COINbase Macro Analysis: To Keep You Informed Of OpportunityHi Guys! As always i try to bring ideas that catch my attention on the macro timeframes. The one that got my attention is Coinbase (COIN). Ive been tracking coinbase for some time now, ever since i discovered the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. (Ill be putting the link to that idea and others related to COIN below.
This current analysis will be assessing whether or not the Inverse head and shoulders pattern has more juice left or not in continuing the rally from the bottom at $31.00.
Pattern was confirmed when we broke the Head & Shoulders neckline.
This analysis is on the 1 week timeframe.
Some areas have been highlighted.
Major Resistance -> this is a critical area in my opinion, further gains being linked to us needing price to be ABOVE this lvl.
We are currently BELOW it.
But have not yet confirmed in my opinion.
Last weeks candle had equal top/bottom wicks, which usually means buyers and sellers were equaled out, not giving a direction.
We would need next week to play out in a more decisive manner. And for price to be ABOVE Major Resistance lvl.
We are also current ABOVE 21 EMA, as long as we stay ABOVE it, UPtrend is intact.
We've also had 2 Golden Crosses occur where 21 EMA and 50 SMA crossed ABOVE 100 SMA. As long as we stay crossed Uptrends tend to continue.
Ive also applied FIB retracement lvls from our current top to the bottom at $31.
We've been rejected from 0.786 lvl. Watch for a test of the 0.618 level which is known as the Golden Ratio. If 21 EMA is broken, it becomes more probable.
My personally opinion is that i think we will touch the 0.618 lvl.
We would need to maintain Support ABOVE here.
This area also coincides with a potential Consolidation range bottom.
Which I think is likely to be forming, as COIN tends to move like this as seen in previous history.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on SNOW in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
21emaweekly
Break down on technicals for Alibaba near historical lowsHi Guys. As always, heres a macro chart setup i've found to be a MUST WATCH, at the very least if not a potential long.
Analysis done on 1 week, indicating a macro analysis.
Alibaba (BABA), at current prices is roughly 75% from its blow off top in 2020.
Around October- November 2022, we tested support at the historical bottom and bounced to test the Resistance zone with a REJECTION.
Bringing us to our current price action where we have managed to maintain a HIGHER LOW.
This supports the idea that perhaps trend is shifting towards BABA wanting to move UP.
Notice also the Blue, Green and Purple Moving averages, Flattening out. This can be an indication that price is showing demand after moving averages moved down so much from the highs.
look for curve up in MA with crosses happening. This would be significantly supportive of probabilities we see Uptrend.
Essentially the order from top to bttom we want to see is:
1. Purple on top
2. Green next
3. Blue below that
4. Red below all
This is an indication of a Bull cycle. As you can see blatantly in previous history.
Notice also Volume which has been steadily increasing since 2019. Maintainence of Higher lows on Volume is also a good sign, that perhaps BABA may rally if we continue this volume trend.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on BABA in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Americas Car Mart Testing Multi-Year Demand Zone (Buy Zone)Hi guys!
This is a MACRO Analysis on AMericas Car Mart (CRMT). Macro meaning larger timeframe aka the 2 week in this instance.
Macro moves tend to speak louder than smaller timeframes like the 1 day for example when they start to move in price.
I believe CRMT has come to an important area and poses a great trade setup in my opinion.
If we look to Price action.
Notice 2 Support trendlines outlined. These are MULTI Year Support zones.
When price reached the trendlines, we ended up bouncing UP.
Notice our current price indicated by Orange box.
Our 2 support trendlines have converged. When 2 support trendlines meet it strengthens the Support.
Also notice the 21 EMA (Purple moving average) -> We have been below this since Septemberish of 2023. Moves below 21 EMA especially on the 2 week pose for good Buy zones as well.
So the combination of converging Support lines and being below 21 EMA = Good area to take positions
Now notice the 2 indicators ive included. These are momentum indicators.
