Tejasnet flying Supersonic 6G speed :) :) :)Comparison of Quarterly and Daily Timeframes of Tejasnet shows amazing structures for bigger targets
On Quarterly Chart - there is an amazing structure around 670-675 levels
4 Critical Confluences meeting at 1 single point providing the Price an Amazing Boost
1. Long Term Cup & Handle Trendline from 2018 crossing
2. Parallel Channel from 2021 crossing
3. Flag pattern bottom criss-crossing
4. Fib 0.618 level precisely meeting the intersection point of all above (1-3)
When you have some exceptional scenarios - its impossible to go Bearish. Don't even think twice to take an entry at such levels
Price completed 3 out of 4 targets already given. Next Target 1360
On Daily Chart - Price is on the verge of Fresh Rounding Bottom BO
If sustained above 1250 WCB (preferably today), then Target would be 1490
We took entry at this stock around 460 levels and holding with 170% profits :) :) :) and more to go
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5gstocks
AMPG, fresh name in Quant/real 5g space. Watch moving averages$AMPG is a microcap ($24mil) company that reportedly designs, manufactures, and sells components important to the aerospace (sat com), telecom (real 5g), and quantum/AI space. This weekly chart demonstrates price bullishness (double bottom), but limited buy volume. The chart shows how weekly moving averages can suppress or support price action. Price recently has crossed a major resistance barrier by breaking through 50 week SMA, which is now support. However, 200SMA is proving exceptionally resistance, especially without buyers showing up in force.
Fundamentally, things look sound, IMO. Cash on hand, profits increasing. Low outstanding shares about 9mil
NASDAQ:AMPG
*Not financial advice
AT&T Communications/Metaverse Play?AT&T did a double bottom with equal buying and selling here on the Daily. The double bottom happened only over a few days, however there's Four Green Candles "Marching Up" a fifth one would have been nice, but four is pretty strong. What do you think is AT&T going to gain 5G Market Share? I recently saw a comparison to T-Mobile, but can't help think which other brands will gain in this sector. The Metaverse is going to need 5G as more games roll out onto phones, which platform do you all think be the biggest? Also AT&T just bought it's own Advertising Brand, so again it's going to be collecting tons & tons of data. After taking a beating politically & economically this might be a buy, no bags but looking. Not advice, please DYOR & view AT&T & it's subsidiaries prospectus.
Nokia Sneaks Toward New HighsNokia has gone nowhere for more than a decade, but now the Finnish networking stock may be finding new life.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the symmetrical triangle that formed in August and September. NOK broke out of this range earlier this month. It proceeded to bounce above the triangle last week, turning old resistance into new support.
Second, the stock is now above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), 100-day SMA and 21-day exponential moving average (EMA). That wasn’t true just three weeks ago, which suggests the intermediate-term trend has recently grown bullish.
Third, NOK was targeted in January’s meme-stock frenzy. That briefly pushed its shares above $9.50. But if you exclude the unusual moment, NOK’s close yesterday was its highest in almost three years. It’s pushing some longer-term peaks from several years ago. There was also price gap on February 1, 2016. Filling it could bring NOK back to $7.
Overall, NOK may resemble Ford Motor a few months ago – another once-mighty name that had fallen from the limelight. However the fundamentals were improving with F as prices squeezed toward multiyear highs. Like F, NOK has showed signs of a turnaround as 5G orders flow in. Like F, it also struggled with chip shortages. Will it also climb a wall of worry as things return to normal?
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Very strong uptrend momentum spotted- SCGBHDMarket rebounded today since US market recorded a strong rebound.
Market sentiment getting better and Tech stock doing good.
5G related stock experiencing abnormal gain recently.
SCGBHD would be transferred to main market soon and hence portfolio manager could potentially up stake in this counter.
Volume started to spike up this week showing big funds is collecting ticket heavily.
We notice big boys keep buying at RM0.49~0.RM50
Downtrend reversal confirmed today since price breakout from box resistance RM0.485 evidenced by heavy volume.
