GOLD → Symmetrical triangle on a falling trend OANDA:XAUUSD continues to form a sideways range of 1938 - 1912. But if you look closely, we see a symmetrical triangle on the downtrend. What can happen to the price?
The triangle can affect price both bearishly and bullishly. If sellers hold resistance, price will move to the lower boundary of the pattern - the chance of further declines will increase. But if the price breaks the resistance of the triangle, it will go to 1938, the chance that the price will break 1938 is not high enough.
We have a strong bearish trend and resistance levels play a key role.
In the medium term I expect price to fall to 1912-1900.
Resistance levels: upper limit of triangle, 1933, SMA200, 1938
Support levels: 1928, 1922, lower boundary of the triangle
I expect a resistance retest, but since the bears are quite strong at the moment and the fundamentals are not so good, I expect a fall to 1912 - 1900
Regards R. Linda!
A-flat
NEARUSDT → Double bottom and range breaking BINANCE:NEARUSDT forms several key setups which are quite strong prerequisites for further growth. What to expect from the price?
A double bottom is forming at the level of 1.229. The formation period is 7 months. Price is accumulating a huge amount of energy during this period while a range (consolidation) of 1.229-2.596 is forming.
At the same time the price breaks the resistance of the descending wedge. In that case, if the bulls hold their positions above the previously broken line, we will see a rise to the upper boundary of the range in the medium term. A breakout of 2.596 will take the price to 3.361.
The moving averages are still as resistance, but MA-50 has been tested and may be broken soon.
Support levels: the previously broken range boundary, the level of 1.229
Resistance levels: MA-50, 1.800, MA-200
I expect predictable reaction from the bulls. A consolidation above the previously broken line will form an entry point to long positions, and after that I will wait for an increase to resistances.
Regards R.Linda!
CADCHF → Formation of a pre-breakout consolidationFX:CADCHF is preparing for the continuation of the uptrend. The price within the ascending price channel is forming a consolidation against the resistance 0.68220. What to expect from the price?
The chart clearly shows a bullish trend. The market is interested in the resistance at 0.68220, which the sellers are defending so strongly. If the price breaks through that area, it might continue rising, and the CHF-CAD will continue going down.
The moving averages show that the market is ready to exit the consolidation. At the same time, the indicator acts as support. The nearest target, which the price can strive for, is the resistance at 0.69312 level.
Support levels: SMA-50, trend support, 0.67194
Resistance levels: 0.68030, 0.68220
I expect the consolidation aimed at breaking the resistance will break the level in the nearest future. After the breakdown of the level I will be waiting for the strengthening of the currency pair to the upper boundary of the trend.
Regards, R.Linda!
GOLD → Breakthrough of the global trend support. 1800? OANDA:XAUUSD last week motivated us to keep a close eye on the trend support and the Triangle Beak pattern. A break of the support breaks the base of the trend, but there is still no confirmation, we only see the primary phase. What to expect from the price?
A breakout of the trend base forms quite a strong bearish momentum. Earlier, the broken level was also tested, but the false-break format did not give any result, Price is closing in the red zone on the daily and weekly timeframe.
If the bears can hold below 1939, 1925 or even below 1907, they have an excellent corridor to move down towards the 1800 area.
Pay attention to the 1907 - 1808 range. We have a void on volume and with the support levels, price could "fly" down.
There is a lot of important news coming out this coming week, it is worth keeping an eye on the press releases and considering the news in your trading:
I expect bearish scenarios to develop in the coming week. Preliminarily, the Fed is not going to cut rates, they will either hold or increase. There is a crisis in the countries against the background of geopolitical reasons; there are quite a lot of disputable nuances related to inflation in the West. In general, we have a rather complicated situation. Analysts shout about the U.S. recession, it is possible that the price of gold will go down deliberately, but again, everything is just a rumor.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Plan for the next 6 months! (strategy)
Bitcoin is pumping, but buying at the current price is not worth it at all. I have been talking about the 10k, 15k, or 20k (unfilled CME gap) for a long time. Usually, summer is choppy, followed by September and October, which are generally very bearish months for Bitcoin.
Of course, I am not here to immediately FOMO into Bitcoin, and I do not recommend anyone do it. You can take a look at altcoins; they are extremely bearish, and since I have been bearish for 3 months, they have crashed by 50% or 70%. Just take a look, for example, at MATIC or Cardano.
