NZDUSD → A bearish wedge could lead to a rebound FX:NZDUSD is declining in the format of a bearish wedge. Within the pattern, the price may test the key support, but what to expect from the price further?
The support level of 0.59939 is the lower boundary of the global flat. There are no signals to break the support now, a retest of the level is formed after 2 months, the liquidity area will not allow to break this level. After the breakout of the support of the wedge will be followed by a retest of the indicated support level 0.59939, but I do not expect a breakout of this support. With high probability a rebound from the support may follow and the price may form a bullish momentum to the 0.61330 area.
The moving averages formed a bearish signal earlier, which has already worked out, at the moment the lines indicate a bearish trend.
Support levels: 0.59939
Resistance levels: 0.60692
I expect a retest of the support followed by a bounce up to 0.60692 or 0.61330.
Regards R. Linda!
A-flat
🥇GOLD - price corrections before a trend-following decline Gold finally breaks the lower boundary of the bearish channel. The market is forming a 0.6% impulse drop and the price is testing 1914.4. Technical pullback may fix the price in the zone for selling after which the fall will continue
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Breakout of the range support forms a strong impulse. The way is open for a decline to 1892
2) Price forms a retest of the liquidity area. High chance of a rebound
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Channel support is finally broken. Price formed an impulse to 1913 after which we see a correction to retest the previously broken support
2) Most likely the price may test the old flat - 1923.8, form a false breakout and continue its fall in the direction of the trend.
3) It is worth paying attention to the level of 1923.9, 1930.9 to look for sell signals.
Key resistance📈: 1923.9
Key support📉: 1913, 1900
💱EURUSD - The market is experiencing an attempt to change the tEURUSD is forming a reversal setup after a false breakout of the daily support level. The price may experience an attempt to change the local trend
TA on the high timeframe:
1) A false breakout is formed. The global correction may be over at 1.09526 level
2) Price is testing the liquidity area of 1.1200
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price is breaking the bearish channel. An impulse is formed to retest the base of the reversal pattern
2) A break of the pattern base may form a bullish impulse towards 1.11447.
3) As the trend is broken, the price may test the resistance in the medium term and the price may strengthen to 1.2430 in the medium term
Key support📉: 1.09670
Key resistance📈: 1.10400
GOLD → The bear's paw regulates the market. The red zone OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a setup that can accumulate the potential to continue falling. The price is testing local support and forming a rebound before further decline
The global bearish trend continues to develop. The price failed to pass through the 1980 area, forming a false breakout of the resistance area.
A downward price channel is formed on the chart, after breaking the trend support the price forms a prolonged consolidation below the support. A descending triangle is formed, which can be interpreted as a dpavlenie prodlavleniya on buyers in the area of 1922.
Moving averages show a strong trend and act as resistance. MA-50 confirm the local resistance of the triangle.
Support levels: 1923,5
Resistance levels: 1927.5, triangle resistance
In the medium term, I expect a continuation of the fall, but before that there may be a rebound to 1927-1930.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Explosive breakout, watch this bull flag!
Bitcoin is forming a bullish flag pattern or a wedge pattern on the daily chart, and that's why we can expect an explosive breakout in the immediate short term! The question is, when is it going to be? I would say this or next week, because the price could still touch the upward yellow trendline. But the decision will be very soon!
Bitcoin is bullish because the price is above the yellow trendline and above the 200-day simple moving average. They are pretty close to each other. This moving average is considered strong support / resistance by huge institutions and hedge funds. It can also be a 200-week MA or a 200-month MA. They are pretty good.
The target of this bullish flag / wedge is the white trendline. Make sure you take profit here because we could crash from this point!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Usually September is a bearish month, but we still have almost a month. Bitcoin usually pumps in 1-3 straight candles when no one is expecting it. It can be really fast!
XRP also reached a strong support that can send it to higher prices, specifically 1.7 USDT per coin. It's a good time to buy it!
I remain bullish on BTC, but on the intraday chart, we could still have some imbalance and wicks to take liquidity before going to 32k. Let me know in the comment section what you think about BTC. I look forward to your comments!
