GOLD → The chances of a further decline are growing...FX:XAUUSD continues to test support at 3270 for a breakout. Any de-escalation of the conflict between the US and China could trigger a price drop. But it's not that simple...
Gold under pressure amid tariff war and ahead of US data
On Monday, gold is testing last week's low of $3260, remaining under pressure from a strengthening dollar and easing trade risks between the US and China.
Investors are preparing for the release of key US GDP and labor market data, which could influence expectations for Fed rates. Against this backdrop, the correction in gold could be replaced by growth if macro statistics turn out to be weak and geopolitical risks remain.
Another retest of support could trigger a breakout. It is necessary to monitor the situation between China and the US. Any de-escalation will trigger a decline.
Resistance levels: 3299, 3326
Support levels: 3268.9, 3245, 3232
Since the opening of the session, the potential for a further decline has been exhausted. Gold may strengthen to the indicated resistance zones. A false breakout of 3300/3326 could trigger a decline, which could bring the price closer to the support breakout of 3270.
With respect, R. Linda!
A-flat
EURO - Price can bounce up of support level to top part of flatHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price traded inside a triangle, where it broke $1.0920 level and then made a correction to this level.
Then price exited from triangle pattern, retesting and then made upward impulse to $1.1310 level, which coincided with support area.
Next, Euro started to traded inside flat, wher it soon broke $1.1310 level, but then it made correction.
After this movement, price in a short time rose to the top part of flat, where it turned around and bounced down to $1.1310 level.
Price tired to grow, but failed and continued to trading near this level, and even recently it bounced.
So, in this moment, I expect that Euro can bounce up from support level to $1.1575 top part of the flat.
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NZDCHF → The global bearish trend may continueFX:NZDCHF has been within a local upward wedge pattern for a long time. A breakout of support could trigger a continuation of the downtrend.
After breaking through the wedge support, the currency pair is one step away from the start of the realization. The focus is on consolidation at 0.4982 - 0.4919. A breakout of support could trigger a decline in the currency pair amid a weakening NZD and a rising dollar index, which overall creates a negative backdrop for the pair.
A retest of the previously broken boundary of the figure or resistance at 0.4953 is possible before the decline continues, but a consolidation of the price below 0.4918 will be a good signal for the start of the movement.
Resistance levels: 0.4953, 0.4981
Support levels: 0.4918, 0.4872
Trend pressure plays an important role, as does the fact that the price is coming out of a wedge consolidation. The breakout is directed towards the main trend, and price consolidation below the key support will only confirm this.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Consolidation or reversal? Why is $ 95000 important?BINANCE:BTCUSD held up quite strongly during the tariff war and largely weathered the storm, while the stock market and indices were in free fall. The improvement in the fundamental situation has once again heightened interest in the asset among traders and investors.
Earlier, I pointed out that against the backdrop of falling markets (due to Trump's policies and tariff wars), Bitcoin is holding up fairly well. It cannot be compared to gold, which maintains its status as a safe haven, but overall it has stayed out of the 73K risk zone.
Countries are continuing negotiations in the US, which generally points to an improvement in the trade situation, but all attention remains on relations between China and the US, and a resolution may be close.
Technically, on the daily/weekly timeframe, the price has broken through the trend resistance and the asset has moved from the sell zone to the buy zone, which in general only increases interest in the flagship. Bitcoin is stuck in the 95K-92K range. A false breakout of resistance provokes a correction, and now we need to monitor the price and see where the correction will stop. This will show us important support that could become the basis for consolidation.
Resistance levels: 95K, 100K, 102.5K
Support levels: 93.5, 92.9, 92, 91K
To break through 95K and continue growing, Bitcoin must form consolidation. There is none at the moment, and a correction and halt may indicate the approximate boundaries of consolidation. However, the focus is on 95 - 93.5 - 92K. If the price manages to stay within the local boundaries and continues to storm the 95K resistance, we will have a chance for a breakthrough and continued growth to 100K. Otherwise, Bitcoin may form a deeper correction, for example to 91-88K
Best regards, R. Linda!
LINKUSDT → Consolidation. One step away from a rally?BINANCE:LINKUSDT entered a consolidation phase after breaking out of a downward channel. This is a fairly positive sign that buyers are building up momentum ahead of a possible breakout of resistance.
