GOLD → Price continues to form a downtrendOANDA:XAUUSD is breaking another support line again. Bearish prerequisites, which I previously wrote about, putting the market in the phase of realization of accumulation, a high chance of continuation of the fall
On the chart we see the formation of a global consolidation range. The price breaks the support at 1915.3. The correction after the breakout is formed, which flows into the consolidation phase. Price consolidation under the flat support will form a bearish potential and a convenient entry point for further sales. Earlier I wrote about strong sell-offs, all the resistance, retest, all this was the formation of a large bearish position. Last week we met Powell's speech, who did not give any specifics, but at the same time made it clear that the dollar will continue its strengthening. The index has discovered a new corridor that could cause gold to fall lower. The moving averages are forming another bearish signal.
Resistance levels: 1915.3, 1922.4.
Support levels: 1910, 1908
I expect the decline to continue after consolidation below 1915. A false breakout is possible, but the prospect is 1910, 1901
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:DXY CAPITALCOM:SILVER COMEX:SI1! OANDA:XAGUSD
Regards R. Linda!
A-flat
KNCUSDT → Coin shows strength in a weak market BINANCE:KNCUSDT stops its decline in late 2022 at 0.495-0.500, thus forming a bottom. The market holds this area quite confidently. And at some point, on the background of weak BINANCE:BTCUSD , KNC forms a resistance breakout, which could be the first bell
On the chart we can compare the behavior of the last few days of BTC and KNC. The second one feels confident and is ready to strengthen further. While BTC has been in a falling phase for the last 7 days, Kyber network / TetherUs is strengthening already by 28%. Altcoins have been receiving more attention from speculators lately as they are livelier and more active.
The latest retest of the 0.495 bottom on September 12 leads to the formation of a bullish momentum, within which the price makes an attempt to exit the descending range. After the breakout and correction, consolidation is formed above the resistance. If the bulls can finally keep the price above this line, we will be able not only to observe, but also to participate in the price growth to the targets indicated on the chart. The area above 0.955 is quite loose and price could quickly reach 1.200-1.400, but for this to happen we need to get momentum from the previously broken resistance.
Support levels: 0.630, MA200, MA50
Resistance levels: 0.710, 0.834
I expect an active phase from the bulls' side. The first phase is consolidation. After which I will wait for growth to the mentioned areas.
Regards R. Linda!
USDCAD → The bull market could provide momentum FX:USDCAD is forming a support retest amid the strengthening of the dollar index. A break of the local resistance, against the background of the uptrend, will give us an excellent bullish potential.
The market is preparing to rise further. We have an uptrend and support from the strengthening of the dollar index. On the back of positive fundamental data, the TVC:DXY continues to strengthen, which will make the Canadian dollar weaker against the US dollar. On the chart we see the retest of the support of the ascending price channel and the formation of a bullish impulse. The resistance at 1.3502 plays an important role for us. If this area is broken through, the market may form a strong bullish impulse in which, in the medium term, the price may quickly reach 1.3640 and even 1.38000. The moving averages are forming a signal, but it may not mean anything on the fundamental background.
Support levels: 1.3424
Resistance levels: 1.3502, 1.3542
I expect the continuation of growth on the background of strengthening of the dollar and on the background of the bullish trend.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → The calm before the storm. Breakthrough ↑ or ↓FX:EURUSD continues to form a downtrend. At the moment we see a rebound from resistance and a retest of support at 1.06350, which ends with a slight strengthening of the currency pair
EURUSD is waiting for a reaction from the US market, namely we are all watching the dollar index. It forms a retest of the strong resistance at 105.00 and forms a rather strong consolidation. If the price breaks the resistance, a very strong bullish impulse will be formed, which will affect the whole forex market. But there is a small chance that the 105.0 area will not let the price in and a correction will form, in which case EURUSD may break the trend resistance and form a shakeout to 1.0835. In priority, I expect a retest of 1.06350 followed by a breakout and a decline to 1.05000
Support levels: 1.06350
Resistance levels: 1.0685, 1.0765
The currency pair may break the line on the next support retest. We should be ready for the resistance breakout as well. Watch the reaction of TVC:DXY to the mentioned resistance area.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - Price breaks through the bulls' barriers Gold falls from 1928.5 and reaches support in my scenario. We have taken the target. At this point, while the market is forming a sideways range, price may form a bounce from 1908 before falling further.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Important target is 1907.6. The market is looking to test this area
2) Price passes one of the key liquidity areas, the next leg is 1900
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price is inside flat
2) Support at 1912 is broken
3) Price on retest of 1908 may form a rebound to 1912-1915 but in the long term we should expect further decline
4) If 1908.4 is broken, the price will head towards 1901.