STOCH RSI has crossed BULLISH. (where blue line moves above orange line)
Momentum can pick up and start a move up once this crosses ABOVE the 20 lvl.
MACD is currently below the 0 lvl. With the histogram bars changing from dark red to light red. This indicates a waning of bearish momentum. It is also attempting to create a higher low. All good signs. Look for a Bullish cross and green bars to show up. That will help drive prices up.
A cross ABOVE 0 lvl would bring about massive moves up.
Continue to monitor the indicators and price to stay above the Support zone indicated.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on CRMT in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NIO: Important reaction at support level! But be careful - D & WNIO shares reached our first target of $9.22, set in our last public study, the link to which is below this analysis, as always.
We now see a correction down to the 21 EMA, which is to be expected, given that it has just hit a target. In addition, we see a reaction in the price, which could be a bottoming signal if confirmed. Such a reaction makes sense, since the medium-term trend on the daily chart is bullish, and the reasons are simple: 1) The price has been making HH/HL since its last bottom on December 12; 2) The price is above the 21 EMA, which is rising.
I said in my last analysis that swing trades with a focus on the medium term are technically plausible, and that's still true, but remember that all caution is needed, as the weekly chart is still in a downtrend, and this week's candlestick is a reminder of this.
If the price closes below the average on the weekly chart, we could see another top signal, suggesting further bearish continuation for NIO shares. In any case, I see $7 as the main support point, both in the long and medium term.
We see that NIO is trading around a critical point, near mid-term support levels and long-term resistance levels. Whichh one will prevail? It is too soon to tell, we need to see a clear breakout to confirm any thesis. I’ll keep you updated on this, so remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis, and support this idea, if it helped you.
All the best,
Nathan.
TSLA: An Intense Breakout is About to Occur!TSLA shares are trading in a Trap Zone, the area between the 21 EMA, which serves as the main support, and the resistance at $246.70, which was already mentioned in my last public analysis, the link to which is below this post.
This area between the 21 EMA and resistance is called the Trap Zone because as long as there is no real breakout from support or resistance, we could see several false signals and erratic, meaningless movement within the area.
The 21 EMA is slowly rising, squeezing the price against resistance at $246, and sooner or later, we will see a breakout in some direction. There's no way of knowing in which direction the breakout will occur - remember real trading is reactive, not predictive. In some cases it is possible to look for clues in an indicator such as the RSI, and look for a divergence or an Advanced Breakout (which is not the case here).
Since our last study, the price has retested the $246 area, reinforcing our main idea that this is indeed the main resistance for TSLA shares in the medium term. Only if the price breaks through this region will we see a real sign of recovery, which would represent a continuation of the upward trend.
Meanwhile, we see that the price is trading dangerously close to the 21 EMA. If the average is lost, then TSLA could trigger a new bearish move, perhaps looking to fill the gap opened at $225.40. Such a bearish move seen today is definitely suspicious, while the indices and almost all of the "magnificent 7" are rising. I wonder how long such a divergence between TSLA and the rest of the market will persist.
TSLA shares are falling this week, just as we approach the main long-term resistance at the top of its Descending Channel. The 21 EMA is also serving as support on this timeframe, which also reinforces our thesis that this area is a key support point, which could trigger a sharper correction if lost.
For the time being, as long as there is no clear break from its Trap Zone, TSLA's shares are bound to move erratically. To avoid a bearish scenario, now would be the best time to see a reaction. How the price behaves over the next few days will be crucial to what lies ahead in the medium and long term.
I'll keep you updated on this, so remember to like this post, and follow me for more analysis like this.
Best regards,
Nathan.
Costco the case for higher highs maybe probableHI guys. This is an analysis thread to assess the technical developments found in Costco. I will layout some general findings on the macro scale, then update as new developments proceed in the technicals for COST. The purpose is to provide unbiased TA opinions, where i give both bearish or bullish cases depending on facts in charts to help make informed trading/investing decisions.
Initial analysis will be on the 1 week timeframe.
