GOLD → A temporary respite after a high jump OANDA:XAUUSD continues to form a bullish trend, indicating strong interest in the market. The strong rally is moving into a narrow consolidation, which may hint at certain implications
Yesterday we saw a breakout of the local consolidation and a gorgeous 200 pips momentum.
The price is testing the resistance at 1981.7 and forming a 110 pips wide fljt. Gold may test the support and start strengthening again or form a consolidation near 1981.8.
At the moment, since there is a strong trend, we should consider either a rebound from 1970 or a breakout of 1981. The growth may continue and the price may test 1993 soon.
The moving averages indicate a strong bullish trend. The daily timeframe is forming a candlestick that gives a prerequisite for a breakout of 1981 in the near future.
Support levels: 1975, 1970
Resistance levels: 1981.8
I expect consolidation with the subsequent breakout of 1981.7. In the long term I expect growth to 1993 and 2000.
Regards R. Linda!
A-flat
EURAUD → A shake-up could provide bullish momentumFX:EURAUD in the format of local uptrend forms an interesting set-up of two false breakouts and pre-breakout consolidation after market clearing. Growth may continue.
The shakeout in May and mid-June cleared the market of a lot of crowds with their bids and increases the market maker's liquidity. A third approach to resistance and a third premise for price to break out of the range could be true.
Price is forming a sideways range of 1.654 - 1.626. Within the flat range, price is forming a pre-breakout consolidation near resistance. The euro is recovering and most likely will try to break the mentioned level.
The moving averages act as a strong support, especially MA-200, which outlines the support of the ascending channel.
Resistance levels: 1.654, upper boundary of the channel
Support levels: 1.646
I expect a resistance retest followed by a breakout. Strengthening of the currency pair may continue. Medium-term outlook 1.6786
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Pump to 39k! But then, crash to 21k (juicy)
We have had a lot of bullish news in recent days, and that's why Bitcoin is going to reach up to 39k this summer, but do not be too excited because I am expecting a huge crash to 21k later this year!
39K is an extremely strong resistance for the bulls, mainly because of the 0.618 FIB retracement and point of control of the previous market structure. Also during the downtrend in 2022, the price created an unfilled fair value gap, which acts as resistance as well. We can fill this gap and start a major downtrend.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
At this moment, Bitcoin is inside an ascending parallel channel on the daily chart and has touched the trendline three times. 3 touches is a lot; it basically failed to make a parabolic move, so I expect this trendline to breakdown this year and start a downtrend!
What could be the price target for the upcoming downtrend? We still have an unfilled CME GAP at 21110, which is a magnet. All CME gaps on Bitcoin were always filled, and there is a 100% historical probability of going down and filling them!
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From the Elliott Wave perspective, this uptrend from 15k to the current price of 30k looks impulsive. It has a good angle, and there are totally no overlaps on the line chart, even though there is a small overlap on the candlestick chart. I market it as an impulse wave 12345, and we still have room to go up to finish the 5th wave.
Look at my previous idea about "XRP" in the related section down below; it's very important!
That's all for today. It's possible for Bitcoin to go down in the short term, but I am pretty bullish, and 39 is expected this summer.
95% of my trades are done on altcoins, and Bitcoin has been going sideways for almost a month. The volatility is low, and where there is no volatility, there is no opportunity.
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GOLD → Support shake-up followed by resistance retest OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a shake-out of consolidation support. Thus, after the retest of the previously broken boundary (as I talked about yesterday) there is a consolidation and resistance retest that could lead to a breakout and rise to 2000.
Gold is testing the support area, forming a liquidity grab and thereby increasing the potential for the upside to continue.
Earlier, the price confirmed the break of the bearish trend. Yesterday's retest of the previously broken boundary is another confirmation of the fact that at the moment the bullish trend prevails in the market and in our case we should look for either strong support to buy or resistance to trade with the "breakout" strategy.
Against the backdrop of correction and falling dollar, gold is feeling good confidence. A breakout of the 1962 consolidation resistance will give a new breath to the market. The moving averages are acting as support.
Resistance levels: 1962
Support levels: 1959, 1954
I expect a break of resistance either now or after another retest with subsequent growth. Medium-term outlook 1970, 1981, 2000.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDCHF → Activity of dynamic sellers forms a triangle FX:NZDCHF is forming a multi-month descending triangle. Globally, the currency pair is under downtrend pressure. What's going on?
