GBPUSD Post Trade Analysis 2024-01-29 : Valid LossGBPUSD Post Trade Analysis
2024-01-29
*Loss*
1. Valid risk entry loss for a valid loss
A. Entry Valid
B. Point of Interest Valid - 4H A.3
C. Valid Exit
2.What can I improve ?
A.
- I can input trade concept into Edgewonk Advance Journal Section.
- I can add all info, pre trade screenshots, fundamental news
- I can improved my fundamental analysis
- First Mitigation Failed - will track and possible add no first mitigation to trade plan
What would be my entry model Price Levels ?
1. Entry Price : 1.26750
2. Stop Loss : 1.26450
3. Take Profit : 1.27200
Could I take this Trade ?
- Would set alert and have 1 hour to place trade
- Valid Entry and Win
Lessons
- First mitigation is lower probability and Entry Model is a more valid Trade
4h
24-01-26 EURUSD Long Entry - Trade Management 24-01-26
EURUSD Long Entry
Trade Management Price Levels
A. Move Stop loss to a take profit support level on a lower time frame
Price: 1.08450
Locked In Risk to reward:
+ 0.25 % Going to the weekend
* Left a bit of breathing room for spreads for sunday opening and to cover my risk if any large news happens this weekend *
Signal Price Info
Entry Price: 1.08350
Stop Loss Price : 1.07950/ 40 Pips
Take Profit: 1.08950/ 60 Pips
Risk To Reward : 1 for 1.5
Trade Grade: A-
24-01-24 AUDUSD Long Entry Signal on 4H Chart 24-01-24
AUDUSD Long Entry on 4H Chart
Entry Price: 0.65700
Stop Loss Price : 0.65300 / 40 Pips
Take Profit: 0.66300 / 60 Pips
Risk To Reward : 1 for 1.5
Trade Grade: b +
CONS:
- Momentum more bearish + upside down v-shape (price usually likes to continued in the 2nd leg) of the V)
PROS:
- The price levels have made a solid support zone
- Could be lots of Buy Side Liquidity in the stop loss area
- For every Buy order there needs to be a sell order
A. this is critical for the trade due to the potential shift in the market to bullish
B. The lows have a higher probability to hold due to large Central Banks, Hedge Funds , ETC wanting to hold the lows. So they can buy against the trend to fluid enough liquidity
C. They might Induce market participates into selling in order to produce enough liquidity to cause a bullish leg of momentum to the upside.
D. I accept the risk and I will place a pending order.
Main Goal:
-Increase Win Rate this Quarter. Currently at 44%-
I have Placed a pending order. If anyone needs ideas with trade management please leave a comment.
EURUSD - Update Jan 23rd #1 Short Trade Update Jan 23rd
#1 Short Playbook 4H C.3
No Huge Fundamental News
Trade Data: Entry
Entry Price: 1.08842
Exit Take Profit: 1.08162 or 68 Pips
Stop Loss: 1.09242 or 40 Pips
Trade Management
Step 1: Reduce Risk
Once a old low was broken I moved my stop loss to follow the trend.
Reduced Price: 1.09192
Pips : 5 PIPS
Percentage Reduced: 0.05
Open Risk On trade from original: 0.95 %
Take Profit 1:
Take Profit: 1.08826 / Breakeven
Percentage Gain: Trade at breakeven locked in with a stop loss in place
*See Previous Analysis for more trade data*
1. Currently price is moving down with momentum and I am waiting for a higher Probability Trade Entry Scale In or to move my Take Profit for more percentage gain on trade once the lows are broken
2. Waiting for the price action to show its hand.
Update GBPUSD: 4H Long Signal - 24-01-20 Long Set-up 4H A.2Update
GBPUSD: 4H Long Signal - 24-01-20
Long Set-up 4H A.2
Entry Price: 1.26650
Take Profit: 1.27250 60 pips
Stop Loss: 1.26350 30 pips
Risk to Reward: 1:2
Trade Notes:
-I didn't place swing trade due to being stuck at work
(Improvements- Set Email Alert so I can quickly analysis current Market Conditions to place trade)
1.