First things first. The 2 Ascending triangle patterns found.
A blue one
A black one
Notice the Black triangle, this is a larger or more influential pattern developing since May 2022.
It holds more wait if signs show we a breaking out of this.
Targets would be $680-720 range.
Confirmation of a test of support Above the horizontal upper black trendline is needed.
This would indicate a continuation of COST previous uptrend, as Ascending triangles when confirmed are strong continuation patterns.
The smaller Blue Ascending triangle seems like a intermediate term consolidation area as well.
Notice how prices have consolidated Above the Black horizontal trendline of the bigger triangle, for weeks.
We have closed Last week ABOVE Blue triangle. We must await confirmation of this breakout.
This could mean we are breaking out of both Triangles.
Look also to the 21 EMA (Purple colored moving average).
We have recently bounced off of a support test. This is a great sign.
This can be a future support test area also. But i always look at it as a level of defence. It has moved up to the $550 level.
Overall, $550 level is critical support level now. Below it we go back into the larger ascending triangle, if we do go back below, this would indicate a fakeout.
An important thing to observe is VOLUME.
For this move to follow through, we must see an increase or spike in volume. Which currently doesn't seem like its there. Which could lead to a fakeout. So we must pay attention.
Remember Volume can really make or break a move especially a chart pattern.
Momentum indicators STOCH RSI and MACD are showing signs of bullishness
STOCH RSI has a BULLISH CROSS.
MACD is attempting to cross Bullish. If MACD crosses, this will give signs that uptrend is now more likely.
Taking positions must be done after COnfirmation or a decisive move Up.
Never take positions inside of a chart pattern, always consider entering after confirmation of breakout.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on COST in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Lyft Showing signs of Life, have we Bottomed?Hi guys! Welcome to an analysis on macro developments of Lyft (LYFT). With the markets doing what they've been doing this year, we have to ask, " Will the % gains come to stocks that are still many many % down from their tops"? Or are some stocks just doomed to fizzle out and take time to re-build/ grow?
Well, if we are in a Bull market, which i personally think we are... Assets with Solid Market Structure & Technicals will also be included into the liquidity being injected into the markets.
Taking a glance under the hood with LYFT, i can see some promising developments playing out. Making me consider LYFT as a Long play.
This analysis is strictly on Technicals and is on the 1 Week timeframe to get a big picture view.
So lets look at Price Action:
Last week candle has broken ABOVE the Major Resistance trendline which has worked to cause Price Declines since November 2021
Notice how we've had many touch points on this Resistance line in RED.
I believe it to have been weakened, thus the current BREAKOUT.
Do we go back to print All Time Highs now? Absolutely NOT.
It requires alot of energy or momentum to break major trends.
But its the 1st step to the road of getting back to all time highs.
We also need Confirmation before anything. This 1 candle is not enough, though an extremely BULLISH candle, a Bullish ENGULFING candle. Which is a great sign and pushs probabilities for confirmation as well.
But we need to now Test the Resistance line as SUPPORT.
With the overlaying Resistance line ABOVE us, i believe we will get a push down to the Support Test.
But so far the break out to me is promising:
Why? Look to the Volume for clues. We are so far seeing increased volume. It is important that it continues.
If at the end of this week, you see Volume has declined. We would need to reassess the breakout, as that would potentially mean this could be a Fakeout.
So getting ABOVE Major Multi year resistance, would support the idea of Trend Change/ perhaps Trend Reversal and a sign hinting that the Bottom is in.
Another Bottoming sign observed = BULLISH DIVERGENCE being spotted.
This is when Price Action prints Lower Lows BUT Indicators print Higher Lows.
Seen in the RSI -> Notice if and when we get above the Resistance line, we will see large % gains.
Another indicator to watch would be the STOCH RSI, as we are getting close to a BULLISH CROSS. If we get it, we will see bullish momentum come in, perhaps pushing prices above this horizontal resistance line.
