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6E1!

EURO (EURUSD, 6EM2024)... BULLISH!Bias is Bullish. Price traded through bearish PD Arrays, respecting bullish ones. Currently, price is in a +FVG, hence the bullish bias. Price is very close to the DOL, a swing high. Price may tap the +FVG more than once before heading higher. Expectations are for the DOL to be swept next week, as price grinds upward. Thank you for viewing! Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! May profits be upon you.
CME:6E1!Long
by RT_Money
EURUSD. Weekly trading levels 13 - 17.05.2024We continue the experiment with a wider range of zones. Let's see if we can guess the places to search for deals for the week ahead. Last week in the related ideas at the bottom of the post. During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones. Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on the new data and publish a new post. The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :) ---------------------------------------------- Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from CME. Used as areas of interest for trade. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat. Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to enter into a continuation of the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern. Don’t forget to like Rocket, Comments and Subscribe!!!
by Forex_Hoby
EUR/USD Outlook: Interplay of Technical and Fundamental FactorsThe EUR/USD pair benefited from modest selling pressure on the US Dollar (USD) and concluded Monday's session in positive territory. Recent days have witnessed a notable selling pressure with low volume observed in both the cross and the future of the EUR. Later in the session, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will unveil the Producer Price Index (PPI) data for April. Market expectations are poised for a 0.3% monthly increase in PPI, following a 0.2% uptick in March. A stronger-than-anticipated rise in monthly PPI could bolster the USD, potentially prompting a downturn in EUR/USD. Conversely, a softer-than-expected PPI print leading up to Wednesday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data might fuel a risk rally, weakening the USD and facilitating EUR/USD's upward momentum. From a technical standpoint, analysis reveals a negative delta in the footprint, suggesting potential targets in areas of price imbalance. This indicates a possibility for the price to decline to fill the void in transaction volumes. EURO FX Futures
Short
by FOREXN1
1
EURUSD. Weekly trading levels 6 - 10.05.2024During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones. Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on the new data and publish a new post. The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :) ---------------------------------------------- Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from CME. Used as areas of interest for trade. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat. Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to enter into a continuation of the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern. Don’t forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!!
by Forex_Hoby
EUR (6E1!, EURUSD) Taking a BEARISH TurnLooking for an Internal to External move this week. From the Weekly -FVG to the low at 1.06285. The early part of the week may see price head up to sweep LQ before turning over and dropping. * Should the 4H show a bearish break of structure with a strong close, it may provide an early signal that the retracement has ended and sells should be sought. LIKE, COMMENT or SUBSCRIBE if you like and want to see more analysis. Thank you for viewing!
CME:6E1!
by RT_Money
EURUSD LONG BUY - 6E - EURO FUTURESSoooo I've been playing around with mapping out the Elliot Wave Theory, and it looks like we're gearing up for a bullish reversal with Wave 5 shaping up. Based on how things are moving, we could see the price dip a bit more to 1.07574 sometime next week. There's a good chance we'll see the 'power of 3' in action, along with some side-stepping as the market consolidates and the big players possibly tweaking things for one more push to gather up extra liquidity before they go for the final spread. We'll just have to hang tight and watch how it unfolds. I'm thinking of taking my profits at 1.10. ****This is all just me thinking out loud about my trading strategy and does not constitute as financial advice.. **** ****Remember, always play it safe with your trades with proper risk management!**** If you've got a different take on this or some insights of your own, I'd love to hear them in the comments. It's always cool to get different perspectives on the market. Let's chat!
