BTCUSD → A logical correction will test a strong support area BITSTAMP:BTCUSD continues to form a global ascending price channel. The actual counter-trend correction at the moment does not indicate any change of trend, an adequate reaction to the strong resistance area formed back in 2021 is being formed.
The price on the daily chart is forming a local support line 28850, a pre-breakdown consolidation and false breakdown is formed, there is no reaction in the form of a rebound, and the price continues to form a squeeze to the support. In the near future 28850 may be broken and the price will test 28450, a false breakdown is possible. Also within this correction the price may test the support of the ascending triangle and 200-day moving average. The price may technically decline in order to purchase the asset at more favorable prices.
The cryptocurrency market emphasizes more on fundamentals than on technical analysis, it plays a secondary role in this partnership. Crypto players are waiting for some news to activate the movement in one direction or another.
Interesting nuances recently:
1) Approval of the spot BTC-ETF will lead to billions of dollars of non-investment inflows into the market
2) The government has stepped up BTC protagging for June-July
3) Mainers collectively stopped selling and started accumulating BTC. Their reserves are growing
4) Minimal liquidity is accumulating strong consolidation. A surge in volumes may follow in the near future
Strong support levels: 28850, 28450, figure support, MA-200
Strong resistance levels: 29650, 30575, figure resistance.
This correction is a logical move in the market. The price can't grow all the time. I expect bullish activity after retesting the support area.
Regards R. Linda!
A-flat
💱EURNZD - The price is preparing for a breakout and a riseEURNZD is forming an ascending triangle and for the past few hours, the currency pair has been showing potential that is preparing the price for upward movement
TA on high timeframe:
1) A retest of 1.8000 is forming
2) Consolidation near liquidity on the resistance side
TA on the low timeframe:
1) An ascending triangle is forming
2) Price into the range and consolidates near resistance
3) Pre-breakout consolidation is forming
4) Breakout of 1.8000 will send the price to 1.81000
5) Medium-term potential is to rise to 1.83000
Key support: 1.79270
Key resistance: 1.80000
GOLD → Consolidation below support ahead of NFP. Trap? OANDA:XAUUSD has been consolidating below the previously broken descending channel support for two days. From the basic fundamentals, this formation suggests a strengthening sentiment for further declines, but there are always nuances to it
Analysts were expecting bearish news for the dollar, which was previously published, but the index is showing a bullish bias, suggesting an improving economy.
Fitch downgraded the long-term rating of the US to AA+ from AAA
This is not good news for the dollar, but still:
The U.S. was downgraded to AA in 2011, which caused the market to fall hard, but earnings and economic conditions were different at the time.
This downgrade by Fitch is not fundamental as the economy is growing and profits are rising to service this debt.
In terms of technical analysis, after a rally to the 1980 area, a correction in the format of a flag-like descending channel is forming, but at some point things don't go according to plan and price breaks the channel support, forming a consolidation and forming liquidity before further declines.
Ahead of NonFarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate publication, analysts are expecting bearish data, but based on earlier press releases, the numbers could be the opposite, which could provide new bullish potential for the dollar, and gold could fall to 1900.
Support levels: 1933, 1930, 1927, 1912
Resistance levels: 1943, 1954
In priority I expect the price to fall to the lower support levels, but the price can break the situation if the expected fundamental data is confirmed.
Regards R. Linda!
USDCAD → Range breakout. Realization of consolidation FX:USDCAD has been forming a bearish price channel for a long time. For the last few days, the price has been forming a symmetrical triangle, which is forming an attempt to change trend
The price is moving out of the range on August 2. The impulse is formed on the background of strengthening of the dollar index and the price is testing 1.3370.
Today such news are published as:
1) NonFarm Payrolls (Expected to decline)
2) Unemployment Rate (expected to decrease).
Expectations of the news were not met earlier, the indicators are quite positive for the dollar index, which indicates a stronger economy even as fitch downgraded the US credit rating from AAA to AA+, but this does not say much in the current realities.
The USDCAD currency pair is consolidating in the range of 1.3370 - 1.3320, with another retest of resistance, the level may be broken, but if the price starts a correction, it may head towards the channel boundary.