Anyway i think things are hinting at the idea that we have bottomed. We are in a critical moment for LYFT and we must continue to monitor this week and more.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on LYFT in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Shopify Macro Pattern Bullish Until Proven OtherwiseHi Guys! This is a Macro Technical Analysis on Shopify (SHOP) on the 1 Week Timeframe.
Its to add to my previous analysis while keeping it brief and concise.
Recently we Broke through and confirmed BELOW both the Uptrend Channel and the 21 EMA.
Normally this spells TROUBLE, especially if we confirm BELOW 21 EMA, as this moving average normally holds SUPPORT through BULLTRENDS.
Even more so that the MACD has crossed BEARISH as well.
However digging deeper, its seen that the channel and 21 EMA break was followed by DECLINING VOLUME.
Normally, for Trend Reversals and for the direction of a trend to actually go that way you need a spike in VOLUME.
(Watch VOLUME in the coming weeks. Can give us hints to what will come next.)
Comparing our current move to previous moves, look to "Similar Pattern". It may be probable that we just move side ways before continuing our UPTREND.
Notice how to the T, our current move follows the previous example. The 21 EMA is also flattening out, indicating this sideways movement.
Another likely scenario, if volume picks up can be a test of the 50 SMA (Green moving average).
BUT provided this Weeks candle closes ABOVE we are testing support. So if we can stay ABOVE this, 50 SMA is less Probable. So pay attention to this weeks candle close and for CONFIRMATION.
Also NOTE we have had a BULLISH CROSS of the 21 EMA above the 50 SMA.
Along with how previous history BUllish move played out.
This makes me think we are in the Early phases of a BULL run in Shopify.
This is NOT a DEFINITE, Sure thing but we may be mirroring the "Similar Pattern".
But always remember that things that happened before does not have to happen again.
I think other than Volume, another MAJOR thing to watch is the MACD.
Particularly, the main focus should be staying ABOVE the 0 level.
Going BELOW 0 level, may indicate further price DECLINES.
So watch how the Histogram bars shape up, we want smaller RED bars that change to a lighter RED color. Eventually would like to see GREEN bars in the coming weeks. That would give confidence that BULLISH momentum is coming back to Shopify.
Take a look at how the MACD shaped up during the "Similar Pattern". If we stay ABOVE 0 level, all is good.
Keep that in the back of the mind as you follow the MACD.
RSI also gives some clues. The area between the RED & BLACK Horizontal lines, coincides with being BELOW 21 EMA.
If we are below the RED line, normally its a good area to add to your position during a BULL run.
The warning sign is if the RSI drops towards and BELOW the BLACK line, that would lead to further PRICE Declines.
Using both the MACD and RSI in combination will help remove false signals. If you see that the histograms are turning light red, to light green and the RSI curved back up towards and ideally above RED line. This would likely push Price back ABOVE 21 EMA, and continue our BULL Run.
I think this week, its important to stay ABOVE the SUPPORT line. Staying above may bring in more confidence.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on SHOP in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
ARK Innovation Support Area to Watch for BounceHi Guys! This is a Technical Analysis on ARK Innovations ETF (ARKK) on the 1 Week Timeframe.
Jumping right in:
Our current Price action is currently bouncing off a Confluence of SUPPORT Test
We tested this Confluence of Support area the prior 2 weeks.
The Confluence involves:
1. 50 SMA
2. Support Line of the Uptrend Channel
This would make an area to go LONG.
We are currently in the process of testing RESISTANCE from 21 EMA
Since this is one the 1 Week timeframe, we need to observe how this weeks candle interacts with the 21 EMA.
If we can close ABOVE, at the end of the week. That would be a good sign.
NOTE: If we can confirm SUPPORT on 21 EMA, this is a bullish sign. Since UPTRENDS are associated with being ABOVE the 21 EMA
It would hint at or strengthen the probability we move towards the Horizontal "Resistance Line" Above in Red.
This would also be an area to TAKE PROFIT.