Exit from the downward price channel, distribution, and transition of the market to a consolidation phase: 15.275 - 14.400. Bitcoin is forming positive dynamics, which supports altcoins. The local alt season may continue if Bitcoin continues to grow after breaking through 95K. If LINK breaks through the resistance level of 15.275, this move could trigger further growth
Resistance levels: 15.275, 15.942
Support levels: 14.400, 14.266
At the moment, the mood of altcoins depends on Bitcoin, as it is receiving support amid positive fundamental data in the US and the global economy. However, for LINK, the focus is on the current consolidation. If the resistance level is not broken on the first attempt, it may happen during the next retest. Before that, the price may test the consolidation support with a false breakdown, which could create an imbalance in favor of buyers, only increasing the chances of growth and a breakout of resistance, provided, of course, that the overall bullish trend continues.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of news. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating. Focus on 3370 - 3269. Economic data is expected tomorrow, and gold is likely to trade within the consolidation range for several days.
Optimism about US trade talks with key partners boosted risk appetite and supported the dollar. The US Treasury Secretary reported progress with India, while President Trump softened his rhetoric on China, which also strengthened the dollar. At the same time, traders took a wait-and-see stance ahead of the release of US GDP data for the first quarter. If the figures turn out to be weak, gold could rise sharply as a safe-haven asset. Thus, the gold market remains sensitive to trade news and macro data, especially against the backdrop of rebalancing at the end of April.
At the moment, as part of the current momentum and correction, I expect prices to recover from the 0.5 - 0.7 Fibonacci zone. Gold may test 3323-3325 before resuming its correction within the consolidation.
Resistance levels: 3323, 3352, 3370
Support levels: 3290, 3270
Traders are waiting for a resolution in the tariff dispute as well as economic data due tomorrow. However, while the price is consolidating, I expect a rebound from support. BUT! If the price continues to squeeze towards any boundary, with priority to support, then the chances of a breakout from the consolidation base may increase.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → A false breakdown of support will lead to growthFX:XAUUSD is trading within the range of 3370-3270. Since the opening of the session, the price has lost its potential for further decline. There is no news on Friday, so after retesting the liquidity and support zone of 3283-3270, the price is likely to return to growth.
Gold stabilizes near $3,350, but growth is held back by the dollar
On Friday, gold held its ground after recovering, but further growth is limited by the strengthening dollar and hopes for progress in the tariff war negotiations...
Optimism about corporate earnings in the US and easing recession fears are supporting demand for the dollar. However, ongoing uncertainty in US-China relations is keeping interest in gold alive.
Markets are waiting for new signals from the White House and the Fed, which will determine the further movement of gold prices towards the end of the week.
Focus on supporting the trading range. A false breakdown of 3283-3270 could change the balance of power, leading to a rebound or growth.
Resistance levels: 3314, 3342, 3370
Support levels: 3283, 3270, 3244
There is no news today, except for the unpredictable Trump and the general situation with the tariff war. Any speech or tweet could shake the market. However, after a neutral week, gold remained within the range, and the market is likely to keep the metal within the flat on Friday. Accordingly, I expect a rebound from support and growth to the intermediate resistance lines indicated above.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURUSD → Accumulation of liquidity before continued growthFX:EURUSD currency pair is forming a trading range within a global and local uptrend. Before continuing its growth, the market may form a false breakout.
Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, the euro is strengthening and has gained 13% over the past four months, which is a fairly significant growth indicator for the currency pair. Fundamentally, the US is trying to achieve a rapid reduction in interest rates, which may continue to support the euro...
Technically, the price is consolidating against the backdrop of a global and local uptrend. A correction is forming towards the support zone, where there is a fairly large pool of liquidity...
Resistance levels: 1.1392, 1.1439, 1.1481
Support levels: 1.130, 1.127
The price is heading towards support, namely, the market is interested in liquidity below 1.13 - 1.127, which must be tested in order to build up potential before the bullish trend possibly continues.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → False breakdown and change of mood...FX:XAUUSD is strengthening after a false breakdown of support at 3288, with the change in fundamental sentiment due to US statements on the tariff war also providing support for the price.