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🥇GOLD - Another retest of 1930 in a weak market Gold is reducing its volatility and continues to consolidate at 1933.9. On the global timeframe, support at 1938.9 is broken and preconditions for further decline are forming
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False breakout after correction. The level of 1938.9
2) Liquidity area. The price is forming another retest.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A situation of buying weakness is forming. Price returns to the retest of 1933
2) There could be a bounce on a decline to trend support, but medium-term potential remains with sellers.
3) The area below 1930 is quite tight and does not let the price in yet. Further continuation of narrow consolidation is likely
Key support: 1933.9, 1930, 1926
Key resistance: 1937, 1938, 1943
💱USDCHF - Symmetrical triangle may continue to grow USDCHF is forming a local bullish trend. Globally - correction. A pattern is forming between the liquidity areas, the breakout of resistance of which can form a rapid rise
TA on the high timeframe:
1) A correction is formed after the breakout of 0.8860 level. The growth will continue to the resistance
2) A bullish liquidity area is forming at the bottom, the price is being pushed upz
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A symmetrical triangle is formed on the background of a local bullish trend
2) The price bounces off the support and retests the resistance.
3) There is a high chance that the breakout will take place. In this case I will wait for the growth to 0.89157.
Key support: the lower boundary of the triangle, 0.8700.
Key resistance: 0.87779
GOLD → Waiting for a trap before a further fall OANDA:XAUUSD is still testing trend support and testing the market reaction. The price is not able to grow at the moment and continues to update local lows
On the futures market, the price failed to pass through the 2000 area, on the spot market, the situation is simpler - we see a continued decline in price. The price is trying to get out of the descending price channel, but apparently gold is in the liquidity area, which does not let the price below 1930. A global upward shakeout may follow before a further decline. Or, if the price overcomes the resistance of 1943, then the market will enter a recovery phase and strengthen the price. The potential for growth to 1954-1970 will be opened.
At the moment consolidation below the support is forming - a signal for a possible sale. Medium-term outlook 1927-1970
Support levels: 1930, 1927.5
Resistance levels: 1943. 1954
I expect a shakeout or false breakdowns of the local resistance and if the price continues to consolidate below the support, the market will give us a drop. BUT! If the price returns beyond 1943, the growth will start within the descending channel
Regards R. Linda!
💱GBPUSD - Growth may be preceded by a decline GBPUSD forms a false break of the support at 1.2652. The price reacts in a bullish way. A correction is forming on the market since the opening of the session. Most likely a slight decline may follow before further growth.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Uptrend. The price is forming a correction wave, most likely the correction is directed to the support at 1.2652.
2) The price is forming a liquidity area above 1.27800, if the price further follows this area, a breakout of resistance may follow.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price is within the descending channel
2) Consolidation is formed below 1.27279, we are waiting for a decline to 1.27000, 1.26500.
3) As the global trend is upward and a reversal pattern has been formed, the price may return to the retest of the trend resistance, which may be followed by a breakout and growth to 1.2965.
Key support📉: 1.27000, 1.26500
Key resistance📈: 1.27279
GOLD → Support retest indicates buyer weakness OANDA:XAUUSD has weak buying power at the moment. There is no update of local highs, the price is returning to the support retest. The probability of support breakdown is increasing
On the daily timeframe the price tried to test the strong resistance 1939, a false breakdown is formed and consolidation below the level. After this phase we saw a local distribution and another retest of the downtrend support. The price is testing another support at 1935.8, consolidation below the level will create a bearish potential and in the short term the price may form an impulse to 1927.
Support levels: trend support, 1935.8, 1927.5.
Resistance levels: 1943.3, 1954.
The probability that the support breakout will be true at this point is very high, the above described prerequisites for why the bulls are weak. On these bases, I am prioritizing a decline
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Pin-bar and reversal pattern on the support line FX:GBPUSD on the daily timeframe is forming a situation that suggests a buyback, at the same time a candlestick pattern and a false breakout are forming
The currency pair is in the format of the ascending price channel. Earlier support was tested and on the background of news the market bought back the fall at 1.36 which is quite a strong reaction.