BUT my main focus for ARKK would be to BREAK Above and CONFIRM Support over the MAJOR Resistance Line in Orange.
Once we do that, we have CHANGED our MAJOR TREND.
Though we have a long ways to go, keep in mind that when this happens, itll be a CRUCIAL AREA to watch.
Since we havent had 3 touch points, we could be rejected which could make it a short play also.
Now since i believe we must always be prepared. Lets look at the downside, if we can't maintain this current SUPPORT area.
My first downside target would be the line titled "Support Line#1
My 2nd downside target would be the line titled "Support Line#2
To find more evidence of whats to come, i look at the current indicators placed.
STOCH RSI, is currently BELOW the 20 level. A BULLISH CROSS, where Blue line is above Orange ABOVE the 20 elvel, would indicate Bullish momentum coming in. This would help push prices towards Resistance Line.
Notice also RSI, particularly the Black line. We were for a short time, below this line but currently attempting to move back ABOVE. If we can maintain SUPPORT on this, our trend would be intacted. Which would support UPTREND.
Finally the MACD, we need to watch this one closely. We have crossed BEARISH. We need to see a Bullish Cross and maintain staying ABOVE the 0 level. If we do this, i can eventually see ARKK move towards the "MAJOR Resistance line".
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on ARKK in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy
Advanced Micro Device Can we bounce from 21 Weekly EMA?Hi Guys! This is a Technical Analysis on Advanced Micro Device (AMD) on the 1 Week Timeframe.
Previously i posted a chart on the Daily Timeframe, mentioning of a potential breakout to the upside. But it was short lived as a fakeout, and we are down 7ish% since then.
To get an understanding of what went wrong, i decided to analyze the Weekly timeframe to get a bigger picture.
As you can see:
We have closed BELOW the SUPPORT line of the triangle.
We have also closed below this short term RED Horizontal support line.
And we are now Testing SUPPORT on the 21 Weekly EMA.
This is a Major development in my opinion.
21 EMA is used to determine trend:
->If its ABOVE = BULLISH
->If its BELOW = BEARISH
Whenever we are ABOVE the 21 EMA, its important for the BULLISH trend to have price action test SUPPORT on the EMA, every now and then.
For the BULLISH Trend to continue, we need CONFIRMATION that the 21 EMA indeed acted as SUPPORT.
But there is also the case, of the 21 EMA not being able to maintain SUPPORT.
So whats more likely in our current situation?
In my Opinion, its becoming more likely or probable that we BREAK BELOW 21 EMA.
For me and for more evidence i like to use INDICATORS.
Ive highlighted some Scenarios that mirror our current developments in the 3 indicators ive added.
Notice the Differences between how far we drop under the 21 EMA and the variations found in the indicators.
For Price action to weaken and drop below 21 EMA, 3 things need to happen:
1. RSI -> Showing the Orange line break support and move BELOW the Black line. The longer stay below and continue lower, more likely for price declines.
2. MACD -> BEAR CROSS, (Blue line below Orange line) and the appearance of Red Histogram.
3. STOCH RSI -> Below the 20 level. The longer we stay below this level, more likely for price decline
We are currently in this SCENARIO, highlighted by BLACK BOX.
So now to determine exactly how far BELOW we go, If we do break SUPPORT.
To gauge at that, we look LEFT and we look at the specific changes/ differences in the indicators.
For LARGER PRICE DECLINES like in Scenario #3 and #4
-> MACD Histogram Bars were LARGE
-> MACD Blue/Orange lines moved BELOW 0 level
-> STOCH RSI for #3 continued for about 133 days (longest compared to other scenarios).
-> RSI Orange line stayed below Black line for extended period
Now notice #1 and #2
-> The indicators didnt show extreme variations as seen in #3 and #4
-> Scenario #2 Price action was below 21 EMA for a decent amount of time but it was consolidating, rather than having a major decline.