Support levels: 1.3320
Resistance levels: 1.3370
I expect that on the background of strengthening of the dollar the price may break the resistance and form a movement to 1.3565, but there is a chance of correction formation.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin prediction 2028 (Fibonacci channel, must know)!
This is my projection for the next 5 years. Bitcoin always rapidly grows after the halving event. But around 16 months after the halving event, Bitcoin started to crash significantly.
On the chart, we can see a very important Fibonacci channel on the LOG scale. The 0.618 FIB is always a strong level, and bitcoin hit it almost to the dollar in 2022. Take a look at it! We deeply need to keep this Fibonacci channel in mind. The strongest FIB levels are 0.618 and 0.382. 0.618 + 0.382 = 1. Bitcoin loves these Fibos.
Please do not expect some big parabolic phase to reach 500,000 USD in the next few months or years. This is not going to happen because you are too late for the exponential party. 100,000 - 120,000 in 2025 is a realistic target!
Bitcoin is a good investment, and you can trade the major cycles. Buy low, sell high. It's easy to say, but it's not that easy for the majority of market participants.
As per my calculations, the price of Bitcoin will be 1 million USD in 2044, which is 21 years ahead.
In approx. 2140, all Bitcoins should be mined, and there will be no new BTC mined at all. Miners will receive rewards from the transactions of chain users.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bear markets and crashes:
2011 - 93.75%
2014 - 86.94%
2018 - 84.22%
2022 - 77.57%
2026 - 71.67% ?
🥇 GOLD - Price is breaking support but not falling yetGold is breaking a new milestone and breaking the support of the descending price channel.
Price is consolidating between the downtrend line and 1933.9 support, pre-breakdown consolidation may break the support and price will fly downwards
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Break of support at 1938 (lower boundary of the global range
2) Consolidation below the support is forming
3) Negative fundamental background for gold
TA on the low timeframe:
1)Trend support is broken, price is consolidating lower
2)If 1933.9 is not broken, then there will be a false break of support and price will head towards 1950
Key support📉: 1933.9
Key resistance📈: 1938.7
💱EURGBP - Distributive Growth. Retest of resistance EURGBP is in a sideways range amid a downward global trend. The price is testing the upper boundary, which plays the role of a strong resistance, where there is a high chance for a rebound
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False breakdown of 0.8666 forms a fall to the support, thus the price confirms the presence of flat
2) Impulse is forming, most likely the area of 0.8650 - 0.8684 can be a medium-term target.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A distributive resistance retest is being formed. Such movements are quickly stopped by strong levels
2) Since we have a global downtrend and a range formed, a fall to 0.86000 is likely from resistance
Key resistance📈: 0.8651, 0.8666
Key support📉: 0.86000
GOLD → Support breakout & consolidation. Fall after the shake-upOANDA:XAUUSD is breaking the range support, and on the daily chart the price is testing one of the key support levels. Here the candlestick analysis indicates the preconditions for further decline
The price is breaking the support of the descending range. Consolidation of the price below the previously broken support is formed. Since the price is forming consolidation, most likely, while the market is gaining liquidity, false breakdowns (shake-ups) are possible relative to resistance and support of the conditional boundaries. On the daily timeframe, the price is testing 1935. The price on Wednesday closed quite close to the level, which indicates that the market is not ready to end the movement, it may continue.
Important news is published today. It is worth paying attention to: Initial Jobless Claims, S&P PMI, Non-Manufacturing PMI, these are the nuances we dealt with on Sunday. Moving averages act as resistance
Support levels: 1932.9
Resistance levels: previously broken trend support, 1938.5, 1943
I expect the decline to continue based on candlestick and technical analysis. The market has broken support and is most likely preparing for a continuation of the decline. But there is news ahead, it may change the situation significantly
Regards R. Linda!
FXSUSDT → Out of Range. It's up to the bulls BINANCE:FXSUSDT is squeezed within the consolidation boundaries of 7.174 - 3.910, but at the same time inside the range there is a prerequisite for a possible trend change and price strengthening
A bullish pattern in the format of a "bearish wedge" is forming on the chart. The price is breaking resistance on the background of weak bitcoin. Investors are looking for potential in altcoins during a correction in the cryptocurrency market. Consolidation above 5.866 could form a bullish upside to 7.175, which would form a retest.
