GOLD → The market is waiting for news. Falling or rising?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD has been standing still for a few days, as well as the TVC:DXY . The market is waiting for today's news related to GDP and unemployment. What is the difficulty in determining the future direction of the price?
Let's start with the fact that since last week the Fed destroyed the adequate price behavior for the medium term. The dollar, based on data, not rumors, should rise, gold should fall, but that is not the case. There is a possibility that this manipulation by the market maker to take more favorable positions before further movement in one direction or another.
Today the US GDP and unemployment are published. Analysts expect GDP to remain flat at 5.2% and Initial Jobless Claims to rise from 202K to 214K (a generally bearish scenario for the dollar). If:
GDP comes out lower than expected and Initial Jobless Claims higher than expected, the dollar could fall.
Accordingly, if GDP rises and unemployment falls, the dollar will probably go up. The movement of the indices will affect the gold accordingly
Resistance levels: 2038, 2050
Support levels: 2030, 2020
From the TA + fundamentals point of view, the market is confused, hence a sideways flat, which can be interpreted as neutral forces (obviously). There is a high probability that the dollar could still get stronger. In this case gold may test the resistance before further falling. But news is always unpredictable!
Regards R. Linda!
A-flat
🇪🇺 EURJPY 🇯🇵 - Flag against a bearish trend The EURJPY currency pair may continue to fall as accumulation is forming amid the bearish trend. There is a weak flag on the downtrend, which is a set-up for further price decline. Besides, the false breakdown of resistance also indicates the market sentiment
Reasons for further decline ↓
1) range formation on the background of the dovntrend
2) resistance retest and false breakdown at 157.69
3) bearish trend
4) weak fundamental background for the yen
GOLD → Consolidation against an unstable background FOREXCOM:XAUUSD continues to consolidate. The market is forming a range after the shakeout, manipulation by the frs, unstable fundamental environment. Let's get to the bottom of what's going on.
The price is testing strong resistance on D1, but on the local timeframe both gold and TVC:DXY are in consolidation. Technically, the dollar is showing hints of possible growth, but the important news will be only tomorrow (December 21) and they are expected to be quite unstable. It is difficult to determine the outcome in advance, we will wait for the actual data.
Gold is testing the resistance 2048 - 2050, the third retest on D1, but the price does not reach a few tens of points to the maximum. There can be many reasons for this, and one of the serious ones is building a limit barrier due to strong sellers. But again, the price has not yet tested 2050 (no touch). It may happen before a possible rebound. Now there is also a possibility that the market may try to break 2050 and enter the range of 2050 - 2075. We continue to watch this area.
Resistance levels: 2048 - 2050
Support levels: 2038, 2030, 2020
From the point of view of range trading strategy, we should expect a fall after retesting the range resistance, as there is no actual trend and on the background of neutrality we can both buy and sell, but inside the range.
Regards R. Linda!
EURCAD → A set of bearish patterns foreshadowing the decline FOREXCOM:EURCAD is forming a standard bearish setup on the background of the forming downtrend, as the Canadian is getting stronger than the Euro and thus changing the market direction.
On D1 we can see that in general the currency pair is in a global range and it is impossible to identify any key trend, so it is acceptable to trade both buying and selling within the range. But since we have a set of sell signals forming, we should expect further price decline.
The level of 1.46400 (D1) plays an important role. Consolidation is formed, then the level is broken, after which a pin-bar is formed on the background of the retest, which confirms the interests of the market.
On H1, the price breaks the consolidation support, makes a false break of 1.464 as part of the correction and even on H1 a bearish candlestick pattern is formed with subsequent consolidation of the price below the level, which is an additional confirmation.
Support levels: 1.458, 1.456, 1.4478, 1.4350
Resistance levels: 1.464, 1.4747
I expect a continuation of the decline, a retest of 1.464 is possible, but in general the setup hints at the continuation of the downtrend.