On Thursday, gold rose from a weekly low of $3,260, supported by a weaker dollar and renewed concerns about US trade negotiations with China and Japan.
Optimism about tariff cuts quickly faded after denials from the White House. Weak US business activity data is fueling talk of a possible Fed policy easing, which is also supporting gold. The markets remain focused on trade news and Trump's statements.
Technically, gold could reach the liquidity cluster at 3314 and continue to rise towards strong resistance at 3370.
Resistance levels: 3342, 3370, 3387
Support levels: 3314, 3288, 3270
Below 3314 and below 3288, a liquidity pool has formed, which the market is likely to test before continuing its growth. It is too early to talk about a resumption of a strong rally, as the situation between the US and China is complicated, as are the negotiations on the situation in Eastern Europe, which seem to be moving towards talks, but every time something goes wrong...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Reversal or correction? What to do now?FX:XAUUSD reaching the psychological high of $3500 has entered the correction phase, which was also influenced by a slight easing of the tariff conflict between the U.S. and China....
After falling without reaching the zone of interest 3288, the gold price is strengthening at the beginning of the European session, expecting PMI data from the U.S.. Earlier, the metal reached a record of $3,500, but rolled back amid hopes for an easing of the trade war with China and words of the US Treasury Secretary about a possible “détente”.
The dollar recovered as part of the correction, but investors doubt Trump's predictability, gold at this time begins a correction. In the center of attention is the PMI index from S&P Global: its results may affect expectations for Fed Funds rates and give a new direction to the market.
Resistance levels: 3340, 3360, 3366
Support levels: 3317, 3288
Technically gold is in correction and confirms the bearish structure. But any unexpected statement by Trump may attract aggressive buying.
Nevertheless, we should now consider a possible decline from 3340 - 3360 - 3366. Buying could be considered on a retest of support or a close above 3370.
Regards R. Linda!
EURAUD → False breakdown as part of a bullish trend correctionFX:EURAUD amid the global bullish trend is forming a correction to the trading range support. Bulls are trying to hold the 1.775 zone
The currency pair is in a wide range, in consolidation. Relative to the lower boundary of the range, the price makes a false breakdown and liquidity capture, which may lead to a correction to 0.5 of the range, or to resistance
Price consolidation above 1.775 and formation of local reversal pattern may affect further growth (global trend is bullish, locally - correction). The fundamental background is unstable, but the dollar index is still in correction after a strong fall....
Resistance levels: 1.7855, 1.7987
Support levels: 1.775, 1.7695
If the bulls hold the defense above the key support - the lower boundary of the trading range, the currency price may bounce up and head for the liquidity accumulated above the resistance....
Regards R. Linda!
SOLANA → Pre-breakout consolidation relative to 136.00BINANCE:SOLUSDT relative to the range support forms a false breakdown. The market reacts quite positively and the price recovers, forming a consolidation in front of strong resistance
Bitcoin is also in consolidation, as well as SOL, in general the movements coincide, but lately bitcoin is leading relative to the stock market.
SOL is in consolidation in front of a strong resistance level at 136.00. The primary test may end with a small correction to 0.5 fibo, or consolidation near the level, but a breakout and price consolidation above the current consolidation will be a positive signal for continued growth. The global trend reversal is out of the question, we are aiming at local targets, such as 140, 147, 152.
Resistance levels: 147,152
Support levels: 129, 123, 111
In general, the global market situation is bearish, the local situation is neutral as the price is in a sideways range. A false breakdown was formed against the support of the current range. Technically, due to liquidity imbalance (after the false breakdown) the price may head towards such zones as 147 - 152
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → A false breakout can trigger a correction FX:GBPUSD is strengthening as part of the rally associated with the fall in the dollar index, but there is a technically strong resistance zone ahead that could trigger a correction...
The dollar index, due to US politics, desire for lower interest rates, tariff war, continues its decline, giving an advantage to the currency pairs of the main basket.
Against this background, the pound sterling is strengthening and is ready to test the key resistance at the moment: 1.343. The huge pool of liquidity, accumulated behind this area may not let the price up at the first time. The last test and confirmation of this level was half a year ago.