Buyers are forming the limit zone at 0.5444, sellers continue to press this area since the end of April, thus a descending triangle is formed on the chart, which speaks for itself.
False breakdown of the support does not give the result and we see an attempt of another retest of the support level.
Formation of the subsequent test or pre-breakdown consolidation will form the momentum that can break the mentioned support and form a bearish impulse towards 0.5350.
But, if the buyers hold the zone, the price will head upwards. A breakout and consolidation of the price above 0.5496 will be a buy signal.
Support levels: 0.5444
Resistance levels: 0.5496
I expect the support breakout based on the technical feature of the currency pair at the moment.
Medium-term target is the support at 0.5350.
Regards R. Linda!
GALAUSDT - The price is coming out of the old rangeBINANCE:GALAUSDT goes beyond the resistance of the global descending channel that has been forming for a year. Now the price is forming a wedge. What to expect next?
A break of the channel resistance forms a new channel, but at the same time the price is squeezed by the current range boundaries in the wedge format.
In the near future, we should expect a retest of resistance followed by a breakout. The altcoin market is starting to revive and a GALA breakout of this area may give us a good potential.
There may not be a strong reaction at the moment, as bitcoin is in the correction phase, but the prerequisites are clear on the chart.
Support levels: previously broken boundary, 0.02310, 0.1783.
Resistance levels: 0.02694
I expect consolidation followed by a breakout of 0.02694 and then a retest of the wedge resistance. The extreme movement may give a signal.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The calm before the next surge. OANDA:XAUUSD since the opening of the session is forming a correction that may lead the price to the previously broken channel boundary, but on the high timeframe the instrument shows the prerequisites for bullish dynamics
While the dollar index is strongly losing its positions the market feels it. Gold after consolidation at resistance is forming a correction to increase liquidity. A false break of the channel support may form an impulse to the resistance of 1960 - 1963
Gold is smoothly changing the trend and a break of the bullish channel resistance confirms the market's intentions.
For us an important area for opening a long position will be the break of resistance 1960-1963. In this case the market will get the potential for another bullish rally.
Earlier a breakout of MA-50 was formed and now the price is retesting it, a rebound to 1953 is possible before further growth.
Support levels: 1953, 1950, 1946
Resistance levels: 1959.8, 1963
I expect that consolidation or correction will continue for some time, but as soon as the price starts to retest or enters the phase of pre-breakout consolidation, we should wait for a breakout of the resistance area with further growth to 1970.
Regards R. Linda!
XRP - Another 83% - 350% pump is very likely! (must see)
Another 83% pump to 1.3244 from the current price in the next few days or weeks is more than likely! Why 1.3244? It is the next strong resistance because we have there the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the previous major wave. Also, there is a trendline from 2018 -> 2021, which is dynamic resistance, but it's near the specified FIB level!
XRP looks very strong because bulls were able to break a falling wedge pattern and an ascending triangle pattern on the weekly chart! Together with the recent bullish news, the XRP coin surged after a judge delivered a huge win to Ripple in the SEC case.
If the bulls are able to break the 1.3244 level, then the next resistance I see is the previous all-time high from 2018, which is at 3.2834. But make sure to sell your XRP here, because it's probably not going to break on the first touch. And a 50% or 70% crash from this level is very possible!
The market cap of XRP is $38,028,893,068 compared to ETH $232,527,075,117 and BTC $589,643,779,223. The market cap of XRP is pretty big already, so there is not too much room for some crazy 100x profit. Make sure you understand it if you are a hodler and expecting moon gains. 350% to reach the previous all-time high is definitely possible in the medium term.
What do you think about XRP? Let me know in the comment section right now!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
XRP pumped from 0.49 to 0.92 and made a 100% profit in a single day. It was rejected by the 0.618 LOG FIB and the middle of the previous triangle from 2021. Now the price is around 0.72, which is a pretty good pullback to buy XRP.
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🥇GOLD - Stopping can lead to corrections and declinesGold stops after an active rally. The price is testing 1963 and forming a double top. Consolidation after resistance breakout may lead to correction.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Gold is still unable to pass through the resistance of 1963, a bearish candle and a stop is formed on D1. The candle closes below the opening of the previous candle.
2) Price stops after the rally. The next phase begins and the price may form a correction
TA on the low timeframe:
1) gold is up between 1963 and 1953. The range formed is holding back the price.