Regards R. Linda!
LPTUSDT → Breakout of multi-month trend resistance. BINANCE:LPTUSDT is moving into the phase of realizing the accumulated potential. Against the background of stalled BTC, LPT / TetherUS looks confident enough to continue its growth after breaking through resistance.
The cryptocurrency market is quite active lately. Overall capitalization, flagship, altcoins are warming up after a prolonged winter. Prices are updating multi-month highs and that is encouraging.
LTP is still under bear market pressure and only today the pair is starting to show prerequisites for a possible trend change and realization at 12.00.
The price is forming a pre-breakdown consolidation against the trend resistance. After retest and false breakdown the price does not fall, a strong support area is formed and on the background of another retest the resistance is broken. The tandem set-up plays the role of a reversal set-up and clearly indicates the formation of bullish potential. Moving averages are starting to show a possible market reversal.
Support levels: 6.9, 5.96, 5.35
Resistance levels: 7,56, 9.31, 12.00
Market consolidation above the previously broken trend resistance and the 7.0 area will form a bullish potential that may activate a market rally towards these targets
COINBASE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
Regards R. Linda!
📈 #MOS Possibly looking for more upsideHey guys, currently NYSE:MOS has formed a great larger degree impulse that was then followed by a deep side ways corrective structure which indicates bullish trend continuation.
We then have lower degree impulse breaking out of the larger degree trend line followed by potentially a Running Flat or an Expanding Flat which also signals more bullish trend continuation.
Watch for the break!
GOLDEN STAR| hard Resistance zone -With increasing buying pressure, the price of gold was able to pass the resistance area (2038) upwards.
-Currently, the price has hit the next resistance level, which has also reacted to this area.
-My idea for the continuation of the trend is that this resistance zone will prevent the further growth of the gold price and this accumulation of liquidity will cause the price of gold to fall.
Share your opinion in the comments, and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD → Consolidation on weak fundamental background FOREXCOM:XAUUSD remains within consolidation for several days. The market stands still due to the uncertain fundamental environment.
The CAPITALCOM:DXY stands in a narrow consolidation, but at the same time forms an ascending triangle, which can be interpreted as bullish consolidation, pushing the price to resistance with the aim of breaking the limit resistance level. If the dollar starts to strengthen, which is expected on the background of the pattern, gold will then start to realize the scenario we expect.
Fundamentally, on Friday and Monday, Fed officials made it clear to the market that Powell said nonsense about the rate easing discussion and started to put things in order: a rate cut is possible in March, but it is too early to discuss it now, as inflation is still high and a rate hike is possible.
Hence, this is a negative fundamental backdrop for gold. Gold is now in consolidation and heading towards resistance for a retest before a possible fall.
Support levels: 2023, 2020, 2010
Resistance levels: 2030, 2033.6
There is a high chance that after the resistance is retested, gold will start a downward phase, as below the above mentioned zones and below the lows there is an area of interest to the market maker - areas of imbalance formed on the background of the strongest rally a few weeks ago.
Regards R. Linda!
ICPUSDT → The development of bullish potential could yield 75%BINANCE:ICPUSDT has finally overcome the resistance of the bearish trend. The coin has a potential for growth. The target could be a 75% rise.
On w1 we can see that the coin is still weaker than the cryptocurrency market and is currently showing the prerequisites in which the price can start a rally to catch up with the missed potential. A breakdown of MA-50 W1 and consolidation above forms a bullish leverage that allows for a successful upper channel boundary.
On the daily timeframe, price breaks the 6.00 level. In the future, I will wait for price consolidation above this level to open positions with the aim of further price growth and achieving the targets indicated on the chart.
Support levels: 6.050, 4.988
Resistance levels: 6.788, 7.100, 7.809
I expect the ICPUSDT coin to continue growing after the price fixes above the previously broken level.
Regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD → The start of a rally? A retest of support FOREXCOM:GBPUSD on the back of Powell's loyal speech regarding further rate cuts, but which he has now left unchanged, and also on the back of inflation, which is falling much slower than he would like, is strengthening and updating the high to 1.279 .
On D1 we see how the price reacted to the news that came out on Wednesday. Price tests the MA-200 on Tuesday and Powell accelerates the rally on Wednesday. Pretty aggressive market reaction to virtually unchanged data. Oh well. At this point, the price broke the downward resistance, which puts the market in a bullish phase. After consolidation we see the transition to the distribution mode, which may continue after the local retest of the support areas indicated on the chart. Strong bulls have come to the market again, which take advantage of the weakening TVC:DXY
The key support area is 1.2715 - 1.2650. A retest of the support may form a false breakdown, and the subsequent consolidation above the level will form a bullish potential. Medium-term targets for further growth are resistance at 1.2784, 1.2888
Support levels: 1.2715, 1.265, 1.2615
Resistance levels: 1.2784, 1.2888
Within the framework of the emerging correction, the price may test the support before further growth. Today there is no strong news that can affect the market, in all likelihood, the bullish influence on the pair will continue.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Nearby resistance could influence further declines FOREXCOM:XAUUSD on Friday, after the words of Williams (Fed) falls under the sell-off and tests the low of 2015.6. At the moment, the market is calm and forming a correction after a false breakdown of support.
For the TVC:DXY , a relatively bullish fundamental backdrop was restored on Friday. In all likelihood, the correction may be followed by a recovery phase, which could affect gold in terms of further declines. Let me remind you that at the moment the price is in the range of 0.382 fibo - 0.236 fibo.
On the H1 chart, the price is forming a false break of the support of the 2020 range and is heading towards resistance to retest this area.
The market still wants to take the price lower as there is an area of imbalance and interest for the market below the 2000 - 1975 area, but amid strong market manipulation by the Fed, the asset is trading slightly higher than it should be.
Support levels: 2020, 2015
Resistance levels: 2030. 2038. 2050
Still, we expect a decline after the resistance retest. The market is recovering fundamental background, within which gold may test lower support levels.
Regards R. Linda!
🇬🇧 GBPUSD 🇺🇸 - Correction within the ascending channel The currency pair is forming a correction after a false break of the ascending channel resistance. The way is open to reach the lower boundary of the channel.
The fundamental background is favorable for the decline, as the news strengthens the dollar, which affects the pound sterling.
Suggested decline ↓:
1) false break of channel resistance
2) false break of 1.273 resistance
3) support retest
4) Consolidation before breakout
5) Correction phase
GOLD → Bears are around. The fall may continue, but....FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is under selling pressure amid the global bull market. Earlier, the price updated the high to 2150, after which it formed a rather strong conglomerate of bearish patterns.
Last trading week, the market rattled everyone's nerves. And the reason for that was the incompetence of the Fed as a structure that has a huge influence on the market. The paradox of the Fed this week was that Fed Chairman Jeremy Powell gave a strong pattern on Tuesday that they are discussing rate cuts and are ready to do so in the future. As a consequence, an aggressive reaction is forming in the market in the form of a bullish momentum of 3%. And on Friday, one of the Fed's representatives, Williams, said that they are not even going to consider this issue anytime soon. He also added that the Fed is seriously ready to raise rates if necessary. the market reacts with strong sell-offs of $300 or 1.5%.
The price is testing one of the strong support areas and from the technical analysis point of view, there is a chance to see a rebound and a retest of the local resistance before a further decline.
In the coming week it is worth paying attention to the following news, the data on which can also determine the medium-term outlook for the market:
GDP QoQ, Initial Jobless Claims, Philadelphia FED MI
Core DGO, CORE PCE
Based on the fundamental data from last week, there are strong indications that we should expect the TVC:DXY to strengthen from the market opening and in the medium term. Consequently, after a small correction, gold may continue its decline towards the imbalance zones, which are obviously still of interest to the market maker.
