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GOLD → Countertrend correction. What to do in this case?FX:XAUUSD , after a bull run, bumps into strong limit resistance at 3244 and enters a correction phase, which is generally a logical maneuver amid strong gains. Gold corrects from Friday's record $3,245 and moves back to $3,200 amid improving market sentiment and progress in trade talks. The price pared gains after a strong weekly rally, reacting to U.S. concessions on tariffs on Chinese electronics and China's pledges to boost economic stimulus. Additional influences come from the dialog between the US and Iran, as well as the anticipation of China's GDP and trade data for March. Despite the pullback, downside may be limited due to ongoing uncertainty. Technically, it is worth looking at the 3187 - 3167 conglomerate of support, which can stop (temporarily or even turn the price upward) a strong and sharp decline, as the fundamental backdrop within the tariff war is still tense. Resistance levels: 3244, 3270 Support levels: 3187, 3174, 3167 The rally is temporarily halted, but there is no talk of a trend reversal, as the tariff war fire is still burning, Trump or Xi Jinping may add to the fire.... Within the framework of counter-trend correction, the emphasis is on the support of 3187, 3174, 3167 from which we can trade a false breakdown and catch the price rebound. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
NZDJPY → Back in range, there's a chance to strengthenFX:NZDJPY is forming a false break of the range support and within the reversal pattern confirms the break of the bearish structure The fundamental background has been extremely unstable lately and depends on any harsh statements of politicians, mainly related to the trade war. But, technically, the pair is returning to the range on the background of local market recovery. A false breakdown of the range support is formed. The break of the bearish structure, the formation of the reversal pattern and the return to the trading range give chances for strengthening of the price. If the bulls hold the defense above 83.7 - 84.2, the currency pair may strengthen to 85.15 - 87.4 Resistance levels: 84.196, 86.15 Support levels: 83.79, 83.31, 82.21 Consolidation above the key support zone may allow the bulls to strengthen the price to the local zone of interest. Global trend is neutral, local trend is upward. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
GOLD → Price is consolidating, but to what end? Growth?FX:XAUUSD continues on its way as part of a strong rally. Price is testing strong resistance and there is a good chance of a new high as the trade war escalation intensifies. Against the backdrop of the bull run, there is no need to think about selling! Gold is trading near all-time highs above $3,200 on Friday, posting a weekly gain of about 5.5%. Rising prices are fueled by concerns over U.S. financial stability and the possible resignation of the Fed chief, adding to pressure on the dollar. Expectations of recession and Fed rate cuts are increasing amid escalating trade war with China, after the US imposed tariffs of 145% and Beijing retaliated - China raised tariffs to 125%. Inflation in March came in below expectations, reinforcing forecasts for a rate cut. Focus is on further trade talks and China's response Resistance levels: 3219.5 Support levels: 3197, 3187, 3167 Emphasis on the local range: 3219 - 3187. Breakdown and price consolidation above the resistance will provoke rally continuation. But I do not rule out a correction to accumulate energy before the continuation of growth. In this case gold may test 3197 (0.7f), or support of 3187 range. But we should be aware of the fact of unpredictability: If the US and China sit down for negotiations, the situation may change dramatically. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
GOLD → Global economic risk indicator consolidates ahead of CPIFX:XAUUSD , rather quickly changes the market structure to bullish and continues its aggressive rally. The economic risk indicator is working perfectly. Technically, the focus is on the range 3135 - 3099 Gold is consolidating around $3,100 in anticipation of US inflation data. The escalating trade war between the US and China keeps demand for defensive assets alive despite the pause in price gains. Trump imposed 125% tariffs on Chinese goods and China retaliated with duties of 84% on U.S. imports. Increased tariff tensions are raising recession expectations and encouraging bets on a Fed interest rate cut, which supports gold. However, a rise in March CPI inflation (expected 2.6% y/y) could trigger a downward correction, although the impact could be short-lived - tariff news remains the main driver Technically, the price failed to reach the 3135 liquidity zone and reversed, which attracted the crowd willing to sell (deceptive maneuver). But, after correction the price may return to the target quite quickly Resistance levels: 3135, 3167 Support levels: 3100, 3090, 3077 Emphasis on the range boundaries, possible retest of 3100-3090- 3075 before continuation of growth. On the news or before the opening of the American session there may be a long squeeze before the continuation of growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
