0% Inflation very soon?United States Inflation Rate, Year-over-Year, 1914-2022 chart
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Why do I think inflation will go down to 0%?
Inflation is currently at the main trendline (established in 1920). This is a very strong resistance, and as a general rule, do not short a support or long a resistance. In other words, you don't want to speculate on inflation increasing when inflation is at its critical point. FED cares about their charts, and they also want the charts to look great. That's why they will push inflation down.
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Why the Inflation Rate Matter?
The inflation rate demonstrates the health of a country's economy. It is a measurement tool used by a country's central bank, economists, and government officials to gauge whether action is needed to keep an economy healthy. That's when businesses are producing, consumers are spending, and supply and demand are as close to equilibrium as possible.
A healthy rate of inflation is good for both consumers and businesses. During deflation, consumers hold on to their cash because the goods will be cheaper tomorrow. Businesses lose money, cutting costs by reducing pay or employment. That happened during the subprime housing crisis.
In galloping inflation, consumers spend now before prices rise tomorrow. That artificially increases demand. Businesses raise prices because they can, as inflation spirals out of control.
When inflation is steady, at around 2%, the economy is more or less as stable as it can get. Consumers are buying what businesses are selling.
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How is inflation measured?
There are several ways to measure inflation, but the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics uses the consumer price index. The CPI aggregates price data from 23,000 businesses and 80,000 consumer goods to determine how much prices have changed in a given period of time. If the CPI rises by 3% year over year, for example, then the inflation rate is 3%. The Fed, on the other hand, relies on the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE). This index gives more weight to items such as healthcare costs.
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How do you hedge against inflation?
Because inflation causes money to lose value over time, hedging against it is an important part of any sound investing strategy. Investors use a diversified portfolio with a variety of asset types to offset inflation and ensure that the overall growth of their portfolio outpaces it.
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YEAR - INFLATION RATE YOY - FED FUNDS RATE - BUSINESS CYCLE (GDP GROWTH) - EVENTS AFFECTING INFLATION
1929 0.6% NA August peak Market crash
1930 -6.4% NA Contraction (-8.5%) Smoot-Hawley
1931 -9.3% NA Contraction (-6.4%) Dust Bowl
1932 -10.3% NA Contraction (-12.9%) Hoover tax hikes
1933 0.8% NA Contraction ended in March (-1.2%) FDR's New Deal
1934 1.5% NA Expansion (10.8%) U.S. debt rose
1935 3.0% NA Expansion (8.9%) Social Security
1936 1.4% NA Expansion (12.9%) FDR tax hikes
1937 2.9% NA Expansion peaked in May (5.1%) Depression resumes
1938 -2.8% NA Contraction ended in June (-3.3%) Depression ended
1939 0.0% NA Expansion (8.0% Dust Bowl ended
1940 0.7% NA Expansion (8.8%) Defense increased
1941 9.9% NA Expansion (17.7%) Pearl Harbor
1942 9.0% NA Expansion (18.9%) Defense spending
1943 3.0% NA Expansion (17.0%) Defense spending
1944 2.3% NA Expansion (8.0%) Bretton Woods
1945 2.2% NA Feb. peak, Oct. trough (-1.0%) Truman ended WWII
1946 18.1% NA Expansion (-11.6%) Budget cuts
1947 8.8% NA Expansion (-1.1%) Cold War spending
1948 3.0% NA Nov. peak (4.1%)
1949 -2.1% NA Oct trough (-0.6%) Fair Deal, NATO
1950 5.9% NA Expansion (8.7%) Korean War
1951 6.0% NA Expansion (8.0%)
1952 0.8% NA Expansion (4.1%)
1953 0.7% NA July peak (4.7%) Eisenhower ended Korean War
1954 -0.7% 1.25% May trough (-0.6%) Dow returned to 1929 high
1955 0.4% 2.50% Expansion (7.1%)
1956 3.0% 3.00% Expansion (2.1%)
1957 2.9% 3.00% Aug. peak (2.1%) Recession
1958 1.8% 2.50% April trough (-0.7%) Recession ended
1959 1.7% 4.00% Expansion (6.9%) Fed raised rates
1960 1.4% 2.00% April peak (2.6%) Recession
