Another 50% ExampleThe beauty of studying price action is that a trader can apply their skills to ANY instrument, timeframe, and market. Just as the 50% retracement works in cryptocurrency it of course works in stocks. This happens to be a trade that I was able to catch. It took more than a day to trigger when NYSE:LLY pulled back to the 50% retracement for a 4th time. A very clear level for an entry and set point of risk makes for a great trade off the level!
50retracement
Keeping it SIMPLEMost all traders have brushed up on their Fibonacci levels. Some like the 61.8% retracement for entries. Others like to use them all and clutter their charts with lines every 0.5 points. I like to keep it SIMPLE and admire the beauty when price just respects the halfway point of the 50% retracement. I noted this in another post a few days ago about BITFINEX:ETHUSD setting up a potential breakout. That consolidation did not lead to a trade but price was definitely showing respect for the 50% level at 467.67. Sure enough I wake up today to news that Ethereum is over 500 and it all launched off that level. Beautiful!
TSLA holds the gapNASDAQ:TSLA had some beautiful price action worth noting today. It held the 50% retracement level of the day's gap. What was even more interesting was the lower timeframe price action on the 1minute (see screenshot).
After holding the 50% retracement on the medium term timeframe it also held the 50% retracement of the move off the support as a fractal of the price action. This also setup a classic chart pattern of an inverse head and shoulders at that level. All aspiring chartists should take note. I have this now saved in my archives as a great example of multiple aspects of price action studying playing out.
Trendline Break Setup (Paper trade)*Not trading advice, entertainment purposes only, DYOR
Reasons for a trade:
1.) Putting in market structure at or below
78.6, off fibs from 3 most recent highs.
2.) Has W and working on confirmation of larger W
3.) Moving Average Convergence
4.) Put in market structure after break of 2
significant downward sloping trendlines
5.) Divergence in MACD
6.) Market structure and cross on the Willy coming out of oversold
7.) Market Structure on OBV w/MA cross
8.) Bears falling asleep
9.) Beautiful candle body that closed above VP POC
10.) 2:1 RR just above gap at top of most recent range
11.) 6.1:1 RR by a return and touch to 200MA.
12.) 10.2:1 RR by returning to Gann 50%
13.) Near Original breakout out levels from 1992, sheesh
Enter trade at check of top of double bottom $6.30
Set stop just below double bottom at $6.01
Sell 1/2 my position at 2:1 ($6.88) and move remaining to scratch.
use 3 highs/Lows method on remaining if PA continues to put in bullish market structure.
NYSE:GE
SPY is fascinating to me as a chartist nowThe prior ATH was the key deciding line a few weeks ago. When the AMEX:SPY closed below it it signaled the drop. Now with the low it formed on 9/24 in combination with the recent ATH it has created a 50% Retracement of the down move. Ya'll know how much I love my 50%...
This is clearly the consistent and current dividing line between bullish and bearish should this current up move continue to 339 as resistance. Holding or breaking it once again will give a signal to the near term future.
BLCM 50% retrace/AVWAP supportBLCM might be putting in a bottom here at the VWAP from March low and the 50% retracement level of move off March low. Worth keeping on your radar.
STSA confluence of support-Throughout August buyers have been stepping in at a confluence of support:
1) $21.5 level which I view as historically significant (having been tested multiple times from above and below), most notably acting as resistance during the last consolidation period
2) The VWAP from the all time low
3) Back test of the downtrend line
4) 50% retracement of move from all time low
-I also like that the pullback to the downtrend line, which was also a shorter term double bottom, occurred with increased stochastic reading (bullish divergence)
-50 EMA has been tested/rejected about 8 times since STSA closed above the downtrend line, so I view a close above the 50 EMA is buy trigger
RCUS 50% retrace/50/200 EMA supportRCUS has reacted higher after bouncing from a confluence of support:
1) 200 EMA
2) 50% retracement
3) VWAP from all time low
*You can see how the 200 EMA and VWAP from all time low previously acted as the floor back in March
-Now supported strongly by 50 EMA, RCUS closed above the 50 EMA every day this week, and 7 of the last 8 days, with the exception appearing to be a 'gap fill.'
-I am looking for RCUS to continue to find support on the 50 EMA or the VWAP from the 200 EMA bounce
-Close above the $25.5 level is the buy trigger, which will also complete an inverse H&S pattern which has been forming for the last month
Drreddy - HnSDrreddy formed Head and Shoulders in daily chart and previosly had pennant and flag on small time frame... Three bullish pattern on one chart with retracement of 50%... Wow...Must be a jackpot trade. 4280-4300 zone has weekly resistance so it may take time to breach.... Targets on chart.
FTSE 100 - short as in 50-61.8% ratio. Hello analysts and traders -
Looking at the FTSE100 - it is time to sell? We think yes - we have monitored this on private charts but now it is time show a public view and to close some longs and begin to hedge and close out final longs.
Have you noticed a pattern?
All indexes have had Vshaped recoveries - however is it sustainable? Nope.
With a lot of the companies on the FTSE stock exchange being foreign owned on multiple exchanges - it is clear that these giants will see a poor performance coming.
Technicals -
weak trend line which saw a fakeout and retest on our orginial trendline - but this was now corrected.