USDCAD → Weak dollar provokes continuation of downtrendFX:USDCAD under the pressure of a weak dollar and downtrend may renew its lows. The fundamental background for the dollar is weak, the market reacts accordingly. The dollar continues to fall - a reaction to the tariff war. Besides, additional pressure is created by the issue of interest rates reduction. The currency pair is under the pressure of the downtrend. After a false resistance breakout, the price is consolidating in the selling zone. The trend change is confirmed by the cascade of resistances. Emphasis on the local range 1.4245 - 1.42018. The price exit from the consolidation will provoke the continuation of the fall Resistance levels: 1.4245, trend boundary Support levels: 1.4202, 1.415 Possible retest of resistance before further decline. But the price exit from the current range and consolidation of the price below 1.4202 - 1.4205 will provoke the growth of sales and further fall to 1.405 (zone of interest). Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Rising economic risks could push the price upwardFX:XAUUSD closed inside the range 2970 - 3060 and has all chances to strengthen as the situation between the USA and China is only getting hotter, which creates additional risks. Gold continues to rally from its recent low of $2,957, back above the $3,000 level amid a weaker dollar and a pause in rising US bond yields. The market is reacting to escalating trade tensions between the US and China, including the threat of new 50% tariffs and possible countermeasures by Beijing. Strengthening expectations of Fed rate cuts and recovering risk appetite also support gold's growth, but the instability of global trade policy keeps investors uncertain. At the moment the price is testing resistance at 3013 and after a small correction the assault may continue, and a break and consolidation above 3013 will open the way to 3033 - 3057. Resistance levels: 3013, 3033, 3057 Support levels: 2996, 2981 The trade war and the complex, politician-dependent fundamental backdrop allows us to strategize relative to economic risk. Technically, we are pushing off the strong levels I have outlined for you. The overall situation hints that China will not just give up and Trump will not lose face. An escalation of the conflict could send gold higher. The price may strengthen from 0.5 fibo, or from 3013 Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
ADAUSDT → Correction to the liquidity zone before the fall ↓BINANCE:ADAUSDT is in a bear market, under pressure. An exit from consolidation and a pullback with the aim of retesting the resistance (liquidity zone) before further decline is formed The fundamental background for cryptocurrencies is extremely negative. Bitcoin on yesterday's manipulation related to the 90-day tariff break, which was later denied by the White House began to form “helicopters” and high volatility. As the market calms down, the price returns to the selling zone, which creates pressure for Cardano as well. Technically, a false breakdown of 0.5 fibo is formed and the price is consolidating near the local support at 0.5800. The breakdown and consolidation of the price below 0.58 will provoke the continuation of the fall. A retest of the previously broken consolidation support at 0.6300 is possible. Resistance levels: 0.63, 0.6661 Support levels: 0.581, 0.5092, 0.4564 The market structure is exclusively bearish. A False breakout of resistance or breakdown of 0.581 will provoke a further fall, but the level of 0.5092, if broken, will finally drive the coin into the zone of emptiness, which may lead the price to fall to 0.45- 0.42. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
XRPUSDT → The bulls won't hold support. Falling to 1.9BINANCE:XRPUSDT is under pressure despite quite positive news. The coin, being in a downtrend, continues to test the key support. The chance of a breakdown is growing XRP continues to test a strong support zone on the weekly timeframe, relative to this zone, in the medium term, two scenarios can develop, which depend on the general mood in the market. If the current backdrop persists, the chance of a downside breakdown and further decline is quite high. At the moment, the focus is on the key support at 2.0637, relative to which the retests continue, and the reaction is getting weaker and weaker, which in general only increases the chances of a further fall to 1.9 - 1.63. Resistance levels: 2.265, 2.365, 2.509 Support levels: 2.0637, 1.9 The cryptocurrency market is going through bad times (Tariff War, high inflation, stock market decline, disappointment of the crypto community due to expectations) and until the situation starts to change, the technical picture will remain negative. XRP may continue its fall after a small correction. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
23