In this case, the market will get the potential to break the resistance of the 7.175 range and further growth. There is no pronounced trend, the price is forming a sideways range based on the bottom of 3.910. The market may slowly but try to reverse.
Support levels: 5.866, 3.910
Resistance levels: 7.175
I expect the formation of bullish support with the last retest of 7.175 aimed at the breakout of the range and further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Resistance pressure on D1. Waiting for news OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a descending range after breaking the local trend. On D1, the chart is showing strong pressure from resistance and is forming a descending triangle which could give a strong fall, but there is news ahead...
The price is testing the support at 1943 with the last move, making a false break and thus updating the local low to 1941.29. Based on the situation on the local timeframe and on the D1 we can say that the sellers are stronger, the fundamental background of the last trading week adds some confidence for this.
Today ADP NonFarm Employment Change is published ( analysts expect a decline in the indicator, therefore the dollar may react negatively ), this press release can give us a rough mood for Thursday and Friday ( INJ, ISM, Nfp, UR are published )
Still, technical analysis initially lays a large percentage of the expected movement, even before the publication of the news and at the moment there is a preponderance of forces in the direction that the market is preparing for a fall. When enough weighty news is published, this imbalance may shift and in this case the price may break 1954, 1960 and head towards 1974
Support levels: 1943
Resistance levels: 1954, 1960
In priority I expect a decline to 1943 with the subsequent breakout, but on the background of news the price may act unpredictably and break the resistance. Watch the price reaction.
Regards R. Linda!
KNCUSDT → A break of resistance forms an impulseBINANCE:KNCUSDT breaks the resistance of the figure and forms the primary impulse. The resistance 0.726 is retested. The price moves to the realization phase. What to expect next?
KNCUSDT is forming a bullish setup. The prolonged downtrend may break and change to a bullish trend.
The price is retesting 0.726 in the phase of realizing the accumulated potential.
If 0.726 is broken through, the growth to the key resistance 0.933 can be formed, which will separate us from the active growth to 2.200, as the area of 0.933-2.200 is empty and there will be no obstacles for the price.
Recently, altcoins are increasing volumes and are active, which may show good potential in the near future.
Support levels: 0.575, 0.495
Resistance levels: 0.726, 0.933
I expect a bounce from 0.726 and a possible retest of the previously broken figure boundary, but in the medium term I stick to the fact that the price can show excellent growth by tens of percent.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇 GOLD - Retest of market support, readiness to decline Gold breaks through the 1963 resistance, but as it turns out this maneuver is false. The descending price channel is contributing to the price action, while at the same time price is retesting the support area and retracing back to that area to test the breakout attempt.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price is approaching range support. NFP related news may negatively affect the price
2) The liquidity area against which an entry point can be formed is around 1942. A breakout or false breakdown is possible
TA on the low timeframe:
1) On July 27, the price tests 1942 and forms a rally to 1973, after which the price does not go further, but comes back and tests 1942 again, but now already updating the local bottom
2) After a few hours and a retest of the liquidity area 1950-1955, the price returns to the support retest. Most likely the market is negative.
3) A pre-breakout consolidation is forming, which may break the market support under the pressure of fundamental factors.
Key resistance📈: 1950
Key support📉: 1942.5
💱USDJPY - Correction before further growth USDJPY is strengthening, making a false breakdown of local trend resistance. A correction towards the key support area is being formed, a rebound is likely to follow
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False break of 142.25 may form a rebound to 140.7
2) The price is updating the local maximum, we should not expect a strong fall, as the market has a key target of 144.69, most likely in the medium term we will see growth to this mark.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A bearish correction is forming. This movement may test both 141.9 and 140.7.
2) There is no talk of a trend change, there is a strong bullish trend on the chart and a smooth transition into consolidation is forming.
3) Locally we have a bullish trend and in our case we should look for support levels to open long positions.
Key support📉: 141.95, 140.73
Key resistance📈:143.00
EURUSD → A false break of support could provide bullish momentumFX:EURUSD is forming a false breakdown of the support line. The price is still trying to hold within the bullish trend
The false break of the trend support led to an increase in liquidity, after which a reaction is formed in the market, which brings the price back into the channel and confirms the false breakdown.
The false breakout may be followed by a retest of 1.09480 which will signal that the price is not ready to rise and will start to fall. BUT! If the currency pair consolidates above the support line of the uptrend, the market will form the potential for strengthening.