Trade Entry: Risk Entry (Pending Order with previous price entries)
-Current Max Downdraw: 4 pips then impulsed upward with 2 momentum 4h candles
- Using 15m Market Structure would be a locked in 0.42% take profit stop loss going into monday session
- I would likely drop that level to 0.2% take profit stop loss - to give the trade a bit of breathing room for sunday opening session
2.
Trade Entry Management: Confirmation Entry On Lower Time Frame
Entry Price: 1.26694
Potential Take Profit : 1.27114 / 3.5% gain for 1% risk
Stop Loss: 1.26574 / 12 pips from entry
Trend Following Risk Management Strategy:
Take Profit Following Market Structure:
Take Profit Stop Loss Price: 1.26776
(Locked In percentage gain 0.68% )
3. Scale In Trade Price Levels:
Since all risk is off the table I will scale into the trade... Let the winners ride and let the losers go
Potential Trade ideas:
(Using Lower time Frame Confirmation Entry Model)
Steps
1. I would wait to see how the market reacts to opening hours
2. I would look at fundamental upcoming news (helps with directional bias of the trade)
3. If those two items match up with the trade concept then I would place trade
Entry Price: 1.26920
Take Profit: 1.27160 / 2% gain / 24 PIPS
Stop Loss: 1.26800 / 1% risk / 12 PIPS
If you got this fair then thank you for your time and support. If you want any more info or asset classes analysis please let me know. Safe trading and remember always use a stop loss and proper risk structure.
Update: EURUSD short 4h c.3 Trade 1 Short Playbook 4H C.3
Trade Idea 2
1. Price Has hit my area of value. I currently see no downward momentum. The fundamental news are also bullish.
CPI: Positive
2. I will wait for a confirmation liquidity model to present on a lower time frame before placing a short trade.
3. If that happens I will place my trade with a decent size stop loss.
4. If price fully mitigates this resistance zone then I will change my bias to long
Trade Idea 1:
Entry Price: 1.08842
Exit Take Profit: 1.08162 or 68 Pips
Stop Loss: 1.09242 or 40 Pips
EURUSD 4H Short Trade Signals Trade 1 Short Playbook 4H C.3
Entry Price: 1.08842
Exit Take Profit: 1.08162 or 68 Pips
Stop Loss: 1.09242 or 40 Pips
Trade 2 Short Playbook 4H C.2
Entry Price: 1.09500
Exit Take Profit: 1.08820
Stop Loss: 1.09900
Note: If Trade 1 fails take this trade 2
Also if price doesn't tag in then go lower. I will then transition for a long setup of the demand zone in discount
GBPUSD Long Set-up Signals Long Signal Trade
A.1 Set-up On the 4h chart
Entry Price: 1.26350
Stop Loss: 1.25850
Take Profit: 1.27200
Note: Alerts are for 2 long trades off previous zone.
Currently:
Trade 1: locked in with 0.14% Take Profit In Place
Trade 2: Open trade with 0.5% risk floating + waiting for a break of the alert to move to reduce risk.
EURUSD SELL SETUPFX:EURUSD
A break below 1.08940 Daily support has simultaneously broken bullish structure on the 1h, 4h and daily timeframes changing my bias to a bearish bias. a retest back to the 1.08940 area as daily resistance and a 4h bearish engulfing candlestick is enough confluence/confirmation to short EURUSD.
GBPCAD sell setupFX:GBPCAD
The weekly, 4h and 1h timeframes are bearish giving me a bearish bias. Price broke below 1.70666 4h/1h support area simultaneously breaking bullish structure of the 1h and 4h. I am waiting on a pullback to the 1.70666 area which will now be the resistance area to look for sells on gbpcad
gbpjpy bullish forecastFX:GBPJPY
The Weekly, Daily, and the 4H timeframes are moving in the same bullish direction meaning that we should be looking for buys. As we can see price moved to the upside and made a pullback after hitting the 185.113 weekly resistance area making a pullback. I will be looking to buy at the 184.222 daily support zone and entries will be based on rejections or bullish engulfing candlestick pattern.
NZDJPY BUY ANALYSISOANDA:NZDJPY Overall structure based on the weekly, daily, 4h and 1h is bullish with price having broken above the 90.500 daily resistance and retesting as 90.500 daily support with price also retracing at 38,2% Fibonacci retracement level at the same 90.500 daily support. The bullish engulfing candlestick on the 4h is an overall strong confirmation to go long on NZDJPY