CADJPY → Consolidation before the news. DowntrendFX:CADJPY continues to forge a downtrend, but within the current movement a symmetrical triangle of accumulative nature is forming The currency pair may continue its decline due to the strengthening of the Japanese Yen, while the Canadian is consolidating in a narrow range. The situation may be accelerated by today's news, namely Trump's speech, where he may announce new tariff measures. Technically, the price is correcting after the false break of 103.56, being below the previously broken upside support. Price is testing key resistance at 104.90, and against 0.5 Fibo is forming a false breakout. A consolidation below 104.69, a break of 104.525 could trigger further decline. Resistance levels: 104.900, 105.36, 105.74 Support levels: 104.525, 103.56 There are important news ahead, high volatility is possible, especially at the moment of Trump's speech, which may set a medium-term tone in the market. The currency pair is in consolidation on the background of the downtrend and the priority is to expect a continuation of the fall Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
EOSUSDT → False Breakeout of resistance (counter-trend )BINANCE:EOSUSDT.P within the consolidation distribution 0.54 - 0.6 reaches the key resistance and forms a false breakdown without the possibility of continued growth. The cryptocurrency market is showing weakness, especially after yesterday's Trump speech and the approval of new Tariffs, which creates risks and pressure on the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin is back in the red zone after rallying, while altcoins will continue to look for a new bottom. EOS stands out in this list, which strengthened quite strongly and the purpose of this maneuver was countertrend accumulation and liquidity capture relative to the range of 0.7 - 0.8. The distribution is tempered by a false breakout of the level 0.82 - 0.86 Resistance levels: 0.82, 0.86 Support levels: 0.793, 0.666 If the bears hold the resistance 0.82 - 0.86 and the consolidation under the level will end with the breakout of the trigger 0.793 and price consolidation in the selling zone, it may provoke a reversal and fall to the zones of interest: fvg, 0.64, 0.541. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
GBPUSD → False break of weekly support + DXY fallFX:GBPUSD is going through a shakeout phase relative to the trading range. Last week was very challenging in terms of unpredictable moves and volatility. A strong NFP report on Friday allowed the dollar to strengthen, but the reaction from the opening of the new trading week has already exhausted itself as traders are still watching the tariff war, which simply crashed the stock, futures markets. Technically, the currency pair on this background can win out, as the pound sterling within the ascending trend, the fall of the dollar can continue the growth phase. On the chart, the price forms a false breakdown of the support conglomerate, which in general may push the price up due to the imbalance of liquidity and interests of money moving away from the dollar Resistance levels: 1.2932, 1.3010 Support levels: 1.2828, 1.2811 If the bulls will keep the price above 1.2868 and will be able to consolidate above 1.2932, in the short term the market can show growth up to the next target - resistance 1.3010. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
BITCOIN - Price can correct to support area and rise to $86000Hi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago, the price moved inside rising channel and then made breakout, reaching upper resistance area. After that, Bitcoin dropped sharply and entered a flat pattern between support and resistance boundaries. It tested $82300 support level several times, bouncing from this zone without a clear downward breakout. Recently, the price again touched the support area between $82300 and $81500 and bounced from this demand zone. Now BTC trades near the middle of the flat and shows signs of strength after holding a support area. In my opinion, Bitcoin can rise from current range and reach $86000 resistance level in the next move. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
11
GOLD → It all depends on NFP and Powell....FX:XAUUSD got shaken by 600 pips on both sides. Technically, after such a move the price may go into consolidation, but the near-term outlook will depend on NFP and Powell. Gold hit a high of 3168 and went into correction. President Trump's imposed duties on imports from China (up to 54%) and other countries caused a sharp drop in the dollar and bond yields, reinforcing expectations of a Fed rate cut. Traders turned to profit-taking, which led to a correction. Now the market is waiting for the NFP report and Powell's speech. Weak data may return the upward momentum to gold, especially if the dovish rate expectations are confirmed. However, volatility may persist after the publication, given the impact of Friday's flows and Powell's speech Resistance levels: 3107, 3116, 3135 Support levels: 3086, 3067, 3055 Technically, it is difficult to determine a clear place from where to expect a move as there is news ahead (NFP, Powell's speech). But based on the falling dollar and high economic risks, we can bet on the continuation of the price growth from one of the mentioned support levels: 3086, 3067, 3055. Exit from the channel and consolidation of the price above 3110 - 3116 will again attract increased interest in buying Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
26