I do not have any Bitcoin because timing is important when it comes to investments. The most efficient way is to buy Bitcoin around 20k later this year and ride the third impulse wave to the upside. I expect a huge ABC correction to be triggered soon, and as we know, the usual retracement for the 1st impulse wave is most likely 0.618 or even deeper.
Bitcoin is one of the most bearish assets in the world. Gold almost hit an all-time high, as did Nasdaq. Bitcoin is supposed to be the most bullish asset, right? It already should be above the previous all-time high somewhere around 100k, but it's struggling below 30k.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
I am expecting a big crash on Bitcoin, no matter this recent pump. The market moves in waves, and corrections do make sense to me. I think 10k is no longer possible for Bitcoin due to the recent pump because the current uptrend from 15k is now transforming from a corrective wave into an impulse wave, which is a sign of the start of the bull market.
On the chart, you can see a projection for a Diamond or Head and Shoulders pattern that can be formed in the next few months prior to the final dump to 21k.
My strategy and game plan for Bitcoin is that first we are going to go higher, to around 33000, to take the liquidity above the previous swing high from 2022. After that, I am expecting a huge crash back to 25k, and then some consolidation pattern should occur as wave (B). In September, we can expect a final huge crash to 20K, followed by an extremely strong buy-back from whales.
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GOLD → Candlestick analysis - the market is ready to fall OANDA:XAUUSD quickly enough reaches the specified target of 1914 and forms a bullish rebound after a false breakout.
The price forms a range of 1939-1914, within which it can reach local resistance by the end of the session.
The daily timeframe hints that the fall will continue. The price exits the local descending range downward, breaking the support (another view is a break of the triangle support), after which a correction is formed - which is a logical component of trading. And the daily candle on Thursday closes at the very low, which suggests that the potential is not yet exhausted. The gold market is bearish right now.
Today's publishings are:
8:30 GMT Manifactruting ( FX:GBPUSD GBP)
13:45 GMT Services PMI ( FX:EURUSD USD)
Resistance levels: 1925, 1939.
Support levels, 1914.
The daily candlestick forms a local level - the low of the day. If price breaks this local support, it will head much lower, as there is a void under 1914 on the chart, but within the trading session a rebound could lead to a strengthening to 1925 or to 1939.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPAUD → Price continues to strengthen. I expect a breakthroughFX:GBPAUD is showing a chic dynamic based on the reversal pattern. At the moment the price is in a range and most likely the market will have to form a consolidation before breaking through the flat resistance.
Earlier the price acquires strong support from the 200-hour moving average. A strong consolidation forms a bullish position, after which we saw a rally to 1.90000
At the moment, I expect a retest of 1.90353 and the formation of a pullback to support in the near future. In the medium term from the trend support or from the level 1.89200 I would expect an active strengthening of the currency pair.
Support levels: trend bottom line, level 1.89200, sma200
Resistance levels: 1.90353, 1.91835
The pound continues to get stronger and the resistance of the range will not stop the price. I expect pre-breakout consolidation with a further breakthrough to 1.91835.
Regards R.Linda!
Bitcoin - Bull trap triggered, huge crash is starting!
Today I opened a short on BTC, and in this analysis, I will tell you why. In the previous analysis called "Bitcoin - The biggest bull trap in history!" I told you I wanted to short Bitcoin at the 0.618 FIB retracement; today we reached the important level and took liquidity above the previous swing high. Now everyone is extremely bullish, and it's time to short it.
On the chart, you can see a huge parallel channel on the weekly scale, and today we retested the trendline of the channel and the POC of the previous triangle. This is a very strong resistance, which is why I expect a huge decline in price in the next few days or even weeks. I am a very transparent trader because I share all the trades that I make with the entry points, SL, and TP.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we can see a falling wedge, which is a bearish leading diagonal pattern with an overlapping wave structure. Usually you want to short it at wave (4) of the diagonal pattern, and we hit this wave today. In my opinion, wave 2 of the higher degree has been completed, and we are ready for the 3rd wave, which can be extremely steep.
It's possible that Bitcoin will start consolidating a little bit at the current price, so altcoins can also pump a bit. But it's only going to be temporary.
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This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
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GOLD → Breakthrough 1939. Greetings from the Bears OANDA:XAUUSD breaks support after another retest of the 1939 level. Consolidation is forming and the price is headed down. What can happen and what should we be prepared for?