The medium-term target may be the support area below 1975. The market may test the support of the global price channel before further growth. At the moment, the priority of forces is for the bulls, as there are a number of nuances and patterns that point to this.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The market is warming and bullish potential is forming FOREXCOM:XAUUSD strengthens and tests the local high but fails to reach the key resistance at 2050. A strong consolidation above the 2030 level and subsequent momentum is forming.
On D1 we see the potential that the market is aiming for. On the background of weakening TVC:DXY , on the gold market bulls form a strong support area below 2030 after which within the framework of realization of the accumulated potential the market strengthens, forming a bullish impulse.
For us at the moment the area of 2034 and 0.382 fibo plays an important role. As the pre-breakout consolidation is formed in relation to the resistance, and after the false breakout of 2040 the price does not fall, but breaks the resistance, it seems that with a positive fundamental background the market may continue its growth.
But before the growth the price may finally test the support. As part of the realization, the price may reach the area of 2050 or even 2060. Closing of today's daily session will determine for us the medium-term potential for the next week.
Resistance levels: 2047.5, 2050. 2062
Support levels: 2038, 2030, 2025
It seems that the market is getting ready to test the resistance. A pullback within the range may follow. Price return to resistance will prepare the market for further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
🇺🇸 USDJPY 🇯🇵 - Current bearish trend. support breakout aheadThe currency pair continues to form a bearish trend. There are quite a lot of preconditions for further breakout. for example - breakout of 141.6 support will send the price even lower
The beginning of correction ↓:
1) Dollar weakness after the news
2) Dollar weakness strengthens the Yen
3) A retest of 141.6 support will lead to a breakout
4) There is no resistance zone below the level and the price will calmly head towards 139.0.
5) Bearish trend
GOLD → The market's violent reaction. What to expect next...FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is once again meeting strong bulls. Powell's speech influenced the price growth and a 2.8% momentum is forming. Let's see what happened and what to expect:
Most important: The rate remained unchanged. Inflation eased 0.1% to 3.1%. In fact, there was no change . Speculators liked Powell's more positive tone, which caused them to react with a rather aggressive infusion of capital into the market. But again, everyone, as well as the Federal Reserve and analysts expect the rate reduction not earlier than March 2024. Apparently, there was an internal psychological hunger on the background of long waiting for any hints or actions and as a result, we see the weakening of the TVC:DXY and the growth of gold.
Today we expect important news at 13:30 GMT. Analysts expect the data to remain unchanged.
In terms of technical analysis, Gold is testing the resistance of the previously created range of 2038. A false breakout is formed, which may lead to a small correction before further growth amid positive fundamental background. The price may test 2030, 2025, 2020. But a retest of 2038 and consolidation above the level will contribute to the strengthening of gold.
Support levels: 2030, 2025, 2020
Resistance levels: 2038, 2049
I think that before the news there will be a sideways range and consolidation, after the news the price may form a correction before further growth. But everything depends on the news.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD - After breaks of resistance line, price can continue growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price started to trades in flat, where it first bounced from $2000 support level to bottom part.
After this movement, Gold made a strong upward impulse back to $2000 level, broke it, exiting from flat too.
And then price corrected below and later started to grow in rising channel, where it broke $2000 again.
Later Gold exited from channel, rose to resistance line, and made a strong downward impulse lower support area.
But a not long time ago it rose back and even soon broke resistance line and now Gold trades near this line.
In my mind, price can make retest of support line and then continue to move up to $2085
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
GOLD → Pending FOMC & FED. Price may fall even lower FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is in consolidation phase and it is likely to last until 19:00 GMT. The market is waiting for news and no strong movements in one or the other direction should be expected before the time.
The premise is that the dollar will strengthen:
Friday's NFP continues to be bullish for the TVC:DXY (pattern to break resistance is forming)
PPI is expected to be bullish
Overall the data over the past few days will not allow Powell to cut the rate.