Key resistance📈: 1912, 1915
Key support📉: 1908.1901
💱USDCAD - Consolidation before further growth is formed USDCAD does not tend to fall after breaking the support at 1.3497. On the background of high timeframe the price retests the key level 1.33724 and forms a correction. Patterns for further growth appear within the correction
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price returns to 1.3502
2) A pre-breakout consolidation is forming near the level.
3) There is an important liquidity area ahead, above 1.35200, an impulse will be formed if this zone is broken through.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A consolidation within a symmetrical triangle is formed near the level of 1.3497
2) A retest of the pattern resistance and a retest of 1.3497 is formed
3) Chance is higher that the resistance will be broken, in this case a break of 1.3497 will form an impulse to 1.35668.
Key support📉: 1.34500
Key resistance📈: 1.3497
🥇GOLD - Resistance Retest. (To breakout or to fall?)Gold is forming a resistance retest. Against the background of the global descending channel, the price may form a false breakout, but against the background of consolidation near resistance, the chances of a breakout increase.
TA on high timeframe:
1) We have the formation of the 1934-1907 range. There is a false breakout and pin-bar formed against resistance.
2) Price is likely to form a retest now before further breakout
TA on the low timeframe:
1) a sideways range is still forming in the market
2) The dollar continues to strengthen and surprisingly, so does gold. But the dollar has a positive fundamental background. And gold, most likely, the market is pulling up to the liquidity area
3) We watch the price reaction. If there is a breakout of resistance, we should wait for consolidation above 1928-1930 to buy.
4) False breakout will form a consolidation below resistance. Only after confirmation of one or the other should we sell or buy
Key resistance📈: 1928.5, 1930
Key support📉: 1915, 1908
💱EURUSD - Consolidation is being formed for support breakout EURUSD on the background of a quick retest breaks the key support and forms consolidation. A potential is formed, within the framework of the realization of which the price can quickly reach 1.0536
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Strong bearish trend continues
2) A retest of the support at 1.0635 breaks the level
3) Price opens a corridor to fall to 1.0536
TA on low timeframe:
1) Pre-breakdown consolidation is formed
2) The market enters the phase of realization of accumulation after breaking the support at 1.0635.
3) Consolidation of the price below the level will form a sell entry point
4) After the FED news, the currency pair may fall to 1.0536 after breaking 1.06350.
Key support📉: 1.06350, 1.0617
Key resistance📈: 1.0642, 1.0664
GOLD → A retest of support is expected in a weak market Gold has been declining since the opening of the trading session. The market continues to form a sideways flat. Purchases after strong sell-offs bring the price only to the retest of the strong resistance area, after which the metal weakens again
On the chart we see the current set-up - flat. The price is declining after the resistance retest and breaks through the local support at 1922.4. The price fixing below this area will form a signal for selling. In this case, I expect that the price may reach 1915 in the short term and 1900 in the medium term. The fundamental background of gold is weak, but technically the price feels quite confident against the background of what is happening, most likely the reason for this is the huge interest from the world's major central banks. As soon as gold gets a little bullish potential from the fundamentals, it will give a huge jump up, but it is too early to tell. The moving averages indicate that a consolidation is forming.
Support levels: 1915, 1902
Resistance levels: 1922, 1928
I expect the continuation of the decline on the background of technical and fundamental analysis. Market Maker is interested in lower liquidity areas
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! FOREXCOM:XAGUSD CAPITALCOM:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
DXY, attempting to break upside significantly.DXY has just broken resistance trendline spanning back from September 2022. The DXY broke trendline coinciding with a key level at 106.
If this break does not end up been a false break, DXY could swing to 109 within weeks and ultimately further grow to 114 in 2024.
SPX 500USD, Long The SPX 500USD is breaking unto a yearly trendline support from 20th April 2020.
The market is ready to retest the weekly EMA-50 and Daily EMA 200 on that same support at 4257 which coincides with the yearly upside trendline support.
My bias is that the trend will be upside from the liquidity zone and yearly trendline support.
I am also expecting a bearish wave of the DXY in this week and coming weeks.
XAUUSD, Long from the liquidity zone (1915)Gold is currently reacting on a key level (1925) which has the Daily EMA-50, 4Hr EMA 200/50/20 on clusted there.
The 4hr candle closing below these EMAs could spark a short to the next liquidity zone (1915).
The 4Hr candle closing above the EMA-200/50/20 could spark buys to 1952 potentially but before the market will buy, i will expect some liquidity drops to 1915 before any potential long at the back of an expected bearish wave of the DXY.
DXY, Ready to ShortThe last week DXY movement fulfilled my idea which I predicted price to hit the key level at 105.8
For the past 13 -14 weeks, the DXY has been on an ascending trend from 99.23 to 105.756. The current resistance has been a key level since 1st December 2022.
