bitcoin long setup Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
A-flat
Bitcoin - Massive breakout soon! (pitchfork + falling wedge)
As we can see, the uptrend is broken! The pitchfork on the daily chart was the last hope for the bulls, and it has been destroyed by the bears. What's more, the price of Bitcoin from 31k to the current price has a 5-wave structure (impulsive) instead of a 3-wave structure (corrective).
The chance of going to 15k has increased dramatically at this point, and I believe we can continue even lower, to 10k this year. We still need to wait 10 months for the halving event to potentially push the price higher. For the long term, I would start buying Bitcoin at 15k; it's a very good price, and even if it drops temporarily to 10k or 6k, it's not that big of a deal and you can buy even more. It's still a much better price than 30k or 50k.
Now the price is printing a leading diagonal (falling wedge) at the top of the trend. Usually, you want to see falling wedges at the bottom of a trend, not at the top of a trend. This is a potentially very good opportunity for the bears because it transforms the general bullish falling wedge pattern into a bearish falling wedge pattern. I can tell you one thing: if the price goes above the wedge, which is possible, it will be a total bull trap and fake out, so if you buy it, a huge dump will follow!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, the trend from 15k to 31k is at this point only a 3-wave bearish ABC structure. I can see only 1 major correction, and it's from 25k to 19k, which happened in February / March 2023. But this ABC correction is still not confirmed because it could transform into an impulse wave because the price is still above the wave (A).
On the road to 15k or 10k, we have a lot of major support. All these levels can be found in my previous idea in the related section down below, so you can use them for your trading decisions or analyses.
Bitcoin has been going pretty much sideways for almost 3 months, so there is massive volatility expected. The waiting time is almost over!
Also, Bitcoin was created by the banks, so if you want to know more, check out the related section again! There are my 2 previous ideas.
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DOGE - 81% crash is starting! (Sell all your coins, no time)
If you haven't sold DOGE, you should do it as soon as possible because otherwise you will experience a critical 81% crash. But fortunately, I am here to protect your funds, and in this analysis, I will tell you why this crash is going to happen!
First of all, we can clearly see that the price is moving in the descending parallel channel on the macro-weekly chart. The price is inside the channel, and we have a total of 5 touches. This is definitely a valid parallel channel on the LOG scale, and Doge remains in bearish mode.
What's more, there is a bearish head and shoulders pattern, and the price is very near its neckline. You still have time to react, but the crash could be very steep and disgusting, so what you want to do is short Doge instead on the futures market if you want to make money on this coin.
In April, Twitter changed its logo to the Doge coin logo. It was supposed to be bullish, so everyone was buying like crazy, but instead the price went down even below the starting bullish candle. It was clearly an April joke from the Twitter owners, and there was no plan to start a bull market. So why do they do that? Clearly, the investors that bought the news are at a loss, and an 81% crash is starting so...
The bottom could be at 0.618 LOG FIB, but I think we are going to go even lower than that. But this is definitely a good level, so you can buy Doge at the FIB for a short-term bounce and make money. It's going to be a great trade. Make sure you do not forget about this upcoming trade with a 200% profit. I will, of course, notify you about it, so set up notifications for my ideas so you will be alerted in your email when I publish new analyses immediately!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Overall, Doge is bearish, but I believe we will see a new all-time high, but it's not going to be soon. This coin is not going to zero, as it is valuable. We need more time so the whales can buy this coin at a cheap price!
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Bitcoin - Buy exactly here for the long term! (premium solution)Bitcoin is ready to go higher, but this uptrend is starting to be a little bit extended, and we need a correction to 21k. I have been warning you for a long time about a huge crash that is going to happen soon or later. We still have an unfilled CME GAP, and exactly in the GAP we have the 0.618 LOG FIB retracement (15476->33000), which is a good confluence to buy Bitcoin for the long-term and ride your position to a new all-time high!
It looks like Bitcoin is going to reach levels around 32k - 33k. I do not expect the last wave to be huge because of the previous waves (1) and (2). We can use the Fibonacci extension tool to measure the expected length of the last wave.
Buying Bitcoin at the current or higher price for the long term is not worth it because you can definitely buy it cheaper at 21k later this year.
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The pitchfork that you can see on the chart is still holding, which is, of course, a good sign for the bulls. But in the event of a breakdown of this pattern, you should be very cautious. I think it's going to trigger a massive selloff.
