GOLD → The downtrend continues to form FOREXCOM:XAUUSD has been declining on the basis of fundamentals since last week, which is what I was preparing you for. The price makes a false break of resistance and decreases by 1.8%.
Yesterday we analyzed the situation from both fundamental and technical points of view. Gold, as we expected, is declining towards the support. The price is heading towards the lower boundary of the trend, from which a small correction to the resistance may follow. If the fundamental background ( TVC:DXY ) does not change in the next few weeks, the price may test the levels even lower in the future.
Technically, now we expect a correction from the 2023-2020 area to one of the nearest resistances. BUT, if the channel support is broken and the price forms a consolidation below 2023-2020, the decline will start without a pullback, the target in this case will be the area of 2015, 2010, 2000.
Support levels: 2030, 2015
Resistance levels: 2039, 2049
The price may continue to be inside the descending channel, having formed a bounce from support to resistance. Technically and fundamentally, the price is preparing for a decline.
Regards R. Linda!
A-flat
EURJPY → False resistance breakdown and a weak euro FX:EURJPY is forging a false resistance breakout amid a global bearish trend. Bearish volume is forming in the 158.38 zone
Based on the fundamental background and strengthening of the Index dollar ( TVC:DXY ), the euro ( FX:EURUSD ) may lose ground. In such a case, on the background of euro weakening, Japanese yen ( FX:USDJPY ) may strengthen.
Globally, the currency pair stands in the range of 158.5 (157.9) - 154.0. In such a case, from resistance, within the range, the price may head towards flat support.
Technically, we have a local ascending channel and a false breakdown of the resistance area. The price consolidation below 158.38 and the break of the support at 157.5 will form the market decline to 155.0
Resistance levels: 158.38, 159.0
Support levels: 157.5, 156.3, 155
I expect the price decline within the channel to the support of 155.0. Fundamentally, the euro, as well as the yen are unstable, so the market can behave unpredictably and stand still for a long time
Regards R. Linda!
USDCAD → NFP may strengthen the currency pairFX:USDCAD is forming a local resistance level at 1.3364 and pre-breakdown consolidation before the news. There is a chance that price could consolidate.
On D1 we see the formation of a global sideways range. Hence, we are using a range trading strategy in the global perspective. A false break of support forms a signal that price is now heading upwards.
Yesterday, the TVC:DXY received fundamentally positive data that could strengthen the price, and also this data (Initial Jobless Claims, ADP NonFarm EC) is a prerequisite that today's Nonfarm Payrolls will also be bullish for the dollar.
In this case, the currency pair may break the nearest resistance at 1.3364 and continue its growth.
Support levels: 1.3315
Resistance levels: 1.3364, 1.3487
There is an empty space up to the target, therefore, if the nearest resistance is broken, the price will easily and quickly reach 1.3487
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Uncertain market. What should we expect?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is forming a global range of 2070 - 1810. In a neutral market, the price may head down from the resistance, but we have an unstable fundamental environment.
The market closes the second half of the new week in 2023 in a phase of uncertainty. The price is standing still. After receiving the news, the market quickly buys back the decline or sells off the rise, thus bringing the price back to the current range of 2050 - 2040.
Wednesday through Friday the market receives bullish news for the US market, which technically should drop the price of gold. But the market is already overheated by the Fed's manipulation and is apparently getting ready for further rate cuts, which the US regulators may start in early spring . In this case, the TVC:DXY will begin to give up its positions, which will technically strengthen the forex market and including gold, silver and the cryptocurrency market.
On the high timeframe ( 1 week ) we see the strength of buying power in the gold market. There is a reason for everything: fundamentals, geopolitics, problems in the US and European market, high interest in the metal from the central banks of many countries, which very actively continue to buy the metal.
Technically, the price may test 0.382, 0.5, 0.618 fibo by spring before rising further.
The positive sentiment is indicated by frequent resistance retests . Every next retest makes this zone lose strength, which technically brings us closer to the formation of a new bullish range after breaking the 2050-2075 zone.
There is not much news in the coming week, important data may be released in the second half. The market may start the new trading week by continuing to forge a sideways range between 2050 - 2040 . But, a breakout of one of the mentioned boundaries followed by price consolidation above or below this level will form momentum towards the mentioned zones.
