Inauguration Day! Beware of cowboy swings. Trade responsibly Inauguration Day brings a mix of excitement and uncertainty to the markets, so if you're trading today, be extra cautious. Expect some wild price swings—those "cowboy swings"—as investors react to the political shifts and news. It's easy to get swept up in the action, but remember, it's always best to keep your cool.
While the day might bring opportunities, it also has its risks. Make sure you're staying level-headed, sticking to your strategy, and trading responsibly. And, as always, if things feel too chaotic, there's no shame in sitting this one out. Safe trading!
2025
RUS 2000 | Market Crash AheadDetailed analysis in regards to my latest video.
Comparing RUS to the general markets we can see that SPX is overperforming which can be used as a leading indicator to prepare for a possible crash to come most likely mid year Q2 - Q4 and bleeding into 2026.
I also added DJT to the mix and it also is underperforming to what the SPX is doing now days.
What does this mean for crypto?
We can see BTC attempt to make one more leg to the upside, no more than $300k and at least a 100% runup from current levels ~($108k).
Altcoins will most likely look to rip Q2 - Q3 as BTC.D struggles to run any higher.
DXY is also at a structural low ~(100) and will look to finish its goal to hit ~120.
My original call since 2021 was to see BTC hit $300k by 2025 - 2026. We'll see if price action surprises me!
My SPX call in 2023 also gladly hit $6,000..we'll see whats next to come👀
TESLA (TSLA)BIAS: BULLISH
After the reversal, there was a push touching ATH and now looking for support on the previous...
To change bearish bias:
A push below 360-300p/s would be expected... Strong support around 260.
Unless specifically timed with a low chance of alteration by external forces, anticipating the exact timing of events is unrealistic.
XAU/USD Analysis for this week 20th-Jan to 24th - JanThe market is at a crucial and middle level, The Trend can't be confirmed here. So better to go only for intraday trades and wait for this for any good swing trades. But still, you can watch the marked levels and plan for small intraday trades to make some profits.
ZEN Trade Setup: Ride the Wave to +50% ProfitAfter a strong bullish impulse, ZEN completed a 5-wave structure resulting in a +72% price increase and successfully took out a key high. This marked a potential short trade opportunity at the key resistance level.
Subsequently, the price retraced significantly, forming a pullback into the golden pocket (0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement), a high-probability buying zone. This corrective move also completed a 5-wave structure to the downside, providing a favorable long trade opportunity with a compelling Risk-to-Reward (R:R) ratio of 3:1.
The target for this long trade is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the entire impulse wave at $35.86, representing a potential upside of nearly 50%. Additionally, the negative 0.234 Fibonacci level at $35.98 aligns closely with this target, creating a good confluence zone.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: $23–$25
Primary Target: $35.86 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement)
Confluence Level: $35.98 (Negative 0.234 Fibonacci extension)
Stop-Loss: Below the low of $21 for downside risk mitigation, DCA
BTC USD IdeaHappy New Year, traders! We have absolutely sick price action in Bitcoin charts. Every single swing trade for big players is being liquidated on every daily fractal. It doesn't want you on trades. This means two things: they eat up sells and buys. It's really hard to hold large trades with this price action. As of now, we have a next TP, not yet liquidated, bullish bias with a first take profit at 102735.99. We are in scalping mode as of now, and we do not trade on bias; we are hedging the market as of now with small entries, and then we get a few runners in the end and loads of stops also. But nobody in the world can guess where it will go. Best for us would be for it to go lower to a discount price, and then we can load positions again for higher. I'll keep you posted if I see good volume on my software. Stay calm with this price action. There's no need to buy Bitcoin at a 90k price; there are a million other assets booming at the beginning of the year
$GBPUSD Smashes 500 to 1000 PIPS– Ready for the Next Power Move?FX:GBPUSD pair has delivered an epic performance, locking in a massive +1000 PIPS on the whole swing and +562 PIPS on the half swing! After smashing through +250 pips in the latest move, the big question arises: what's next for the Wave Swingers?
With precision setups and powerful momentum, we analyze the next potential opportunities in this explosive trend.
Stay patience & focused for the next wave of dominance!
> All Trade setups provided advanced in time on IDEAS & MINDS.
SQ - Building "Block"Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 After being stuck in an accumulation phase for almost two years, SQ has finally broken above its range.
