DOGE → Another manipulation or growth? What to expect next?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT in the distribution phase is aiming for a strong resistance at 0.11546. The global and local trend is bearish and there are no hints of breaking it yet. A contrend rally is forming....
On H4, the sideways range plays a relevant role. The last time we tested 0.11546 at the moment of its formation - exactly 1 month ago. There is no potential for breaking the level and further growth on the background of such a strong movement. The most probable scenario in this case is a rebound or a false breakdown, which may lead to a correction.
BUT! The structure may be broken if there is no pullback or the coin will start to form consolidation near 0.11546 with further signs of resistance retest and readiness to go higher....
Resistance levels: 0.11546
Support levels: 0.11099, 0.107, 0.103
DOGE does not enjoy any strong interest from traders due to the high level of manipulation by big players. At the moment, on the background of the global bearish trend it is worth looking for strong resistance levels with the purpose of catching bounces
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A-flat
GOLD → The safe asset continues to be bullrun ↑FX:XAUUSD does not react properly to the growth of the dollar. The metal continues to renew highs and seeks upward. There is no resistance ahead and the geopolitical backdrop is blowing a favorable wind....
Gold is holding near an all-time high as buyers refuse to give up amid recent Fed comments, China's stimulus (China's Central Bank today announced an unprecedented blitz of support for the economy) and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
China is the world's top consumer of the yellow metal
The gold price tends to benefit from geopolitical tensions due to its traditional safe-haven status.
Also, the Fed will continue to hint at another 0.5% rate cut
Resistance levels: 2634, 2640
Support levels: 2623, 2614, 2602
The general background hints at an active continuation of the growth. If gold will consolidate above the maximum of the previous day, then in the mid (short) term we should consider the continuation of growth to 2650-2660-2675. It is not excluded that there may be a correction before further growth due to the approaching important news...
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BITCOIN → There's a conglomeration of resistances ahead: 65-69KBINANCE:BTCUSD is forming a bull run amid a 0.5% cut in US interest rates, but investors' fervor may be cooled quickly enough by new economic news. The situation is not as simple as it seems....
It's also the most likely scenario
We need to be careful as the price is approaching a conglomeration of strong resistances. Pressure could come from both the 65K area, which is still untested, and the area above - 68K - 69K. Let me remind you that globally bitcoin is in a descending channel. Globally ( D1-W1 ) the asset looks good for continued growth, but locally ( D1-H4-H1 ) I don't see any signs that the market is ready to overcome the resistance zone above.
Trades may get nervous ahead of next week's new news: SP PMI, DGP, DGO and Fed chief's speech. If the indicators become sharply unpredictable, all the speculators' bullish fervor may cool down very quickly and in that case we may meet the correction phase amid profit taking....
Resistance levels: 64K, 65K, 68K, 69K
Support levels: 62750, 61300, 59400, 57730
Now, above 62750 a consolidation is forming. If the price does head towards 64-65K, we should keep an eye on the global resistance. But, if bears sell the price down and bitcoin consolidates below 62750, then an impulse to the nearest liquidity zones may be formed.
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GOLD - Price can bounce from resistance line of channel to $2580Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price traded inside flat, where it reached $2530 level and then bounced down to bottom part of flat.
Then price rose back, some time traded near $2530 level, and then started to decline to $2472 points.
Gold exited from flat and started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon reached the $2530 level again.
Price broke this level and continued to grow until it reached resistance line of channel, after which made a correction.
After correction, Gold turned around and rose to resistance line again, but recently it started to decline.
I think that XAU can rise resistance line and then start to decline to $2580 support line of a rising channel.
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USDCHF → Dollar rebound changes the local situationFX:USDCHF after a shakeout returns to range resistance amid the current downtrend. The dollar index is rising and many don't realize what's going on....
DXY failed to overcome the critical and psychological level of 100.0. The yield on 10-year US government bonds did not fall after the rate cut, but even rose to 3.74% from 3.6%. Strange divergence between currency market expectations of rate cuts and debt market expectations of rising yields. The expectations of traders/investors on the background of interest rate cuts did not come true and in the future we should expect a deeper rebound of the dollar considering the fact that GDP data and Powell's speech are ahead.