If we take a look back to the bear market in 2021 - 2022, we can see a five-wave structure, which is pretty much undeniable. It can be a triple zigzag or an impulse. My outlook on this idea is bullish, so I marked it as a triple ZigZag. It's probably a complex correction because the last fifth wave looks like an ABC zigzag wave.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Above the 32399 level is a high liquidity area, so there is a pretty good chance that the market wants to take all stop-loss orders from traders before the huge ABC correction happens!
The 25k level has already been tested, so if you want to still buy here, it's probably not a good idea. Maybe for a short-term bounce, it could be.
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Bitcoin - Pitchfork and Bullish Flag (You haven't seen it!)
On the chart, you can see my Fibonacci original pitchfork on the logarithmic scale, starting from the bottom at 15476. As you can see, this pitchfork is very well respected, sometimes pretty much exactly to the dollar. The power of a pitchfork is real on Bitcoin. I use Fibonacci 1, 0.618, 0.382, and 0 values for it.
Right now, the price of Bitcoin is still bullish because the pitchfork is clearly holding, we can see a bullish flag / parallel channel on the recent price action, and what's more, we have an ABC correction that has been completed successfully. It's a good bullish setup for longs, but we all know that if the price falls below the pitchfork and below the ABC wave, it's going to trigger a massive crash to 15k! Bitcoin is overall pretty weak compared to gold, which has already almost hit an all-time high while Bitcoin is struggling.
In all of my analyses, I always give you a very strong technical analysis that no one else does. I keep my description pretty short, so you don't spend too much time reading while all the necessary information is included.
It's really best for bullish flags to be together with an ABC correction of ZigZag types. This will increase the probability of success.
Maybe I am wrong and Bitcoin is not going to pump, but it's totally okay as long as your risk-to-reward ratio is above 3. You can be right only 40% of the time to be a successful trader. Most people think you need to be right 80% of the time, which you can, but your risk-to-reward ratio will be only 1, which gives you a very small profit for each trade. I prefer a higher risk-to-reward ratio with a lower success rate.
I do analyses for the bulls and for the bears, and now it's your work to do your own analysis and open trades. I give you good reasons for the bullish and bearish scenarios. It can sometimes look like all I post is that I am sure about it, but it's just a part of my personality.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
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Bitcoin is heading to 33k! (REACT FAST)
We need to react to the recent price action of Bitcoin and switch from a bearish to a bullish perception, as Bitcoin is refusing to drop further and instead is building a very strong bullish base. A breakout above the bullish base is going to lead to a massive pump to 33k!
I was bearish from 30k to 27k, but now I am bullish, and I am already long on several altcoins. I may add a long position on Bitcoin on the breakout of the base or on a pullback at ~26900.
As traders, we need to react to price developments and alter our bias to successfully trade! Probably only a few understand this; if you do, congratulations.
This should be the last pump because I am still expecting a significant crash to 21k to fill the unfilled CME gap. We are going to fill the gap soon or later, and this will be your opportunity to buy cheap Bitcoin!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
If you shorted Bitcoin at around 30k, as I told you in the previous analysis, now's the time to take profit and potentially open a long position if you stick with Bitcoin.
So why is Bitcoin going to hit 32k or 33k? It's the FIB extension (classic + LOG) measured from 15476 -> 31000 -> 25811. This gives us targets 31741 and 33656, and I think these targets are very reasonable because I am not expecting any extended fifth wave on the major scale.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin has finished the ABC correction successfully. Wave B was a symmetrical triangle, and we need to be aware of triangles as they occur mainly in waves B and 4. Rarely, triangles also occur in wave 2 of impulse waves.
Overall, buying Bitcoin at the current price for the long term is not worth it because, on the major scale, we are in wave 1 (if you are bullish) and wave 2 is going to send Bitcoin to 21k. As I said before, there is a CME gap and a huge untested triangle.
I expect tremendous gains for the ARPA coin. You can find it in the related section down below!
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ARPA will 10x | The best coin to buy in 2023!
ARPA is ranked only at 320, and that's why it has plenty of room for the minimum of 10x gains! It's a great coin from the technical perspective on the major weekly chart, and I have huge expectations for 2023 and 2024.
The coin recently broke out of the rectangular base with extreme volume, which is definitely a good sign, and we are ready to reach a new all-time high and continue in the bull market.