Support levels: 2040, 2030, 2015
Resistance levels: 2050, 2058, 2069, 2075
The market may be temporarily affected by the bullish news for the US market from last Friday. Gold may start to decline to 2040 and retest 2030 as we saw sell-offs on Friday after stabilization. BUT! At the moment the market is unstable amidst uncertain potential. Proceed from these levels and your trading strategies.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Will NFP weaken gold? What should we expect?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is consolidating under a strong resistance level. Yesterday the gold market received negative fundamental data, in all likelihood, which will also affect NFP ( TVC:DXY )
On the high timeframe we see the formation of a resistance zone formed by several highs and levels. At the moment the focus is on the 2050 level. After a false breakdown and on the news on Thursday, a bearish consolidation is forming under the level to continue the decline. Based on the previous data, we have a high chance of seeing a negative NFP for gold. In that case, the price may head downwards. But, the problem with news is that it is unpredictable, The opposite of the expected NFP can strengthen the gold. Wait for the actual data.
On H1, there is a possible resistance retest before further decline. Moving averages previously formed a trend change signal and now indicate a downtrend.
Support levels: 2038.9, 2031, 2015
Resistance levels: 2049.3, 2058.3
Technically and fundamentally, the price is expected to decline towards the mentioned targets. But if the actual news data will be opposite to the expected ones, the market may behave unpredictably.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → News ahead. The pound could fall, but...The pound sterling FX:GBPUSD declines in the first half to 1.2615, and on Wednesday the currency pair strengthens in anticipation of news in the US market. What should we prepare for?
Today we are in anticipation of strong news: ADP NonFarm EC, Initial Jobless Claims, SP PMI . Fundamentally, analysts expect the TVC:DXY to strengthen based on the expected data. This will have a corresponding effect on the forex market. The actual data can either meet or break these expectations. But, the Fed has recently said that they are fully prepared to raise interest rates, trying to keep the market in a tight grip.
Technically, the GBPUSD may head towards the support of the upside range of 1.2550 - 1.2506. A correction phase is forming after a false breakdown of the resistance. The area of interest is below 1.2615.
Until the news publication, until 13:15 - 14:45 the market may be in a neutral state.
Resistance levels: 1.2715, 1.2784
Support levels: 1.2615, 1.2506
Technically, the currency pair may fall after the price fixation below 1.2715. But, if the news comes out worse than expected, it may strengthen the pair and the currency pair may start to grow from this level.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Correction phase, expect a fall, but news... FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is declining by 1.3% on Wednesday, the reason may be the fundamental nuances of the Fed, which is still trying to keep the market under control, hinting at both lowering the interest rates and raising them, to which the market reacts by strengthening the dollar.
Today at 13:15 - 14:45 important news is published, which reflects both the situation with inflation and the position of the FED and FOMC. Fundamentally, analysts expect bullish data, which could technically strengthen the TVC:DXY , which in turn will weaken gold. Still, it is worth waiting for actual data that can provide insight into the medium-term outlook.
On the chart we see the formation of a technical correction on the background of a bullish trend. The price is testing the resistance of 2050, it is possible that before the news the price may go higher and test 2058, 2065 before falling further. But, if the actual fundamental data is worse than expected, it could strengthen gold towards the current channel resistance.
Support levels: 2042, 2037, 2033, 2030
Resistance levels: 2049.3, 2050, 2058, 2065
The news will give us insight into the medium-term outlook. Bullish news for the dollar will weaken gold and the price will continue the local downtrend. Bearish news for the dollar will strengthen gold and may reestablish the bullish trend
Regards R. Linda!
EURGBP - Price can make little correction and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURGBP, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price entered to falt, where it tried to rise to top part, but failed and declined to resistance area.
Then, British Pound bounced from this area, rose to top part of flat, and then made downward impulse to $0.8570 support level.
Thereby price exited from flat, breaking $0.8685 level, and later started to grow in rising channel.
In channel, GBP rose to resistance line, but soon bounced and fell to support line, making fake breakout of $0.8685 level.
At the moment, price trades near support line and I think that British Pound can make correction again.
After this, GBP bounced up from support line of rising channel to $0.8720, thereby breaking resistance level.
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GOLD → Correction Phase. How long will it last?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is weakening on the background of growing TVC:DXY . At the moment, fundamental and technical indicators are diverging and the market is trying to collect maximum liquidity before further growth.