EURGBP → False break of liquidity zone (resistance)FX:EURGBP within the distribution (news background) tests resistance 0.84616 and liquidity zone, but without the possibility of continued growth the price forms a false breakout The dollar index falls amid Trump's introduction of new tariffs, which generally provokes a rally in the whole market. But before NFP, the market shifts to profit-taking because of the growing risks. There are quite important news ahead, which may provoke high volatility. Technically, after a strong move, the currency pair forms a false resistance breakout and consolidates in the selling zone. If the bears keep the price below 0.84616, in the short term we should wait for a correction to 0.5 fibo or to the fvg zone. Resistance levels: 0.84600 Support levels: 0.8427, 0.8396 The situation is quite complicated due to unstable background, but technically we have a classic situation with a false breakout of strong resistance, and as we know, according to statistics, the strongest movements start after it (in relation to the trade of level breakout). Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
GOLD - Price can decline to support area and then start to growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago price traded inside a flat pattern, where it moved between support and resistance levels. Then gold made fake breakout to the downside, but soon returned back and started to grow strongly. It broke the upper line of the flat and entered a rising channel, forming a steady bullish movement. Later price touched $3160 resistance and bounced down, making correction to $3070 support area. Now gold trades inside rising channel and near $3070 level, showing signs of slowing the decline. In my opinion, gold can bounce from support and reach $3160 resistance as the next upward target. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
5
GOLD → Correction. Liquidity is the target. News aheadFX:XAUUSD on the background of yesterday's news reaches the target of 3166 and enters the phase of deep correction on the background of profit-taking. The level of economic risks is still high Despite the pullback, the gold price retains much of its recent record high, thanks to rising risks of a global trade war and a US recession. Gold corrects from record $3,168 but remains strong amid trade and recession risks. The correction is due to the following nuances: Profit taking ahead of key US jobs data. Waiting for jobless claims and services PMI. But, Trump's new tariffs, a weaker dollar and lower bond yields are driving gold buying. Resistance levels: 3116, 3135 Support levels: 3107, 3097 Against the background of high economic risks, falling dollar index, gold still has chances to continue its growth. False breakdown of support may give such a chance. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
GOLD → Consolidation. News. False breakdown. Growth?FX:XAUUSD and TVC:DXY in consolidation ahead of important news and Trump's speech. Economic risks are rising and the future outlook depends on fundamental data... Trade tensions support gold demand. Trump may impose global tariffs of up to 20% which will increase risks to the economy. Investors are piling into gold in anticipation, pushing its price to a record $3,150 A key factor is the details of the tariffs. If tariffs are softer than expected, gold could fall to intermediate support zones. If the trade war escalates, the rise could continue beyond 3150 Economic risks are rising and gold may test 3107 - 3100 support before rising further. Technically, 3100 - 3107 is a zone of interest and liquidity. If bulls hold the support, gold will continue to rise. Otherwise, gold may form a correction towards 3075 - 3065 Resistance levels: 3126, 3135, 3147 Support levels: 3107, 3100, 3091 The price is correcting to consolidation support in the moment. A strong and sharp fall is fraught with the risk of a liquidity grab and a false breakdown. In this case, gold may strengthen to one of the key resistances. But the further and medium-term development of events depends on the evening news.... Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
EURO - Price can bounce from support level to top part of flatHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago, price entered a wedge pattern, bounced down from the resistance line to the support line, and broke the $1.0415 level. Next, the price turned around and started to grow. In a short time, it rose to the $1.0415 level and broke one more time. Then, price some time traded between resistance line with $1.0415 level and later corrected to support line of wedge. After this, EUR made a strong upward impulse, thereby exiting from wedge pattern and starting to trades inside flat. In flat, price reached top part and then made a correction movement to $1.0735 support level and turned around. In my mind, Euro can correct to support level and then rise to $1.0950 top part of flat. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
5