There is a large pool of liquidity below the 1925 area, and if it touches this level, the volumes may surge and the volatility may increase. The price may retest the previously broken 1939 before further declines.
But at the moment the fact is that the market is about to fall and there are many reasons for that, all of which are pointed out on the chart.
After breaking through the support and consolidation of the price below the level, we got an entry point. The price is expected to fall under the pressure of the bears and the current trend.
At 14:00 GMT FED Powell is broadcasting, it is worth looking out for his words. (Expect increased volatility).
Resistance levels: 1939, SMA-50.
Support levels: 1925, 1914, 1885.
As a priority I expect the price decline towards 1900, but based on the situation, from the key support levels or before the news something unpredictable may happen. The priority is to sell.
Sincerely R. Linda!
GBPAUD →Technical pullback, after which the growth will continueFX:GBPAUD forms a reversal pattern at the base and support of the lateral range of 1.86094. The implementation phase of the set-up leads to the strengthening of the currency pair to 1.88950. The technical pullback begins, which may reach the retest of SMA-200.
The price is inside the range. From the support we see active price strengthening towards resistance. The strategy of trading inside the range is simple - it is worth to focus on the resistance and support of the flat.
At the moment correction is forming, which may be directed towards 0.382 Fibo or to SMA-200, as we have an uptrend, these levels are the key for possible entry point.
Support levels: 1.87738, SMA-200, 0.382 fibo
Resistance levels: 1.88200, 1.89214
I expect the end of the technical pullback in the area of 1.87738-1.87450 with further strengthening of the currency pair to 1.89214 or to 1.90350.
Sincerely R. Linda!
#BTC BULLISH FLATHello, TradingView Community!
Today, I want to talk about a critical structure in Elliott Wave Theory: The Bullish Flat. This pattern is part of the 'corrective wave' group and often signifies a temporary interruption of an uptrend. Understanding its structure can be very beneficial for both swing and day traders.
Here's an example chart showing a Bullish Flat.
Structure:
A Bullish Flat consists of three waves - labeled A, B, and C. Waves A and B consist of 3 sub-waves each, and Wave C consists of 5 sub-waves.
Wave A:
The first wave, A, is a corrective move to the downside. However, it's typically not as intense as a primary trend reversal.
Wave B:
Then comes wave B, which is an upside move. Interestingly, in a flat, wave B ends about the same level that the preceding impulse wave ended, meaning it retraces almost 100% of Wave A.
Wave C:
Finally, Wave C comes into play, another move to the downside, with a structure similar to an impulse wave. It ends slightly below the end of wave A before the overall uptrend resumes.
Identifying these structures accurately can offer profitable trading opportunities. By entering long positions at the end of Wave C, traders can capture the next impulse wave in the prevailing bullish trend.
Remember, no pattern provides a guaranteed outcome, so always use other forms of technical analysis for confirmation and manage your risk effectively.
Stay tuned for more Elliott Wave Theory insights and happy trading!
🏅GOLD - The spring is compressingGold continues to decline under resistance control within the range. The price from 1945 forms a small pullback that could touch resistance, but everyone is waiting for a fall in priority.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) The dollar index is in a bullish rebound phase. It is likely that after a small stop, the dollar's rise could continue, in which case the price of gold could fall
2) We see a strong pressure on the market. The sellers are strong enough, gold is not able to go through the resistance
TA on a low timeframe:
1) Price is under resistance area. The nearest high, which might make the market nervous, is around 1967. A false breakout of this area is possible.
2) In the future, judging by the high timeframe, I expect a continuation of the fall with the possibility of breaking through 1939-1940.
3) Now the rebound to the resistance is formed, we watch the price reaction. A false break-through will be a strong signal
Key resistance📈: 1960, 1967
Key support📉: 1950, 1940
Bitcoin - The biggest bull trap in history!
In the past few days, Bitcoin has been pumping, which I was expecting. I share all trades that I make transparently. But this pump is something that we need to be aware of!
Clearly, this falling wedge pattern is coming to an end, because it has been a pretty long time. The price of Bitcoin is stuck in this "range". My ideas on it are the following: We are going to see a bullish breakout above the wedge, just right at the 0.618 FIB. All traders usually try to buy this breakout, but they probably don't know that there is a 0.618 FIB retracement just above the breakout level. Which is definitely an opportunity to short Bitcoin, not long! The next scenario I see is that we are going to see another touch on the upper trendline of the wedge, and after that, we are going to go down in a classic way.
