EURUSD Short-Term Bullish AnalysisClick on Boost (like) to support these free analyses
This expectation is a framework to look for a potential trading setup; I recommend you to not just execute based on these levels. I always wait for confirmations on lower timeframes
This Analysis was done using my complete Strategy which includes:
- Smart Money Concepts
- Multi Timeframe Liquidity and Market Structure
- Supply And Demand
- Auction Theory
- Volume Analysis
- Footprint
- Market Profile
- Volume Profile
- Wyckoff
- Etc.
6e
EURUSD Short Term Analysis/ExpectationClick on Boost (like) to support these free analyses
This expectation is a framework to look for a potential trading setup; I recommend you to not just execute based on these levels. I always wait for confirmations on lower timeframes
This Analysis was done using my complete Strategy which includes:
- Smart Money Concepts
- Multi Timeframe Liquidity and Market Structure
- Supply And Demand
- Auction Theory
- Volume Analysis
- Footprint
- Market Profile
- Volume Profile
- WYCKOFF (IS THE KING)
- ETC
Euro ready to continue decline - according to COT Data COT Data is pointing to the Euro ( CME:6E1! ) to continue its fall after seen a brief rally
For the last couple months, the large speculators have been accumulating so much Euro that is is becoming over-crowded (See the green line in the NET COT FO graph on the weekly chart). A small catalyst could send this currency back into a downward spiral, fueled by the speculators being overly long. I will be looking for my proprietary reversal signal to enter the trade and use sound risk management thereafter
Notes on My Trading Methodology and What I'm Even Talking About
COT Definitions:
- COT: Commitments of Traders Reports - A weekly report published by the government (CFTC) that shows long and short positions of the below 3 groups (As well as much more data I don't look at). We look at the NET positions of these 3 groups and compare them to historical levels to signal trade opportunities
1- Commercials: Hedgers - We want to trade with them when they're at extreme levels (Think Tyson, Cargill, General Mills, etc)
2- Large Speculators: Hedge funds and large institutions - We want to fade them when they are at max positions (Think suits in NYC and commodity funds)
3- Small Speculators: People/institutions trading small lot sizes not big enough to report to CFTC - We want to fade their max positions as well since they represent the public (Think dude in his PJs trading and small trading firms)
Indicators on Chart:
- The first indicator shows the net positions of the 3 groups above plotted over time
- The second indicator is an index of the relative buying/selling of commercials over a certain lookback period. Anything above 95 is looking for buy, look to sell when it hits 0
- Note: Just because the Commercial's net position is negative doesn't mean it can't be relatively net long and signal a buy (same in the opposite scenario)
Trade Setup - Both Must Happen:
- When commercials are at max levels we are alerted to buy or sell (Depending on the criteria above)
- On a daily chart , use technical indicators, candlestick patterns, news, etc to enter the trade (not shown here)
- Added bonus when the trend is your friend (I use a Multiple Moving Averages indicator to visualize)
eurusd daily : dont pick sell ,looking for buy in 1.010 and holdin 1-3 day eurusd can go down but we are in start of up trend , dont sell and wait above green arrow pick low size buy and hold it 20-30 day minimum to 1.0000
personaly i belive eurusd main trend will go up ,,, upper long term target is fibo61 :1.12222 so strongly advice dont pick sell, looking for buy in deep and hold to new high
wish you win
EURUSD daily : trend will be up to 1.09000eurusd try touch fibo50 near 1.09000
for coming days eurusd little can go down but trend will +up and technical say it can go to fibo61 1.120000
so above green arrow on chart,after pinbar come on higher timeframe 1h-4h-daily chart dont fear pick buy and hold it 30-40 day to fibo50 near 1.09000
strongly advice dont pick sell and looking for buy in deep
wish you win
6E1! Futures Ideas for the next daysSome ideas of possible operations on Future FX 6E for the next few days. I intend to apply them as intraday hedging positions, as an alternative to my usual scalping.