Resistance levels: 1.343
Support levels: 1.3292, 1.3207
A sharp approach to resistance, a false breakout without the possibility of growth continuation and consolidation below the resistance 1.3430 may provoke a correction in the imbalance zone or liquidity 1.3292.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Correction after reaching 3500. What's next?FX:XAUUSD updates high to $3,500 amid Trump's attacks on the Fed, we are still in the aggressive trend phase. North train makes a small stop which may give us a chance to trade...
Investors are fleeing to safe-haven assets amid an escalating US-China trade war and Trump's verbal attacks on Fed chief Powell.
Trump is blaming the Fed for the slowing economy and demanding immediate rate cuts, which is undermining confidence in the dollar and boosting demand for gold.
3500 is a psychologically important target and once it is reached, traders have moved to profit-taking, which could lead to a small correction...
Resistance levels: 3475, 3500
Support levels: 3441, 3408, 3385
As part of the correction, the price may test 3440, or 3410. The trend is aggressively bullish and sales should not be considered. The ideal scenario would be liquidity capture relative to 3410 and rebound or continuation of growth, as the fundamental background is on the side of gold....
Regards R. Linda!
POLUSDT → Rally for liquidity accumulation before the fall?BINANCE:POLUSDT.P is currently inside the trading range forming a counter-trend rally within the global downtrend. There is a rather strong liquidity zone ahead....
The distribution is formed after consolidation inside 0.1929 - 0.175. The realization phase can be stopped in the zone 0.228 - 0.2438. This will be confirmed by a stop and a false breakout.
The market is still weak, despite the local growth of bitcoin, as the flagship on the daily timeframe is still trading in the selling zone and based on the current situation we can conclude that the market is forming a collection of liquidity before the continuation of the fall.
Technically, the current rally in POL may end with a false breakout of 0.2284 or 0.2438 followed by a correction or reversal.
Resistance levels: 0.2284, 0.24388, 0.2465
Support levels: 0.2061, 0.1929.
If the price continues to approach this resistance with such speed, at some point the potential and energy may be exhausted and it will not be enough to continue the movement. In this case, we can catch a correction or even a reversal to continue the global trend.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The rally continues. Waiting for correction to tradeFX:XAUUSD supported by the weakness of the dollar and increased trade tensions between the U.S. and China continues to renew highs. At the moment the market is testing 3400...
After Friday's pullback caused by profit taking, the demand for gold rose again - investors are looking for protection amid the threat of recession in the U.S. and instability in the markets. Additional pressure on the dollar is exerted by the threat to the independence of the Fed, after statements about the possible resignation of Jerome Powell.
It is not worth buying at the highs. Technically, against the background of the uptrend, the market can take a break in the form of a pullback. A bounce from support or a false breakdown of the liquidity zone may provide a good opportunity to enter the market
Resistance levels: 3400, 3410, 3430
Support levels: 3369, 3357, 3344
Undoubtedly, based on the overall fundamental situation, gold is absorbing capital as a safe haven and can continue its growth for a long time. But we should keep an eye on the situation between the US and China, as well as in Eastern Europe. Any de-escalation of the conflict may lead to a correction.
For trading now it is worth waiting for a correction to the above mentioned support levels to find a trading opportunity.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Recovery after the FB of 0.5 fibo. What's next?FX:XAUUSD on Thursday tests 0.5 fibo, which I outlined to you on April 17, forms a false breakdown and recovers amid unstable geopolitical relations in the world. Price may continue its northward run.
The dollar continues to fall. The fundamental background depends on the relationship between the US and China as well as economic data especially after Powell's speech. The weekly session closes close to support, the decline may continue.
Gold after the shakeout is heading back north. Based on the fundamental background, the price may continue to rise. There are three days of downtime ahead as traders rest.
Fundamentally, anything can happen over the weekend, however, technically, the emphasis is on intermediate levels. The trend is still strong and bullish
Resistance levels: 3332, 3344, 3357
Support levels: 3313, 3288, 3284
If nothing supernatural happens over the weekend, gold in the Asian session may bounce off the nearest resistance and test trend support before continuing the uptrend. If there are any critical changes in the mood of countries/politicians then I will update the situation
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN - Price can little correct and then make impulse upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price broke through the $79500 zone after a long phase of flat consolidation and sharp shakeout.