Forget about coins with a huge market cap; they're not going to make you rich at all; instead, you will lose money. This coin has a small market cap, and it's also listed on major exchanges, so you can buy/long it with comfort right away.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
The important thing is always to look at the previous price action from 2020 - 2021. We can clearly see a leading diagonal wedge Elliott Wave pattern, which is a pretty strong indication of interest and, in combination with the finished ABC correction, makes this a solid technical setup for a long position.
I don't know about you, but I am already in on futures, and I longed it in the rectangular base before the breakout. This coin is very volatile, and it provides a lot of trading opportunities not only for swing trades but for intraday trades as well!
ARPA Network (ARPA) is a decentralized, secure computation network built to improve the fairness, security, and privacy of blockchains. The ARPA threshold BLS signature network serves as the infrastructure for a verifiable Random Number Generator (RNG), secure wallet, a cross-chain bridge, and decentralized custody across multiple blockchains.
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Bitcoin - Plan for the next week (this is going to happen)
Bitcoin is bearish, and the next support is around 25k, which is a strong horizontal line from August 2022 to February 2023. I expect a small bounce from this zone, and we should see bullish price action back to 27k.
Precisely, 25224 is the 0.618 FIB extension support on the LOG scale, and previous wave 1 resistances are 26942 and 27235.
It's the gameplay for the next week or two, and this is what I am expecting from Bitcoin. This time this is a short-term analysis, as I do analyses on Bitcoin on all timeframes.
We can clearly see that the price action on Bitcoin is pretty choppy, and I expect this to continue. Of course, a big red dildo is possible, but in my opinion, a green one is not. I am bearish, and I expect 15k this year.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, I am missing a final wave (5) to complete wave 3 of the higher degree. This is, of course, a bearish version of my Elliott Wave count.
There are tons of opportunities on altcoins, so I trade mainly them. For example, ARPA is a good coin to trade on an intraday or swing basis because the volatility is pretty huge, and volatility = opportunity.
After Bitcoin reaches 25224, which will be hit sooner or later, I expect a pullback to 26942 - 27325.
The next FOMC meeting is on Wed, Jun 14 where will be released a decision for the interest rates in the USA. Big volatility is ahead.
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Bitcoin + Comment your altcoin!Do a comment on your altcoin below this idea, and I will give you my opinion/analysis of it! Make sure you hit the boost button as well to participate. I will answer your comment with an analysis for you on the weekly/daily chart (long term). I start my analysis with Bitcoin:
I am bearish on BTC, and we are going to reach 15k - 10k later this year. Also, there is a possibility of going down to 6k and I will tell you why. Why 15k, 10k, or 6k?
1) 15k - We have a LOG Fibonacci retracement slightly below the 15k level, and the previous swing low at 15450 should be destroyed to complete the ABC correction. Also, there are lots of stop loss orders below this swing low, and we can do a swing failure pattern. Big players can take advantage of it and buy a large amount of Bitcoin at this level.
2) 10k - There is a huge Fibonacci confluence. The 0.618 LOG FIB retracement of the previous impulse wave is definitely a strong support for Bitcoin. The FIB extension from the start of wave A => the end of wave A => the end of wave B gives us the 0.382 projection. As you can see on my chart, these 2 FIBs are close to each other.
3) 6k - If you remember a huge triangle from 2018, we can test the POC of it. Also, there is a fair value GAP and a 0.764 FIB extension. I don't think we are going that low; that's why I give it only a 20% chance.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
This pump from 15k to 32k is a bull trap and a fake pump. I do not have too much trust in it.
We are going to find the bottom between October 2023 and January 2024.
The majority of altcoins look totally terrible, and I do not see any upcoming bull market. But I look forward to 2024; I think it's going to be a very bullish year, together with 2025.
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Bitcoin - Secret trendline from 2013 is breaking down! (unreal)
I never talk with empty words, and in this analysis I will give you the main reason why bitcoin could crash to 15k - 10k in the next few months.
No one talks about this trendline from 2013, so it's a big deal. The trendline is already broken, and the bulls retested it a couple weeks ago. It's a classic retest. Usually, you want to wait for the retest and then short it.
I want to tell you that this trendline is parabolic, and if it is reclaimed and followed, then theoretically, the price of Bitcoin will be around 5 000 000 dollars in 2030. This is unlikely.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
What's more, the 200-week moving average has been broken for the first time (a negative sign).
We still need to wait almost a year for this halving event. Meanwhile, we could experience a huge flash crash to liquidate high-leverage traders with a strong and steep rebound back to 32k. Bitcoin is very volatile, and a 50% or 80% crash is nothing.
January 2024 could be the bottom for Bitcoin.