Specifically, before carrying out my possible operations, I will need to have volumetric confirmation and volatility indications that reflect the previous conditions to determine a real interest in those price areas
Let's see how the situation will evolve.
Please do not take any of these ideas as a possible operational invitation.
These are personal impressions, and do not want to give rise to any kind of investment
EURUSD 4hour = 3angel pattern , buysop on yesterday highon daily chart i belive eurusd will see 1.08500 soon
but for short term , dont close your buys sooner than fibo 61% 1.03600
SL= last clear low (4hour)
good luck , if eurusd go up , dont open reverse sell , it can go up wild , only under red arrow we can pick sell
Dollar - DX DXY DOLLAR WEF Summit in DAVOS Began today, May 22, 2022.
World Economic Forum members are face to face
\as opposed to Virtual.
Topics include Ukraine, Energy, Nato, and Climate.
Government Policies will be shaped this weekend
for the next 18 months.
Volatility & Stability will be addressed with strategy
sessions will be addressed in breakout groups to present
a composite solution.
This meeting has been postponed as it is usually held in
January.
Acceleration of Policies and Agenda are to be anticipated.
The result will have broad-reaching Market implications.
Bullish Divergence in Euro FuturesBasically the same idea that I posted last week about the Bearish Divergence in $DXY but more time has passed, and it looks even more pronounced in the Euro itself.
Pick your poison: /6E, /M6E, EURUSD are all good Long candidates to play this idea. Another good option could be to short /SFX - which is the Small Exchange's US Dollar Futures contract. If you don't know about The Small Exchange, I'd highly recommend looking into their products.
community.thesmallexchange.com
dont fear buy eurusd now SL= last low target 1= fibo 61% 1.1440 target 2= fibo 161% 1.19000 (close 50% of your buy in tp1 then close rest in tp2 reach tp2 can take 20 day)
dont close buy soon with little profit, give minimum 7-8 day time for grow
ADVICE= eurusd break red trend line =buy signal for pro traders ,,so until fibo 61% dont open sell (it can fly up wild) , instead sell, looking for buy in deep for hold to new high
alert=if low break,eurusd can little go downer
if you have old buys,dont panic ,hold them until fibo 61%,dont close sooner
if you have old sells,close all now and pick buy (under 1.340)
on eurusd keep monitor AC on daily and 1 hour chart (if you are new on accelator occilator,(created by Bill williams) dont trade with it , it need min 8 month watch ,has many secrets)
euro futures net open orders by larg banks and fund managers
prnt.sc
my desktop ,i update it each morning
www.tradingview.com
6E EURUSD Possible Areas of OpportunityIn the chart published, the marked area with a green box is a great area to look for long opportunities as long as price shows us a confirmation for a trade. It is rather a big zone so lowering to the smaller timeframes would be wise in order to get a better entry. 1hr must first form bullish market structure or reject multiple times the marked area in order for a trade to be considered. Good luck on your trading.
EURUSD - From Market Maker Zones (4th Week of November)Hello,
Risky buys (Reason EU and DXY passed monthly zones , and pull back chance is 75%)
Conformation for buys will be: DAY close above balance zone.
After it will happen we will share best zones where to buy (or add) more long in mid-term perspective.
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Always look for reactions on this levels before you execute the trade
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--------------------------------------- DISCLAIMER ---------------------------------------------------
Any and all commentary, research, analyses, or other information published by me on this website are provided as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice nor a solicitation and there are no guarantees associated with them. I am not liable for any loss or damage, including without limitation, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
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EURUSD SHORT - From Market Maker Zones (3nd Week of November)Hello,
Our previous trading idea hit all the targets!
EU (also GU) now in potential reverse zone, in order to confirm that we need to close a DAY above Balance.
But since we are still in BEARISH mood, we will try to take shorts :)
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Always look for reactions on this levels before you execute the trade
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EURUSD SHORT - From Market Maker Zones (2nd Week of November)Hello,
We are still in BEARISH Momentum UNTILL we set above Market Maker Balance Zone,
So now we look ONLY for SHORTS from:
1- Market Maker Balance
2- Market Maker Defend
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Always look for reactions on this levels before you execute the trade
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ES - ALL Overhead Targets completedMarkets will see the lower end of the Range - Trade and Fail.