The shift in momentum is now confirmed in favor of the bulls, with the price trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
🏹 As SQ retests the lower blue trendline, I will be looking for trend-following long positions, targeting the $200 round number.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
2025 is a Bull Year I would like to start the year with what I expect if we talk about the crypto market - a bull market until September 2025
If we talk about the stock market - bullish or flat as it was in 2005 and 2015.
If we take statistics in years that end in the number 5 (1895, 1905, 1915, 1925, 1935, 1945, 1955, 1965, 1975, 1975, 1985, 1995, 2005, 2015) - we see bull markets.
Below, I have shown weekly charts of each year ending in the number 5.
1905
1915
1925
1935
1945
1955
1965
1975
1985
1995
2005
2015
2025
Here, we saw that all years are bullish, but 2005 and 2015 were reaccumulation.
Positive Scenarios for 2025
Soft monetary policy: If the Federal Reserve keeps rates at levels that support credit growth and capital availability, it will support the corporate sector and business expansion.
Technological breakthrough: A recovery in investment in artificial intelligence, green energy and biotechnology could create new growth drivers for the Dow Jones.
Sustainable global development: If geopolitical tensions diminish and international trade relations stabilize, the global economy will gain new momentum, reflected in the index's growth.
Negative Scenarios for 2025
Tight monetary policy: A sharp rise in interest rates could reduce the availability of capital, which could slow economic growth and pressure corporate profits.
Geopolitical instability: Increased conflict or trade wars between major economies could lead to declining investor confidence and capital outflows from the market.
Declining technological development: If leading sectors such as technology and green energy do not show the expected growth, it could affect market expectations and valuations.
Conclusion
Analyzing the history of the Dow Jones, years ending in 5 represent unique periods of growth and recovery. Against the backdrop of current macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions, 2025 could be a year of significant opportunity.
The optimistic scenario is based on continued loose monetary policy, innovation, and stabilization of global relations. However, the risks associated with tight monetary policy and global instability require caution.
For investors, 2025 could be a year of essential choices. Focus on long-term trends, analyze macroeconomic indicators, and diversify your portfolio. History shows that even in times of uncertainty, the market has the potential to grow.
And for years that end in number 7 according to bearish statistics, I will write about this in 2027
Best regards EXCAVO
OPtimism At Its Best!📌Fundamental:
- Optimism (OP) is a Layer 2 scaling solution for Ethereum that enhances transaction speed and reduces costs through several distinctive features:
- Optimistic Rollups: Processes transactions off-chain and submits them to Ethereum in batches, increasing throughput and lowering fees.
USE THE BITCOIN
- EVM Compatibility: Fully compatible with the Ethereum Virtual Machine, allowing developers to deploy existing Ethereum smart contracts with minimal modifications.
USE THE BITCOIN
📌Technical:
OP rejected the lower bound of the rising broadening wedge pattern.
I am expecting a movement towards the upper bound of the wedge, targeting the $6 round number.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Solana 05.01.2025COINBASE:SOLUSD
Hello Traders,
I hope you all have great success in 2025!
Currently, I’m analyzing Solana, focusing on the potential for its third position within the larger wave 3 to 4. At the moment, we can identify a 1-2-3 wave structure. Within wave 2, there’s a slightly messy 1-2-3-4-5 sub-wave setup, which is fairly common.
We’ve observed significant volume and a strong bullish push from sub-wave 2 to 3. However, sub-wave 4 to 5 is moving sideways, forming what’s typically seen as a diagonal pattern. Within this diagonal, we can clearly recognize an ABC formation, and the transition from wave B to C aligns perfectly with a 1-2-3-4-5 setup.
Currently, sub-wave 5 is still unfolding, but the chart is becoming increasingly messy. Many traders appear to be selling their positions. Using the MACD indicator, we can see that the buying volume is decreasing, and the red selling volume is approaching dominance.
I hope you find my analysis helpful, and I’m always happy to receive your feedback!
Best regards
TOTAL 3 Could easily triple or quadruple in market cap in 2025.The TOTAL 3 market cap is looking spectacular for the 2025 bull run and could easily triple or quadruple in 2025, based on the chart. Keep in mind that this is the logarithmic chart, but this bull run isn't like any of the previous cycles, as many have yet to realize. In fact, it could end up being a cycle that extends well into the end of the year.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss.