After the local rally, the price is forming a correction, most likely to support or retest, which may be followed by a growth phase, coinciding with the trend direction.
Moving averages form a cross and play the role of resistance, it is worth paying attention to the support area of the uptrend.
Resistance levels: 1.27275, 1.28484
Support levels: 1.26800, trend support, 1.26065
I expect the end of correction in the area of uptrend support with the subsequent strengthening of the price within the uptrend.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD - Huge uptrend is ready! (prepare longs)
EURUSD is still extremely bullish because the price is above the 200-day daily moving average and also above the major white trendline. Trend is your friend, so we want to take only longs!
The price is also inside this ascending parallel channel, and I expect another push to the upside to test the upward trendline of the channel. It's possible to bull-break this channel!
In the last 2 weeks, EURUSD has been going down, but it's just a re-test of the previous 2 trendlines. We needed this pullback for continuation to the upside. The retest was a great buying opportunity, but of course you can still enter the market at the current price if you find a good setup on lower timeframes.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
When trading EURUSD, we need to consider the DXY index. This index is pretty bearish, and I will probably do an analysis on it as well, so make sure you follow me for more updates!
The MACD indicator tells us that the trend is rolling over from bearish to bullish again. The histogram is ticking to the upside, which is of course a bullish sign.
In conclusion, I am bullish on the euro, and I would take only longs for the next few weeks!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
I post ideas mainly on BTC, so if you want more EURUSD ideas, support with like and comment, so I know I should continue!
🥇GOLD - The market is preparing for a recoveryGold is forming a false breakdown of a strong support line. The support and liquidity area formed forms a bullish rally.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False breakout. Price closes above the 1938 support line, gold may rise to 1950-1960 at the beginning of the trading week
2) Price is testing the liquidity area of 1942.8, the market may open with a gap or continue its growth if this resistance is broken.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A candle with a large shadow is forming on H4, the price closes close to the 1942 level after a false breakdown
2) The market is forming a potential to continue rising
3) Waiting for the trend resistance to be reached before considering any further setups.
Key support📉: 1933
Key resistance📈: 1942
GOLD → FB of flag support. Consolidation near resistance OANDA:XAUUSD continues to form a descending price range after the breakout of the bullish trend. A "flag" pattern is forming within the new channel, a false breakout was made on Friday
There is not much important news in the coming week, but it is worth paying attention to Thursday and Friday, the reports may provide insight for the medium-term outlook.
Bottom right chart - a flag is forming against the background of the upward momentum. On Friday, the price makes a false breakout of the support of the figure and in the first half of the new week there may be a strengthening of the price and growth to the resistance area.
Within the global descending channel price is forming consolidation near resistance, most likely there may be a direct retest of the descending resistance in the area of 1858-1863, there may be an attempt to breakout.
BUT again, if sellers are strong, and if you look at the chart, the bearish scenario is developing at the moment, a fall from the channel resistance, a retest of 1935 and a further fall to 1902 may follow.
The price is in a range, it is worth paying attention to such levels as: MA50, trend resistance, support 1935.5
Regards R. Linda!
BTCUSD → A logical correction will test a strong support area BITSTAMP:BTCUSD continues to form a global ascending price channel. The actual counter-trend correction at the moment does not indicate any change of trend, an adequate reaction to the strong resistance area formed back in 2021 is being formed.
The price on the daily chart is forming a local support line 28850, a pre-breakdown consolidation and false breakdown is formed, there is no reaction in the form of a rebound, and the price continues to form a squeeze to the support. In the near future 28850 may be broken and the price will test 28450, a false breakdown is possible. Also within this correction the price may test the support of the ascending triangle and 200-day moving average. The price may technically decline in order to purchase the asset at more favorable prices.
The cryptocurrency market emphasizes more on fundamentals than on technical analysis, it plays a secondary role in this partnership. Crypto players are waiting for some news to activate the movement in one direction or another.