Wall Street always get their Fills.
The DXY as indicated will put immense pressure on everything
with the 9465s heading our way.
We will continue to PRESS GBP and 6E positions - which remain
our largest single SELLS.
Into the close we close 12/20 GBP / 12/20 6E.
Nice to see this trade perform as anticipated as there is a
large disruption coming to FX as we alluded.
It has arrived :)
6E - Whom do you trustThe European Union is setup for yet another series of Defaults.
After the Cypress Test, the Greek Crisis and Italy, France, Spain
and all members of this dysfunctional Union.
It can hardly be referred to as Economic as it remains the most
dysfunctional series of entanglements ever created.
Nationalism - is gaining traction once again, having failed miserably
to find harmony.
Incompatibility - Centuries of Mistrust has reemerged in varying forms.
Different Economies, Different Cultures, the twain has not met and nor
will it.
Merkel, a Former Communist turned "Social Democrat" failed to impose
her brand of Austerity upon other Members - The BIS asked her to exit
stage left.
The European Parliament has been side stepped since Day One. Useless
series of attempts to reign in their Sovereignty - Democracy failed within
the European Union.
A bureaucracy with no accountability - None. Perhaps the most wasteful
nascent form of insidious "Devil May Care" attitude in recorded History.
Structure - Glacial Policy implementations - Wandering Bishops unable to
preside over Crisis after Crisis. Lack of Unity, Decision process as Glacial
as Policy.
Absorption of Eastern Europe - Oil meet Water. Authoritarianism never goes
quietly into the night.
Convergence of Economic Interest - The wide ability to Tax and Spend.
Yeah, Naw it failed.
Germany - Unacceptable Dominatrix. Sieg Heil, Without the a Big Smile.
Cooperation was never intended, Members declined to be dominated by
their Mistress.
CONsensus - Yeah, Naw, Never happened.
Labor migration within the EU created immense arbitrage and Social Distrust.
Protectionism - Let those other Nations "Eat Cake" we'll protect our own.
NATO vs. Russia - Protecting as Deals are being made... A waste of Money
which leaves the inability to pay, a non-issue. Peace preferred with
Mamayev Kurgan is recognized as far more effective, not to mention
the energy Indpendence.
OSFA - Again - Yeah, Naw as OzzyMan would suggest - One Size Does Not Fit All.
A dozen or more reasons the 6E is doomed to the dustbin of History.
LaGarde is quickly moving to provide a BIS Solution in the form of Digi _______
Fill in the blank, it certainly isn't money.
108s will trade into August - October timeframe.
DXY could get serious busy to the upside.
6E Approaching Crisis Moment for August - October/NovemberAugust is a Pivotal month for Geopolitical Events which began gaining momentum in March of
this Year.
The Economic crisis is a large contagion spreading throughout the European Union.
The inability of the EU to continue buying Debt from its member states is clearly grinding to a
sudden halt.
Pressure to break up the EU is mounting in both scope and scale -Forcing the European Central Bank
to begin enacting Currency controls - moving to a Digital Currency with no intrinsic value.
This will in turn provide strength for the US DX, as confidence collapses across the European Union.
Borrowing forever is coming to an decided end. Since the Greek Crisis unfolded, Nations within this
Political Union have seen bailout after bailout fail.
Confidence has been all but lost, we will see this Crisis spread Globally. It is unavoidable.
The Moneyness of Credit has dissolved:
Christine Lagarde - "We think that it's a duty of us to actually have available digital currencies that
would operate to the benefit of consumers."
Nothing could be further from the truth.
FX will come under immense duress. Dark Pools will profit exponentially in to 2022.
Negative interest rates have destroyed the European bond markets, the very same will occur here
the coming years.
Debt, no Treasury has intentions to pay back with anything but inflated script - this too, has failed
for the EU.
