recent highs and approaching critical support levels. Let’s break down the current market structure and identify potential trade opportunities based on confluences from multiple technical indicators.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
1. ) Golden Pocket Zone – $95,535 to $94,994
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement is a widely recognised level where strong reactions often occur.
This level aligns with a previous consolidation zone, making it a key demand area for potential long entries.
A bounce from here could indicate that bulls are regaining strength.
2.) Deeper Support – 0.786 Fib, Monthly Order Block, and Yearly Open (~$93,576)
If the golden pocket fails, the next key area of interest is around $93,576.
Here, we see confluence with:
The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, often the last strong retracement before a reversal.
A monthly order block, which has previously acted as a strong support area.
The yearly open, a crucial psychological and technical level that often holds significance throughout the year.
3.) Next Major Support if Yearly Open Fails – $88,000 to $86,000 (Swing Low & Weekly Support Zone)
If price drops below the yearly open with confirmation of bearish momentum, I would look for the next buying opportunity at the swing low or weekly support zone, highlighted in the yellow box around $88,000 to $86,000.
This area holds strong confluence as a higher timeframe support level, making it an attractive zone for potential accumulation.
4.) Resistance Levels – Open Price and Psychological Barrier at $100K
$97,700 – This is the weekly open resistance level. If BTC struggles to reclaim this level, it could indicate further downside.
$100K – A major psychological resistance where sellers could step in. Breaking and holding above this level would be a strong bullish signal.
Trade Setups Based on Current Structure:
1.) Long Trade Setup – Golden Pocket Zone ($95,535 - $94,994)
Entry: Between $95,535 and $94,994 (Golden Pocket Zone)
Stop Loss: Below $93,500 to protect against further downside
Take Profit 1: $97,700 (weekly open resistance)
Take Profit 2: $100K (psychological resistance)
2.) Deeper Long Setup – If 0.618 Fib Fails ($93,576 - Yearly Open Zone)
Entry: Around $93,576 (0.786 Fib + Monthly Order Block + Yearly Open)
Stop Loss: Below $92,000
Take Profit 1: $97,700
Take Profit 2: $100K
3.) Alternative Long Setup – If Yearly Open Breaks ( FWB:88K - $86K Zone)
Entry: Around $88,000 to $86,000 (Weekly Support Zone)
Stop Loss: Below $85,000
Take Profit 1: $93,500 (yearly open retest)
Take Profit 2: $100K
Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin’s current structure suggests a healthy correction within a larger uptrend. The golden pocket ($95,535 - $94,994) remains a key level for potential long entries, while a failure to hold here could see price testing the $93,576 region. However, if price drops below the yearly open and confirms bearish momentum, the next major buying opportunity lies at the Swing Low or Weekly Support Zone at $88,000 - $86,000.
New Free Indicator – Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones
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XAUUSD Gold Short Trade For Swing TradersEvery day, the market sets new highs. According to the study, we should expect a good corrective move in the next days.
We have SL in the last two transactions. We intend to execute a swing sell trade with a risk-reward ratio of 1-10; if this fails, we will proceed with a 1-12 risk-reward ratio.
The market is at a point where a correction should occur, but the outlook for gold remains favorable.
Because the market is already at an all-time high, preparing a long trade now may be riskier, thus in order to be active in long trades this month, we must wait for at least 70-100 points of price correction.
You are all respectfully requested to use proper risk management when following these assessments and executing the suggested trades.
XAU/USD Short Trade for swing tradersThe market is reaching an all-time high every day. According to the analysis, we should see a good corrective move in the coming days.
We have SL in the past two trades. We are planning a swing sell trade with a 1-10 risk-reward ratio; if this fails, we will plan the next swing trade with a 1-12 risk-reward ratio.
The market is at levels where a corrective move should occur, but the view on gold is still bullish.
Because the market is already at an all-time high, planning a long trade, for now, can be more risky, so to be active in long trades for this month, we need to wait for at least 70-100 points of correction in price.
you are all kindly requested to follow proper risk management to follow these analyses and execute the provided trades.