MSTR - The Saylor in the Storm!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈MSTR has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. (log chart)
Currently, it is in a correction phase within the falling red channel.
Moreover, the red zone is a strong demand.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand and lower trendlines acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #MSTR approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ON THE EDGE - HAEDS OR TAILS? Happy New Year to all of you! :)
As illustrated, we can see BTC hanging on the edge of a cliff.
Apparently , Black Rock and other financial institutions involved are manipulating price; however, that's only rumors until a major media source proves otherwise.
Technically speaking , the key support area is the $90,000 - $91,000 price range where we've seen BTC bounce strongly to the upside once testing it.
Don't be surprised if there's a strong selling inducement ( what retails call "fake breakout" ), where these bigger institutions bid the market just bellow $90,000 trapping sellers and shaking off buy-holders, and then buy back all of the liquidity at a discount price (potentially around $85,000 - $80,000).
However, the sell-inducement maneuver could cause a panic sell-off, taking price lower toward its previous maximum highs of $73,000 ; being such price range a major potential buying area for a long term HODL toward what could be a short-term target of $115,500 - $118,000 price range.
Patience is key since we are starting the year, and price "should" create the low of the year (somewhere), so it's natural and not strange for there to actually be a drop which, as a matter of fact, is fair and actually good so that everyone can get their hands on some BTC at a better price.
--
GOOD LUCK!
And I wish you all a year full of abundance and prosperity.
Ai & OnChain Opportunities | Crypto insights for 2025How Base, Ai & Pump Fun Will Shape the Crypto Market in 2025
2024: A Milestone Year for On-Chain Growth
The year 2024 may prove pivotal for onchain development, potentially rivaling the "DeFi Summer." Narrative driven investment opportunities are expected to proliferate, fueled by the widespread adoption of the “everything can be a Meme” concept and the rapid asset issuance popularized by Pump Fun. Meme projects can now launch without requiring top tier centralized exchange (CEX) listings, with market caps in the onchain space reaching approximately $1 billion. This presents significant profit opportunities for ordinary users, with toptier CEXs serving as the final stage for cashing out on-chain investments.
Challenges for Established Assets
Rising tensions between VCCoin and its community have led to underperformance for new assets listed on major CEXs, while older projects struggle to stay relevant. Many such projects lack motivation or fail to adapt to market changes, often adopting a passive strategy while awaiting unlock periods.
Key Predictions for 2025
1. DEX/CEX Monthly Volume Ratio to Exceed 20%
In December 2024, decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volumes hit a record $320 billion, marking over 200% year-over-year growth. The DEX/CEX ratio rose from 9.6% in December 2023 to 11.7%, peaking at 13.9% during the year. Continued improvements in Web3 wallets and on-chain tools, spearheaded by CEXs, along with the growing appeal of the Meme sector, are expected to accelerate user migration from CEXs to DEXs.
2. AI Agents/AI Meme Market Cap to Eclipse NFTs
AI Agents integrated with tokenization have emerged as the fastest-growing narrative, with the total market cap for related tokens reaching $12 billion. Frameworks like ai16z’s Eliza and Virtuals Protocol’s Game Framework have gained dominance, enabling rapid deployment of AI Agent tokens. Virtuals Protocol’s VIRTUAL token leads the sector with a $3.5 billion market cap, bolstered by a robust ecosystem of subtokens.
3. Emergence of Vertical Launch Platforms
The success of Pump Fun on Solana, a low-cost launchpad for issuing Memecoins, has inspired similar platforms across other networks. Specialized vertical platforms like vvaifu (AI Agents) and Pump Science (DeSci) are gaining traction. The expansion of the “everything can be a Meme” narrative is expected to drive demand for more niche launchpads.
4. Base Ecosystem Tokens to Debut on Binance
The Base network, an Ethereum Layer 2 developed under Coinbase, is predicted to have at least five native tokens listed on Binance’s spot market. With a concentrated ecosystem led by Virtuals and Farcaster, Base is positioned as a key contender for listings. Integration with Coinbase Wallet and the potential for favorable U.S. policies could enhance its competitive edge.