I do not expect any strong bullish uptrend above 30k at all, and I am not buying Bitcoin, but we can trade it on futures.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, this wedge looks like a leading first wave diagonal pattern, which suggests the start of a huge crash. Now we are in wave (2), which is usually pretty strong and steep, so we can end wave (2) pretty soon!
I want to short Bitcoin at the 0.618 FIB retracement, if the price comes to this level! Otherwise, I trade altcoins on futures.
We have an unfilled CME GAP at 21k, do not forget it. But I think we are going to go even lower, to 15k or 10k. But I think if we really want to start a bull market, we need to fill the GAP before a new all time high!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
ETHEREUM long setup Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
bitcoin long setup Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Bitcoin - Massive breakout soon! (pitchfork + falling wedge)
As we can see, the uptrend is broken! The pitchfork on the daily chart was the last hope for the bulls, and it has been destroyed by the bears. What's more, the price of Bitcoin from 31k to the current price has a 5-wave structure (impulsive) instead of a 3-wave structure (corrective).
The chance of going to 15k has increased dramatically at this point, and I believe we can continue even lower, to 10k this year. We still need to wait 10 months for the halving event to potentially push the price higher. For the long term, I would start buying Bitcoin at 15k; it's a very good price, and even if it drops temporarily to 10k or 6k, it's not that big of a deal and you can buy even more. It's still a much better price than 30k or 50k.
Now the price is printing a leading diagonal (falling wedge) at the top of the trend. Usually, you want to see falling wedges at the bottom of a trend, not at the top of a trend. This is a potentially very good opportunity for the bears because it transforms the general bullish falling wedge pattern into a bearish falling wedge pattern. I can tell you one thing: if the price goes above the wedge, which is possible, it will be a total bull trap and fake out, so if you buy it, a huge dump will follow!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, the trend from 15k to 31k is at this point only a 3-wave bearish ABC structure. I can see only 1 major correction, and it's from 25k to 19k, which happened in February / March 2023. But this ABC correction is still not confirmed because it could transform into an impulse wave because the price is still above the wave (A).
On the road to 15k or 10k, we have a lot of major support. All these levels can be found in my previous idea in the related section down below, so you can use them for your trading decisions or analyses.
Bitcoin has been going pretty much sideways for almost 3 months, so there is massive volatility expected. The waiting time is almost over!
Also, Bitcoin was created by the banks, so if you want to know more, check out the related section again! There are my 2 previous ideas.
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DOGE - 81% crash is starting! (Sell all your coins, no time)
If you haven't sold DOGE, you should do it as soon as possible because otherwise you will experience a critical 81% crash. But fortunately, I am here to protect your funds, and in this analysis, I will tell you why this crash is going to happen!
First of all, we can clearly see that the price is moving in the descending parallel channel on the macro-weekly chart. The price is inside the channel, and we have a total of 5 touches. This is definitely a valid parallel channel on the LOG scale, and Doge remains in bearish mode.
What's more, there is a bearish head and shoulders pattern, and the price is very near its neckline. You still have time to react, but the crash could be very steep and disgusting, so what you want to do is short Doge instead on the futures market if you want to make money on this coin.
In April, Twitter changed its logo to the Doge coin logo. It was supposed to be bullish, so everyone was buying like crazy, but instead the price went down even below the starting bullish candle. It was clearly an April joke from the Twitter owners, and there was no plan to start a bull market. So why do they do that? Clearly, the investors that bought the news are at a loss, and an 81% crash is starting so...
The bottom could be at 0.618 LOG FIB, but I think we are going to go even lower than that. But this is definitely a good level, so you can buy Doge at the FIB for a short-term bounce and make money. It's going to be a great trade. Make sure you do not forget about this upcoming trade with a 200% profit. I will, of course, notify you about it, so set up notifications for my ideas so you will be alerted in your email when I publish new analyses immediately!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Overall, Doge is bearish, but I believe we will see a new all-time high, but it's not going to be soon. This coin is not going to zero, as it is valuable. We need more time so the whales can buy this coin at a cheap price!
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Bitcoin - Buy exactly here for the long term! (premium solution)Bitcoin is ready to go higher, but this uptrend is starting to be a little bit extended, and we need a correction to 21k. I have been warning you for a long time about a huge crash that is going to happen soon or later. We still have an unfilled CME GAP, and exactly in the GAP we have the 0.618 LOG FIB retracement (15476->33000), which is a good confluence to buy Bitcoin for the long-term and ride your position to a new all-time high!