Now we move sideways around the 50%.
Taking the impulse from the highs to the lows March end.
We have a very poor trend line which is a correction rising channel - but as tailed off.
UK sectors - will see large outflows with the FTSE supply and lower high formed - means the sentiment is sour.
The UK has a dead cat bounce , similar to S&P, Nasdaq, and Dax.
VIX and Gold will be the strongest gainers where money printing and inflation occurs. .
Fundamentals
Brexit in play with a little chance of a deal and the stimulus package which the UK provided to citizens is clever to many to provide companies with the 20% pay gap, however many people are still not in work and the sentiment of the government finding ways to prevent debt to tip over 100% will become a real issue.
Brexit again, EU stimulus package for loans and grants is another poor decision - with many countries affected in crippling ways, Southern Europe, Eastern Europe also and western countries e.g. Scandinavian, Netherlands all not wishing this would go ahead.
Germany need the stimulus to keep on top of the EU. Germany has become the power of EU since Euro inception.
UK assets - will be reduced to losses without trade deals from the EU, USA and Canadian, swiss or singaporean style deal..
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets - both work in investment banks, hedge funds
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
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Team Lupa
BTC -The Bullish Scenario- from this DUMP!!!IF We see good bounce from here some things I'm seeing are:
$ Bullish divergences:
4, 6, 12 and Daily Time Frame (Need to reverse though to confirm the upswing on RSI)
$ Descending broadening bottom pattern
$ Hit the 50% retrace for overall 6440-10400 FIB on log
$ 1 HR cooked at 8-10 very historic low
The baggy dead stock bounce strategy: Another exampleI know nothing of this company. But either way, looks like a nice example of buying something beaten up down 99% after it starts rallying.
When it goes down usually it goes down pretty fast (crypto won't be an exception btw), important not to overstay your welcome.
I do not use this strategy at all. Adding an example, learning a bit more every few month or so... learn with me.
If it goes to zero it is fine since this strategy aims for several hundred percent returns often. No need to go all in...
Here we can see that we have a V shape reversal at the bottom, a ~50% retrace, then a C wave very extended.
The ABC retraced ~50% ~55%.
In the case of cryptocurrencies...
They retraced 55%, from being down 92%, but this does not look like we are "at the bottom", they are still way up from where they started.
Bitcoin retraced 78.6%. I am not sure the strategy is the same... Will see how this progresses.
If BTC gets to a few dollars, it can go up thousands of percents... But who will get filled?
Oh companies on the verge of bankrupcy can recover... You will never believe what company did this... (if you do not already know)...
APPLE.
In 1997 they were about to go bust and Microsoft threw 150 million in and saved them. Now Apple is pretty big (in a bubble thought).
99% or more companies just disappear cannot even find them on trading view whick makes it hard to analyse this strategy here.
Kodak went bankrupt in 2012 and re-emerged in 2013:
The "new" Kodak fell by more than 90% lmao. Not sure how much the previous one fell.
In 96 the price was above 90$ and at the end it was circling around 5.
They had a nice back to normal.
The new company price does not pick up the old one. The probably issued less shares to make it look like they bounced back.
If I look at the daily chart:
That is just too fast.
I also noticed something else. That I am keeping for myself. Sry. Rekt.
Looking at more examples will help. Maybe a good new strategy in the future here?
The point of having multiple strategy is more a safeguard if the ones being used stop working rather than to make more money or to diversify.
One question remains: Where do all these poop chasing baggies come from? And why do they keep appearing?
Normal correction after a very strong bottom formationposted my thoughts yesterday on the link I shared below
weve hit our 50% fib retracement from bottom
I like an entry here but its not a home run we could take right off from this level or continue sideways or further down
love the .618 fib entry on eth or btc The old resistance would be the .618 fib support. resistance become support...
just gotta be reactive and not try to anticipate unless your willing to hold to zero as an investment
USDJPY: Potential Bat Pattern | Key ResistanceThe USDJPY moves sideways last few weeks and getting close to structure high at 107.81, that acts as a resistance level. The market respected that level multiple times (red arrows) and it more likely that it will do it again. If the price goes up it will form a bat pattern, which will increase the probability of this trading setup. The entry point is 88.6% of AD Leg.
T1 – 38.2%
T2- 61.8%
AUD/USD Selling Opportunity. Pretty Straight forward analysis. Key Support and resistance levels are in play. Wait for Monday to fake out and trap more buyers with strong candles, I will be setting a pending order so I can get in at the best price possible. follows by a directional push to the down side. take half profits at the target position 1. Wait for the pull back (probably 50 retracement) then follow it down for the week. Wait for a double bottom, and then the midweek reversal to take you back up. Dont get greedy, take profits quickly. This pair could mess around and shoot all the way back up to the top, killing all your hard work.
Best of luck www.tradingview.com
CAD/HKD long using fib retracementChecked the 4 hour chart and I see potential uptrend.
Retested two points of support, first one shows 0.618 and the second one shows both 0.618/0.50 which can conclude that it will in the future retrace to those levels due to confirmation from previous support levels shown in this analysis.
Looking to take profit at the 1.618 on the fib extension.