Moving averages act as resistance.
Support levels: trend line, 1.0948.
Resistance levels: 1.1033, 1.1075.
I expect price consolidation above the support line, relative to which a false breakdown was made. After that I will wait for growth to the resistance.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - The current scenario is a bear channel Gold is forming a bearish channel, the area of density on the side of resistance, which the price failed to pass, begins to pressure the market and thus makes the price of the asset weaken.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price is still in a range
2) The bearish trend is valid
3) The liquidity area where the price can go is below 1943.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price breaks 1963 again and forms a false break of the level
2) We should expect price to consolidate below the level, or below 1953 to look for a selling entry point
3) The price is likely to acquire a target in the form of a downtrend support area around 1940.
Key resistance📈: 1963
Key support📉: 1953
Bitcoin - Bart pattern + Comment your altcoin!Make a comment with your altcoin below this idea, and I will give you my opinion/analysis of it in reply! Make sure you hit the boost button as well to participate. I will answer your comment with an analysis for you on the weekly/daily chart (long term). I start my analysis with Bitcoin:
The bart pattern is a new type of chart pattern that occurs specifically on Bitcoin but sometimes also on other coins. It's something like pump and dump, but at the top of the pattern we have a sideways price action that looks like a Bart's head.
Usually August and September are the most bearish months on Bitcoin, so I would not be surprised!
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When we look at the daily chart, we can see an ascending parallel channel with 3 touches at the bottom. This indicates to me that the bulls are losing steam because they are unable to make a parabolic uptrend!
There is still a possibility of going up to 32k - 33K in the short term, but this is something I don't want to speculate on. And even if Bitcoin could pump to these higher levels, the crash would follow either way.
My Elliott Wave count suggests that a deep retracement is on the way up back to 20k or 21k, which is definitely a good price to buy as much Bitcoin as possible and prepare for the new bull market in 2024 and 2025. Also, you can open a long-term leveraged position on futures in this zone.
We still need to wait around 8 months for the halving event, and that's plenty of time for a crash. We have a lot of unfilled FVGAPs and a CME GAP below the current price. They are going to be filled sooner or later.
If we take a LOG fibonacci retracement from 16.3k to 31.5k, we can see that the 0.618 golden ratio is at 20303. The whales really like to buy BTC at this specific Fibonacci level, as it has the highest successful rate of all Fibonacci levels.
This bart pattern looks pretty funny, but if you are on the wrong side of the market, it's definitely not funny. The price moves extremely fast, and you can wake up into a massive red dildo.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
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💱 EURCHF - A reversal pattern. What to expect from it? EURCHF is forming a reversal set-up. Against the backdrop of the global downtrend, this doesn't tell us much, but if the price overcomes the resistance, a quick trend reversal could be in order
TA on a high timeframe:
1) Strong bearish trend
2) Price continues to fall and test the bottom
3) Liquidity area that may be of interest to the market is above 0.96500
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A reversal setup is being formed relative to the 0.95987 level.
2) Consolidation between H&S base and 0.95897 support is possible, after which growth may follow
3) Bullish momentum may reach 0.96770 as this area is a global liquidity area.
Key support📉: 0.95987
Key resistance📈: 0.96500
GOLD → Buyer weakness leads to a retest of support OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a false break of support after which a bullish impulse is developing, which is predictable, but within the framework of the local rally the price cannot update the local maximum, which may indicate buyer weakness
A fall is formed after the establishment of LH 1972. The price breaks the 1959 level and forms a consolidation below the level. A consolidation in this area may form a potential for further decline, which may form another retest of 1948 support, and this movement will already form a potential for a possible breakout of this area with a further decline to 1933.
After the breakout of the uptrend, a flat is formed and the price can stay within these limits for quite a long time, but there are no preconditions for breaking through the flat resistance or flat support. We are waiting for the price to approach the boundary and will follow the reaction.
Support levels: 1953, 1948
Resistance levels: 1959, 1972.
I expect the price to decline to the flat support. Further reaction to the level of 1948 will show the medium-term potential (rebound or breakout to 1933 is possible).
Regards R. Linda!