Price is currently reacting on a resistance trendline of the main ascending channel since 26th September 2022.
The resistance trendline coincides with the 105.834 key resistance which has historically driven the DXY down.
The DXY could initiate a BEARISH WAVE first to 103.100 to retest the Daily EMA-200 & 50.
The FED could consider a rate hike in the last quarter of 2023 in the midst of a possible DXY bearish waves.
Bitcoin - Price in 2025 revealed! (Take profits here)
The price of Bitcoin will be 120,000–130,000 USD in Q2 2025, according to my technical analysis! There is a strong confluence to sell Bitcoin here, and a lot of people will do it, so make sure you take profit in the next bull run.
First of all, this is an analysis of the weekly chart on a linear scale, not a log scale. If we take the Fibonacci extension from the end of the previous bear market in 2018 to the end of the previous bull market in 2021 to the end of the previous bear market in 2022 (dashed white line on the chart), we get really interesting numbers! The most likely is the 1.618 FIB extension, which is 122,011 USD! But we also need to take the 1:1 FIB extension into consideration because this is also a strong resistance, but only for a short-term bounce.
We also need to take a look at trendlines. In this case, the trendline from 2017 to 2021 gives us a projection for the next possible touch. It should be in 2025, and it's also around 125,000 USD! If you find this analysis helpful, hit the like / boost button right now!
There is not too much place on the chart anymore, so let's do more data in one of my next analyses! But what I also want to mention is the time variable. 1428 days +/- was the duration of the bear cycle and bull cycle between 2017 - 2021. If history repeats itself, then the bull market should end in October 2025.
And I cannot forget to also take the Elliott Wave analysis into consideration. It works really well on Bitcoin, and wave (1) + wave (2) should be completed. We already started wave (3), which is usually the strongest! So I hope you look forward to the upcoming price action.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
EURUSD, To ShortLast Thursday's ECB Press conference lacked hawkish statements which weaken the currency to slide down the levels as majority of the ECB Board wanted a pause in the rate.
The EURUSD has been on a descending channel since 17th July to date.
Price is currently correcting after hitting the 1.06310 support level and it is expected to fulfil a Fibonacci retracement to the 61.8% level before further shorts down to the 1.05192 support level.
DXY, to continue price ascending to 105.834Last week's DXY index candle bullishly closed with a strong rejection with from the 104.643 support because all of the USD fundamentals (The CPI, Core PPI, Core Retail Sales, etc.) which occurred last week went to strengthen the dollar.
The DXY is expected to consolidate between current level of 105.351 and 105.00 since there is not important fundamentals between Monday and Tuesday before a potential rise to 105.834
There are important fundamentals coming up this week form Wednesday to Friday
-FOMC Statement and press conference
-Federal Funds Rate
-Unemployment Claims
-Flash Manufacturing PMI
🥇GOLD - Correction before further decline Gold bounces off the local support at 1915 and the price returns to retest the key resistance. Price is in a range and we are now interested in flat resistance.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Pin bar resistance 1934.
2) Price does not reach one of the key resistances 1949 for a few pips, indicating strong pressure from the resistance
3) At the same time, active sell-offs are forming and a pin-bar is forming on the chart
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price is forming a rebound and heading towards 1928.5
2) The resistance area may be tested soon before further decline
3) The market is bearish now and we should look for strong resistance levels for further selling
Key resistance📈: 1928.5, 1934.8
Key support📉: 1922. 1915. 1908
💱 EURAUD - The market is preparing for further decline EURAUD is forming a local flat after breaking through 1.6658. The market is forming a retest of support, but there will be a chance of a breakout if the price comes back again after a small rebound
TA on the high timeframe:
1) We have a bearish trend
2) A pre-breakout consolidation is forming near 1.64975
3) Another support retest may break the level and form an impulse to 1.61900
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price is descending in steps within the bearish channel, which indicates a strong trend
2) Support at 1.64885 and multiple retests of it are forming.
3) The market is preparing to break this line and further fall.
4) The sell signal will be a retest and consolidation below the support level
Key resistance📈: 1.66122
Key support📉: 1.64885
GOLD → Friday is trading inside a range OANDA:XAUUSD is recovering after strong sell-offs and a false break of the 1915 sideways range support. Within the flat we expected this movement, but in the medium term gold has a negative fundamental background
On Friday, gold will continue to stay inside this range, consolidation will continue. The price may test one of the nearest resistances before falling to 1922 and 1915. At the same time, TVC:DXY is overcoming the strong resistance at 105.00, which I wrote about earlier. A dollar fixing above this boundary will open the way to 107.5, which will be a good reason for gold to weaken to 1915 and even 1900. On the senior timeframe, where we can determine the medium and long term, the chart shows us targets such as 1850 and 1800, but by then there will be a lot of fundamental news that can change a lot of things. From a local analysis point of view, I expect a fall to 1922, 1915 and even 1900, but not in one day.