-> Though the RSI Orange line was below the Black for extended time,
-> the STOCH RSI was at oversold area for 119 days,
-> the MACD Orange/Blue line NOT dose diving BELOW 0 level, helped price action maintain a range before moving back over 21 EMA.
We have to keep in mind though that history DOES NOT have to repeat and that a new scenario can be possible
BUT Main thing to watch is the size of the histograms of the MACD and whether or not we stay ABOVE the 0 level, in my opinion.
A level to look at is the SUPPORT line labeled "MAJOR SUPPORT".
IF we do close BELOW 21 EMA, it becomes more likely we test this line.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on AMD in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
AAPL: Big correction ahead? Only if it does this...• AAPL just reached a short-term support line on the 1h chart, around $170.93;
• This support area acted as a support on three different occasions recently, and it acted as a resistance level on May 3;
• So far, it seems AAPL is reacting above this key point. In this case, we can expect that it will seek the next resistance around $174, which is the main resistance line of this congestion;
• Although AAPL is correcting on the 1h chart, the daily chart is still very bullish. We see nothing but higher highs/lows and AAPL is trading consistently above the 21 ema;
• In theory, it could correct a little bit more, to the 21 ema, and that wouldn’t ruin the bull trend. The 21 ema is at $169.43 now;
• Therefore, the area around $170.93 (1h) and $169.43 (D) is a dual-support area on two different time frames. Only if AAPL loses this dual-support area we would see a sharper correction, maybe even a top signal on the weekly chart:
• However, as long as AAPL maintains its bullish structures up, there’s no reason to concern. I’ll keep you updated on this.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
NVDA: Reached a Critical Turning Point | Weekly Analysis.• NVDA is extremely bullish, and in spite of the top signals it gave us last week, it didn’t trigger any single one of them, frustrating any bearish thesis on it;
• The 21 ema, the first support level, has been acting as a good support level this year;
• The $262 is a key support level, and only if NVDA loses it we might see a further correction, maybe to the $244;
• There’s one problem with this bull trend, though, which is the previous resistance at $289 (green line). NVDA has yet to break this key point, which is a quite important one, especially if we see it in the weekly chart.
• The $289 is a previous top level from March 2022, and this is why if NVDA triggers any top signal around this area we could see a sharp correction;
• Keep in mind, the trend is very bullish, as this year, NVDA did an upwards breakout from a Descending Channel and it triggered an IH&S chart pattern;
• However, any top signal could trigger a correction to the 21 ema in the weekly chart again, and this wouldn’t ruin the bullish momentum in this time-frame;
• So far, there’s no top signal or bearish structure indicating a pullback, and NVDA has everything to retest its ATH again, but we must keep our eyes open in this area.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
NVDA: 2 Top Signals Under a Powerful Resistance - What's Next?• NVDA finally hit its long-term target this week, the 289 resistance, which I mentioned in my previous public analysis (the link to it is below this post, as usual);
• It has been correcting since then, as it did a top signal just under our 289 resistance (Bearish Harami). However, the trend is still bullish, as NVDA is still doing higher highs/lows and it is still above the 21 ema;
• Despite this correction, there’s no clear technical bearish reversal pattern around;
• The 21 ema is supposed to act as a support now, but if it doesn’t, the main support line is the 262 – only by losing this line NVDA might reverse the mid-term trend and trigger a sharper pullback in the weekly chart.
• In the weekly chart we see that the candlestick is quite bearish – so far, it is a Shooting Star, and it appeared right under the 289 resistance (green line), another top signal, if it closes this week looking like this;
• If NVDA loses its key support level in the daily chart, a sharper correction in the weekly chart is plausible, and the 21 ema would be our next target;
• Even a correction to the 21 ema wouldn’t ruin the long-term bullish bias, however, it would frustrate the bull trend in the daily chart;
• For now, let’s pay attention to how NVDA is going to react now that it is close to the 21 ema in the daily chart.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
TSLA: Trading at a Critical Support Line.• TSLA crashed after earnings, but it seems it wants to stabilize around the 163 support line;
• So far, TSLA has been moving with technical precision, as we already discussed this bearish scenario in our previous analysis (link below this post, as usual);
• Now, in the daily chart, TSLA just hit its technical support at 163. So far, there’s no bullish reaction indicating that it is doing a bottom sign – but this could change very soon;
• If TSLA loses the 163, then it’ll probably try to fill the gap at 146 in sequence.