On D1 we see the formation of a false breakdown of resistance 2075. The market is in global consolidation, but locally we have a downtrend forming.
Technically, the price may test the local trend support, while the dollar seeks to test the resistance.
Within the downtrend range, gold may bounce from support to resistance. This range formation is likely to continue until the end of the week.
Support levels: 2048, 2030, 2010
Resistance levels: 2058, 2069, 2075
Fundamentally, the dollar has a weak support and should fall. But on the background of low market volumes, the market maker is collecting liquidity. It is likely that the gold may test the far support levels before rising further. Hence, the local bearish correction formation may continue until 2009 in the medium term.
Regards R. Linda!
KAVAUSDT → A break of resistance will give a 60% increaseBINANCE:KAVAUSDT is overcoming trend resistance, which could give a potential rise of several tens of percent in the mid-term
Against the backdrop of rising COINBASE:BTCUSD , which is overcoming the key 4-week resistance KAVA and the altcoin market shows good potential.
The only nuance is that KAVA is lagging the market and continues to consolidate. An important nuance that will stimulate strong growth is a break of 1.140 resistance.
This level is the upper boundary of the 12-measures consolidation. After breaking this resistance, the market will have a potential target of 1.550 and 1.800. But before that we have another resistance - the upper boundary of the wedge. Consolidation of the price above 0.950 will form the potential to buy and hold the trade up to 1.140.
Support levels: 0.950, 0.870, 0.770
Resistance levels: 1.025, 1.140
I expect consolidation of the price above 0.954 and growth to 1.140. Further I will wait for the breakthrough of 1.140 and growth to the specified targets.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The bullish potential is back. December trap FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is starting to catch up with the bullish potential, which was forged at the end of 2023, when we received negative news for $.
On D1 we see gold rising on the back of a weakening TVC:DXY . The price breaks through the important and historical resistance 2069 - 2070. A retest and consolidation of price above the level is forming. A price consolidation this week above this level will confirm the intention of the bull market. In this case, we may see a potential target in the form of: 2085, 2100 and even 2150.
On H1, the price is updating the local support (false breakout) on the background of bullish news for gold. And this is a logical scenario before further growth. I warned you that before the growth, even on good news, the price can go down.
Now it is important for us to see the price consolidation above the mentioned liquidity area.
Support levels: 2075, 2070, 2069
Resistance levels: 2079, 2082, 2088, 2100
I expect growth after the price fixation above the mentioned support area.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Bulls can show good growth FOREXCOM:EURUSD is testing support in the upside plane. The support at 1.1017 plays a key role
On D1 we see the formation of a retest of 1.1000 level after its break. The market may test this area not only by touching it, but also by false breakout before further growth.
The TVC:DXY is likely to continue its weakening on the back of weak fundamental background, which will affect the forex market accordingly.
On H4 and H1 it is worth paying attention to the support area: 1.100 level and upward support in order to make further decisions.
Resistance levels: 1.108, 1.1142
Support levels: 1.107, 1.100, 1.0930
The price may test not only the nearest support, but also the one below. Everything depends on the price reaction to the mentioned levels. But at the moment we expect growth from 1.1017.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN - Price can try exit from pennant and then continue growHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price made upward impulse from support line to resistance area, breaking $41000 and $43800 levels.
Also, BTC entered to flat, where it fell lower than $43800 level, and soon tried to back up, but failed.
Next, price some time more traded in flat, and last time made upward impulse from support level to resistance zone.
After this, BTC a few time tarded in resistance area, but recently it bounced from this area and declined to support line of pennant.
After fake breakout of support line, I think that Bitcoin can reach resistance line and try to exit from pennant.
When price will exit from pennant, it can make retest and then bounce up to $45000, breaking resistance level.
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EURO - After exiting from wedge, price can break support levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
When price bounced down from $1.1000 level, which coincided with support area, it fell and started to flat.
In flat, Euro declined to one more support area, which coincided with $1.0785 support level, and soon made fake breakout.
After this, price made upward impulse to $1.1000 level, exiting from flat and then starting to trades in wedge.
Inside wedge Euro broke $1.1000 level and later reached resistance line, but recently it bounced down and exited from wedge.
Now Euro trades near support area, and I think that Euro can fall to support level, and maybe try to break this level.
After which, EUR can make retest and then continue to fall to $1.0910 level.