Long
by MOGBEBOR
5
Euro to propel on relapsing EU inflation & US jobs dataFighting inflation is hard. Hence, central banks are data dependent while calibrating rates. Continuing geopolitical conflicts puts Europe at risk of inflation relapse. Headline numbers can be misleading. Central bankers will dig deep. Deeper analysis will compel investors and policy makers to rethink and recalibrate interest rate calculus. This paper unpacks US jobs & Euro area inflation report, and market expectations of rates ahead. UNPACKING US NON-FARM PAYROLL DATA The US labour market added 216k jobs in December 2023 surpassing expectations. It was up 25% month-on-month. Headline numbers look healthy. Details spell trouble. Payroll data was revised lower by 71k for October and November. Average work week contracted, and participation rate declined. Jobs growth is concentrated in three sectors, namely, Government, Education/healthcare, and Leisure/Hospitality. Eighty percent of the jobs added are from sectors that are not considered growth engines. Three key takeaways from jobs report: 1. Employment growth remains robust: Month-on-Month employment trends point to jobs growth in government, leisure and hospitality, health care, social assistance, and construction, while transportation and warehousing lost jobs. On a 12-month seasonally adjusted basis, apart from (a) Transportation & Warehousing and (b) Information, rest of the sectors added jobs. Source: BLS 2. Hourly Wage Earnings growth is strong: In December, average hourly earnings on private payrolls jumped by fifteen cents, or 0.4%, to USD 34.27/hour. Average hourly earnings have increased by 4.1% over the last year. Source: BLS 3. Unemployment Remains Unchanged: Unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.7% (3.5% last year this time) with number of unemployed persons unchanged at 6.3 million (5.7 million last year this time). COMPREHENDING EUROZONE INFLATION NUMBERS Euro area inflation rose 2.9% YoY in December 2023, reversing a two-year low (2.4%) observed in November. Eurostat inflation estimates was marginally below the market consensus of 3%. Inflation uptick since April 2023 was primarily due to energy-related base effects. Energy prices declined 6.7% while services inflation was flat. Core inflation, excluding food and energy prices, softened to 3.4%. Core inflation is at its lowest point since March 2022. MARKET EXPECTATIONS OF RATE CUTS Investors are betting that the US Fed and the ECB will cut rates six times this year. First rate cut is expected in March or April. Market expectations are in sharp contrast to policymakers. The US Fed expects to make three quarter-point cuts this year. The ECB has stood its ground arguing that the inflation fight is not over yet. Amid strong economic data, probability of Fed rate cuts in March has fallen from 100% to 70%. Source: CME Fedwatch Tool EUR-USD WITNESSED WILD MOVES ON INFLATION, JOBS, AND SERVICES DATA BUT SETTLED WHERE IT OPENED Last Friday news flow impacting FX rates were strong. Front month EUR-USD futures traded wildly opening at 1.0977 reaching a high of 1.1030 and then plunging to a low of 1.0908 before closing at 1.0977. December US ISM Services PMI unexpectedly fell to 50.6, the lowest reading in seven months, compared to 52.7 in November. Services industry is critical accounting for more than two-thirds of the US economy. Euro fell 0.5% last week, marking its largest weekly drop since early December breaking three consecutive weeks of strengthening. The EUR-USD is hovering at its support levels with the 50d DMA likely to print a golden cross with the 200d DMA. Near term technical signals point to strengthening of the Euro versus the US dollar. Momentum favours Euro while price reversion risk remains neutral. Diverging macroeconomic conditions leaves Eurozone exposed to higher risk of inflation relapse. The ECB is expected to be slower with rate cuts relative to the Fed. In anticipation, leveraged funds are starting to sharply reduce their net short positions in the CME EUR/USD futures. Source: CME QuikStrike HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Europe is at greater risk of inflation relapse on continuing geopolitical risks in Russia-Ukraine and the middle east. Energy and goods inflation relapse will force the ECB to defer its rate cuts. Size of the rate cuts, if any, is also likely to be smaller at the ECB relative to the Fed. This will strengthen the Euro against the USD in the near term. To harvest gains from a strengthening Euro, this paper posits a hypothetical long position in CME Micro EUR/USD Futures expiring in March 2024 (M6EH2024) with an entry at 1.0979 combined with a target at 1.1123 and hedged by a stop at 1.0871, delivering an expected reward-to-risk ratio of 1.33x. Each lot of CME Micro Euro Futures contract provides exposure to 12,500 Euros. It is quoted in USD per Euro increment. Each pip i.e., 0.0001 per Euro delivers a P&L of USD 1.25. • Entry: 1.0979 • Target: 1.1123 • Stop: 1.0871 • Profit at Target (hypothetical): USD 180 (= 0.0144; 144 pips; 144 x 1.25 = 180) • Loss at Stop (hypothetical): USD 135 (= -0.0108; -108 pips; -108 x 1.25 = -135) • Reward-to-Risk (hypothetical): 1.33x MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CME_MINI:M6E1!Long
by mintdotfinance
EURUSD 6EF Short Trade Idea 6EZ2023 - EURUSD - SHORT 6E / EURUSD just had a strong bearish reaction on the H4 timeframe to the area of sensitivity (weekly fair value gap FVG). On a pullback into a H4 premium, I will be hunting short triggers on M15 timeframe to then target the PWL (previous weekly low). This correlates nicely with DXY, which just had the same reaction to a weekly FVG. There is a nice weekly fractal high within the weekly fair value gap on DXY which should act as the next DOL. 6EZ2023 doesn't have a fractal high to act as a draw, so I will be watching DXY to determine when to exit the short.
