BTC:USD 4 hour chart DAILY UPDATE (day 75)This morning we broke out of my no trade zone. Unfortunately it was to the downside! Breaking through $9,000 support has changed me from bullish to neutral. Nevertheless I strongly expect a bounce in the next 12- 24 hours.
We fell $400 (4.44%) in four hours and $700 (7.5%) in the last sixteen hours. Furthermore we have not see the price this far below the 12 & 26 day EMA’s since the $5900 bottom on 2-6.
Being that far out of equilibrium could provide a good opportunity to take a scalp. I am long from $8,600 with a target of $8,950. If I was bullish then I would be looking for a higher target. Since my overall position is neutral I will be exiting at the first level of resistance.
Happy trading and let’s go bulls!
4hchart
BTC:USD 4 hour chart DAILY UPDATE (day 69)Yesterday I was fully bullish and laid out a couple potential entries. I am very happy to see the most bullish scenario shaping up. We were able to breakthrough the 0.618 fib and $9,800 resistance much quicker than I expected.
That also broke the neckline of the inverse h&s and provided an opportunity to buy the breakout. I started with entering 20% of my position at $9,853 and then waited for further confirmation. The volume is the one of the last reasons for hesitation imo.
I was expected much more volume on the breakout and so far it has been fairly unimpressive. The OBV makes me feel better as it continues to make local highs and follow the price without any major divergences.
I left an open order at $9,550 before going to sleep and to my surprise I got the fill! Now I have entered 50% of my overall position and have two open orders on the books.
One order is to buy the breakout of $10,000. It is set to trigger once the price gets above $10,176. I set it a little higher than $10,000 to try and avoid any bull trap. The other order is set at $9,751 in case there is another quick pull back.
The stop loss is still a shade under $9,000. The profit target for the h&s is $12,750 which is also where we will see resistance from the 0.786 fib.
Happy trading and go bulls!
BTC:USD 4 hour chart DAILY UPDATE (day 68)Yesterday I was very happy to see Bitcoin break out of the triangle in convincing fashion. I updated the post in the afternoon and said that I expected resistance from $9,700 - $9,800 where the 0.618 fib line was waiting.
I exited my margin long and am currently looking to re enter. I just drew the blue dotted trendline, and that illustrates one of the two options that I am planning for.
The most bullish would be continued support above $9,500 and a sideways move towards the blue dotted line.
The slightly less bullish option would be a healthy pullback to $9,200. That would retest the triangle that we broke out of as well as turning prior resistance into support.
I have orders set to buy in both of those areas and will be sticking with a stop loss just shy of $9,000.
If we breakthrough $9,800 before drawing down to the target entries then buying the breakout is valid. That would confirm the longer term cup & handle and/or inverse head and shoulders that has been forming since March. Price target for c&h is $12,825.
Happy trading and smash the follow...it’s free!
BTC:USD 4 hour chart DAILY UPDATE (day 61)On April 26th I drew the dotted line down to $9,000 and explained that I need that area to prove itself as support before I would consider entering another long. Yesterday we saw the price dip down to $8,900 before quickly reversing.
At that point I saw two options:
Range for 3-5 days from $8,900 - $9,300
Create a higher high, and go for a $9,650 retest
We are currently breaking through resistance and are on track for option B. That is great news and has put me on red alert for the next entry.
Right now my gameplan is to wait and see how this rally plays out.I would like to see us break through $9,300 in a convincing manner and then create another higher low. I expect the current rally to take us back up to $9,650 - $9,750 where resistance will be waiting and then I expect a pullback.
If that pullback finds support above prior resistance and creates a higher low then it will be time to build a long. If all goes according to plan then I will be entering from $9,300 to $9,500.
With the price currently trading at $9,300 you may be wondering why not enter right now…
My trading style is not concerned with getting the best price, all that matters to me is taking on the least amount of risk. More confirmations and patience almost always add up to less risk.
Comment if you have something to say. Smash the like if this was helpful and definitely finger that follow!
US Dollar Currency Index Possible Bearish Bat FormationIt seems there may be a Harmonic Bearish Bat forming on the DXY (TVC) with the 4Hourly and Daily Charts
Currently the DXY is in bearish trend however TDI has completed a very small Sharkfin out of the water but no blood in the water as yet and TDI shows close proximity to oversold position, therefore we 'could' see a confirmation of this Harmonic Pattern/Bat, if price action reaches the confirmation area. Support and Resistance areas have been marked, therefore the SL would be positioned above resistance should a SHORT be taken for the 2x Harmonic Targets.
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DISCLAIMER: This chart is for sharing and educational purposes only and is not intended to be a signal service or similar.
This chart analysis is only provided as my own opinion, based on my own analysis and comes with absolutely no warranty that this analysis is correct, whatsoever. Do not trade this chart if you do not have your own strategy. Trade only with your own strategy at your own risk. Plan your trade and trade your plan... and IF in doubt, stay out.
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