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BTCUSD → The potential for a rise to 50K is accumulatingBINANCE:BTCUSD is forming a good potential and prerequisites for further growth. The key resistance is the level of 44350, and the price continues to actively test this area.
On the high timeframe we see the formation of a global range. The potential target from the point of view of technical analysis at the moment is the upper boundary of the range 65K - 70K, where a huge pool of liquidity is hidden.
Fundamentally, bitcoin is doing quite well, as the SEC has recently been actively cooperating with companies that have applied for a spot ETF. Analysts expect the first BTC-ETF to be approved in early January 2024: some sources have indicated that recent indications from SEC officials are that the green light is likely to be given by January 10.
In terms of technical analysis, an ascending triangle is forming on the chart. The key resistance of the pattern is the area of 44350 - 44500. This pattern can be interpreted as an active accumulation of buyers' potential for further overcoming the limit resistance formed by sellers. The price keeps testing the resistance and getting closer to the resistance.
At the moment there are two possible scenarios:
Retest of 43440 support, formation of a false breakdown with further retest of global pattern resistance and its breakout with further growth.
Deeper correction: retest of the resistance of the previously broken ascending channel with further rebound and retest of the global resistance with the aim of its breakout.
Support levels: 43440, 41664, 41200
Resistance levels: 44350, 48234
I expect that consolidation will end soon and the market will move to the phase of realization and growth to the specified target.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Favorable fundamentals for growth FX:EURUSD is strengthening and continues to give signs that the price will continue its rise on the back of a weaker dollar due to weaker GDP than analysts expected.
On D1, the price is testing the 1.1000 resistance area (important zone). A reversal V-shaped pattern is being formed, followed by numerous retests of the line. The pre-breakdown consolidation and positive fundamental background for the euro are doing their job.
Ahead of us today is CTGO, PCE at 13:30 GMT. It will not play a special role after GDP. Analysts expect the publication of roughly the same data as in the last period (with a slight correction). Indicators higher than expected will positively influence the dollar, while weaker data will strengthen the fall of $
The price is making a breakout attempt. A consolidation of the price above 1.1000 will form a bullish potential, which will be a strong support for the pair.
On H4 the price is still in the range of 1.1017 - 1.0830. Another resistance retest is formed after a small correction. A breakout of the level is expected with subsequent growth to the trend resistance. Moving averages support the market.
Support levels: 1.099, 1.0965, 1.093
Resistance levels: 1.1000, 1.1017
We expect a breakthrough of the above-mentioned area and continuation of the currency pair growth in the framework of the uptrend.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Favorable environment for further growth FX:GBPUSD is forging a correction within the local range after a retest of trend resistance. Most likely, a "flag" pattern is forming, which implies further trend continuation.
On D1 we see that the price is overcoming the downside resistance and consolidating above the key support at 1.26525. The next year may start with the strengthening of the pound sterling on the back of favorable fundamental environment regarding the TVC:DXY , which intends to decline.
From a TA perspective, the currency pair may form two scenarios:
Breakout of the flag resistance, price consolidation above 1.2715 and growth towards the target.
Continuation of correction to support, further rebound and growth to the target
Support levels: 1.2615, 1.2506
Resistance levels: 1.2715, 1.2784
The global trend will continue but after a small technical correction.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Trading inside the range 2050 - 2075FOREXCOM:XAUUSD has been strengthening since the opening of the session. Friday's sell-offs formed local support at 2050 (retest) after which a new range is likely to be formed.
For gold we have a favorable fundamental background, which may have a positive impact on the price. While the TVC:DXY is declining, the gold is testing new highs.
As there are a few days left before the New Year holidays, liquidity in the market is decreasing. Against this background, the price may end the trading session within the existing range of 2050 - 2075. I would advise to focus on the range trading strategy. On the chart we can see the key support lines: (rising line, 2055, 2051, 2050). There is a chance that the price may test these lines.
The level of 2062, 2069, 2075 plays the role of key resistance.
Pay attention to the schedule of your broker, so as not to open trades before the closing of the trading session. The volumes on the market are decreasing and in all likelihood the price may get stuck in the mentioned range. On Thursday, strong news is published, but until that day, gold may trade inside 2075 - 2050.
Regards R. Linda!