Interesting nuances recently:
1) Approval of the spot BTC-ETF will lead to billions of dollars of non-investment inflows into the market
2) The government has stepped up BTC protagging for June-July
3) Mainers collectively stopped selling and started accumulating BTC. Their reserves are growing
4) Minimal liquidity is accumulating strong consolidation. A surge in volumes may follow in the near future
Strong support levels: 28850, 28450, figure support, MA-200
Strong resistance levels: 29650, 30575, figure resistance.
This correction is a logical move in the market. The price can't grow all the time. I expect bullish activity after retesting the support area.
Regards R. Linda!
💱EURNZD - The price is preparing for a breakout and a riseEURNZD is forming an ascending triangle and for the past few hours, the currency pair has been showing potential that is preparing the price for upward movement
TA on high timeframe:
1) A retest of 1.8000 is forming
2) Consolidation near liquidity on the resistance side
TA on the low timeframe:
1) An ascending triangle is forming
2) Price into the range and consolidates near resistance
3) Pre-breakout consolidation is forming
4) Breakout of 1.8000 will send the price to 1.81000
5) Medium-term potential is to rise to 1.83000
Key support: 1.79270
Key resistance: 1.80000
GOLD → Consolidation below support ahead of NFP. Trap? OANDA:XAUUSD has been consolidating below the previously broken descending channel support for two days. From the basic fundamentals, this formation suggests a strengthening sentiment for further declines, but there are always nuances to it
Analysts were expecting bearish news for the dollar, which was previously published, but the index is showing a bullish bias, suggesting an improving economy.
Fitch downgraded the long-term rating of the US to AA+ from AAA
This is not good news for the dollar, but still:
The U.S. was downgraded to AA in 2011, which caused the market to fall hard, but earnings and economic conditions were different at the time.
This downgrade by Fitch is not fundamental as the economy is growing and profits are rising to service this debt.
In terms of technical analysis, after a rally to the 1980 area, a correction in the format of a flag-like descending channel is forming, but at some point things don't go according to plan and price breaks the channel support, forming a consolidation and forming liquidity before further declines.
Ahead of NonFarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate publication, analysts are expecting bearish data, but based on earlier press releases, the numbers could be the opposite, which could provide new bullish potential for the dollar, and gold could fall to 1900.
Support levels: 1933, 1930, 1927, 1912
Resistance levels: 1943, 1954
In priority I expect the price to fall to the lower support levels, but the price can break the situation if the expected fundamental data is confirmed.
Regards R. Linda!
USDCAD → Range breakout. Realization of consolidation FX:USDCAD has been forming a bearish price channel for a long time. For the last few days, the price has been forming a symmetrical triangle, which is forming an attempt to change trend
The price is moving out of the range on August 2. The impulse is formed on the background of strengthening of the dollar index and the price is testing 1.3370.
Today such news are published as:
1) NonFarm Payrolls (Expected to decline)
2) Unemployment Rate (expected to decrease).
Expectations of the news were not met earlier, the indicators are quite positive for the dollar index, which indicates a stronger economy even as fitch downgraded the US credit rating from AAA to AA+, but this does not say much in the current realities.
The USDCAD currency pair is consolidating in the range of 1.3370 - 1.3320, with another retest of resistance, the level may be broken, but if the price starts a correction, it may head towards the channel boundary.
Support levels: 1.3320
Resistance levels: 1.3370
I expect that on the background of strengthening of the dollar the price may break the resistance and form a movement to 1.3565, but there is a chance of correction formation.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin prediction 2028 (Fibonacci channel, must know)!
This is my projection for the next 5 years. Bitcoin always rapidly grows after the halving event. But around 16 months after the halving event, Bitcoin started to crash significantly.
On the chart, we can see a very important Fibonacci channel on the LOG scale. The 0.618 FIB is always a strong level, and bitcoin hit it almost to the dollar in 2022. Take a look at it! We deeply need to keep this Fibonacci channel in mind. The strongest FIB levels are 0.618 and 0.382. 0.618 + 0.382 = 1. Bitcoin loves these Fibos.