Proper shake out done from 23/09/2021 until today.
Banker chips increasing also indicating buying force taking upper hand in deciding future trend.
We expect price to break out RM0.50 tomorrow (30/09/2021) and would experience a good uptrend rally for few days.
Entry: RM0.50
TP:RM0.55
Cut loss:RM0.465
*Buy at your own risk*
Time to look at II-VIAcross the megatrends of 5G, cloud computing, autonomous vehicles, and others, the common denominator is the requirement for components made of advanced engineered materials, II-VI looks like it's positioned for strong growth. Now trading at just 15.5 times next year's earnings estimates, below the overall market and many other high-growth tech stocks, this extended months-long malaise in II-VI stock is giving investors a chance to buy a great technology company that should grow handsomely over the next decade at a very reasonable price.
II-VI is down some 35% from all-time highs earlier this year looks oversold on the the daily and has shown solid support at $59 many times since November 2020. Plus there's 14 buys and 3 holds with a average PT of $80.
BRQS Borqs 5GPrice TragetBRQS Borqs Technologies is sitting now close to all time low at the strongest support, with bullish news lately.
Yesterday`s volume was high, 18mil, for a mk cap of 105mil.
My price target is the 2.1usd resistance.
SMALLCAP - SPACE/5G - FUNDAMENTAL/TECHNICAL - GSATFA:
- Very bullish on space/5G sector, believe it is one of the next big macro trends, also long on GILT, NOK, and others... more analyses to come on this sector.
- Collaborations with Nokia and QCOM... The hype isn't in this sector yet, but ARK is marking ARKX and IZRL for a reason... get in before the FOMO, the sector will see a boom cycle soon.
- High Shares Float is risk.
- Blackrock, Goldman, and RenTec especially have positions and are increasing their ownership substantially.
TA:
- I see wave 3 of impulse wave, good to catch the wave 5... extension is likely as this trend catches on.
QA:
- Bullish options flow.
- Citadel has some options on this, dont be greedy with this high float.
TP1: 4.57
SL: 1.12
RRR: 2.99
PS: Trying to bring you more premium content with my consistent trading strategy and thought process.
Golden Crosses in Wireless Tower StocksWireless-tower stocks have been in long-term uptrends as mobile devices and usage proliferate. American Tower is the largest of the three, followed by Crown Castle International and SBA Communications .
AMT has moved sideways for the last year. It hit an all-time high shortly before the coronavirus crash, quickly rebounded and then drifted sideways. Prices declined once bond yields started rising in September. (Not a surprise because AMT is a REIT.)
The stock had a sharp rebound in March and April, followed by consolidation this month. The most important chart pattern is the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) rising above the 200-day SMA. That’s a “Golden Cross,” a signal that longer-term momentum has turned bullish.
Also notice the $244 area. It was support last June and August, resistance in October and November and now is offering support again.
It’s also noteworthy that CCI already had its golden cross in April and has now broken out to new highs. For SBAC, the signal is on the verge of taking place.
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Crown Castle daily chart:
SBA Communications daily chart:
I have the impression that Nokia is going to skyrocketIt has been bouncing off the same support level for a long time and is reasonably priced.
It intends to invest heavily in 5G technology, recently announcing a collaboration with AT&T and Verizon for wireless connection services.
Maintains positive operating margins.
It is a partner company of the World Economic Forum (together with Big Tech, pharmaceutical companies, investment funds, etc.)
Its institutional investors include UBS Group, Morgan Stanley, Renaissance Technologies, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and State Street.
Its main source of income is not mobile devices but networks (mobile access, fixed access, IP routing, and optical networks).
All this leads me to think that at the current price it is still a bargain for one of the largest telecommunications companies and with the potential to become the main competitor of 5G technology.
It could go as far as returning to its all-time highs around $ 60 and breaking them, or at least doubling its price to $8-10 in the medium term.