CME:6EZ2023Short
by Tradius_Trades
$6E1! futures gap up, bullish for EURUSDVery brief follow up with the EURUSD short term bull case I was building last week, and finally put on a trade on Friday before close, both the Euro FX futures CME:6E1! gapped up, and the MOEX:DX1! futures gapped down. If this follows through, that bodes well for my AMEX:FXE calls. I will add, the options market in AMEX:FXE are not very liquid. You will find yourself buying on the ask and likely selling on the bid. I tried to get an inbetween the market fill and it just wasn't happening. But, if the move is big enough through the next couple weeks, hopefully the profit still turns out fairly tidy. Futures open on a Sunday are not exactly something you can count on for the general direction, sometimes not even for the next day, but hey, it looks good for my trade at the moment, I'll take it. We'll see what tomorrow holds and hopefully the next ~2 or so weeks.
CME:6E1!
by dieseldub
EURUSD 4hour say:do you see 3angel pattern ?are you ready for 1.12700 area? fibo 61% daily is there i belive eurusd havs buy now ,,, pick near 1.09900 is good idea + buystop on last high with SL under pinbar low ok? ALERT= if eurusd break 1.09500 low can start down trend to 1.0700 (buy place) if you have old sells ,you must put SL in last high(1.10400) break it mean new up trend will start to fibo 61% (daily chart fibo) near 1.12777 (upper target) i wish you win , stand on FIX and very low size and low levrage is secret of win in trade
Long
by ramin_trader2006
EURUSD Short-Term Bullish Analysis/ExpectationThe price is building liquidity (Equal Highs). The Smart Money might break more structures to the downside to induce sellers before going after the equal highs. Or it could just take that liquidity without breaking structures first. It will depend on lower timeframes orderflows Click on Boost (like) to support these free analyses! This Analysis was done using my complete Strategy which includes: - Smart Money Concepts - Multi Timeframe Liquidity and Market Structure - Supply And Demand - Auction Theory - Volume Analysis - Footprint - Market Profile - Volume Profile - Wyckoff - Etc.
CME:6E1!Long
by SmartMoneySource
EURO FX Futures ( 6E1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: EURO FX Futures ( 6E1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop Type: Bearish Drop Resistance: 1.08110 Pivot: 1.06915 Support: 1.05290 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for 6E1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly continue heading down towards the support at 1.05290, where the previous swing low is. Alternative scenario: Price may head back up towards the resistance line at 1.08110 where the previous swing high is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
CME:6E1!Short
by Genesiv
EURO FX Futures ( 6E1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: EURO FX Futures ( 6E1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop Type: Bearish Drop Resistance: 1.08110 Pivot: 1.06915 Support: 1.05290 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for 6E1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly continue heading down towards the support at 1.05290, where the previous swing low is. Alternative scenario: Price may head back up towards the resistance line at 1.08110 where the previous swing high is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
CME:6E1!Short
by Genesiv