Shorting Bitcoin is pretty good because it provides a very good risk-to-reward ratio compared to other altcoins on the weekly chart. It's because your profit on shorts practically cannot be more than 99.99% compared to your profit on longs, where your profit is unlimited. Your stop loss on BTC short could be, for example, 5% and on altcoins, 20%, with the same trade setup and same strategy, so it improves your risk-to-reward ratio on Bitcoin shorts.
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PEPE - 77% crash ready, but re-buy exactly here! (best meme?)
I think PEPE is a great coin, but we need to buy it cheaper. The 0.618 FIB retracement is a reasonable level to buy the PEPE coin if you believe in another pump. There should be one more pump to new all-time highs after the ABC correction.
This coin is very volatile, which is definitely a good sign for all traders because the volatility increases the chance of success. But for holders, the volatility can be something like a roller coaster. 77% dump is very possible.
If we take a close look at the waves from the start of the small bear market, we can clearly see an impulse of 12345, which suggests pretty strong selling pressure. It indicates that the ABC correction is probably in play, and we need to complete it before we can continue to a new all-time high.
PEPE coin is ranked #66, which is still not that high. It's a pretty good meme coin, and that's why I think the bull market is not over yet.
I recommend this coin for all intraday and swing traders because the volume is pretty high and the volatility is as well.
In this analysis, I told you where to buy PEPE for another huge pump if you are interested in this coin but don't want to FOMO-in!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
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Bitcoin is starting something big! (Elliott Wave)
Bitcoin is very bearish, and I expect lower prices. We have a strong bearish Elliott Wave base (a symmetrical triangle), and on the chart you can see my primary Elliott Wave count. This strong Elliott Wave base is an indication of a big crash.
The price should not go above 27666 (only a wick is allowed above this level). This is a strong resistance because of the previous wave (1), and wave (4) should not go into wave (1) territory. But I have an exception for this ruse, so I allow a very small overlap. Usually there are a lot of orders, and the market wants liquidity, which is why sometimes they overlap. Also, it depends on exchanges.
The bullish Elliott wave count is different. The symmetrical triangle could be an ABCDE triangle wave B, and we have just finished the ABC correction. In this case, the ABC correction could be completed, and we are ready to go above 31k. It's possible, of course, but my primary outlook is bearish. But if you are bullish, you can take this count into consideration.
In the next few weeks or months, Bitcoin will reach 21k and 15k after that at the end of the year. 10K is possible. We need more data to establish the target for the bear market, and we need to wait for the price to develop.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
What I personally recommend is to take only shorts on futures and avoid longs until the end of the year.
This s a quick update on BTC. Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Ethereum - Weekly bearish flag will send ETH to 618 USDT (gg)
Ethereum shows a lot of weakness on the major timeframes. You can see that the downtrend was pretty steep, and now we are in a consolidation phase. If we take a closer look at it, this is not even an uptrend; it's more like a sideways bearish flag consolidation.
A trendline from 2015 on the ETHBTC chart is breaking down, which is a significant bearish technical event. Make sure you check out the trendline in the related section down below!
Now the question is, "What will be the bottom on ETH?" We use the Fibonacci extension tool from the start of the bear market to wave A and wave B, which will give us a 0.382 FIB projection. This is a reasonable target for the final dump (618 USDT).
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
You can see my Elliott Wave count on the chart. I don't know what's yours, but you can take some inspiration. A lot of people are very bullish at this moment, but the chart does not look bullish. The previous downtrend from 2021 - 2022 was extremely steep and impulsive, which you do not want to see as a bull. We need to finish the major ABC correction to start the true bull market.
ETH is going sideways. It has been almost 1 year of sideways price action. I don't see anything bullish, and it's better to sell all your ETH if you haven't already and short ETH to make money.
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Bitcoin - 2 secret patterns, no one talks about!
We have a head and shoulders (reversal pattern) and ascending parallel channel on the daily chart. Both of these patterns are bearish because there is a higher probability of a breakdown. There is a lot of empty space at the bottom of the parallel channel, and I feel like we need to go down to fill up the price action.
It can be a great idea to long bitcoin at the bottom of the channel because there is also a POC of the previous expanding triangle and the 0.618 FIB retracement of the previous wave.
What's more, the 200-day moving average could act as support as well. This MA is used by huge hedge funds, banks, and professional traders.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
If Bitcoin fails to hold the top of wave A, which is at 25250, then it will be a disaster for the price of Bitcoin, and most likely we are going to go to 15k. In my opinion, it's going to happen.