5. Hyperliquid’s Spot Market to Drive Wealth Effects
Hyperliquid, leveraging its HYPE token airdrops and novel asset standards (HIP1 and HIP2), is positioned to create exclusive wealth-generation opportunities. Projects like Solv Protocol and Azuki Anime have utilized its spot listing auctions, attracting significant interest. HYPE’s value, while substantial, will benefit from increased trading volume and partnerships with exclusive projects.
These projections reflect growing innovation in onchain development, with decentralized finance, AI tokenization, and specialized launchpads driving the next phase of market evolution.
Happy Crypto New Year 2025! 🎉💰Happy Crypto New Year 2025! 🚀✨💰🎉
As we welcome another exciting year, let’s remember: 🔑 Your crypto wallet is like your toothbrush—keep it safe, private, and never share it! 🪥
🌟 2025 Crypto Resolutions for Success:
1️⃣ DYOR (Do Your Own Research): Before you HODL, read, learn, and understand. 📚
2️⃣ Embrace the DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) : Timing the market is tough; consistency is 🔑.
3️⃣ Secure Your Assets : Use hardware wallets and enable 2FA. Don't get rugged this year! 🔒
4️⃣ Stay Updated: Crypto trends change faster than your favorite meme coins’ charts. 📰
🚀 Fun Crypto Fact:
If you invested $10 in Bitcoin in 2010, you’d have over $250 million today. Start small—dream big! 🌌
🎭 Entertaining Thought:
"Crypto is the only market where people panic when prices are low and celebrate when it’s expensive. Let’s flip that mindset in 2025!" 🤔🎉
💡 Pro Tip for the Year:
The next bull run is built in the bear market. Learn, strategize, and prepare—2025 could be your year! 💼📈
To our amazing community:
This year, let’s not just trade—let’s grow, innovate, and dominate. Together, we’ll explore new opportunities in blockchain, NFTs, DeFi, and beyond. 🌍✨
🎊 Here’s to a prosperous, joyful, and crypto-filled New Year! Drop your 2025 crypto goals in the comments! Let’s inspire each other.
💬 #HODL #CryptoNewYear #Blockchain2025
TradeCityPro | BCHUSDT Final Analysis of 2024👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Welcome to the last analysis of 2024! The Trade City Pro team is very happy to have been with you this year and, at your request, has resumed its activity on TradingView. Our first analysis dates back to 2021 on this platform. :)
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Now let’s analyze Bitcoin Cash (BCH) together in the final hours of this year. But remember, tomorrow is the most holiday-packed day of the year, with about 60% of the world’s population enjoying their break, which means trading activity is expected to be low.
Before starting the analysis, as always, let’s take a quick look at Bitcoin. On the 1-hour timeframe, it has rejected resistance, and the RSI failed to enter overbought territory, returning to the 91830–95753 box. It’s likely that Bitcoin will range within this box tomorrow.
Alongside this rejection, Bitcoin dominance has been trending upwards, causing altcoins to experience deeper red candles on the last day of the year.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, BCH is one of those coins that is still bullish. It recorded higher lows in both 2023 and 2024 and has shown good performance. The $94.8–$138.2 range corresponds to Bitcoin’s $16k zone.
If you bought from lower levels, it’s reasonable not to make any moves for now and continue holding your position. You can consider withdrawing your initial capital and exiting below $302.4 if a weekly candle closes there.
Personally, I’m not entering this coin right now, but the $689.5 trigger on the weekly timeframe is a key level. After breaking this, BCH is likely to enter the overbought zone with higher volume. Therefore, taking risks and buying at $302.4 or $424.2 could be logical.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, after breaking through the daily resistance box at $369.8, which gradually lowered its resistance, BCH started its upward move and was rejected at $623.4, leading to the key support level of $432.0.
This support is very important as it can change the corrective momentum and enable BCH to test the highs again. If it breaks, BCH could drop to $369.8.
During the uptrend and box breakout, volume increased, which is a good sign. However, volume decreased during the decline, which is also positive. Still, today’s daily candle shows significant volume with an upper shadow, increasing the likelihood of further downside.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, we see that volume is at its lowest, and trading activity is minimal. If you’re trading, open positions with lower risk.
At the $622.1 level, a fake breakout occurred. This is a trader-trapping strategy where, after faking a support or resistance, we look for the first breakout trigger on lower timeframes and open a risky position, as fake breakouts can sometimes reverse trends.