• In the weekly chart, the situation is critical, as TSLA is on the verge of triggering a Descending Triangle chart pattern downwards;
• What’s more, the last two candlesticks hit the 21 ema as a resistance as well. This reinforces our idea that it could hit 146;
• In order to avoid this bearish scenario, TSLA would need to react as soon as possible, and trigger an extremely powerful bullish reversal pattern – so far, there’s no such sign;
• I’ll keep you guys updated on this, as usual.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
NVDA: What If It Corrects?• NVDA is clearly bullish, as it is doing higher highs/lows, trading above the 21 ema, and the ema is pointing upwards;
• However, it appears it is doing a top sign today, which is acceptable (last month it did many top signals);
• The previous top level at $275.89 is supposed to work as a support, and if NVDA closes under this key point today, it might start another pullback to the 21 ema area;
• The 21 ema is close to the previous support at $258.50, and only if NVDA loses this key point, we might see a sharper correction in the weekly chart, possibily to the 21 ema:
• I’ll keep you updated on this.
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NVDA: Bullish, But Be Aware of These Patterns.• NVDA is about to retest the previous top at $275.89, after a quick correction to the $258.50;
• NVDA is in a very strong bull trend, and the last correction couldn’t even hit the 21 ema in the daily chart;
• By breaking the resistance at $275.89, NVDA would trigger another bullish pivot point, reinforcing the bullish bias. Its next target is the $289.46, which is better seen in the weekly chart;
• However, it is important for NVDA to break the $275.89 as soon as possible, as if it does a top sign in this area, the market may see a Double Top – we discussed this possibility last week, in our last analysis (the link is below this post, as usual). If it loses the $258.50 (previous bottom), then it’ll give another confirmation sign of a bearish reversal.
• In the weekly chart, we see that NVDA reversed the bear market by doing an upwards breakout from its Descending Channel, and it triggered an IH&S chart pattern;
• The $289.46 is a previous top from March 2022, and it is a technical resistance for us now. It appears NVDA wants to hit this target. So far, there’s no top sign nor bearish reversal structures;
• In theory, a pullback before it hits its target would be normal, as pullbacks after the breakout of the neckline of an IH&S occur 65% of the time (Bulkowski, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns);
• If NVDA triggers a sharp correction in the weekly chart, I see it retesting its 21 ema next;
• I’ll keep you updated on this, as usual.
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NVDA: Incredibly Bullish!• NVDA is very bullish, and it seems it wants to hit its next resistance at $289;
• As seen in the weekly chart, there’s no top sign nor weakness signs indicating that it could correct from here;
• What’s more, NVDA triggered an IH&S chart pattern in January, and it did an upwards breakout from the Descending Channel (purple lines) it was trapped inside;
• Could NVDA correct from here? Yes, and a pullback to its 21 ema would be acceptable, as the last time we hit it was a couple of months ago. However, in order for a pullback to materialize, we must see a reversal pattern in the daily chart:
• In the daily chart we see nothing but a series of higher highs/lows, above the 21 ema – An incredibly strong bull trend;
• We would need to see a clear bearish structure, like a lower high/low, a top/reversal chart pattern like a Double Top, H&S, etc. So far, there isn’t any meaningful bearish sign;
• In this scenario, NVDA could trigger a sharper correction, and maybe even fill the gap at $210 (which is very close to the 21 ema in the weekly chart, by the way);
• However, even if NVDA does a correction of this magnitude, it wouldn’t ruin the bull trend seen in the weekly chart, only in the daily chart;
• I’ll keep you updated on this.