GOLD → Correction after a false breakout. A reversal?FX:XAUUSD is forming a false break of the channel resistance within the rally, we should wait for a correction, but not for a trend reversal. Let's see what we can expect from the price in the short and medium term. Gold is reacting to market turmoil over Trump's tariff plans. Investors are looking for protection ahead of the possible imposition of new duties from April 2, boosting demand for the metal Fears of a trade war and a slowing global economy are supporting gold despite positive US GDP data. PCE data and tariff updates will be key catalysts for further movement. Higher inflation could dampen the rally, while weak data will reinforce bets on a Fed rate cut, helping gold to rally further. The energy to continue the move is gone, so I am waiting for a correction to the imbalance zone or to 0.7 Fibo to accumulate potential. The price may consolidate in the zone of 3050 - 3075 before it continues its growth Resistance levels: 3075, 3085, 3095 Support levels: 3059, 3055 The correction after a strong rally can be quite deep. The imbalance zone 3066 - 3063 and liquidity zone 3057 play an important role. False breakdown of support may resume growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
EURO - Price can correct to support area and rise to $1.0955Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it broke the $1.0345 level and then it reached the resistance line. Next, price made correction to support line of channel and then it quickly reached $1.0345 level and broke it again. After this, price continued to grow in the channel, and later, it exited from it and rose to $1.0765 level. Soon, price broke this level and started to trades inside flat, where it reached top part of flat and some time traded near. Then it started to decline, so, now I expect that Euro can bounce up from support area and rise to $1.0955 points. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
11
GBPUSD → Correction to the liquidity zone. Waiting for a FBFX:GBPUSD gets a negative CPI report in the early session and tests key support, but failing to reach the liquidity area a rebound is formed. The pair is in consolidation... The CPI report provoked a small liquidation in the market, within the framework of which the price tested one of the key supports at 1.2886, but the price did not enter the liquidity area, i.e. technically the chances to return to this area are quite high. A correction to the imbalance zone is being formed, from which the decline may continue. In the short term I am interested in 1.2868, which can still hold the market and form a bullish impulse. Resistance levels: 1.2926 Support levels: 1.2886, 1.2868, 1.2811 False break of the global range support at 1.2868 may trigger a rebound to 1.2926. I do not exclude a deeper correction to the support from D1, for example to 1.2811 from which, against the background of the bull market, we can wait for an upward correction. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Tense fundamental environment and retest of 3025FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction within the descending channel. The situation is becoming complex and confusing. The focus is on the channel resistance and on the support at 3004.9. Further price movement depends on the fundamental data... The problem is the uncertainty around the US tariff policy and the outcome of talks between Russia and the US on ceasefire in Ukraine. The market is focused on US consumer confidence data and comments from Fed officials. The rise in the dollar, supported by Bostic's hawkish statements and strong PMIs, is pressuring gold, but the lack of clarity on tariffs and geopolitical tensions are limiting its further decline Technically, the situation is simple in that it all depends on the resistance of the current channel. A break and consolidation above 3025 will trigger growth. A false break of the channel resistance will provoke a continuation of the decline both to 3004 and to 2980. Resistance levels: 3024.6, 3038, 3056 Support levels: 3004.9, 2987, 2981 Based on the difficult fundamental environment, which is far from any positive decisions, the tensions in the Middle East, and the tariff war, I can conclude that gold will try to strengthen once again, as we have technical support: a strong bullish trend, a strong 3004 level, and a cascade of locally rising lows. A failed breakdown will be false and in this case, a price consolidation under 3017 will trigger a fall to 3004. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
EURUSD → Price is in consolidation. Emphasis on false breakdownFX:EURUSD is forming a correction within the consolidation that was formed on the uptrend. The reason for the consolidation is the halt in the movement of the dollar index... The dollar is forming a counter-trend correction due to political and econmoic data, but the general background is bearish. But, the fall of the dollar, to which the index may soon return, may strengthen the growth of the currency pair. EURUSD consolidation within the uptrend (against the background of the dollar index correction). The zone of interest is the support at 1.078 and the imbalance area Resistance levels: 1.078, 1.074 Support levels: 1.0936.1.1009 The price has not tested the support and is forming a correction to the imbalance zone 1.087 - 1.09 from which the price may return to the downward movement to 1.078. The emphasis is on the range support from which we should wait for a false breakdown before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5