📈 Long Position Trigger
since BCH is at a relatively higher level than most altcoins, we can open one after breaking $453.6, but with a small stop-loss and quick profit-taking.
📉 Short Position Trigger
BCH is at critical support, and after breaking $431.2, there’s no significant support until $383.3, making it possible to open a short position. Just remember that market volume is very low, so trade with reduced risk and exit promptly when necessary. I’ll indicate whether to use a larger stop-loss like last month’s uptrend or not when it’s required.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
2025 roadmap for gold xauusd by my strategyAs we look ahead to 2025, this analysis outlines a comprehensive roadmap for trading XAU/USD (gold) based on my proprietary strategy. With a focus on key market drivers, technical indicators, and geopolitical factors, this roadmap aims to provide traders with actionable insights and a clear vision of Potential price movements for gold.
In this report, I will delve into the fundamental and technical aspects that are likely to influence gold prices in 2025, including expected shifts in monetary policy, inflation trends, and global economic conditions. I will also highlight critical support and resistance levels, chart patterns, and relevant indicators that could guide buying and selling decisions.
Additionally, the analysis will explore the impact of external factors such as interest rates, currency fluctuations, and market sentiment on gold’s performance. By implementing my strategy, traders will be better equipped to navigate the complexities of the gold market and identify profitable opportunities in the coming year.
Join me on this journey to uncover the potential pathways for XAU/USD in 2025 and refine your trading approach in alignment with emerging trends.
these price is the Key Points for changing the trend and will be nice for swing position .
i wish you the best in 2025 and you will be make more money than past...
Bitcoin's 2024 Halving to 2025 Peak: Will BTC Reach $294K?📌Historical Observations
- 2012 Halving → 2013 Top:
Duration: ~1 year.
Price increase: ~8,600% (from ~$12 to ~$1,150).
- 2016 Halving → 2017 Top:
Duration: ~1.5 years.
Price increase: ~2,900% (from ~$650 to ~$19,500).
- 2020 Halving → 2021 Top:
Duration: ~1.5 years.
Price increase: ~900% (from ~$8,600 to ~$69,000).
- 2024 Halving → Projected 2025 Top:
Halving price: ~$64,000.
📌Identified Patterns
- Time from Halving to Peak: Peaks occur around 1.33 to 1.5 years after the halving.
- Diminishing Returns: Growth rates decrease with each cycle:
2012 to 2016: ~66% reduction in returns.
2016 to 2020: ~69% reduction in returns.
Expected reduction for 2024 cycle: ~60-70%.
📌Projection for the 2024 Cycle
Duration to Peak:
Add 1.33 to 1.5 years to the halving date (April 2024).
Projected top: June to October 2025.
Price Growth:
Assuming diminishing returns, we estimate 300% to 360% price growth from the halving price.
Next Top Price=Halving Price×(1+Growth Rate)
300% growth: $64,000 × 4 = $256,000.
360% growth: $64,000 × 4.6 = $294,400.
📌Final Projection
Next Bitcoin Peak Price: Estimated between $256,000 and $294,400.
Timing: Likely between June and October 2025.
Here’s to a successful and prosperous trading year ahead! 🎉
You’ve got this! Let’s make 2025 your best trading year yet.
~ Rich
BTC 2025 I have plotted the yearly OHL. White line shows year open.
If you think BTC is bullish then you buy the year open and hold till EOY or hodl till your heart desires.
Alternatively you could gamble and wait for a dip below year open and buy then. Or perhaps you can wait till there's a dip below year open and then wait for a reclaim back on top of the year open level to start bidding.
Regardless I see a strong bull trend:
12 years of buy year open and hold till EOY = positive return
3 years of buy on year open and hold till EOY = negative return
2015 is an outlier but despite the heavy drawdown the year end gave a positive return.
The probabilities are very skewed and its pretty crazy how complicated we make the LTF analysis and forecasts where the simplest of strategies garners significant gains.
The years following a halving year (2013, 2017, 2021) all have a 100% hit rate of buy year open and hold till EOY. Those years offered a very positive return and marked the top of the "cycle" being followed by a down year.
My personal opinion is you either buy now or buy higher later. We might look back in a few years and lament on how we had so much time to buy sub 100k.
Alts see a similar pattern. The beginning of the year is crucial in determining what lies ahead.