Volume is totally dead. During the last wave, the bullish volume was almost invisible. There was no interest from the bulls to buy BTC on the spot market. This is indeed a positive sign for the bears to short Bitcoin.
The majority is absolutely bullish, and if you want proof, check out my previous analysis in the related section down below. You need to read all the comments on this analysis so you can see all the opinions from people and NPCs.
If we take a look at the RSI indicator, we can spot a bearish divergence between the last 2 peaks. It looks like the bearish divergence has already been confirmed. At least I see it.
I am bearish on Bitcoin, and I expect lower prices. Gold almost reached a new all-time high, while Bitcoin is struggling, but no worries, a halving is coming in 1 year, and that will be bullish.
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Bitcoin - Last chance for the bulls or 10k! (important range)
This is the last chance for the bulls to hold this very key range; otherwise, it will be devastating for the price of Bitcoin.
If this range fails, it will trigger a 3rd impulse wave, which is usually an incredible flash crash. You want to be in USDT if this happens. I am already prepared for it, so I am good.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we have a strong bearish setup, and usually what you want to do is catch the third wave and short Bitcoin, of course, on the futures market. Third waves provide the best risk-to-reward ratio and are also the most time-efficient because you will close your position pretty quickly.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Could Bitcoin still pump to 32K? Of course it could, but the chances are lowering, and you don't want to speculate on it at all because speculating on 5th waves involves a lot of risk, such as a truncated 5th wave, a swing failure pattern, or it can completely fail and turn into an ABC wave.
If this range fails, the next stop is 25K and then 20K. I shared with you my levels and where Bitcoin could bounce off them, so make sure you check out my previous idea in the related section down below! You want to use these important levels.
The true bull market will start in January 2024, as per my calculations.
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Bitcoin - Final pump to 32k before a crash to 15k!
Bitcoin may be ready for a final impulse wave to the upside before it collapses to 15k!
On the chart, we can see an ending diagonal wedge pattern (3-3-3-3-3), which is why we could finish it at around 32k-33k.
This will be your lifetime opportunity to short Bitcoin and ride the massive bear market that will follow!
Do not buy any altcoins or Ethereum because it's totally dead and only Bitcoin may pump to new highs.
The 0.382 FIB extension is right above the previous wave 3. This is a very strong level because it's the inverse of the 0.618 FIB, and usually Bitcoin reacts to it.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
I am of course very bearish for Q3 2023 and Q4 2023. As you know, I expect a big crash to 15k, but this could be the final uptrend to 32k.
Right now I am out of the market and do not have any open positions, but I am going to open a short at the top of the wedge / 0.382 FIB extension. I am already prepared for the bear market, so it is better to stay in USDT, sell spot positions, and trade futures.
If you think this is a reasonable Elliott Wave count, you can go to intraday charts and find some longs. Also, if you are already in a short position on futures, you can open a temporary hedge to protect yourself from this final wave.
I do not trust this pump from 19k, because it shows a lot of signs of weakness, such as ABC waves.
This analysis is my bullish scenario because I have always prepared bearish and bullish scenarios. Take my Elliott Wave count into consideration for your trading.
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Bitcoin + Comment Your Altcoin!Below this idea, I will give you my opinion/analysis of your altcoin. Make sure you hit the boost button and comment your altcoin below the idea to participate. I will do an analysis on the weekly/daily chart (long term). I start my analysis with Bitcoin:
Bitcoin is currently rising, but in my opinion, there will be one last flash crash below the 16k level to wipe out all leverage traders. There are tons of liquidity and stop losses to be gained.
In this corrective wave, bitcoin could hit 30k - 39k, both targets are very arguable, so I am currently bullish in the short-term. I am waiting patiently for the flash crash to buy cheap Bitcoin, and of course I want to ride the huge bull market to a new all-time high.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, we are in the final C impulse wave (ZigZag 5-3-5). ZigZags are often very impulsive, which is true in this case.
Also, do not forget that we have an unfilled GAP on CME futures at 20k. Statistically, all gaps were at least partially filled. This gap is completely unfilled, so make sure you understand that you are going against 100% historical probability and performance if you are fully long on Bitcoin.
My favorite altcoins are now Waves and Floki. Do not forget to write your altcoin in the comment section for my analysis/opinion + hit the boost button to participate! Thank you, and I wish you fun during your trades.
Ethereum - The downtrend is over! Time to buy again.