2) The potential accumulated earlier can push the price up even further, but it should be realized that gold will not grow continuously. A pullback and trapping a certain part of traders is needed
3) The priority is to expect a pullback before further strengthening
Key support📉: 1953, 1949, 1938
Key resistance📈: 1963
GOLD → Active strengthening, retest of a previously broken lineOANDA:XAUUSD has been strengthening during the last two weeks. The signal for this was a false break of support 1907, formed back in March 2022. The price is approaching strong resistance and its growth is starting to slow down. What's next?
Gold is strengthening towards the 1963-1965 area, with a key resistance line close by, which is the previously broken trend support. On Friday, gold draws a false break of one of the local resistances and forms a bearish candle. The session in the first half of the week could be bearish, but for now there are signs that the upside will continue.
Although the Fed is still aggressive, but their policy is not considered as tough as before among traders, speculators and investors. The dollar has weakened quite a bit and continues to fall. The index has broken through a key support area and has entered a range within which it could fall to 95 and even 90, which would be a strong enough momentum for gold to strengthen further to 2000, 2050 and even 2100.
There are several important news releases this week and it is worth paying attention to expectations and the general fundamental background before they are released, as harsh statements can have a strong impact on the price.
From a technical analysis point of view, a strong resistance may be followed by a technical pullback before a further rise. Globally, the situation is neutral and looks even more bearish than bullish, but against the backdrop of the dollar may draw some conclusions.
Regards R. Linda!
BTCUSD → Pre-break consolidation and flat at resistance BITSTAMP:BTCUSD continues to forge an uptrend and also gives us preconditions that the growth will continue. The price is forming consolidation before the breakout and is confidently forming another bullish wave
On the chart we see an ascending triangle, the key resistance area that holds the price is the area of 31500. The price continues to ford retests against resistance and forms a pre-breakout consolidation.
Within the flat 31500 - 29700, a retest of 0.382 fibo and a false breakdown may be formed, which will increase liquidity for the continuation of growth.
Another rally has moved into the consolidation phase and we have to wait for the preconditions that the price will be ready to come out of this consolidation again.
Locally there are no key patterns, we should pay attention to narrow consolidations near resistance or a breakout followed by price consolidation above or below the level.
Moving averages in the role of support indicate a strong trend
Resistance levels: 31500
Support levels: 30000, 29700
I expect the consolidation to continue with the subsequent price squeezing to the resistance. A sharp retest will lead to the fact that the resistance may be broken. Medium-term outlook 32196-34000.
Regards R. Linda!
DOGEUSDT → Consolidation moves into the distribution phase BINANCE:DOGEUSDT is forming a consolidation in the format of a wedge. Within the consolidation, the price makes a false breakdown of support and thus feels the bottom of the market.
The price is forming a rather long descending wedge. The pattern is a bullish possibility to turn the market. After a false breakdown of the support, consolidation is formed above 0.0705, which successfully breaks the resistance of the wedge. The phase of consolidation on the market is smoothly passing into the phase of distribution (realization of accumulated potential)
The main task of the bulls is to hold the support area at 0.0705 by all means. If the position is successful, the price will go up. The medium-term potential in our case is the resistance at 0.09460.
Support levels: 0.0705, 0.0639
Resistance levels: MA200, 0.0817, 0.0946
I expect consolidation above this support with the subsequent formation of a medium-term impulse towards our targets.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - The double top may start a correction Gold breaks the global bearish trend and forms momentum, but price fails to reach key zones and starts to form a reversal set-up.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) The key liquidity area that is of interest to many is in the 1970-1980 area
2) A correction is being formed and most likely the growth to liquidity will continue after it
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A double top is forming, a break of 1955 support will form an impulse to 0.236 or 0.382 fibo
2) The trend is upward, this pattern does not give hope for a trend change.
3) The decline will allow us to find more convenient support levels to buy at a favorable price.
Key support📉: 1955
Key resistance📈: 1963
💱USDCAD - False breakdown and flat formation is possibleUSDCAD formed a head and shoulders after a false breakdown of key resistance. It was at this point that the dollar began to weaken and led the currency pair to test the local bottom at 1.30900
TA on the high timeframe:
1) A false break of resistance sends the price to support at 1.3138
2) Since the forex market is flat more than 70% of the time, the price is likely to form a false break of support and start to strengthen
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A false breakout is forming against the local support at 1.31179. A rebound to the resistance is possible
2) Fibo levels can also serve as a magnet for correction.