Please do not expect some big parabolic phase to reach 500,000 USD in the next few months or years. This is not going to happen because you are too late for the exponential party. 100,000 - 120,000 in 2025 is a realistic target!
Bitcoin is a good investment, and you can trade the major cycles. Buy low, sell high. It's easy to say, but it's not that easy for the majority of market participants.
As per my calculations, the price of Bitcoin will be 1 million USD in 2044, which is 21 years ahead.
In approx. 2140, all Bitcoins should be mined, and there will be no new BTC mined at all. Miners will receive rewards from the transactions of chain users.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bear markets and crashes:
2011 - 93.75%
2014 - 86.94%
2018 - 84.22%
2022 - 77.57%
2026 - 71.67% ?
🥇 GOLD - Price is breaking support but not falling yetGold is breaking a new milestone and breaking the support of the descending price channel.
Price is consolidating between the downtrend line and 1933.9 support, pre-breakdown consolidation may break the support and price will fly downwards
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Break of support at 1938 (lower boundary of the global range
2) Consolidation below the support is forming
3) Negative fundamental background for gold
TA on the low timeframe:
1)Trend support is broken, price is consolidating lower
2)If 1933.9 is not broken, then there will be a false break of support and price will head towards 1950
Key support📉: 1933.9
Key resistance📈: 1938.7
💱EURGBP - Distributive Growth. Retest of resistance EURGBP is in a sideways range amid a downward global trend. The price is testing the upper boundary, which plays the role of a strong resistance, where there is a high chance for a rebound
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False breakdown of 0.8666 forms a fall to the support, thus the price confirms the presence of flat
2) Impulse is forming, most likely the area of 0.8650 - 0.8684 can be a medium-term target.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A distributive resistance retest is being formed. Such movements are quickly stopped by strong levels
2) Since we have a global downtrend and a range formed, a fall to 0.86000 is likely from resistance
Key resistance📈: 0.8651, 0.8666
Key support📉: 0.86000
GOLD → Support breakout & consolidation. Fall after the shake-upOANDA:XAUUSD is breaking the range support, and on the daily chart the price is testing one of the key support levels. Here the candlestick analysis indicates the preconditions for further decline
The price is breaking the support of the descending range. Consolidation of the price below the previously broken support is formed. Since the price is forming consolidation, most likely, while the market is gaining liquidity, false breakdowns (shake-ups) are possible relative to resistance and support of the conditional boundaries. On the daily timeframe, the price is testing 1935. The price on Wednesday closed quite close to the level, which indicates that the market is not ready to end the movement, it may continue.
Important news is published today. It is worth paying attention to: Initial Jobless Claims, S&P PMI, Non-Manufacturing PMI, these are the nuances we dealt with on Sunday. Moving averages act as resistance
Support levels: 1932.9
Resistance levels: previously broken trend support, 1938.5, 1943
I expect the decline to continue based on candlestick and technical analysis. The market has broken support and is most likely preparing for a continuation of the decline. But there is news ahead, it may change the situation significantly
Regards R. Linda!
FXSUSDT → Out of Range. It's up to the bulls BINANCE:FXSUSDT is squeezed within the consolidation boundaries of 7.174 - 3.910, but at the same time inside the range there is a prerequisite for a possible trend change and price strengthening
A bullish pattern in the format of a "bearish wedge" is forming on the chart. The price is breaking resistance on the background of weak bitcoin. Investors are looking for potential in altcoins during a correction in the cryptocurrency market. Consolidation above 5.866 could form a bullish upside to 7.175, which would form a retest.
In this case, the market will get the potential to break the resistance of the 7.175 range and further growth. There is no pronounced trend, the price is forming a sideways range based on the bottom of 3.910. The market may slowly but try to reverse.
Support levels: 5.866, 3.910
Resistance levels: 7.175
I expect the formation of bullish support with the last retest of 7.175 aimed at the breakout of the range and further growth.
Regards R. Linda!