4h
SasanSeifi 💁♂ Two Possible Scenarios for the 4-Hour TimeframeIn the 4-hour timeframe, as you can see, after correcting from the 1.11 range, the price is in a range of 1.095. Based on the behavior of the candles, the possibility of correcting the price to the range of 1.084 / 1.080 can be considered.
A scenario that we can consider in the 4-hour timeframe is that the price will be accompanied by a correction to the price range of 1.090 after ranging and confirmation. Then, if there is a pullback, it will again face more correction to the FAIR VALUE GAP and the order block range.
Also, another scenario that can be considered is as follows: After ranging and partial positive fluctuations from the price ranges of 1.10 / 1.10400, after collecting liquidity and confirmation, we will see the price rejected and corrected. In case of positive fluctuations, to better understand the continuation of the movement trend, we must see how the price reacts to the resistance ranges.
Potential trends and support and resistance ranges are also shown in the image above, respectively.
🔵Remember, always conduct your analysis and consider other factors before making any trading decisions. Good luck!"✌️
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GBPUSD SELL IDEAFX:GBPUSD
The weekly, daily and 4h are overall bearish, with price having retraced to the Daily key resistance area in confluence with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. entry is based on the 1h bearish engulfing candlestick at daily resistance and also a break of bullish countertrend, retest and bearish engulfing candlestick structure on the 15 min and 30 min timeframes
EURJPY BUY IDEAFX:EURJPY
The weekly, daily are overall bullish; On the 1h price managed to break its bearish structure at the daily low pushing up and breaking above the 1h key support/resistance level and price making a retest as support the 1h key support/resistance area/zone. Entry is based on the 1h bullish engulfing candlestick at the 1h key support/resistance area/zone
24-01-30 update AUDUSD Long Entry: Trade Management 24-01-30 update
AUDUSD Long Entry
Entry Price: 0.65700
Stop Loss Price : 0.65300 / 40 Pips
Take Profit: 0.66300 / 60 Pips
Risk To Reward : 1 for 1.5
Trade Grade: b +
-Tagged into trade at same price levels above
* Trade Management*
A. Risk entry (pending order)
B. Take Profit at levels above
B2: I might scale the risk off if the market trends in the direction of the trade. Cut losses quickly and let the winners ride is a big part of my trading style
If anyone wants to know when I reduce risk please message me
EURUSD Short Trade 24-01-29: Trade Signal EURUSD Short Trade
24-01-29
*Trade Price Levels*
1. Risk Entry (Pending Order)
Pending Order Price : 1.08700
Stop Loss Price : 1.09100
Take Profit : 1.08100
Risk to Reward Potential
-1 units of risk for 1.5 units of gain
-Note: Needs a win rate or 41% or above to be a profitable trader
-Will Track Feb Signal Win Rate
A. Will track risk entry win rate and confirmation entry model win rate
B. Based on data that will determine risk profile for Prop Firm Funding (More Aggressive Risk Profile)
Cons For Trade
A. Price is in the discount of the swing range
(should sell from premium and long from discount)
B. Price could use the demand zone from the daily to drive (hawkish) Price through zone above making higher highs and lower lows
C. Price broke key price level of 1.0800 (more neutral)
Pros
A. Double zone supply zone coverage with stop loss being big enough to let the trade breathe a bit
B. The first Mitigation of a zone often fails leading to price moving up and then going deeping (bearish) towards the strong swing structure below
C. The overall trend is more bearish than bullish
Fundamental Drivers
A. Price Broke 7 week low of 1.0800
B. Central Bank rates remained unchanged
C. President Lagarde is more dovish than hawkish
GBPUSD Post Trade Analysis 2024-01-29 : Valid LossGBPUSD Post Trade Analysis
2024-01-29
*Loss*
1. Valid risk entry loss for a valid loss
A. Entry Valid
B. Point of Interest Valid - 4H A.3
C. Valid Exit
2.What can I improve ?
A.
- I can input trade concept into Edgewonk Advance Journal Section.
- I can add all info, pre trade screenshots, fundamental news
- I can improved my fundamental analysis
- First Mitigation Failed - will track and possible add no first mitigation to trade plan
What would be my entry model Price Levels ?
1. Entry Price : 1.26750
2. Stop Loss : 1.26450
3. Take Profit : 1.27200
Could I take this Trade ?
- Would set alert and have 1 hour to place trade
- Valid Entry and Win
Lessons
- First mitigation is lower probability and Entry Model is a more valid Trade
24-01-26 EURUSD Long Entry - Trade Management 24-01-26
EURUSD Long Entry
Trade Management Price Levels
A. Move Stop loss to a take profit support level on a lower time frame
Price: 1.08450
Locked In Risk to reward:
+ 0.25 % Going to the weekend
* Left a bit of breathing room for spreads for sunday opening and to cover my risk if any large news happens this weekend *
Signal Price Info
Entry Price: 1.08350
Stop Loss Price : 1.07950/ 40 Pips
Take Profit: 1.08950/ 60 Pips
Risk To Reward : 1 for 1.5
Trade Grade: A-
24-01-24 AUDUSD Long Entry Signal on 4H Chart 24-01-24
AUDUSD Long Entry on 4H Chart
Entry Price: 0.65700
Stop Loss Price : 0.65300 / 40 Pips
Take Profit: 0.66300 / 60 Pips
Risk To Reward : 1 for 1.5
Trade Grade: b +
CONS:
- Momentum more bearish + upside down v-shape (price usually likes to continued in the 2nd leg) of the V)
PROS:
- The price levels have made a solid support zone
- Could be lots of Buy Side Liquidity in the stop loss area
- For every Buy order there needs to be a sell order
A. this is critical for the trade due to the potential shift in the market to bullish
B. The lows have a higher probability to hold due to large Central Banks, Hedge Funds , ETC wanting to hold the lows. So they can buy against the trend to fluid enough liquidity
C. They might Induce market participates into selling in order to produce enough liquidity to cause a bullish leg of momentum to the upside.
D. I accept the risk and I will place a pending order.
Main Goal:
-Increase Win Rate this Quarter. Currently at 44%-
I have Placed a pending order. If anyone needs ideas with trade management please leave a comment.
EURUSD - Update Jan 23rd #1 Short Trade Update Jan 23rd
#1 Short Playbook 4H C.3
No Huge Fundamental News
Trade Data: Entry
Entry Price: 1.08842
Exit Take Profit: 1.08162 or 68 Pips
Stop Loss: 1.09242 or 40 Pips
Trade Management
Step 1: Reduce Risk
Once a old low was broken I moved my stop loss to follow the trend.
Reduced Price: 1.09192
Pips : 5 PIPS
Percentage Reduced: 0.05
Open Risk On trade from original: 0.95 %
Take Profit 1:
Take Profit: 1.08826 / Breakeven
Percentage Gain: Trade at breakeven locked in with a stop loss in place
*See Previous Analysis for more trade data*
1. Currently price is moving down with momentum and I am waiting for a higher Probability Trade Entry Scale In or to move my Take Profit for more percentage gain on trade once the lows are broken
2. Waiting for the price action to show its hand.