GOOG is in an early reversalGOOG with its dominant search engine, YouTube, Maps and other apps besides cloud services
is a revenue gisnt. On the daily chart, it has had a respectable 40% YTD . However, I see signs
of a reversal. Added to the chart are the anchored VWAP bands beginning from the earnings of
November 2022. Price is in the neighborhood of 3 standard deviations from the mean. This is an
area where institutional and professional traders like to sell and earn their profits. Several
recent candles had wicks beyond that third standard deviation line. The candle stick analysis
is that of a " 3 bar play" - in this case, a green candle then a Doji candle suggesting indecision
and finally, a red candle documenting the change in direction. The ADX indicator shows
the weakening of trend directional strength topping out and then decreasing. The POC line
of the long-term volume profile is about the same level as the mean VWAP line. That is to
say, there is congruence there and so a very strong buying zone with high volatility
Overall I will take a short trade in 20 shares of GOOG with a stop loss at 129 and take a profit
of half at 106 ( above the POC line) and the other half at half at 103 ( near VWAP) using a sell-
stop order when the price crosses $ 0.25 below market to assure the direction
validation. If the trade goes in my direction to the target I expect a R0! of 15- 18% overall.
IF you want to know my idea of a good option trade leave a comment. IF you take a short
trade on the stock, I wish you the best of luck in your trade. I will adjust
stop loss down to the entry price when the stock price goes under 120 to make the
trade risk-free and then decrease the stop loss price by 4.50 upon market of 115. When
the market goes under 110, I'll change the stop loss to a trailing loss of 2 % and when it goes
under 108 change the trailing loss to 1% as alerted by alerts on the price that I have setup
to minimize screen time in trade management .
3barplay
AMD: Long Idea, 3Bar Play AMD: Continuation on 390m horizon. 3 Bar play identified with breakout of opening range. Acceptance has now moved PA over key levels w/o/w since establishing new character out of April 24, 2023. >102.43 revisits July/MAR 2022 auction// Beta: 1.91%, ATR: 4.12, IV: 48.32%// Bias: Risk on// Price at time of publish: 101.53
Watchlist 2023-02-23 #TDOC #BBWI #HD #TGNA #NVDA #BABA SPY - as I mentioned the prior day, the selling did not stop. SPY rejected the 400.30 level twice yesterday and ended the day with the final flush down to 397. Gapping up this morning on light vol, if we can hold the 400.30 level , we could see a grind higher to 402, and maybe 404. Expect multi rejects off those levels as we haven't made a significant short-term daily bottom by any means.
Short Watches:
TDOC - EPS miss, while fiscal 2023 revenue estimate misses consensus. Below the 200 EMA, falling 9/21 EMA. Below 28.38 pivot. Roo, to 25.81 (be aware of the high vol node at 27). Down 0.70 ATRs on 1.5 RVOL. Decent setup in this bearish environment, no pivots to hold this up immediately off the open
BBWI - slides premarket after earnings beat is offset by soft guidance. Down a.5 ATRs, RVOL of 2.5 (both great). Gapping below the 39.60 key pivot into a new range. Clear signs of rejection higher with a suto- H&S, and reversal green bar, below the 200 EMA and downward trending 9.21 EMA. A+ setup with room to 35. Needs a particularly strong day as ATR is 1.7
HD - continuation from 2 days ago strong selling. Forming an daily 3 bar play. 295 key level to break for downside momo.
Long Watches:
NVDA - Bullish fakeout below 207 to flush out early longs and add shorts. key level 232.85.Needs to hold this level for a long.
Other watches:
BABA - reported lackluster growth for Q4 earnings. VERY key level is the 200EMA coinciding with the 1000 price level. A failure or reclaim of this level could bode for a position in either direction - keep on watchlist.
TGN, PANW
I focus on names trading elevate RVOL>2, trading past key ranges and pivots, preferably with news catalysts.
Yellow = Support
Purple = Resistance
Red = short opportunity
Green= long opportunity