It looks like Bitcoin is going to reach levels around 32k - 33k. I do not expect the last wave to be huge because of the previous waves (1) and (2). We can use the Fibonacci extension tool to measure the expected length of the last wave.
Buying Bitcoin at the current or higher price for the long term is not worth it because you can definitely buy it cheaper at 21k later this year.
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The pitchfork that you can see on the chart is still holding, which is, of course, a good sign for the bulls. But in the event of a breakdown of this pattern, you should be very cautious. I think it's going to trigger a massive selloff.
If we take a look back to the bear market in 2021 - 2022, we can see a five-wave structure, which is pretty much undeniable. It can be a triple zigzag or an impulse. My outlook on this idea is bullish, so I marked it as a triple ZigZag. It's probably a complex correction because the last fifth wave looks like an ABC zigzag wave.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Above the 32399 level is a high liquidity area, so there is a pretty good chance that the market wants to take all stop-loss orders from traders before the huge ABC correction happens!
The 25k level has already been tested, so if you want to still buy here, it's probably not a good idea. Maybe for a short-term bounce, it could be.
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Bitcoin - Pitchfork and Bullish Flag (You haven't seen it!)
On the chart, you can see my Fibonacci original pitchfork on the logarithmic scale, starting from the bottom at 15476. As you can see, this pitchfork is very well respected, sometimes pretty much exactly to the dollar. The power of a pitchfork is real on Bitcoin. I use Fibonacci 1, 0.618, 0.382, and 0 values for it.
Right now, the price of Bitcoin is still bullish because the pitchfork is clearly holding, we can see a bullish flag / parallel channel on the recent price action, and what's more, we have an ABC correction that has been completed successfully. It's a good bullish setup for longs, but we all know that if the price falls below the pitchfork and below the ABC wave, it's going to trigger a massive crash to 15k! Bitcoin is overall pretty weak compared to gold, which has already almost hit an all-time high while Bitcoin is struggling.
In all of my analyses, I always give you a very strong technical analysis that no one else does. I keep my description pretty short, so you don't spend too much time reading while all the necessary information is included.
It's really best for bullish flags to be together with an ABC correction of ZigZag types. This will increase the probability of success.
Maybe I am wrong and Bitcoin is not going to pump, but it's totally okay as long as your risk-to-reward ratio is above 3. You can be right only 40% of the time to be a successful trader. Most people think you need to be right 80% of the time, which you can, but your risk-to-reward ratio will be only 1, which gives you a very small profit for each trade. I prefer a higher risk-to-reward ratio with a lower success rate.
I do analyses for the bulls and for the bears, and now it's your work to do your own analysis and open trades. I give you good reasons for the bullish and bearish scenarios. It can sometimes look like all I post is that I am sure about it, but it's just a part of my personality.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
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Bitcoin is heading to 33k! (REACT FAST)
We need to react to the recent price action of Bitcoin and switch from a bearish to a bullish perception, as Bitcoin is refusing to drop further and instead is building a very strong bullish base. A breakout above the bullish base is going to lead to a massive pump to 33k!
I was bearish from 30k to 27k, but now I am bullish, and I am already long on several altcoins. I may add a long position on Bitcoin on the breakout of the base or on a pullback at ~26900.
As traders, we need to react to price developments and alter our bias to successfully trade! Probably only a few understand this; if you do, congratulations.
This should be the last pump because I am still expecting a significant crash to 21k to fill the unfilled CME gap. We are going to fill the gap soon or later, and this will be your opportunity to buy cheap Bitcoin!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
If you shorted Bitcoin at around 30k, as I told you in the previous analysis, now's the time to take profit and potentially open a long position if you stick with Bitcoin.
So why is Bitcoin going to hit 32k or 33k? It's the FIB extension (classic + LOG) measured from 15476 -> 31000 -> 25811. This gives us targets 31741 and 33656, and I think these targets are very reasonable because I am not expecting any extended fifth wave on the major scale.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin has finished the ABC correction successfully. Wave B was a symmetrical triangle, and we need to be aware of triangles as they occur mainly in waves B and 4. Rarely, triangles also occur in wave 2 of impulse waves.