The currency pair is currently forming a local resistance at 0.8517, the breakdown of this zone will give an impulse to the trend resistance, which will determine the further situation. Either the rebound or the price will go higher, to deeper zones of interest.
Resistance levels: 0.8517, 0.856, 0.8616
Support levels: 0.843, 0.837
The trend can be considered broken and confirmed bullish after the price fixation above 0.875, currently bearish. It is worth forming your strategy on this fact
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🧈 GOLD MACRO FLAT 📈Hey guys,
FXOPEN:XAUUSD Has created a macro regular flat structure with a lower degree impulse/correction and has broken out.
Now this may take a long time to play out but I definitely see this being very high probability.
I personally won't be holding on to one position for that long, but I will be taking smaller time frame positions that are bullish riding the trend/current.
GOLD → Testing the highs. News ahead. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is getting shaken on the background of dollar growth on Monday. A false breakdown is forming relative to last week's high. The trend is bullish, but before the strong news there may be a minute of panic....
Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds are rising on the back of falling interest rates, boosting the U.S. dollar. This is an unpredictable scenario, because something is not going the way everyone was expecting. Further movement depends on the Euro and US PMI data. If the PMI will again cause fears of recession in the world, the recovery of the US dollar, will change the local structure of the markets, which will cause a new correction in the price of gold from record highs. Also the focus on the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East...
Resistance levels: 2625, 2631, 2650
Support levels: 2614, 2602, 2589
Technically, a correction may follow from 2625 as locally there are preconditions for panic on the background of approaching news. Traders may resort to profit taking, which will contribute to the correction. BUT, if gold continues its active recovery, a break of 2631 will open the potential for a rise to 2640-2650.
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GOLD → The shakeup after the rate cuts... What's next?FX:XAUUSD updates high to 2600 and then experiences a shakeout. Traders held the 2550 area and are currently trying to recover losses by testing the upper end of the range....
The Fed announced a 0.5% rate cut, bringing the interest rate to a range of 4.75%-5.0%. Why 0.5 and not 0.25? The Fed chief said that 0.25 poses threats to the economy that can no longer be allowed to...
The gold price failed to capitalize on the sharp Fed rate cut, updating the ATH to 2600 the price headed down to the 2560 - 2550 liquidity zones. Traders are waiting for data on jobless claims and existing home sales to assess the state of the economy as a whole, the news may set the course for a correction or strengthen the general background, which will affect further growth
Technically, the price approached the resistance rather quickly, which increases the chances of a bounce or a false breakout. The focus is on 2588- 2585. If the bears hold this area, the price may decline to the area of interest before rising.
Resistance levels: 2585, 2588, 2600
Support levels: 2566, 2559, 2550
The overall bullish market structure is clearly visible on D1. Traders, after the rate cuts, need to take a breath and wait for additional confirming signs.... For today, the focus is on the trading range indicated on the chart...
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GOLD - Price can make small move up and bounce down to $2540Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price moved up inside the rising channel, where it at once fell below $2500 support level, breaking it.
Later price grew to resistance line of channel, but then declined back to support line and soon repeated movement up.
Gold broke $2500 level and later rose to next support level, and when it reached this level it broke it and exited from flat.
Next, price started to trades inside flat, where it rose to top part and after some time traded near it made correction.
Recently XAU bounced back and now tried to grow higher and I think it can rise a little more and then bounce down to $2540
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GBPUSD → A change of sentiment. What happened?FX:GBPUSD is moving into a flat phase, possibly into counter-trend correction on the background of locally changed sentiment, formed by the fundamental background of Thursday / Friday, the dollar is growing on this background.
The currency pair is forming a bull market wave on D1-W1. On D1, a clear transition from bear market to bull market is formed, which is confirmed by the breakdown of the structure and smooth confirmation by the subsequent impulse.
The fundamental background is (temporarily) negative, there is no news for the next two days, respectively, the sentiment from last week remains.
Technically, the zone of interest for MM is the support from D1 at 1.3044. On H1 we have a strong liquidity zone ahead, which may trigger a primary pullback to the equilibrium zone before a subsequent decline to the key support and liquidity zone.