NYSE:NOK
NOK replaced in Euro stoxx 50 index (EU50)I think the Euro stoxx 50 index has a better situation than other indexes. NOK needed this to lift-off.
Microchip maker Infineon Technologies is going to replace telecom equipment maker Nokia ( NOKIA .HE) in the Euro Stoxx 50 , Stoxx said late Monday. The move is effective March 22 . Stoxx didn't provide an explanation, but microchip makers have been buoyed by strong demand and a shortage of supplies. In early trade, Nokia slipped 1.3% while Infineon slipped 0.4%.
TITAN - 5G - Lumen Tech. $LUMN - The 4th Industrial RevolutionI am ultra bullish on Smart cities, AI, edge computing, 5G/6G telecommunications, cybersecurity and AR/VR. Lumen Technologies (CenturyLink) seems to be a sleeping giant that checks all those boxes. Lumen is facing a similar situation as Nokia and Blackberry as value company which is about to enter a second growth cycle, and like Palantir Technologies, it is facing a situation of massive short selling pressure during institutional accumulation. The ruthless manipulation after earnings beat signals to me how bullish institutions are on the company, and the overwhelming (unreasonable) bear sentiment signals that the shakeout is upon us.
FA:
Highlights: "Lumen Technologies is the only company to win Frost & Sullivan's prestigious 2021 Global New Product Innovation Award".
Who are they?
- "Lumen brings together the talent, experience, infrastructure and capabilities of CenturyLink, Level 3 and 25+ other technology companies to create a new kind of company—one designed specifically to address the dynamic data and application needs of the 4th Industrial Revolution." - Company website.
- Already is the global leader for fiber network. Lumen has the largest ultra-low-loss fiber network in North America with 3.5 million miles of high-capacity.
- Owns the world’s most-connected CDN (Content Delivery Network).
What do they do?
- "Lumen is an enterprise technology platform that enables companies to capitalize on emerging applications and power the 4th Industrial Revolution". They are focused on the 5G/6G sector, which I speculate will see explosive growth soon.
- "We integrate network assets, cloud connectivity, security solutions and voice and collaboration tools into one platform that enables businesses to leverage their data and adopt next-generation technologies."
- Focused rebranding for edge computing solutions and 5G sector.
- Lumen has partnered with VMware to develop cybersecurity software: Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) Mitigation, Web Application Firewall (WAF), Bot Risk Management (BRM).
- Black Lotus Labs is their threat research arm, the world’s most deeply peered networks and industry-leading endpoint protection and datacenter virtualization.
Key Products:
- Premises Edge: Tactile Internet, Virtual reality, Augmented reality.
- Metro Edge: Smart manufacturing, Video analytics, POS transactions, Retail robotics, IoT.
- Cloud Core: AI/ML platforms, Big data analytics, Disaster recovery, SaaS, Cloud storage, Hyperscale environments.
Clients:
- Salesforce, Zoom are big customers already.
Financial Performance:
- Growth & Trend shows they are almost profitable: Reported a Net Loss of $1.232 billion for the full year 2020, compared to a Net Loss of $5.269 billion for the full year 2019. Excluding Integration and Transformation Costs and Special Items, reported Net Income was $1.801 billion for the full year 2020 compared to $1.409 billion for the full year 2019. The trend is positive.
- Cash Flow Positive.
- Invested Capital and Total Assets are decreasing, yet total liabilities and debt decreasing, while CapEx is increasing.
- Reduced Net Debt by approximately $1.6 billion and reduced leverage to 3.6x Net-Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA.
- For 2021, Lumen has debt obligations of $2.4 Bn still.
- However, Lumen had $34.1 Bn of debt in 2020.
- LUMN finished the year with $2.9 billion in free cash flow and a requirement of $1.1 billion to meet its dividend obligation.
- Insiders & Insider Trading: -0.92%
- Institutional Ownership: 79%
- About 659 funds hold LUMN, and interestingly enough, while the stock price dumped, Average 13F Ranking has been steadily increasing. This aligns with the Accumulation Distribution model that I presented.