Once bulls reclaimed control, price formed a clean breakout and started building structure inside a wedge.
Momentum carried the price upward, with buyers defending each local dip and creating a stair-step rise.
Now BTC is moving steadily inside the wedge pattern, holding the lower trendline with no strong rejection.
Price is slowly grinding toward the key resistance around $88500, where volatility might return.
If this tempo holds, I expect BTC can grow higher and tag the $91000 points in the next impulsive leg.
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EURO - Price can drop to $1.1200 points, exiting from pennantHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price traded inside a flat structure with weak movement and low volatility in a tight range.
Then the Euro made a breakout and formed a strong impulse, reaching resistance and creating a new local high.
After that, price entered a pennant and made a short correction, but then continued rising with momentum.
Later, it touched resistance again and started forming a triangle pattern with a tightening structure.
Now price is near the upper boundary of the triangle and trades above $1.1135 support without a clear breakout.
In my opinion, Euro can reverse from resistance and decline to $1.1200 in the next move, thereby exiting from pennant.
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NEIROUSDT → Countertrend momentum. Is the reversal close?BINANCE:NEIROUSDT.P is one of not many coins that is growing. But the only disadvantage is that the coin is at the bottom. Most likely it is forming a set of liquidity before continuing to fall.
NEIRO is strengthening and heading towards the resistance of the range while bitcoin continues its correction.
Strong resistance and liquidity zone at 0.187 is ahead. Strong gains could be stopped by a false breakout and reversal
Just because a coin is at the bottom doesn't mean it has nowhere to fall. Yes, there is.
At the moment the price is in the range on the background of a strong downtrend, within which the price does not show signs of life. The previous buyback ended with a strong sell-off.
Resistance levels: 0.000187, 0.0002045.
Support levels: 0.000169, 0.000154
In the short term, we should expect a false breakout, reversal and price drop to the support of the range.
I do not rule out a prolonged struggle in the resistance zone, within which the price may go higher and test the 0.00020 liquidity zone before continuing to fall, within which it may renew the bottom.
Regards R. Linda!
ALCHUSDT → Rally to the liquidity zone. False breakout?BINANCE:ALCHUSDT.P is one of not many coins that looks strong amid the bearish cryptocurrency market. But how long will this energy last? There is strong resistance ahead....
A local pre-breakdown consolidation relative to the intraday level is forming. In general, this is the state of the market, ready to continue its growth within the distribution.
Thus, the breakout of 0.1590 resistance will provoke the continuation of growth up to the liquidity zone at 0.177. But already at 0.177, due to the fact that it is an important and strong intermediate resistance level, we should expect a false breakout and a pullback, for example, to 0.159 or 0.5 fibo.
Resistance levels: 0.159, 0.177, 0.23
Support levels: 0.1516, 0.5 fibo
The distribution is already 53% since the breakout of the consolidation resistance. By the time the resistance is approached, it will be 77% and the market may use up all the accumulated potential, so liquidity above 0.177 is likely to stop the upward rally and turn the coin down.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Correction to support. What's next?FX:XAUUSD updates a new high to 3357. A correction is forming after Powell's speech. On the background of the bullish trend it is worth looking for stronger support levels
Gold halted gains at $3,358 as traders take profits and assess the implications of Trump's tariff policy.Gold's gains on the week were driven by the escalating trade war between the US and China, fears of a US recession and a flight from risk assets. However, cautious rhetoric from Fed chief Powell and positive signals from trade talks with Japan temporarily curbed further gains in gold. But the level of risks and possible escalation of the conflict is still at a high level.
It is too early to talk about the trend change. At the moment the correction to liquidity zones is forming on the background of the bullish trend. The focus is on 3296, 0.5 fibo. The price may bounce from these levels.
Resistance levels: 3344, 3457
Support levels: 3320, 3296, 3275
The correction after Powell's speech may be quickly exhausted if the politicians from China and the US fuel the conflict. But any hints of negotiations and tariff cuts could be taken very positively by the market, which could lead to a reversal of the local trend.
Regards R. Linda!