Resistance levels: 1.314, 1.3163
Support levels: 1.3088, 1.3081, 1.3044
Buyers decided to refrain for the time being, shorts on the currency pair are increasing on the background of the dollar growth. Ahead is an important event - CPI, PPI, as well as the Fed rate meeting on September 18. By this time the market may be neutral
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EURCAD → One step away from a rally. High chance to break 1.5100FX:EURCAD exited from the accumulation of the “descending triangle” format, which is a favorable signal for the continuation of the trend.
A promising bullish structure is forming on W1.
Euro, despite the ECB interest rate cuts, is growing and the growth is mostly related to the dollar, which is falling after Friday's news of PPI and Initial Jobless Claims. Now it is not the fact of the action itself that is being discussed, but how much it will be cut...
Technically, the currency pair is consolidating in front of the global resistance at 1.51000. The strong level has been holding the market in the bearish zone for several years, but the fundamental background gives a chance to break and move into the realization and growth phase.
Resistance levels: 1.5051, 1.51000
Support levels: 1750238, 1.4935
The primary reaction at 1.505 may end with a rebound, but most likely the bulls will manage to keep the defense above 1.5023 - 1.505, which may have a very favorable impact on the further growth of the trend.
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GOLD → Lower interest rates are ahead. A stalemate... ↑↓FX:XAUUSD is consolidating between 2588 - 2562. But, buyers are not yet out of the game in the hope of continued growth. Then everything depends on the Fed. Welcome to the casino :)
At 18:30 the FOMC & FED will meet to decide whether to cut rates. 0.25% or 0.5%. A 0.5% Fed rate cut could send a mixed signal about the state of the US economy: the Fed's concern about the economy, and that a “soft landing” may not turn out to be so soft, but it would be a strong bullrun signal for gold. A weaker policy, could provoke an unpredictable reaction, which would temporarily disappoint investors. In such a case, a correction to 2550-2525-2500 may form (price may bounce from any zone shown on the chart) before a further global rally, as the general tone of the market is set by the global Central Bank's interest rate cuts....
Resistance levels: 2575, 2588, 2600, ...
Support levels: 2561, 2550, 2530
It is difficult to say about expectations, as the uncertainty is high due to the fact that the overall situation is stalemate, either this way or that way. I recommend to refrain from trading on the news and wait for the volatility to decrease . The trading range for today is very wide....
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AUDUSD → A reversal set-up. Rebound before the fallFX:AUDUSD is breaking the bullish market structure amid the counter-trend dollar correction related to fundamentals. The currency pair is bumping into a strong liquidity area...
It will be difficult to pass the zone 0.6695 from the first time, because below this area there is a zone of high density of limit orders. Accordingly, as a reaction we see a false break of the support at 0.6699 (H4) and a rebound. Earlier there was a change of market character to bearish, rebound from the support may lead to recovery to 0.5-0.7 Fibo, from which further decline may resume to the key support from which 2 scenarios may develop. In a weak market the movement may continue, but if the general background starts to change (the dollar is in a bear market) the currency pair may start a recovery phase.
Resistance levels: 0.674, 0.676
Support levels: 0.6699, 0.6686
Technically, we are waiting for a pullback to the specified zone (0.5 - 0.7 Fibo), further it is worth watching the price reaction to the specified zones. A price retest of the support will increase the chances of a breakout and further decline, but strong bulls may continue to resist the bears, which may lead to growth
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OPUSDT → Double top. How far can we fall?BINANCE:OPUSDT cannot get out of the bears' clutches. The market continues to form its movement under the pressure of the downtrend. There are important events ahead that could shake up the trading community....
Bitcoin, as well as the rest of the cryptocurrency market continues to decline. Cryptocurrencies are not reacting to Trump's speech in any way, but traders are waiting for the U.S. rate cut in the hope that the encouraging data (0.5% decrease) will increase interest. But the 0.25% decrease will add weight to the bearish paw, which can only strengthen the already current decline.
Technically OPUSDT is forming a global bearish trend, the price is not allowed to update the local highs. The last retest ended with the formation of a double top, which led to a sharp decline.
Resistance levels: 1.469, 1.510, 1.544
Support levels: 1.431, 1.393, 1.3
The 1.431 area is holding the market back from falling, but a strong pre-breakdown accumulation is forming near this area with a target to continue falling. Watch out for the 1.430 trigger, a break of this zone will give downward momentum
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GOLD → Is it worth going up against knives? No trading history.. FX:XAUUSD continues to renew its high without any strong pullbacks. Buyers continue to behave quite aggressively before strong news. But everywhere there are risks and BUT!!!