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NIO: The Most Important Support is Here! 👇• NIO is still in a long-term bear trend, however, it is doing an important reaction this week;
• It is confirming a bottom sign, just above the support at $9.40 (Support in Oct 2022, and Gap from Jul 2020);
• Only if it loses the $9.40 I see NIO seeking the purple line below the price, maybe even the $5.70 (Jan 2020 top level);
• However, the recent reaction might jeopardize a bearish sentiment, at least for now. It all depends on how it’ll react in the daily chart:
• Yes, NIO triggered a Bearish Flag, and as far as I know, it is just doing a pullback to the lower purple line again, before another drop;
• If NIO enters the Flag area again, and does a clear bullish structure, it’ll most likely frustrate this bearish pattern, and seek the next resistance in the weekly chart, which could be either the 21 ema or the upper trend line;
• Either way, NIO looks promising. I’ll keep you updated on this.
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NIO: Triggered our Bearish Flag! 🐻 What to expect next?• NIO triggered our Bearish Flag chart pattern, indicating a continuation of the bearish sentiment;
• We studied this scenario in our previous public analysis on NIO – link below this post;
• In the daily chart, the 21 ema is working as a resistance, and it is pointing down, which reinforces the idea of a bearish sentiment;
• What’s the next technical support level for NIO? The purple trend line in the weekly chart. Below that point, the $5.70;
• Could NIO react from here? Yes, and if it is about to react, the timing couldn’t be better. NIO is near the weekly support at $9.40 (black line, weekly chart), and any bottom sign would indicate a possible bounce to the 21 ema again. However, there's not a single bullish sign on NIO yet;
• I’ll keep you updated on this.
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ETH DominanceHi all,
How many of you pay attention to ETH Dominance?
The dominance level is above 21 WEMA.
It was ranging more than 1 year between some levels.
Now, before ETH 2.0 merge is looking bullish and trying to break out.
Last year, between these levels we saw an altcoin season.
Let's see how it plays this month, which for the last 2 years, august was bullish.
SHIB: Doing some good movements!Hey guys, this is Julie 😄
Let’s talk about SHIBA INU today:
SHIB is in an important region today, it has just reached the 21 EMA on the daily and weekly chart, which means that something good might happen soon.
SHIB has been falling since October, but it seems to have only been a pullback to the support level, which coincides with the 21 EMA.
On the hourly chart, we have an amazing bull trend, but I'm not sure we can trust it yet (unfortunately, I can't show the chart image).
We've seen SHIB doing this before, as you can see in that pink circle: the price closed above the 21 EMA, but the next candle formed a bear engulfing, and the price fell again.
So, because of that, I would wait to buy SHIB. It would be nice if it closes above this green line today, but I'd rather wait and see what will happen tomorrow.
And that's it for today. Thanks for reading my analysis! Please, support me with your like and subscription! 😊
Have a nice day! 😉
Is is time to BUY AXIE?Hey guys, this is Julie =D
Let's take a look on Axie Infinity today?
First let's talk about the weekly chart -
On the weekly chart, Axie is in a clear Bull Trend, it has made nice higher highs and higher lows, and now it is at a very good level: the price has just corrected to the 21 EMA, which is the same price it was in August (purple line), making a good resistance level.
(I would put the weekly chart image here, but I can't, sorry)
We don't have a confirmation yet, but it would be a great time to buy Axie, I would just wait for something like a Bullish Pivot on the daily chart.
Daily chart:
Have you noticed that Axie sometimes makes this rectangle and then blows up? I think this might be the case again.
Some people may also see a head and shoulders pattern in this last rectangle, but I think it is too big to be that. Also, Axie has done this before and it wasn't triggered, so I don't believe it is a head and shoulders pattern.
It also has this resistance (orange line) holding Axie at this level.
I'm out of Axie right now, but with a good confirmation, I would buy it. I would just wait to see if these resistance levels will not be lost.
Thanks for reading my analysis 🥰
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Have a great weekend!