BTC next moves for 2025? Will 2021 repeat itself? Let's see :) History repeats itself, but will 2021 cycle repeat itself?
If we break 90K next level around 70, but there are many longs down the line, liquidation and long squeez is likely leading us to 60 if not 50 ranges, a wick is expected then a retest to 90K levels to get rejection before final breakout to the all time trend prices likely around 115-120K.
The herd will get excited by then, expecting a price to go above 120K, but I don't see this happening. And small dream secret, Nakamoto to be revealed later this year leading to significant crypto crash.
I know many may laugh, but let's see how this go! It makes sense from technical POV (hahaha, except my dream which likely to happen - since I don't dream too often) - keep an eye on RSI to get back in 40s before refill.
This idea is valid only and only if BTC breaks 90K and closes both daily and weekly below it with some a high volume!
Desclaimer:
The ideas and strategies presented here are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You should consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this post is not liable for any losses or damages resulting from the use of this information.
Strategy 2025. Introducing Palantir, BTC Killer Of The Year 2024It's gone 3 months or so since Palantir stock has joined on Friday, September 20 Stock Top Club, also known as S&P 500 stock index SP:SPX .
Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 Index.
This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), came after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier in this year 2024.
Since that, Palantir stock became the best (i.e. #1) S&P500 index performer this year, with current +375% YTD return in 2024, being highlighted at 80.55 USD per share - the new all the history peak reached last Friday, December, 19 at regular session close.
What is most important also, even recent Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank) hawkish projections on monetary policy in 2025 were not able to stop the only game in the city, or even make a pause on Palantir leadership.
Since Palantir stock is rallying 7th month in a row, the stalkers remain decently far away, swallowing the galactic dust of Palantir shares.
Judge for yourself.
One of the nearest pursuer, Nvidia Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA (# 4 out of all S&P500 index performers in 2024) is nearly to finish the year of 2024 with +170% return, i.e. lagging against Palantir behind twice.
The quite similar things happen with the most popular and heavy c-coin, also known as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD that is currently +130% YTD return in 2024.
What is most important also, Palantir stock outperforms both - S&P500 index, Nvidia Corp. and Bitcoin 7th straight month in a row.
In human words that means, Palantir stock monthly returns (every single month from May to December 2024) were better against each of mentioned above assets.
What is Behind this?
On November 4, 2024 Palantir Technologies has announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024.
“We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won’t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,” said Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies Inc.
Q3 2024 Highlights
• U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter to $499 million
• U.S. commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year and 13% quarter-over-quarter to $179 million
• U.S. government revenue grew 40% year-over-year and 15% quarter-over-quarter to $320 million
• Revenue grew 30% year-over-year and 7% quarter-over-quarter to $726 million
• Closed 104 deals over $1 million
• Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter
• GAAP net income of $144 million, representing a 20% margin
• GAAP income from operations of $113 million, representing a 16% margin
• Adjusted income from operations of $276 million, representing a 38% margin
• Rule of 40 score of 68%
• GAAP earnings per share (“EPS”) grew 100% year-over-year to $0.06
• Adjusted EPS grew 43% year-over-year to $0.10
• Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities of $4.6 billion
• Cash from operations of $420 million, representing a 58% margin and $995 million on a trailing twelve month basis
• Adjusted free cash flow of $435 million, representing a 60% margin and over $1 billion on a trailing twelve month basis.
Is the stock growth fundamentally deserved? Definitely, "Yes".
Palantir stock Alpha
What is Alpha?
Alpha (a) is a term used in investing to describe an investment's ability to beat (outperform) the market, or its “edge.” Alpha is thus also often referred to as excess return or the abnormal rate of return in relation to a benchmark, or any other asset (even against simple sitting in a cash) when adjusted for risk.
The main graph represents a comparison across Bitcoin and Palantir stocks. Since Palantir outperforms BTC twice over the past 12 months (watch lower "percent bar chart" subgraph), so why isn't to continue the play, by staying in a long with Palantir, and kill "the new oranges" respectively.