There is a lot of news ahead before the important Fed meeting on interest rates, where they are likely to be cut. The question of “by how much” remains open, as weaker data (25 basis points) could trigger an unexpected reaction in the market that could lead to a correction....
But before that we have to face retail sales, CPI, FOMC.... Volatility will be elevated in the week ahead....
BUT! For intraday trading right now, there is such a problem as lack of history. You need to build a strategy from the general technical and fundamental background, as well as from local levels and key zones. BUT! The market is strongly bullish and before the news there can be both profit-taking and continuation of the rally....
Resistance levels: 2588, 2600, 2610
Support levels: 2577, 2573, 2563
The local range 2588 - 2577 is being formed. Before the news, traders may go into a consolidation phase, but we should keep an eye on the dollar, if it starts its downward flight, gold will react accordingly. Accordingly, a breakout of the local range boundaries may trigger a move to one side or the other.
REMEMBER! The market is bullish! Selling without proper reasons is the same as going against knives!
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BITCOIN → The fall will continue after a pullbackBINANCE:BTCUSDT is strengthening after a false breakdown of the 54.5K - 55K support. Fundamentally and technically, there is no buyer motivation. Traders have moved into the waiting or selling phase...
Now BTC is accumulated mainly by wallets with balance < 1BTC... Larger wallets are not doing much. Also, judging by the statistics of various services it can be seen that the trading activity of large investors has decreased, and whales have stopped actively accumulating since August. Traders doubt the current rebound in BTC and continue to actively short it.
Technically, the coin shows negative, bearish dynamics, forming gradually declining highs without the possibility to approach the retest of local peaks.
For the last one and a half or two months a tight sideways range has been formed and MM continues to keep the price inside the flat, it is also worth paying attention to the descending resistance, which also prevents the market from going up, putting pressure together with SMA-200.
Resistance Levels: SMA200, 59600, Trend Line
Support levels: 57736, 56K, 54500
At the moment the price is consolidating in the bullish zone, which indicates a possible chance to rise to 59600. The situation may end with a short-squeeze and further decline after liquidity capture. The pressure from sellers continues and buyers are not ready yet
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GOLD → Aggressive buyers... Ahead of PPIFX:XAUUSD is testing 2500 on the background of CPI data. Bulls actively continue to hold a strong support zone. An ascending triangle is being formed, the target of which is to break the resistance and rise.
After the release of CPI data in the US, the focus shifts to PPI and jobless claims data, which will give a new impetus to trading.
The CPI data has slightly cooled the increased bets on an excessive interest rate cut by the Fed next week. Despite the pullback, the gold price managed to defend a critical short-term support level around 2500 - 2505, keeping it in a three-week consolidated range.
Technically, the focus is on the SMAs, which are actively supporting the market, as well as the liquidity area of 2510, 2500, which the market may test once again on news before heading upwards.
Resistance levels: 2530
Support levels: SMA, 2510, 2500
The news may shake the market once again. Strong news may motivate the market to break resistance, but surprising PPI and Initial Jobless Claims data may trigger another sell-off attempt (to liquidity zones) before the price continues its rise. The market continues to focus on testing 2530
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ETHUSD → Manipulating growth before liquidation BINANCE:ETHUSD is forming a counter-trend bounce and is aiming for strong resistance amid a bearish trend. The project is going through a rough patch, fumbling for a market bottom...
ETH faces troubles::
WisdomTree has requested the withdrawal of its ETH (Ethereum Trust) fund registration application three years after filing with the SEC. Earlier, VanEck closed its futures ETH-ETF, citing lack of demand.
Likewise, indicators suggest that Whale stopped accumulating ETH since July. Since then, they have been mostly selling.
Technically, we see the market being squeezed by strong resistance: trend lines as well as moving averages, which may negatively affect the market, keeping the coin from rising.
Resistance levels: 2375, 2460, 2510.
Support levels: 2309, 2111
The coin is heading towards the resistance and liquidity area amid a bearish trend. This can be seen as a manipulated move to capture liquidity before further testing the intermediate bottom. I expect a decline from the mentioned zones towards 2100-2000.
