WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 7-11th: AUDUSDAUD | AUDUSD:
Look at the Weekly TF. Price is sitting in the +FVG, therefore my bias for the week is bullish.
I'm only interested in longs at this point.
Should price close hard below the +FVG, then that invalidates my bias. I will start to look for sell setups.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
6A1!
COT Analysis - Currency SectorA few weeks ago I was calling for shorts on 6J, longs on DX, and shorts on ZB. Those trades are well underway, with partials already taken.
This week, COT strategy is supportive of longs for DX. Of particular interest is 6A (AUD). The commercials are more short this market than they have been in over 3 years. This is a very bearish signal. I will be focusing on shorting AUD this week, as in my opinion, it has the greatest potential for a significant down move.
Have a great weekend.
Downside Ahead for Aussie - COT Strategy Short DISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
Australian Dollar (6A)
My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in 6A if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
OI Analysis: Last 3 weeks of price rally has seen OI increasing while the CM's have been getting out of their longs. This is bearish.
ADX: Pinch forming.
Valuation: Overvalued VS Treasuries
True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for this currency to go down to early October.
COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal
Supplementary Indicators: POIV, %R & Stochastic Sell Signals
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
AUDUSD ~ Risk Off Sentiment: Stuck In Limbo into EOY (2H)FX_IDC:AUDUSD chart mapping/analysis.
Aussie Dollarydoos struggling to regain bullish momentum after early December peak.
Trading scenarios into EOY:
Preliminary trading range = ~66.20 to ~65.25.
Break above ~66.20 = regain bullish momentum.
Bullish target(s) = re-test descending trend-line (white dotted) / upper range of ascending parallel channel (green).
Break below ~65.25 = extend bearish capitulation.
Bearish target(s) = 61.8% Fib / lower range of ascending parallel channel (green) confluence zone.
200SMA also acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing bearish rollover.
Major macro economic news this week = higher probability of implied volatile swings in either direction.
AUSTRALIA DOLLAR Futures (6A1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 0.69610
Pivot: 0.68560
Support : 0.67920
Preferred Case: On the H4, with the price moving below the ichimoku cloud, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the pivot at 0.68560, which is in line with the swing low and 61.8% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 0.67920, where the 78.6% fibonacci retracement , 78.6% projection and previous swing high are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could rise to the 1st resistance at 0.69610, where the overlap resistance and 38.2% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: Construction Work Done q/q, showing -3.8%, dropped significantly from last period and forecasted, which has negative impact on overall employment and spending.
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR FUTURES (6A1!) Monthly, WeeklyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
The Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick. If multiple Djinn prediction dates are missed and are plowed through by same color Henikin Ashi candles the asset is being "reset". The "reset" is complete when Henikin Ashi candles are back in sync with Djinn price high or low prediction dates.
One way the Djinn Indicator is used to enter and exit trades:
For best results trade in the direction of the trend.
The Linear Regression channel is used to determine trend direction. The Linear Regression is set at 2 -2 30.
When a green Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression upper deviation line (green line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a sell is triggered.
When a red Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression lower deviation line (red line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a buy is triggered.
This trading strategy works on daily, weekly and Monthly Djinn Predictive charts.
Trades made when the monthly and weekly arrows are pointing in the same direction are the most profitable.
This is not trading advice. Trade at your own risk.