- Float: 976.12M.
- Short % of Float: 7.51%.
- Valuation: 0.97 P/B ratio and 0.64 P/S ratio. Undervalued, by traditional valuations.
- Financial Reporting: Solid.
- Potential:
5G Market:
Market size value in 2020: USD 41.48 Billion
Revenue forecast in 2027: USD 664 Billion
"The global 5G Applications and Services Market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.8% from 2019 to 2027"
(According to 180+ page research report by Fidelity National Financial)
- Lumen Technologies should benefit from the growth of the 5G market, so we can expect 25.8% CAGR in revenue from their market share of 5G, and factor in growing market dominance.
TA:
- Accumulation/Distribution Phases are rather difficult to predict with Elliot Wave Theory, so Dow Theory will be used instead.
- Expecting 600%+ move up on breakout.
- MACD long term analysis:
- Short term outlook: Fib support level, with a big whale buy. Looks ready to move up.
- MACD short term bullish divergence:
- Stoch RSI indicating possibly one more shakeout:
- Historical analysis showing this is likely, if the same whale is in charge:
- However, Fib levels indicate that it cannot possibly go much lower!
QA:
- Interestingly, it would take 5.7 days for shorts to fully cover. It is likely the shorting was used to take the price down from the previous distribution level. Great short squeeze potential.
- Naked short selling report collected from FINRA shows that naked short volume was massive in the end of Jan. Most likely to suppress the price at the resistance point. Institutions were not positioned for the breakout yet.
- Options flow does not present high gamma squeeze potential, however, the low OI presents a very good long entry.
VERDICT:
- The company is reducing debt and leverage. This is smart, as there is sentiment that a market correction and stagflation is nearing.
- The critical point that investors will need to decide on is if the company can survive such conditions with their remaining debt. At this point, it looks like their debt will soon be eliminated, and they will be profitable.
- It is my speculation that in the case of a tech correction, and a rotation into value, tech will still thrive, but it is companies like these - non-speculative, but necessary, will be real winners. A lot of retail excess will be trimmed from unreasonably valued companies. At least some Institutional investors seem to share this sentiment, judging from their accumulation.
- This company checks many boxes for me, and looks ready for an explosive move up, so I assign it an S-tier rating.
STRATEGY:
- Accumulate.
- Entry levels: 7.50, 4.00.
- Trigger for Long: breakout of falling wedge resistance.
- Wave 3 PT: 80.00.
- Wave 5 PT: 130.00.
I think the Impulse wave 3 target of 80 aligns with the MACD signaling a 600% move-up to come. This is a high probability level.
This would put the company's valuation at 86B~, which is not unreasonable, and even still would be undervalued, in my opinion.
GL, and if you like the content, give a like, leave a comment, and follow!
P.S. Trying to take a more succinct presentation model for DD, based on constructive criticism I have been receiving.
QCOM is still in a strong uptrendNotes from web browsing: "Assessing Qualcomm’s outsized gains, J.P. Morgan analyst believes “Qualcomm shares have reacted positively to the company successfully leveraging the 5G smartphone opportunity.” However, taking this into consideration, Chatterjee wonders how much upside is left from the 5G exposure. Luckily for Qualcomm, the company has other significant “revenue drivers.” Chatterjee estimates that the “combination of smartphone baseband as well as adjacent market opportunities will drive material upside for QCT revenues relative to consensus.” This should also result in roughly $1.4 billion more revenue than the analyst’s previous estimate for FY22. These “adjacent markets” are for RFFE (rf front end) in smartphones, automotive, and IoT (internet of things). While Chatterjee forecasts a 26% CAGR (compound annual growth rate) for 5G based sales between FY2019 and FY2022, RFFE smartphone is anticipated to exhibit a 40% CAGR, with Automotive at 25%, and an additional 8% for IoT. These figures are based on the assumption that Qualcomm takes a big chunk of revenue share from each SAM (service addressable market).