Resistance levels: 1928.5, 1930.7, 1935.
Support levels: 1922, 1915
I expect that today the market will sell out again what it bought in the second half of Thursday and the first half of Friday. And, we will see the price close near the 1915 support, which will give a signal for next week
OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAGUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY COMEX:SI1!
Regards R. linda!
GBPJPY → Pound Sterling correction on the fundamental backgroundFX:GBPJPY is forming an attempt to change the trend. The market on the background of the fundamental component related to inflation and the UK interest rate breaks the support of the ascending price channel and fixes in the red zone
The currency pair is forming consolidation and following the weakening of the Pound Sterling is heading downwards. From the point of view of technical analysis - the main potential target in the medium term is the support at 177.4 - the extreme point of the shakeout before the last rise.
Most likely, when the Central Bank of Great Britain announced the halt of rate hikes and further rate cuts, the currency started to form a correction after the tight policy.
After breaking the support, a correction to the previously broken boundary is formed on the chart and the currency pair consolidates for further decline. In the long term, I expect a medium-term decline in the price to the specified target.
Support levels: 181.2
Resistance levels: 181.96
The medium-term target is indicated on the chart. Fundamental and technical analysis indicate further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - Selling off on weak news. Pin-bar Gold is losing almost 1.5% amid sell-offs. Yesterday, before the FED speech, the market maker strengthened the price to 1947.3. The news was strong for the dollar and weak for gold, thus we see a strong sell-off and at the moment the price is at 1919.5.
Ta on the high timeframe:
1) False break of resistance at 1934
2) A strong candlestick pattern is formed for further selling.
3) A pin-bar is formed on the background of the false breakout. Target 1900
TA on the low timeframe:
1) False breakout of sideways range resistance defines further targets as 1910, 1907, 1901
2) Market is still bearish, price is falling below key levels
3) A retest of 1922.4 may soon follow before further declines
Key support📉: 1916.9
Key resistance📈: 1922.4
GOLD → Negative fundamental background. Shakeout OANDA:XAUUSD surprised many people yesterday, but not us. On the background of the previous days analysis (technical + fundamental) we had an idea about further actions on the market
In brief: Powell left the rate unchanged, but there were a lot of words that if the market remains aggressive, they will apply appropriate measures. And considering the fact that based on all the FOMC & FED actions against inflation, it is only getting stronger, the market can be considered aggressive, hence, the fundamental backdrop for gold is still negative, as the TVC:DXY will continue to rise.
In terms of technical analysis, gold is forming a false breakout of the following liquidity zones: 1928, 1935, 19466 at the moment Powell's speech ends and the market actively sells off the entire rise. On D1 the price again forms a false breakout of trend resistance, preparing the market for further decline. A retest of MA-200 on H1 with a subsequent breakout and decline to 1915 - 1900 may be formed soon
Support levels: 1922, 1915, 1902
Resistance levels: 1928
I expect a possible retest of the nearest resistance areas before a further fall against the negative fundamental background and the current bearish trend
OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY TVC:BXY CAPITALCOM:SILVER OANDA:XAGUSD COMEX:SI1!
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - 202% profit, next target 79959 USD!
Bitcoin is absolutely ready for a massive uptrend to my profit target of 79959 USD! In this analysis, I will tell you why Bitcoin is bullish.
First of all, we need to take a look at the weekly candles. The last weekly candle is a bullish engulfing candle. It means that the body of the candle engulfed the previous candle. Strong reversal signal, especially on the weekly chart!
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we have completed the major wave (2) with a WXYXZ corrective pattern (triple three). Bitcoin is starting a new impulse wave (3)! Usually waves 3 are the strongest waves, and in this case, I expect the target to be at the 1.618 FIB extension of wave (1) => wave (2).
The next bullish signal is the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA). As we can see, the price is holding this key dynamic support, and the bulls successfully defended it! This EMA is considered to have strong support or resistance by huge institutions and hedge funds.
Now for a pretty important question: what are the resistances on the way up to 80k? It's definitely the 0.618 FIB + POC of the previous market structure, which is at 38984. Then 48234 as a previous swing high, and of course the previous all-time high at 69000. You can use these levels for a potential quick short trade on the futures market with leverage!
The downtrend basically ended in January 2023 after breaking the major blue trendline. We also had a retest of this trendline in March 2023.
The price in March was around 25k and now in September, the price is around 26k after 6 months of sideways price action. This is a great opportunity to buy/long Bitcoin, so you don't need to wait 6 months for boring price action!
What do you think, guys? Are you ready for a massive bull market? Let me know in the comment section down below! I must know your opinion.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!