Ethereum is approaching a key support, and it's a good time to buy/long!
If we take the Fibonacci retracement for wave 3, the price is very close to the 0.618 level. Also, the previous wave 1 acts as a strong support, so we have a great confluence from the Elliott Wave and Fibonacci perspectives.
We should go up and make a new high to complete the impulse wave on this chart. I expect another small bull market on Bitcoin.
On the 4-hour and daily charts, we can clearly see an ascending parallel channel that has been destroyed by the bears recently. This channel should be at least retested, but I expect more.
What happens after we finish this impulse wave? You don't want to hear it, but Bitcoin is going to crash to 15k, so make sure you are prepared for it!
The true bull market will start in 2024.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
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#SPX500 8.5 YEAR EXPANDING FLATThe market moves in waves and patterns. This is a macro expanding flat on the #SPX500 that corrected for 8.5 years!
During the A and C wave of the expanding flat, there were so called "recessions", the 2002 and 2008 recessions.
Or were they just A and C waves of a macro expanding flat?
It is interesting how the patterns a chart makes predicts the future of reality on a macro level.
The rules for an expanding flat is that the top of the B wave pops above the top of the preceding impulse and the bottom of the C wave pops below the low of the A wave.
It is at that moment you can start to look for buys for an expanding flat and hold on to an extension of the impulse!
Bitcoin - New CME GAP! + All unfilled GAPS (cheat)
Bitcoin has created a new CME GAP between 28215 - 28265. It's also the POC of the consolidation structure, so it could be a good short-term trade when the price makes a pullback.
First, let me explain some important facts about CME gaps. CME Futures on Bitcoin started in December 2017. We had dozens of unfilled gaps from 2017 - 2023, and all of them have been filled. So the statistical probability of filling these gaps on Bitcoin is 100%. When the CME futures started, the huge bear market of 2017–2018 started, and Bitcoin crashed by 84%.
Let me remind you (if you forget it), that the major CME GAP between 20330 - 21110 is completely uncovered, and the question is when we will cover it. It can take a few weeks or a few months, or maybe later. Time is not important.
In total, we have 3 unfilled GAPs on the daily chart. One is above the current price between 34450 - 35180. Two are below the current price, between 28215 - 28265 and 20330 - 21110.
On the left side of the chart, you can see fair value GAPS on the spot market. These gaps tend to be filled if they are massive, and these gaps are extremely huge. In my opinion, we are going to go down sooner or later, fill them, and take liquidity below 15.5k. It could happen in Q4-2023 or Q1-2024 due to my calculations.
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This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
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USDCAD, LONGPrice action is developing a flat formation which we may see one more leg down before the next impulse phase.
We can see a clear uptrend in the HTF which a long opportunity at the bottom of this structure giving is double bottoms would be a good opportunity to buy.
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DXY - Dollar comeback and stock market crash! (prepare for it)
The DXY index is currently sitting on the major support, and at this point, I think it's a good idea to speculate on a bounce from the support. As you can see, we have just retested the trendline on the monthly chart and retested wave (3) + wave 1.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we are missing a final impulse wave upwards to complete this bullish cycle on the DXY index: 2008 - 2023(2024?). Use your Elliott Wave count to compare with my analysis.
The final wave 5 should end right above the previous wave 3 because of the wave 2 deep retracement. I do not expect any brutal extended wave 5 to the moon.
After we reach my target (around 116), the ascending parallel channel will breakdown and the dollar will go down. I do not trade forex or stocks, because my specialization is only in the crypto market, but I am not only a trader; I am also an analyst, and I enjoy doing analyses for all kinds of markets. For maximum performance, it's best to focus only on 1 area, such as only on crypto, only on stocks, only on forex, only on commodities, and so on. The market behavior absolutely differs, and you have to use different tools and strategies. A strategy that is profitable on crypto gets totally REKT on forex. People who say that his strategy or trading system works on all markets are either scamming you or lying to you.
As I said, DXY is sitting on the major support on the monthly chart, and usually you want to long supports and short resistances. In this case, we want to long the support.
If DXY drops below 99, then it's over, and this channel is going to break down. Everything indicates that the recession is pretty much inevitable. And when the Fed pivots, a market crash is almost guaranteed.
Now the question is, when will we rise on the DXY? We could start consolidating at these levels before an uptrend, or we can start an uptrend very soon. This is an analysis of the monthly chart, so it could take another few months!
Q2 2023 could be still bullish for the crypto market!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
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