Overall, buying Bitcoin at the current price for the long term is not worth it because, on the major scale, we are in wave 1 (if you are bullish) and wave 2 is going to send Bitcoin to 21k. As I said before, there is a CME gap and a huge untested triangle.
I expect tremendous gains for the ARPA coin. You can find it in the related section down below!
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ARPA will 10x | The best coin to buy in 2023!
ARPA is ranked only at 320, and that's why it has plenty of room for the minimum of 10x gains! It's a great coin from the technical perspective on the major weekly chart, and I have huge expectations for 2023 and 2024.
The coin recently broke out of the rectangular base with extreme volume, which is definitely a good sign, and we are ready to reach a new all-time high and continue in the bull market.
Forget about coins with a huge market cap; they're not going to make you rich at all; instead, you will lose money. This coin has a small market cap, and it's also listed on major exchanges, so you can buy/long it with comfort right away.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
The important thing is always to look at the previous price action from 2020 - 2021. We can clearly see a leading diagonal wedge Elliott Wave pattern, which is a pretty strong indication of interest and, in combination with the finished ABC correction, makes this a solid technical setup for a long position.
I don't know about you, but I am already in on futures, and I longed it in the rectangular base before the breakout. This coin is very volatile, and it provides a lot of trading opportunities not only for swing trades but for intraday trades as well!
ARPA Network (ARPA) is a decentralized, secure computation network built to improve the fairness, security, and privacy of blockchains. The ARPA threshold BLS signature network serves as the infrastructure for a verifiable Random Number Generator (RNG), secure wallet, a cross-chain bridge, and decentralized custody across multiple blockchains.
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Bitcoin - Plan for the next week (this is going to happen)
Bitcoin is bearish, and the next support is around 25k, which is a strong horizontal line from August 2022 to February 2023. I expect a small bounce from this zone, and we should see bullish price action back to 27k.
Precisely, 25224 is the 0.618 FIB extension support on the LOG scale, and previous wave 1 resistances are 26942 and 27235.
It's the gameplay for the next week or two, and this is what I am expecting from Bitcoin. This time this is a short-term analysis, as I do analyses on Bitcoin on all timeframes.
We can clearly see that the price action on Bitcoin is pretty choppy, and I expect this to continue. Of course, a big red dildo is possible, but in my opinion, a green one is not. I am bearish, and I expect 15k this year.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, I am missing a final wave (5) to complete wave 3 of the higher degree. This is, of course, a bearish version of my Elliott Wave count.
There are tons of opportunities on altcoins, so I trade mainly them. For example, ARPA is a good coin to trade on an intraday or swing basis because the volatility is pretty huge, and volatility = opportunity.
After Bitcoin reaches 25224, which will be hit sooner or later, I expect a pullback to 26942 - 27325.
The next FOMC meeting is on Wed, Jun 14 where will be released a decision for the interest rates in the USA. Big volatility is ahead.
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Bitcoin + Comment your altcoin!Do a comment on your altcoin below this idea, and I will give you my opinion/analysis of it! Make sure you hit the boost button as well to participate. I will answer your comment with an analysis for you on the weekly/daily chart (long term). I start my analysis with Bitcoin:
I am bearish on BTC, and we are going to reach 15k - 10k later this year. Also, there is a possibility of going down to 6k and I will tell you why. Why 15k, 10k, or 6k?
1) 15k - We have a LOG Fibonacci retracement slightly below the 15k level, and the previous swing low at 15450 should be destroyed to complete the ABC correction. Also, there are lots of stop loss orders below this swing low, and we can do a swing failure pattern. Big players can take advantage of it and buy a large amount of Bitcoin at this level.
2) 10k - There is a huge Fibonacci confluence. The 0.618 LOG FIB retracement of the previous impulse wave is definitely a strong support for Bitcoin. The FIB extension from the start of wave A => the end of wave A => the end of wave B gives us the 0.382 projection. As you can see on my chart, these 2 FIBs are close to each other.
3) 6k - If you remember a huge triangle from 2018, we can test the POC of it. Also, there is a fair value GAP and a 0.764 FIB extension. I don't think we are going that low; that's why I give it only a 20% chance.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
This pump from 15k to 32k is a bull trap and a fake pump. I do not have too much trust in it.
We are going to find the bottom between October 2023 and January 2024.
The majority of altcoins look totally terrible, and I do not see any upcoming bull market. But I look forward to 2024; I think it's going to be a very bullish year, together with 2025.
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