5-wxy
AUD/NZD ShortFeb 16
A perfect sell setup for the pair. as the Russia ,Ukrain uncentainty ways on hi beta currencies , we expect it to have a very negative impact on the AUD and thus pressure the pair. The market structure has a perfect WXY pattern that makes the pair very attractive for the coming even. good trade manangement required.
EUR/CAD LongA nice low risk high reward trade of 1 200 pips. The EURO is expected to gain strenght after the shift in the monetory policy stance announced by the ECB. CAD hike expectations by the markets are over priced so we will se some unwinding. we expect the market to start the impulse upwards.
Difference between ABC and WXY Elliott Corrective WavesElliott Wave Principle , developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, proposes that the seemingly chaotic behaviour of the different financial markets isn’t actually chaotic. In fact the markets moves in predictable, repetitive cycles or waves and can be measured and forecast using Fibonacci numbers. Elliott wave predicts that the prices of the traded financial instrument will evolve in waves: five impulsive waves and three corrective waves.
This educational article aims to present only the difference between ABC and WXY corrective waves and will not cover other wave paterns (triangle corrective waves , or any of the impulsive (motive) wave structures)
Both ABC and WXY corrective waves are patterns made of 3 waves (swings) corrective structure and this similarity mostly confuses practitioners while labeling. The main difference between the two is in the internal subdivision of the waves (legs)
Each pattern has its own rules, where ABC could be
- a ZigZag patern that have 5-3-5 internal stracture
- a Flat (Regular, Running or Expanded Flat) patern that have 3-3-5 internal stracture
while WXY patern is made of 3-3-3 internal stracture. WXY is combination of two corrective patterns , hence often called as a double three or a double correction. Each wave W, X or Y could have almost any corrective structures (double three, triple three, zigzag, flat, triangle (wave W can’t be a triangle structure), or any complex combinations)
WXY is also know as 7 swing stracture even it is made of 3-3-3 internal swings, the X-wave is considered as a connector wave because it binds two corrective waves and is counted as 1, W and Y waves are counted as 3 and hence 7 swings
WXYXZ is combination of three corrective patterns, hence often called as a triple three, a triple correction or 11 swing, WXY rules applies also for WXYXZ
Tips :
An elliott wave practitioner in general may assume a trend continuation once an ABC correction is completed. In todays market complex corrections are more common than simple corrections, the markets are in a correction phase nearly %70-%80 of the time. Hence, once an ABC correction is completed a trend continuation failure must be considered in the trading plan and in fact, this failure is the main characteristic of the X-wave, a trend that has failed. Once X wave is completed another corrective structures is to be expected
live examples (not financial advice, just experimental analysis)
GOLD
BTC
Below is a link to Elliott Wave Oscillator study, where the "EWO with Signals" indicator helps traders to track the waves (in lower degrees). It provides insight to traders to observe when an existing wave ends and when a new one begins
WXY CORRECTION IN NIFTYDISTRIBUTION pattern always will take ''WXY'' format in INDICES
Traders should be cautious in holding positions , it is beter to trade daily (9.30am to 3.30 pm)
3 wave down WXY and recovery ABC in equal time will give you good trading oppertunity.but there is no trend to follow.
Here ELLIOTT waves will give you good idea to trade. The final push of wave ''Y'' (5th wave down) will bring NIFTY to 15900 levels
USD/CHF LongWe expect the market to complete the 3rd wave in the minor degree. Our fundamental outlook on the pair is bullish due to the expectations of the federal reserve to hike interest rates sooner because inflation levels are very high. The CHF is expected to be pressured as the global economy is improving since it's a safe heaven currency. The CHF we also be pressured because the swiss interest rates are at record lows.
USD/JPY LongOur fundamental bias is tilted to the upside for this pair as the FED is expected to hike rates earlier due to inflation fears in the US economy. The JPY is expected to be pressured due to the BOJ assuring the market that they are not planning to raise rates anytime soon. We structurally expect the pair to complete a WXY in a higher timeframe.
NZD/JPY long positionOur fundamental outlook on this pair is bullish. The RBNZ if the first bank to hike rates and NZD is a pro-cyclical currency so a positive global economic outlook is supportive for the currency. the BOJ is not planning on raising rates and the rising oil prices is pressuring japan since its one of the huge importers of oil.
Short term GBP/USD long positionMarkets is largely expecting the BOE to hike Rates in the December meeting. the positive print in the inflation data this morning further fuels the expectation of the 15 basis point hike to be this coming meeting. we are expecting the BOE to disappoint the market hence we have a very bearish bias on the GBP currency. technically we expert a completion of a WXY pattern on a small timeframe.
NZD/CHF long positionThe RBNZ on their last meeting started the tapering program so that a bullish move for the NZD hence after tapering its rates hike. on the bigger structure the market is completing a WXY patterns that's in the same direction as the fundamental outlook. Note any correction will offer short term buys and any positive developments in the economic data should fuel the support for the NZD and put pressure on CHF
Massive Swing Opportunity on XAUUSD (Gold) Hi Trader,
please look at my attached idea to get all the informations you need for the trade.
We had a massive buying movement on yesterdays NY session which led us to new highs. Nonetheless I am still seeing a possible bearish outlook which would lead us to 1680s area once again, before we see the bearish case to be invalidated. This is due to daily timeframe which printed an obvious Zig Zag correction of the previous bearish movement from top at 1830 area. Looking at the inner wave structure of the bearish sell-off, it gives me reason to think that we may be in multiple Zig Zags, which would then lead to more selling pressure towards 1680s.
That said, we are going to play this short very tight since this idea can be invalidated with new highs above yesterdays session. That way, we will have tiny losses in comparison to what we are able to achieve. Also, we'll be forced to cut our positions due to invalidation and reflect once again what is going on with XAUUSD.
We wish you all the best!
RL from RT_Trading_
SPX. Elliott wave 101 rare structure explained, WXY & WXYXXZ !!!We are in a double or in a triple & I am still learning guys, so if i make a mistake here
or there i would be very thankful if you point it out for me
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---Combination corrections are also viewed as
complicated and complex, but there is really no
need to overthink it. Combination corrections in
simple terms: 2 or 3 corrective patterns joined
together by a 3 wave move.
---Example: Double Correction
A double correction as shown above, is simply (any
corrective pattern + 3 wave move + any corrective
pattern) and labeled WXY
---Example: Triple Correction
A triple correction as shown above, is (any
correction + 3 wave move + any correction + 3
wave move + any correction) and labeled WXYXZ.
The only condition is that Y must not exceed the
1.618 extension of wave W, or it is likely part of an
impulse wave down.
Adanient - Elliott wave analysis - ABC correction Adanient is in sideways complex B wave correction and can go up to 1600-1635 zone before it will end it and start moving down for C leg. Above trend channel of abc move (last leg) it can go up to mentioned level of even slight higher. If it failed to go above W wave high of B, then there is a possibility of triangle as B wave.