ERIC: quietly breaking long-term resistancesERIC’s long-, mid- and short-term trend charts are presented. ___
Prompt: New traders should take some time and carefully read the post entitled 'You can't beat the market' that is located in my profile.
Disclaimer
The author of this text is not an investment advisor. The preceding content is intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only.
It is not an advice or inducement for the purchase or sale of the products mentioned. Before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances,
it is very important to do your own research and analysis and also take independent financial advice from a professional to verify any information provided here.
CEVA: a 5G small company with great growth prospectsCEVA’s long- and mid-term trend charts are presented.
CEVA is probably in the beginning of a strong long-term rise.
CEVA is a leading licensor of wireless connectivity and smart sensing technologies. CEVA offers Digital Signal Processors,
AI processors, wireless platforms and complementary software for sensor fusion, image enhancement, computer vision,
voice input and artificial intelligence, all of which are key enabling technologies for a connected world.
CEVA partners with semiconductor companies and OEMs worldwide to create power-efficient, intelligent and connected devices
for a range of end markets, including mobile, consumer, automotive, robotics, industrial and IoT.
CEVA’s ultra-low-power IPs include comprehensive DSP-based platforms for 5G baseband processing in mobile and infrastructure,
advanced imaging and computer vision for any camera-enabled device and audio/voice/speech and ultra-low power always-on/sensing
applications for multiple IoT markets.
For sensor fusion, CEVA’s Hillcrest Labs sensor processing technologies provide a broad range of sensor fusion software and IMU solutions
for AR/VR, robotics, remote controls, and IoT.
For artificial intelligence, CEVA offers a family of AI processors capable of handling the complete gamut of neural network workloads, on-device.
For wireless IoT, CEVA offers the industry's most widely adopted IPs for Bluetooth (low energy and dual mode), Wi-Fi 4/5/6 (802.11n/ac/ax) and NB-IoT.
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Recently CEVA announced an open licensing agreement with the U.S. Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) to accelerate
technology innovation for DARPA programs. The partnership, as part of the DARPA Toolbox initiative, establishes an access framework under
which DARPA organizations can access all of CEVA's commercially available IPs, tools and support to expedite their programs.
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Notice also that 90.14% of CEVA’s float is held by 246 institutions and the top institutional holders are Blackrock Inc. 15.37%,
Vanguard Group Inc. 9.81% and iShares Core S&P Smallcap ETF 6.43%.
Prompt: New traders should take some time and carefully read the post entitled 'You can't beat the market' that is located in my profile.
Disclaimer
The author of this text is not an investment advisor. The preceding content is intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only.
It is not an advice or inducement for the purchase or sale of the products mentioned. Before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances,
it is very important to do your own research and analysis and also take independent financial advice from a professional to verify any information provided here.
MRVL ER run up MRVL Technology is a semi conductor company that has been lagging behind this week with other semis like NVDA having nice rallies. Great company with continued growth in the 5g and cloud computing segment. Looking at this for a potential swing with ER approaching early March. In a nice uptrend since the pandemic hit and currently in a 2-3 week downtrend channel to complete a nice bull flag. Watching for a breakout of the downtrend with a significant increase in volume for a confirmed reversal. Looking for a break and hold above 51.60 for an overall move up to retest ATH at 55.80. Over that I'm looking at a push to my wave 5 target at 62.
Ways to Play this
1. Buy Shares and hold long term - low risk low reward
2. Load on the dip before the rip (load zone: 48-51), scale in with option contracts w/ couple month out expiration
3. Wait for the breakout (confirmed reversal) of 51.60 to load up couple month out contracts
Options to consider
55C 3/19 1.84 (low risk: medium reward)
50C 2/19 1.66 (medium risk: high reward)
51C 2/19 1.15 (medium risk: high reward)
55C 2/19 .23 (Lotto)