Inflation is still strong to change policy.
Against this backdrop, gold may test one of the local highs: 1990, 1996, 2000 before falling further
Overall, from a technical point of view, there is still a huge buying imbalance in the gold market, the market maker can take the price much lower to balance the situation and at the moment the negative fundamental background is contributing to this.
Support levels: 1976,2
Resistance levels: 1984.3, 1990, 1996
The price continues to update the lows and this indicates the mood of the market. The fundamental background for gold is unfavorable and the decline may continue. The situation may change if today's news and its actual data are not extremely opposite to expectations
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → FED & FOMC Expectations. Will the situation change?FOREXCOM:EURUSD is forming consolidation in the phase of waiting for news related to inflation and US monetary policy. Based on the expected news and past data, there are a few nuances.
The TVC:DXY is leading an interesting life on 4H tf. The index is gaining a bullish stance, we can tell by the long shadows and the price pushing towards a strong resistance area that may be broken. PPI is ahead (analysts expect positive data for $) , Friday's NFP is also positive (this leverage is still in place) for DXY. And also ahead of Fed IRD - it's too early to talk about a rate cut, inflation is falling, but there is not enough potential to change Powell's views yet.
Technically, on the background of the news, I expect a retest of the mentioned resistance area of EURUSD (1.083 - 1.081) with a subsequent fall, as the dollar is supported by strong fundamentals and expectations, in which case the forex will continue its downward correction.
Support levels: 1.0756
Resistance levels: 1.083-1.081, 1.0800
The SMAs are showing the beginning of a change in sentiment as the fundamental backdrop is weakening for the euro. Based on the expected news, the dollar could rise, which would weaken the currency pair. But again, the main nuance of news is its unpredictability!
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Waiting for the CPI. Will the situation change much?OANDA:XAUUSD continues to fall despite the expectations of many. The price is testing the 1984 area and updated the low to 1975.89. What can happen today?
The TVC:DXY is in a local trend phase, but at the same time it is consolidating in anticipation of today's CPI and further news this week. The main gaze is directed towards FED interest rate decision, FOMC statement, Initial jobless claims.
Against the backdrop of Friday's NFP we can say that things are still not very stable and the representatives of the US economic system may still consider a tougher outlook. In this case the dollar index will continue its growth and gold will go down.
Technically, the metal is in the red zone, updating lows and testing resistances from below. The chances that the market will change the trend are not so great. Analysts expect bullish CPI, which will strengthen the dollar. Gold may fall further after a shakeout, within which it may test nearby resistances.
Support levels: 1980, 1975, 1965
Resistance levels: 1984, 1890, 1994
I expect a shakeout on the background of the news, after which the decline may continue with a high probability. The potential is on the side of the bears, their strength prevails at the moment.
Regards R. Linda!
BNB → Price is showing an interesting bullish outlook BINANCE:BNBUSDT breaks the resistance of bearish trend on the background of improving fundamental situation. For the activation of the bullish phase of the market, a few more conditions must be met.
We can see that CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL capitalization, following the COINBASE:BTCUSD growth, is also moving into a bullish trend format. BNB is falling away due to regulatory and governance issues. At the moment, the fundamental environment is improving and the price is starting to show interesting prospects.
The break of the descending wedge resistance is a strong enough signal, the price is testing the MA-50 support and the bulls are confidently consolidating their positions above the moving average. At the moment, the resistance of the current consolidation - 257.8 - is holding back the market from going bullish.
A break of this resistance will be accompanied by a surge in volumes, volatility and the formation of a bullish impulse.
Support levels: 226, MA50, 203.4
Resistance levels: 257.8
I expect a breakout of the mentioned resistance after the next retest. On the background of favorable conditions it may happen rather quickly. Targets are 336.8, 439.0.
Regards R. Linda!