ETHUSD → Correction, after which growth to 2000 may be formedBITSTAMP:ETHUSD continues to form a bullish price channel, as evidenced by the MA-200, which accompanies the trend support. The price is forming a correction and breaking the support of 1846, thus marking the next target before further growth
Ethereum is forming a global flat 2021 - 1700. Support 1728 plays an important role for us and there is a high probability that the price may test it in the near future. But we are primarily interested in the support of the ascending channel.
The cryptocurrency market after active strengthening has moved to the correction format following bitcoin. There are no particularly key fundamental factors on this basis, as many nuances speak about the increasing interest in this market.
The price is in a range and in our case we can apply a range trading strategy, which means that in an uptrend we need to look for strong support areas to open buy trades.
Support levels: trend boundary, MA-200, 1775, 1728.
Resistance levels: 1846, 2021
I expect the correction to continue to the support area of the uptrend, after the retest of which may be followed by a bullish impulse.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Falling wedge will send BTC to 32k! (act quickly)
The price of Bitcoin is currently forming a bullish falling wedge pattern, and we are very close to a breakout! Trade it properly.
We can see that the price broke out of the strong horizontal line (at 29500), but the bears are weak and they are not able to continue in the downtrend. What is now likely is that the bulls are going to push the price back above the line and pump bitcoin to 32K! 32k is a strong resistance because of the ascending trendline, so make sure you take profit or open a short when the time comes!
On the way up to 32k, we have some minor resistances, such as the previous unfilled FVGAP and 0.618 FIB retracement. Good for intraday pullbacks, but nothing huge.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we clearly see an overlapping structure in the downtrend. I marked it as WXY (double three pattern). Also, the X wave looks like a triangle, which suggests that the downtrend is almost over.
This is my update on BTC. I expect higher prices for the crypto market in the next few weeks! Alt season is ready, so make sure you buy some altcoins if you haven't already, as per my previous analysis. Set up notifications for my ideas so you will be alerted in your email when I publish new analyses immediately!
What do you think about Bitcoin? Let me know in the comment section; I look forward to your opinions!
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🥇GOLD - Consolidation below the support. Fibo retest GOLD after retesting the support area of the uptrend forms a false break of 0.5 fibo and declines, updating the local minimum at the beginning of the trading session. The market is forming consolidation below the previously broken support
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price in range, resistance was tested earlier
2) Price failed to make a new high on a retest of resistance 1984
3) Price is forming liquidity areas
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A decline is formed after a retest of broken trend support
2) Price declines to 1950 and forms a retest of 0.382 fibo.
3) Most likely the market is looking for the area of local liquidity and forms consolidation of the potential for possible movement in one or the other direction
4) It is possible to decline from 0.382 fibo, or growth from 0.5 fibo.
Key support📉: 1948
Key resistance📈: 0.382 fibo and 0.5 fibo
💱USDCAD - ascending triangle realizationUSDCAD breaks the resistance of the bullish pattern and moves to realize the accumulated potential. The price can overcome the way to the nearest resistance quite quickly if the bulls hold their positions
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price still has upside potential towards 1.333
2) Breakout of the liquidity area forms a consolidation above 1.32300
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price breaks out of the range and forms a consolidation
2) A retest to 1.32280 is formed, I expect a false breakdown from below and possible consolidation of the price above the level.
3) At the moment sellers are testing the support.
Key support📉: 1.32279
Key resistance📈: 1.3303
GOLD → Prerequisites for a possible breakthrough of supportOANDA:XAUUSD forms a false breakdown of the specified resistance level of 1959.8. The fundamental factors of last week indicate the weakness of the instrument
After a strong bearish impulse from the resistance of the 1983.7 range, a correction is formed aimed at retesting the 1959.8 area, the resistance is not broken and the price begins to decline. An attempt to retest the support of 1948 is being formed, which is a prerequisite for the market's readiness for further decline.
The 1948 retest and the formation of pre-breakout consolidation near the level can form a potential at which the market can break support and decline by 1933.
A reversal pattern is formed on D1, to confirm its implementation, the price needs to overcome the specified support.
A bullish setup can appear only if the 1959 breakout and price consolidation above this line.
Support Levels: 1948
Resistance levels: MA 50, 1959
I expect a 1948 retest with a possible breakthrough of support and further decline.
Sincerely, R. Linda!