We will see how the 6E trades from August to October, my Analysis brings me to conclude this charade
is approaching its disruptive end.
It is best to tread lightly in FX as VX will increase dramatically.
The spillover effect will be dramatic, Yield Curve Control (YCC) will come under immense scrutiny once
we see LaGarde and her ilk begin to roll out their Agenda, EU Coin.
Extreme Caution Warranted - Regards, L11
Volumes. Daytrading. Signals, trades and statements every day.Hey everybody. I am a Daytrader and I do effective market analysis based on price and volume. Yes, really effective and you will see that ;)
I have a complex system of analysis, unlike that primitive volume analysis, which is described everywhere on the Internet. Not to mention other garbage analysis methods, like graphic, candlestick, technical, waves analysis and other crap.
At the moment I am working with 6E (EUR/USD) and I will share with you the analysis and signals my system provides. Try the signals, enjoy the results and ask questions.
Those signals that I will give here, I will work out myself and show the results directly on the charts at the end of the day. I will also periodically post the statement from the terminal.
In fact, I'm already running my blog from the beginning of May. For starters I just wanted to try what it is like to trade publicly, publishing my analysis and all my trades every day. I started writing literally for myself and a couple of friends, and now that I'm more or less on the rails, I've decided that I'm going to start doing it for an audience.
Decided that I would do a little recap at the end of each month. I started blogging on May 5th, so today I'm going to sum up May, and in the next post, like tomorrow, I'm going to do a post about June. I started by simply writing every day scenarios for the next day and giving recommendations for trades. I didn't open a separate account to trade on these recommendations until early June, so in today's post we'll only look at specific word-of-mouth recommendations and how my scenarios came to fruition. The next post, which will sum up the results of June, will show specific trades and statement from the trading terminal.
By the way, I started with 30 euros on June 3, and so far I have 90 euros in my account. About 35 deals during this period, only 2 of which are in the small loss, almost break-even .
IMPORTANT NOTE: there are a lot of traders who show their "successful" analytics and trading on the Internet, but in 99% of cases it is just a demonstration of some profitable deals/days, which happen to everyone with different frequency. Obviously, all this is worthless, because for one successful forecast and a profitable day there may be 5 losing trades. I, in turn, demonstrate my analytics and its results, as well as my trading absolutely every day. Thus, it is possible to get an objective picture of how effective it all is. And of course I show a complete report in the form of the statement from the terminal.
For instance, I have missed only 1 day in May, I simply slept through it, but it was Friday and, as you can see from my Friday posts, I almost never trade on that day and do not give signals, so no big deal. Below I have given quotes from my posts, where I have registered my scenarios and recommendations, as well as the way they were implemented. Some days I have not given as an example, because on those days I either did not give clear recommendations (which I directly wrote about in the post for that day), or I gave some far-out levels for trading, which eventually were not achieved. You can see all the posts for each day without exception on my blog at any site you like.
May 6.
"As stated yesterday, there were rotations near the lower limit of the local balance."
***Screenshots in the reddit article by the link attached to this post***
May 10.
"But as I said on Thursday, the price is at the lower boundary of the local balance and it's not ready to move down at all. And said to pay attention to the fact that the volume of the previous day has moved down and the price is fixing above it, which tells evidently about the strength of the buyers and the intention to continue the local balance. As a result, Friday was very strong and confident and on the volume went up, implementing a passage to the upper boundary of the local balance."
***Screenshots in the reddit article by the link attached to this post***
May 11.
"Yesterday I wrote that we were at the upper boundary of the local balance (blue rectangle on the screenshot) and that the price would rotate on this boundary all day long.
That's exactly what happened, there was a rotation that formed an intraday small balance, from the lower boundary of which I suggested buying (1.2130) in yesterday's post."
***Screenshots in the reddit article by the link attached to this post***
May 12.