3) There are high chances of flat formation, the price may form a rebound before further fall.
Key support📉: 1.31179
Key resistance📈: 1.31776
GOLD → Waiting for correction after false breakout OANDA:XAUUSD is breaking uptrend resistance, which confirms a definitive trend change amid a weakening dollar. But what happens at the level of 1960?
The mentioned level forms a prolonged consolidation. The market is trying to make up its mind after the rally, but it is necessary for the market to form a correction or consolidation in a more neutral zone, for example between 1960 and 1940.
If the price forms a correction after the rally and a false break of resistance, it will form a flat with approximate boundaries: 1960 - 1940.
The correction may start when the local support 1955.5 is broken, in this case the price will head to the upper boundary of the channel or to the level of 1940.
A correction after a rally is a predictable reaction in the gold market. In the next few hours the breakout of 1960 is not worth waiting for, the price needs to replenish liquidity.
A retest of MA50 is forming, if the support is broken, the price will give an impulse downward.
Support levels: MA-50, 1955, 5
Resistance levels: 1960
I expect correction before further growth. The price is not ready to break the resistance of 1960, before that it is necessary to test the moving average.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Resistance breakout is directed towards a trend changeOANDA:XAUUSD is finally confirming a trend change. The price passes through a key liquidity area and forms a strong momentum. What's happening?
Pay attention to the D1 chart below. The price is breaking the trend resistance. A rather interesting picture is developing in which gold is gaining upside potential towards 2000.
The price is testing the resistance at 1959. Probably, the price can form a correction to the previously broken boundary and the chance for this is quite high. But with a strong consolidation of the price above the level of 1959, a bullish impulse to 1970 or even to 1981 will be formed.
The Fed is talking about rate hikes and aggressive policy, but at the same time inflation is showing a green signal and is starting to weaken from 4% to 3%. Investors and analysts are not expecting a long-term complication of the situation, the dollar is likely to continue to weaken.
The moving averages show a strong support area.
There is strong resistance at 1967 ahead. It is worth paying attention to it.
Resistance levels: 1959, 1970, 1981
Support levels: 1955, 1945, previously broken channel boundary.
I expect consolidation relative to 1959. The market needs to decide on the potential. A correction is possible from the level, but if the bulls hold the area of the key level, the growth will continue.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Difficult situation: price drop or breakthrough? OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a local ascending channel, at the moment it is too early to talk about global strengthening and change of the global channel, as it needs good reasons for that. What is happening?
The dollar index is breaking the support and testing the next one. The dollar may strengthen a bit, which will provoke the gold to fall, but apparently the dollar is in a different mood and the price may break 101 and go lower.
In this case we will have to watch the 1933-1939 area on the gold chart.
A breakout of 1933 and consolidation (or pattern) relative to the level may form a sell signal and the price will show us a fall. Or another scenario may develop on the chart. In this case, if a bounce from 1933 is formed, we will wait for consolidation near 1938-1939 and an attempt to break the resistance.
A breakout of 1938-1939 resistance will form an attempt to change the global trend and in this case, against the backdrop of the falling dollar, gold may quite confidently change the global trend and the price will begin its strengthening towards 1950-2000.
Support levels: 1933, MA-50
Resistance levels: 1938-1939, channel resistance
I expect that gold is now in a difficult situation, while the Fed is aggressively pursuing its policy, the dollar is still weakening. There may be an increase in volatility, keep an eye on these levels. Good luck in trading!
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → A break of the triangle resistance will form an impulseFX:NZDUSD is forming an attempt to change the downtrend on the background of weakening of the dollar. A resistance retest is being formed. What to expect from the price further?
The price left the channel last week, all this time a consolidation in the format of an ascending triangle is being formed. The price continues to test the triangle resistance and 0.62359 for a breakout as we see a weakening dollar, consolidation after the resistance breakout and several other indications that the price is preparing to continue rising.
A false break of resistance could form a pullback to nearby support, but based on the potential, price could continue to head towards resistance.
Support levels: 0.61911
Resistance levels: 0.62200, 0.62359
I expect a pullback from resistance and another retest on the background of an attempt to change the trend. If resistance is broken, our target will be 0.63000 and 0.63810.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → A retest of resistance could turn into a breakoutOANDA:XAUUSD is strengthening within a bullish counter-trend correction. The price is testing a strong resistance area, but at the same time there are signals that may allow the price to break the resistance.
