Weekly Predictions (Feb 25 - Mar 1)- Reversal candlestick pattern suggesting beginning of a downtrend after pair came from a sustained uptrend, made new yearly highs and had double confirmation of being overbought on the Stochastic Oscillator and RSI
- Wait for break and retest of previous resistance, now turned support and EMA (25, close) on the downside
4hrchart
Extremely pivotal moment for bitcoin could signal bearmarket endIf we can break up from bitcoin's current 4hr bull pennant, the breakout target shown here is around 4350 or so....which would also allow us to hit the green falling wedges breakout target shown here as well. Much more important than either of those targets however is if we can at least get enough momentum from a bullish break of the bull pennant to lift price action above the lavender horizontal trendline at $4117. Why is this line so pivotal? Because if we can reach above it we will for the first time since near the beginning of the bear market form our first higher high on the 1 day chart. That would signal that we may finally be starting to see exchange in the overall market trend from bearish to at the very least more sideways...we could of course hit that higher high and still follow it up with a lower low if the rejection at the top descending dotted white trendline is powerful enough...if we were to then follow it up with a 1 day lower low, that would almost certainly become our capitulation candle(unless we already had capitulation back in late December at 3.1k). Also if we were to follow the daily higher higher with a lower low, even though bears would then still be in control we would very likely have another higher high after that lower low since it would likely be a bounce up from capitulation and from there we could expect a higher low and a subsequent higher high after the higher low on the daily. Once we can complete a consecutive higher high/higher low/higher high sequence on the daily chart I will then be confident the bottom is indeed in. However we could also bart down here instead of breaking up from the bull flag and simply continue our never ending bearmarket series of lower highs on the 1 day chart....if so the bottom may not be in for some time. So for now though this is a very pivotal moment for btc...especially if we can break up from the current 4hr bullpennant. 4hr stochrsi looks like it wants to go up but the daily stochrsi looks like it wants to head downward so who knows it could break up hit the target and then have a big retracement...if so as long as the breakup goes above 4117 that will be a very very good sign...even if we capitulate immediately after.
Possible GBP/CHF short position!!SMP TRADING
SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Chart time frame - H4
Timeframe - 1-2 days
Actions on -
A – Activating Event
Market will meet resistance in zone @1.31 - .... and fall to the @1.286. In order to enter, the pair MUST be in line with my Entry Procedure....
B – Beliefs
Market move towards the first Target 1 level @ 1.286
FX:GBPCHF
Trade Management
Entered @ Sign up for mentoring
Stop Loss @ Sign up for mentoring
Target 1 @ 1.286
Target 2 @ ....
Risk/Reward @ 3.1
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Tellurian LNG - Good short or longTELL is showing MACD cross on 4h and near on day. LNG gas prices ready for winter spike as prices have been down. Earnings still negative for Tellurian, but LNG is much better than coal and key is west coast distributions hubs for asia for growth vs CQG/LNG (Cheniere). Delivery on larger tankers also helping lower cost. $10 entry with another half as lower limit.
Let me know your energy thoughts. Anyone up on LENR investments to look at?
Post a like @Pokethebear (I'm not supposed to be here). Back to my real work at batman.
Possible EUR/JPY short position!!SMP TRADING
SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Chart time frame - H4
Timeframe - 1-2 days
Actions on -
A – Activating Event
Market will meet resistance in zone @125.44 - 125.74 and fall to the @ 124.4 In order to enter, the pair MUST be in line with my Entry Procedure....
B – Beliefs
Market move towards the first Target 1 level @ 124.4
FX:EURJPY
Trade Management
Entered @ Sign up for mentoring
Stop Loss @ Sign up for mentoring
Target 1 @ 124.4
Target 2 @ ....
Risk/Reward @ 3.1
Happy trading :)
Follow your Trading plan, remain disciplined and keep learning !!
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This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
Weekly Predictions (Feb 18 - 22)- Price neither oversold nor overbought
- Recent consolidation above EMA (25, close), price was unable to break on the downside
- Price is now at recent highs, could form a double top or break above zone
- Price would need to close above zone on the daily or 4-hr chart
Possible NZD/JPY Short position!!SMP TRADING
SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Chart time frame - H4
Timeframe - 1-2 days
Actions on -
A – Activating Event
Market will meet resistance in zone @75.87 - 76.50 and fall to the @ 74.5 In order to enter, the pair MUST be in line with my Entry Procedure....
B – Beliefs
Market move towards the first Target 1 level @ 74.5
FX:NZDJPY
Trade Management
Entered @ Sign up for mentoring
Stop Loss @ Sign up for mentoring
Target 1 @ 74.5
Target 2 @ ....
Risk/Reward @ 3.1
Happy trading :)
Follow your Trading plan, remain disciplined and keep learning !!
Join our Mentoring Program TODAY!! twitter.com
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This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
Siamese Falling Wedges & a 4 Hour Golden CrossWe can see we will likely be getting a 4hr golden cros on the 4hr chart roughly 2 hours from now on Bitstamp(shown here). A quick look on the Bitfinex chart(not shown here) shows me a 4hr golden cross has already occurred on that exchange which could be why we are already seeing 3 nice green candles in a row here.Of coure it could also be in anticipation for the golden cross as well. Other bullish elements include the current falling wedge we are in(in yellow). It is nearing its apex and we can also see that it is overlapping with another falling wedge(in white). This overlapping wedge effect I haven't seen talked about before but the term I'm coming up with for it is siamese falling wedge because they are kind of fused together. Currently the most valid of the 2 wedges I believe is the yellow wedge and it is exciting to see price action trying to break above it...unfortunately right at the top trendline of the yellow wedge we currently have the historically strong teal horizontal teal line overlapping the trendline and creating a double reinforced resistance. Ultimately the kind of patterns eventually resolve bullishly so I anticipate we will inevitably break upward here...the 4hr stochrsi ah plenty of room to go up. However, I now think the breakout target is gonna be more for the wedge than it is any kind of long poled bull flag so I don't believe we will be breaking out of the bigger wedge above it necessarily but I do believe we will at least test it and we will hopefully finally break above the 1 day charts 50 ma for a bit which has been incredibly powerful resistance for a long time. Whether or not we will be able to sustain priceaction above the 1 day 50ma and flip it to solidified support I will have to wait and see how things look once we get there. For now I am at least in the immediate and semi short term long. Just my position though not financial advice by anymeans. Thanks for reading!
Possible USD/CHF Long position!!SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Chart time frame - H4
Timeframe - 1-3 Days
Actions on -
A – Activating Event
Currency Pair breaking through resistance line and heading to next strong resistance line
B – Beliefs
Market move towards the first Target 1 level @ 1.01
OANDA:USDCHF
Trade Management
Entered @ Sign up for details
Stop Loss @ Sign up for details
Target 1 @ 1.01
Target 2 @
Risk/Reward @ 3.1
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Long AUD/CHFSELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Chart time frame - H4
Timeframe - 4 Hours
Actions on -
A – Activating Event
Currency Pair pushing off higher support line and breaking resistance line.
B – Beliefs
Market move towards the first Target 1 level @ 0.716
FX:AUDCHF
Trade Management
Entered @ Sign up for details
Stop Loss @ Sign up for details
Target 1 @ 0.716
Target 2 @
Risk/Reward @ 1.1
Happy trading :)
Follow your Trading plan, remain disciplined and keep learning !!
Please Follow, Like,Comment & Follow
Thank you for your support :)
This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!