"I'm sure you're just as pleased as I am to see the beautifully realized scenarios we predict every day. In yesterday's post, I wrote that price would continue to rotate within the intraday balance (blue rectangle). I also wrote that the limits of the balance will widen a little bit and it makes sense to sell from 1.2193. But it was a far and safe level for the short. And the closer level, which was also marked on the chart (gray level) was realized."
***Screenshots in the reddit article by the link attached to this post***
May 13.
"Right away I will draw your attention to how once again the market has accurately implemented our scenario. As I wrote yesterday, the selling factors intensified, which indicates a soon movement within the local balance down. As usual, I gave the safest levels for deals, and the price did not reach the short-side level just 5 points, but turned down from the overnight volumes of the previous day very nicely (black level on the first screenshot).
***Screenshots in the reddit article by the link attached to this post***
May 18.
"Yesterday I wrote that the market was not ready to make an impulse yet and would trade within the boundaries of the intraday balance. I marked the balance with an orange rectangle. That's what happened."
***Screenshots in the reddit article by the link attached to this post***
May 19
"Well guys, even though I got up late yesterday and we missed the main movement with you, the recommendations for the rest of the day worked out more than accurately.
The price did turn around from the level indicated in yesterday's post, falling just a couple of pips short. Like I said, the price reached the thin support and reversed to 1.2233. I could not indicate the thin support at that time, because it was to be formed only in the future, when the price would move fully upwards. But even here, the defined gray level on the chart proved to be the thin support, from which the price reversed upward."
***Screenshots in the reddit article by the link attached to this post***
May 20
"As I wrote in a previous post "the possibility of the impulse ending or at least pausing is also there, as we are at serious resistance levels." In the end, the resistance did indeed trigger, selling activity occurred. And as I said, if the level of 1.2247 will not be passed, we will buy from 1.2200 with the target of 1.2237. Note how accurately our target (the red level) was eventually worked out."
***Screenshots in the reddit article by the link attached to this post***
May 25.
"Yesterday I wrote, "Sell from 1.2205, if the price goes there right after the market opening in the next 5-6 hours with the target 1.2173 or with the target 1.2188 if completely safe." As a result, I was able to see how beautifully and accurately these levels worked out and the targets were set. However, it happened later than I wrote in the scenario, so unfortunately the signal was not implemented.
However, the following scenario was executed, "If there is no selling volume at 1.2205 and the price will rise above 1.2188, you can buy to 1.2237". As a result, the price fixed above 1.2188 and really reached 1.2237, showing the strength of the buyers."
***Screenshots in the reddit article by the link attached to this post***
May 26.
"Of course we had considered that scenario, that's why I advised to buy from 1.2237 and from 1.2244, aiming for 1.2260. In the end both levels were bought and the price even went a little bit lower to 1.2228, which was also marked on the chart. However, the price reached the target only early this morning, so I understand you, for those, who were unsure and closed early at break-even or with small profit."
***Screenshots in the reddit article by the link attached to this post***
May 27.
"Yesterday I wrote that there would be no repositioning upwards and that the intraday balance would continue and the price would go towards its lower boundary to 1.2175 - 1.2160. As you can see on the chart, that's what happened."
***Screenshots in the reddit article by the link attached to this post***
May 28
"I want to start right off by saying how great the levels that you and I mark on the chart work. It's a pleasure to work with them and observe this beauty. Yesterday I gave only sell signals. As a result, the sales happened exactly from the level I gave and beautifully reached their target (in yesterday's post: Sell from 1.2215 with a target of 1.2187)."
***Screenshots in the reddit article by the link attached to this post***
May 31
"As you may remember, on Friday I traditionally did not give any signals for the day, but I said that the price was likely to fall further and suggested to sell from 1.22, if the selling at the level occurred. As a result we got to 1.22 and the market went down rapidly and nicely. I did not give any signals, but the scenario worked perfectly.
***Screenshots in the reddit article by the link attached to this post***
Here is my current statements from the moment I made my account and deposited 30 euros.
***Screenshots in the reddit article by the link attached to this post***
I will make a post tomorrow morning with analysis and signals for tomorrow. Do not miss ;)