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3333

#ETH - thoughts out loud №1Good evening from Ukraine! Dear colleagues, I am sincerely pleased to welcome you, thank you for reading my vision of the current situation. To put it briefly, we need to shake things up in order to continue moving upward. And no one is interested in this, because professional market operators do not even know about your existence. Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success. Sometimes you win /sometimes you learn . - thoughts out loud - thoughts out loud - thoughts out loud BINANCE:ETHUSDT
by WVitalievich
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #13Good evening, we are from Ukraine! Dear colleagues, I am glad to welcome you! I like the situation with this instrument because it is schematically similar to the distribution phase, but there is one thing: the distribution is false and a significant markup of up to 35,000 is likely to be expected in the near future. I may be wrong, but this is my subjective vision, my thoughts out loud. It's also worth keeping a short-case scenario in mind. Good luck to everyone, all the best. Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success. Sometimes you win/sometimes you learn. #Bitcoin
Long
by WVitalievich
GBPAUD (LONG) STORYTIME ;)1. Imbalance (High Side Target) 2. Golden Pocket Area (High Side Target) 3. Confluence (1+2) 3. Imbalance (Low Side Target) 4. Golden Pocket Area (Low Side Target) 5. Equal Lows (Low Side Target) 6. Confluence (3+4+5) Targets Line up 7. Bullish Market Structure Price goes to wherever the most liquidity is, There is liquidity when you see equal lows / Highs. Liquidity is also found in imbalances in the market, They essentially act like magnets for price when two or more liquidity points line up its called confluence. When confluence aligns with the 71 - 78% discounted price levels you can expect a reaction, these reactions tell a story. Why would the price keep going up, well we Identified here that we are bullish on the pair so it gonna keep moving up naturally. While it goes up there it can create imbalances and pockets of money that are like magnets for price. So where is price going ? Well first it's gonna hit/fill a target before moving to the next one. One target that I found is a pretty solid one is around 1.892 - 1.895. There is where the 71 - 78% golden pocket entry, Which all that means is from the previous high to the most recent low price is at a 70% discount for sellers which is the prime area of major players. This aligns with Imbalance which makes confluence. Two Potential Scenarios Price continues up fills the upside targets and retreats back down to downside targets before making next high Price moves towards low-side targets and then pushes up to make next high I believe were going to see is a move up and then sweeps the lows, so thats what Im gonna publish
Long
by jonathancarlucci
Chinese Real Estate -8% TodayJust FYI, an equally price-weighted basket of large Chinese real estate companies is down 8% today. Rumor is going around lots of companies in this sector are not paying interest payments and are on the verge of default. Maybe it could spill over into global markets? Dare I say it could be an outbreak in the market flu? These companies are much larger than Enron. Evergrande (HKEX:3333) by itself has 120,000 employees, about 6 times as many as Enron had. Maybe something to think about. Here is the symbol if you want to view it yourself: '1918'/2.912+'0960'/2.862+'2202'/2.623+'2777'/1.112+'3333'/1.527+'2007' I hope this was somehow useful. Good luck and don't forget to hedge your bets!
HKEX:1918
by fringe_chartist
8
EverGrande (3333/EGRNF) - a possible Christmas present!Evergrande is mostly being discussed only in a relation to the fall of Alibaba, or the rise of JD.com or changes in the Chinese economy. However, somehow it doesn't ring the bell that when such a Chinese giant falls, and eventually doesn't seem to go bankrupt, that it's a possible golden mine for the future. Currently EGRNF (which is a US equivalent of 3333) is being traded at 0.33$/st., while in the old good times it was reaching in a peak 3.5+$/st. (or 2.73 HKD vs 30 HKD) - meaning x10 times the value of current price. In other words, if Evergrande will eventually will not go bankrupt, it will recover. Especially considering the policies of the Chinese government which is very busy with maximizing own sustainablity and financial growth. Evengrande in a current state seems as a golden mine, which is somehow currently overlooked by the crowds. There is a challenge though. which I came across, seeing that some European banks are not willing to allow trading this stock. It is visible in the trading system as active, but there is no way to purchase it. Quite frustrating, not being able to purchase this stock on such a great opportunity. Current trend: It seems quite far at the moment from the 4.50 HKD level, therefore it may yet return to the 2.50 HKD. The moment it will confidently pass 4.50 HKD, it will most likely be a sign of coming back from dead, and from that moment it may pick up quite rapidly.