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GBPJPY → Traders increase short, preparing for a fallFX:GBPJPY is unable to continue the uptrend. The price is breaking the price channel support, and the parabolic curvature can be interpreted as a set of short positions.
The Japanese Yen continues to strengthen. GBP is forming a small correction since the Open of the session, and the Japnese national currency is accelerating northward.
The parabolic curvature that is forming on the chart can be explained as a set or increase of short positions by large players. Such a maneuver indicates a possible strong and prolonged decline in prices. But, the focus is on the sideways range 192 - 189. Despite the fact that the price has left the channel, it is still in the range and the mentioned support restrains the market from falling.
Resistance levels: 190.97, 192, MA-50
Support levels: 189
If the bears manage to break 189 and consolidate below, it will be the reason for the continuation of the decline to the global low. On D1 the price is pushing away from the strong zone and also shows bearish preconditions
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EURUSD → Entry into the bullish zone. ! NFP ahead !FX:EURUSD is returning to a bullish plane relative to the ascending channel. Focus is on the 1.1100 obfuscation and the upcoming NFP data to be released later on Friday.
Price is testing the global resistance level at 1.1125. Before the news, a struggle for the key zone may form or a pullback may be formed. The favorable NFP, which the markets are waiting for before a possible interest rate cut on September 18, may affect the decline of the dollar, which in turn will have a bullish effect on the currency pair. Unexpected data may close the price in the range of 1.120 - 1.105.
Resistance levels: 1.114, 1.120
Support levels: 1.1099, 1.1047
The focus is on the resistance of the ascending channel and 1.110. If the bulls can take the defense above this zone, we should expect growth to 1.130 in the future. But a failed attempt may affect the pullback to 0.5 fibo or 1.1045.
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BNXUSDT → Liquidation on bullish trend before rising...BINANCE:BNXUSDT continues to correct and is heading towards global bullish trend support.Against the overall backdrop, the coin looks promising as one of the few continues to hold an uptrend....
Locally, BNX is testing the key liquidity area, a rebound to 1.300 may follow, but depending on the situation, there are various patterns indicating selling pressure on the market, such as: local lows, sma cross, closing bars at daily lows.... But, confidence is given by the overall trend. It is worth paying attention to the support 1.061 - 1.22, in this zone the struggle between the market participants is formed. The bulls may finally win if they are able to consolidate above 1.2000, but before that a long-squeeze or a scramble for support is possible.
Resistance levels: 1.2000, 1.31, 1.425
Support levels: 1.14, 1.06, 0.95
Technically, the trend boundary and liquidity area has not been tested yet. There are no strong bullish signals and MM may form a trap (false growth, liquidation (sell-off) and false breakdown followed by growth). Emphasis on these key zones...
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GOLD - Price can fall from top part of flat to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered to rising channel, where it at once fell to support line, breaking $2385 level.
Soon, price rose higher than $2385 level, breaking it again, and then rose to resistance line of channel, and made a fake breakout.
Next, price declined to $2385 level and later bounced up to $2475 level and soon broke it, exiting then from channel too.
After this, Gold started to trades inside flat, where it some time traded between top and bottom parts.
Now, price trades near top part of flat and I think it can rise a little more and then bounce down to $2465 support area.
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GOLD → CPI ahead. High risks to renew ATH, but...FX:XAUUSD is testing 2530 and risks a new high as each new retest increases the chances of a resistance breakout. Ahead of CPI, inflation data could set the medium-term tone for markets...
Traders are waiting for US inflation data that could confirm the size of the Fed's interest rate cut next week.
An uptick in CPI figures could trigger a rise in the dollar at the expense of gold prices (capital outflows), negating expectations of an excessive Fed rate cut.
Conversely, softer CPI data could revive bets for a 50 basis point Fed rate cut, collapsing the dollar and pushing the gold price to new lifetime highs. The 2530 area is very active in keeping the market from rising, accordingly, the accumulation of orders above 2530, if the resistance is broken, could activate a rally....
Resistance levels: 2530
Support levels: 2514, 2512, 2506
The price return to the resistance area will confirm the readiness to test 2530 for a breakout. If the bulls manage to pass this zone, we should count on growth, but the bears are holding this area quite aggressively. There is also a high probability to catch a short-squeeze and further decline to 2506-2500.
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