HelenP. I After impulse up, Binance Coin can start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Biance Coin analytics. Some days ago price rebounded from the support zone, which coincided with support 2, and soon made an upward impulse. After this, BNB started to trades in a big consolidation, where a few moments later, the price reached support 1, which coincided with the top part of flat. But then, BNB rebounded and declined until to trend line, which is located in the support zone. Later price tired to rise, but failed and declined back to zone, breaking the trend line. A few time ago BNB rose from support zone support 1, and in a short time price broke this level, exiting from consolidation. After this, BNB made a correction to support 1 and soon rebounded and made a strong impulse, breaking the trend line. At the moment, I expect that Binance Coin, after a strong impulse up, will start to decline to the trend line, . That's why I set my target at the 291 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BITCOIN - Price can continue decline to support area in flatHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
When price started to trades in rising channel, it first broke $37000 support level, which coincided with support area and continued to grow.
Then BTC reached resistance line of channel and in a short time price rose higher, thereby exiting from channel.
After this, price broke $41000 level, which coincided with one more support are,a and started to trades inside flat.
In flat, BTC tried two times to rise higher than the top part, but failed, and a not long time ago it bounced down again.
Now, I think Bitcoin can make a little movement up and then continue to decline to $40350, which coincides with the support area.
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GOLD → False breakdown of 2070. Rollback to the end of the year FOREXCOM:XAUUSD strengthened quite actively last week. The price is retesting the resistance at 2069.8 formed in August 2020. There are reasons for further growth, but also reasons for further pullback. Let's see
On D1 we can see that in the frame of distributive movement the price tests the resistance 2069.8 and forms a false breakdown, which activates a rather strong sell-off. A few hours before the end of the session the price loses 0.85%.
In the coming week there is no news except Initial Jobless Claims , analysts are expecting an increase in claims from 205K to 210K. The GDP data weakens the dollar, the Fed's stance also suggests a possible rate cut next year, and in addition the inflation data . The overall fundamental background is unfavorable for the TVC:DXY and we see a decline in the index, which in the medium term is favorable for the gold market.
Technically, there are a few days to go until the end of 2023, volatility and liquidity may decrease, but since Friday ended with a false break of resistance zones (2069.8, 2055), the current correction may last. The price may reach the support area before further growth.
It is worth paying attention to the following levels:
Resistance: 2055, 2050, 2065, 2069, 2075
Support: 2047, 2040, 2030, 2015
I advise you to study the work schedule of your brokers for Christmas and New Year holidays. Each broker determines its own regulations and therefore on these days some companies may work and others may not.
Merry Christmas! Have a great holiday!
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The price enters a new range of 2050 - 2070FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is breaking through resistances. Yesterday the US GDP was released, which showed weaker data than the market expected and this is favorable for the gold price. In part we were prepared for it.
The TVC:DXY is breaking the pattern and retesting key support. High odds are high that the decline and weakening of the index will continue. Hence, it is bullish for gold to overcome the pattern and range resistance. Gold in a bullish move breaks through the limit barrier and consolidates above the mentioned line.
Ahead of us today is the news at 13:30 GMT. I don't think they will change anything after the US GDP. Analysts expect the publication of about the same data as last period (with a slight correction). Volatility may increase in the market, be careful during trading.
Gold enters a new range of 2050 - 2070, the intermediate target is 2062.
Support levels: 2050, 2048
Resistance levels: 2062, 2075
I expect the continuation of growth even after the news, as yesterday's news defined the medium-term potential for the market. Targets are indicated on the chart. A pullback from 2062 to support before further growth is possible.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPCAD → Trend change and break of range support FOREXCOM:GBPCAD is forming a trend change. The price is breaking the key support area and most likely the fall may continue within the channel.
The Canadian is strengthening a bit stronger than the pound sterling, which is losing ground on the background of fundamental politics.
On the chart we see the formation of a fresh descending channel, but the range of 1.793 - 1.697 is more key for us. The price breaks the support of the range and forms a false breakdown in the correction phase. Consolidation of the price below the level will form a bearish potential can send the price to the mentioned target. The market may be interested in the lower boundary of the channel as a target.
In the long term we consider price strengthening from the trend support and classical trading of the price inside the bearish trend. It is also worth paying attention to the moving averages.
Resistance levels: 1.6977, 1.700
Support levels: 1.694, 1.6855
I expect a decline, a retest of the trend support (here is our target), which may be followed by a rebound before a further decline.
FX:GBPUSD FX:USDCAD TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!