Some of my trading friends on social media thought I was crazy to short Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA in February after the January 2023 rally. To me it was obvious. There was a confluence of 50% Retracement Levels that I absolutely had to take a short. When you have a large trend ALWAYS mark the 50%. Take off the other Fibonaccis as they will confuse you. Once you...
Thanks to one of my Stream viewers @Casey_Louis for bringing NYSE:ONON to my attention. Many folks in my family love these shoes (my nephew even has the toddler versions). I like the initial survival of the 50% Pullback to $20/share. Now price is heading up for another leg. I do not like the breakout for myself... the reason being the initial IPO price just...
Preface and Disclaimer: I have a long term stake in Truist Financial Corp NYSE:TFC :( I wondered "why" Truist, company I have held for a very long time (when it was BB&T) would have been caught up in this contagion of small bank risk fears. An article by Seeking Alpha sheds some light on it: seekingalpha.com TL;DR, over the weekend analysis dug into their...
Today's CPI data (down to 5.0% from 6.0% YoY) created interesting and actionable price action this morning... more on my thoughts about it later. Technically the data release created a Spike Alert by punching through the pre-market high and then closing back inside it before the cash open. This is happening within two important contexts: A double top for...
This is a followup to my Bullish trades on Bitcoin since 2023 (see links below). I highly suggest you check them out to see how to find opportunity before it late into the move. So now it is time to start marking off Resistance Levels as this bullish move matures. The reasons: This is still a crypto winter and this is a bear market rally. Crypto trading...
I had an alert set for Travelers NYSE:TRV that hit this morning. It is the 50% Retracement Support on the Daily for the last 2 quarters of price action. This sets up a good long to retest the high should the level hold.
Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has pulled back to the Major 50% Retracement of the January rally at 20360. This is a key Support level that must hold to continue the bullish trend. Watch how price behaves at this level. If price holds the level (closes today above) and remains above then the bull case remains intact. If price closes below the level for 2 or more...
I have been watching SPY and /ES pull back from February's malaise, following January's rally, and it has now gotten to the key 50% Retracement Level of the October - January trend. My spike indicator also triggered on this morning's opening 30 minute bar. This sets up a textbook long trade in the SPY itself.
The month of January saw a huge RIP on Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA lifted by broad stock market bullishness and Artificial Intelligence buzz with the launch of ChatGPT (Tesla is widely considered an AI company rather than just a car company). February saw this bull trend stall at major Weekly 50% Retracement Resistance (see below) at 213. Price has tested and respected...
Centene NYSE:CNC fired off a signal on this morning's open at a "50 in 50" level. The most important level is the COVID Low to All Time High 50% Retracement which for the last few weeks price has been testing. This is an important multi-year level that the stock price needs to hold to continue to retest the all time high. To reduce the initial risk on this...
I have been stalking NASDAQ:AMZN share prices for months now watching as it retraced from the All Time High down to a full 50% Retracement from the All Time Low. This is a pretty epic pullback level that took decades to create. The 6 month downtrend from 146 > 81 created its own 50% Retracement at 114 as Resistance. February earnings popped to this level and...
This morning, the first trading day of 2023, I ran my S&P 500 spike scan like every morning. The spikes were skewed heavily to the bearish side with 99 Bearish Spikes and only 1 Bullish Spike. That spike was HSIC NASDAQ:HSIC . I like the context of this price action happening at the 50% Retracement of the bear move from the All Time High down to the October...
With the close the UTC Time Daily bar Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has officially entered a bullish trend. The current price has closed above the 50% Retracement from the FTX collapse dip. What defines this signal is when price closes above the Daily Ichimoku cloud while the Lagging Span (Momentum/Chikou) is also outside the cloud. This is the first time since...
I carved out a win today on NYSE:PSA to start a trend off the Weekly 50% Level. This has a chance to run based on the technical setup as well as a possible secular bull trend if one believes people will need to store their stuff into a housing crunch. The initial trade began on a 30 minute timeframe spike (which unfortunately was not caught on Tradingview...
I sold off some of my long term LMT holdings last week before EOY to capture some capital gains. LMT was a big winner of 2022 up over 37% and price was stalling at the All Time High. This morning I received an alert for an opening price spike that created a critical low at 469.35. This is not a spike I would take as a reversal to go long. Rather, I am watching...
Looking to take a shot Longing CNR at the 50% Retracement, also a support level, waiting to see how the next few days go. Coming straight down to the 50% Retracement would put RSIs on lower time frames in a more favorable position as well
The price action of 2022 has been dominated by inflation related news. The start of the recent rally began with the October CPI print where an expected 8.3% came in at an actual 8.2%. This was a slight change but the first sign that inflation may have peaked and thus the Fed might pivot from their interest rate hikes. The market has loathed higher interest...
Today those day trading the Nasdaq futures could clearly observe the classic "Yum" pattern emerge on the chart of CME_MINI:NQ1! Nasdaq future. This follows a touch of major Resistance; the 50% Retracement of the August high to October low following a major JPow rally from yesterday setting up a double top at said Retracement level.