HKEX:3333
by inducto
Credit - The Second Wave - EvergrandeIdea for Credit: - Stocks had a bit of a reprieve as China's collapsing property firms were halted for 2 weeks, and China's markets had gone on holiday for Golden week. - Stock market had an unwinding of hedges last week, but are things really 'Back to Normal'? - The bond market does not think so, and seems to be presaging more drawdown to come. - EM High Yield has been in capitulation, while US Corporate bonds and HY are accelerating their declines. - High Yield Spreads are about to breakout. - This is a problem that has not simply gone away, but rather will only get worse. - Nikkei had even erased all losses of the year in 2 weeks, then lost them again in 2 weeks more, to continue its bear market: - Remains to be seen how far-reaching the effects will be on China's 5T property market. The drag on global property market is real: More to come on that later. The stock market has its best days in bear markets as volatility increases, and this is really telling of the situation. I think we are already in a global bear market and recession. 110 1911 222 GLHF - DPT
AMEX:LQDShort
by UnknownUnicorn1043646
1
Evergrande: A DiscussionConcerns Investors May Have: China is said to contain more of the world's real estate assets than any other country. Therefore one concern is the potential impact a possible default may cause to international property markets. Consumer confidence in real estate investments could reduce and perhaps lower property demand, potentially reducing real estate prices. Should this occur to a great extent, pre-existing property loans could outvalue the revaluation of the real estate asset. This potential major contrast between loans outvaluing the associated properties could collapse some banks internationally. A possible mass sell-off of property globally by investors and banks could burst the property bubble. Another concern is investors could forfeit involvement in companies offering similar services. There ore other confounding factors involving the current pandemic, employment, inflation and among others. Thank you for reading. Please share your thoughts. Do you believe this company could be bailed-out or would other companies in a similar position expect similar treatment? ---- Disclaimer: This does not constitute any form of advice including legal, financial or investment advice and should not be construed or relied on as such. Always seek advice from a qualified and registered legal practitioner or financial or investment adviser. Information presented is for entertainment purposes only.
HKEX:3333
by calculations
Is Evergrande the next Lehman Brothers ??China`s economic model is based on real estate investment to drive growth. 20 Mil apartment buildings per year. China`s residential property is 20% of GDP every year. Too much! Real estate activities in China close to 30% of GDP every year. Huge! Chinese Government is Bashing the private sector, look at GOTU and BABA for example. Evergrande, second largest property developer in China has more than $300 billion in debt! Evergrande has $83.5 million interest payment Sept. 23 and a $42.5 million payment on Sept. 29 Failure to to pay in 30 days can put Evergrande in default. Today Evergrande has a Market Cap of 30.099B! At its peak, Evergrande was traded 13.5X higher! Evergrande’s potential debt blowup can send shock waves through financial markets! Today was just the beginning.
HKEX:3333Short
by TopgOptions
11
Volatility - Do Not Resuscitate - Evergrande (VIXplosion)Idea for Macro: - Free money is cut off at the source. China Credit Impulse turned negative > Evergrande is first to fall > Overseas investments downsized > widespread effects. - China was the only productive economy in 2020 > driver of global economy (60% importer of oil). - CN30Y is closely correlated to CCI > leads US30Y > leads US risk assets. - Chinese Central Bank POC draining liquidity from the system (Injects 10 bn yuan via RRP while 30 bn yuan expires). - China HY leads down > US HY/Junk goes down > NDX goes down: - Currency showing strength: When you see currencies, bonds, and equities rising together, it means normal correlations have fallen apart. Typical before a crash/crisis type event. CCI is the leading indicator. Will see a VIXplosion. GLHF - DPT
HKEX:3333Short
by UnknownUnicorn1043646
4