On the daily timeframe we observe interesting things: the correctional wave reaches the level of 0.618 fibo of the third wave and also tests the area of 0.382 fibo of the global movement. Most likely, a rather strong rebound may follow from this area. Earlier we observed a breakout of the global trend support. At the moment the price is forming counter-trend correction to the level of 1939, which plays a key role. If this resistance is broken, the price may strengthen to the previously broken line or to the area of 0.382 Fibo (1967). The situation on the market may change dramatically when the resistance of the upward correction is broken. We are watching the price reaction to the mentioned area.
Resistance levels: 0.5 fibo, 1938, channel resistance
Support levels: 1924, 1920, 1912
I expect the price to test the breakout of the channel resistance. At the moment bears are still strong and they can push the price down, but with the breakout and consolidation of the price above the level there will be a chance to see a strong impulse to 1959.
Regards R. Linda!
MATICUSDT → Breakout figure and an attempt to change the trend BINANCE:MATICUSDT breaks through the resistance of the key figure and opens a new bullish potential. If the nearest resistance is broken through, the price can form a strong momentum.
Earlier we saw an attempt of strengthening, which smoothly changed from an ascending price channel to a bearish wedge. The latter figure is quite capable of breaking the trend and changing it, for this in our case, the price needs to pass through the resistance of 0.7440.
Recently cryptocurrencies, both bitcoins and altcoins, start to recover, and there are even some fundamental reasons for that.
The moving averages act as resistance, but at the moment the MA-50 is being tested and in case of a breakout the 31% range will open, which is quite an interesting prospect for us.
Support levels: 0.6500
Resistance levels: MA-50, 0.7440
I expect consolidation near resistance, followed by a breakout and bullish momentum. The medium-term target is 0.9700.
Regards, R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - A retest of the resistance zone may lead to a fall Gold is making a false breakout of resistance and testing local support while the dollar is losing ground and testing areas of liquidity
TA on the high timeframe:
1) an attempt to break the resistance of the global channel is formed
2) The resistance of 1938 plays a key role
3) Flat is possible, but the medium-term outlook looks bearish
4) The dollar index is testing support and a quick rebound is possible, in which case gold will start to fall.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price is sandwiched between 1932 and 1922, a retest of resistance could form a consolidation and an entry point to sell.
2) If the dollar starts to rise the gold price will fall
3) Since we have a bearish trend and the price is inside the range, we have a chance to see a fall from resistance
Key support📉: 1922
Key resistance📈: 1932, 1935
💱EURCAD - Waiting for a false breakthrough EURCAD is breaking the channel resistance, but there is no the reaction that everyone is waiting for.
A bottom has formed on d1 and a counter-trend movement is starting to form.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price breaks the resistance at 1.45120, but there is no impulse, which should happen when breaking the resistance
2) The same flat is formed. The price may return to it when falling below 1.45120.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price breaks the resistance of the local bullish channel, there is no impulse and a strong consolidation is formed above the resistance. If price goes down and passes 1.45430, forms consolidation below the level, correction to 1.44250 will begin
2) Actual resistance retest may end up as a false breakdown. A change of trend is out of the question, a downward correction may be formed.
3) BUT! If 1.45630 is broken through and consolidation is formed above the level, the price will be able to continue rising to 1.46300.
Key resistance📈: 1.45630
Key support📉: 1.45430
GOLD → The price is standing still. What's going on? OANDA:XAUUSD continues to stand still and form a consolidation within the 1938 - 1912 sideways range. The rebound to resistance is likely to continue in the format of a bounce to support.
On the daily and weekly chart there is a consolidation in the red zone, after the breakdown of the key support levels. Most likely an energy buildup is forming before the rally in one direction or the other.
In order for the counter-trend correction to be recognized as a trend change, the price has to break the resistance 1935-1939. In this case the market will start to form a strengthening of the price and a bullish trend will start to form.
At the moment within the counter-trend correction you should wait for the decline from the resistance 1933, or the retest to 1920 (1912) with further breakout and decline to the global minimum.
Support levels: 1920, 1212
Resistance levels: 1933, 1935, 1939
I expect a local rise followed by a fall - since that is how the price behaves inside the range. The Fed is still aggressive policy and most likely, the market has decided to rest a bit before the further movement.
Regards R.Linda!