1961 0.7% 2.25% Feb. trough (2.6%) JFK's deficit spending ended recession
1962 1.3% 3.00% Expansion (6.1%)
1963 1.6% 3.5% Expansion (4.4%)
1964 1.0% 3.75% Expansion (5.8%) LBJ Medicare, Medicaid
1965 1.9% 4.25% Expansion (6.5%)
1966 3.5% 5.50% Expansion (6.6%) Vietnam War
1967 3.0% 4.50% Expansion (2.7%)
1968 4.7% 6.00% Expansion (4.9%) Moon landing
1969 6.2% 9.00% Dec. peak (3.1%) Nixon took office
1970 5.6% 5.00% Nov. trough (0.2%) Recession
1971 3.3% 5.00% Expansion (3.3%) Wage-price controls
1972 3.4% 5.75% Expansion (5.3%) Stagflation
1973 8.7% 9.00% Nov. peak (5.6%) End of gold standard
1974 12.3% 8.00% Contraction (-0.5%) Watergate
1975 6.9% 4.75% March trough (-0.2%) Stop-gap monetary policy confused businesses and kept prices high
1976 4.9% 4.75% Expansion (5.4%)
1977 6.7% 6.50% Expansion (4.6%)
1978 9.0% 10.00% Expansion (5.5%)
1979 13.3% 12.00% Expansion (3.2%)
1980 12.5% 18.00% Jan. peak (-0.3%) Recession
1981 8.9% 12.00% July trough (2.5%) Reagan tax cut
1982 3.8% 8.50% November (-1.8%) Recession ended
1983 3.8% 9.25% Expansion (4.6%) Military spending
1984 3.9% 8.25% Expansion (7.2%)
1985 3.8% 7.75% Expansion (4.2%)
1986 1.1% 6.00% Expansion (3.5%) Tax cut
1987 4.4% 6.75% Expansion (3.5%) Black Monday crash
1988 4.4% 9.75% Expansion (4.2%) Fed raised rates
1989 4.6% 8.25% Expansion (3.7%) S&L Crisis
1990 6.1% 7.00% July peak (1.9%) Recession
1991 3.1% 4.00% Mar trough (-0.1%) Fed lowered rates
1992 2.9% 3.00% Expansion (3.5%) NAFTA drafted
1993 2.7% 3.00% Expansion (2.8%) Balanced Budget Act
1994 2.7% 5.50% Expansion (4.0%)
1995 2.5% 5.50% Expansion (2.7%)
1996 3.3% 5.25% Expansion (3.8%) Welfare reform
1997 1.7% 5.50% Expansion (4.4%) Fed raised rates
1998 1.6% 4.75% Expansion (4.5%) LTCM crisis
1999 2.7% 5.50% Expansion (4.8%) Glass-Steagall repealed
2000 3.4% 6.50% Expansion (4.1%) Tech bubble burst
2001 1.6% 1.75% March peak, Nov. trough (1.0%) Bush tax cut, 9/11 attacks
2002 2.4% 1.25% Expansion (1.7%) War on Terror
2003 1.9% 1.00% Expansion (2.9%) JGTRRA
2004 3.3% 2.25% Expansion (3.8%)
2005 3.4% 4.25% Expansion (3.5%) Katrina, Bankruptcy Act
2006 2.5% 5.25% Expansion (2.9%)
2007 4.1% 4.25% Dec peak (1.9%) Bank crisis
2008 0.1% 0.25% Contraction (-0.1%) Financial crisis
2009 2.7% 0.25% June trough (-2.5%) ARRA
2010 1.5% 0.25% Expansion (2.6%) ACA, Dodd-Frank Act
2011 3.0% 0.25% Expansion (1.6%) Debt ceiling crisis
2012 1.7% 0.25% Expansion (2.2%)
2013 1.5% 0.25% Expansion (1.8%) Government shutdown. Sequestration
2014 0.8% 0.25% Expansion (2.5%) QE ends
2015 0.7% 0.50% Expansion (3.1%) Deflation in oil and gas prices
2016 2.1% 0.75% Expansion (1.7%)
2017 2.1% 1.50% Expansion (2.3%)
2018 1.9% 2.50% Expansion (3.0%)
2019 2.3% 1.75% Expansion (2.2%)
2020 1.4% 0.25% Contraction (-3.4%) COVID-19
2021 7.0% 0.25% Expansion (5.9%) COVID-19
2022 8.3% 3.25% Contraction (-1.6%) As of Sept. 21. 2022
2023 2.7% (est.) 2.8% (est.) Expansion (2.2%) March 2022 projection
A-flat
PHA - Another explosive move is possible!
This is an absolutely fantastic opportunity on PHA right here, right now!
The stop loss for this coin is very low and the profit target is very high, which provides a great risk-to-reward ratio.
The uptrend started with a strong impulse wave, which is extremely important for continuation to the upside.
The next profit target is around 1.3 USDT, but this coin can go even higher than 1.3 USDT.
The price action on PHA is extremely bullish. It looks like this is definitely not the end.
This coin has to hold the 0.18 USDT level. Otherwise, it will be dead for some time.
This is a great opportunity for swing and day-traders, because if the price goes up, then the volatility will be amazing.
Phala is a great ponzi at this moment, so maybe do your own research before putting your money into this coin. I think this pump will be very fast, so you don't want to hold this coin for weeks.
Phala Network is a privacy-preserving cloud computing service, which offers computing power comparable to existing cloud services and protects the privacy of managed programs.
Phala is also based on Substrate, and will run as a parachain of Polkadot ecosystem.
Phala provides a contract-based data exchange infrastructure for standardized data collection, analysis, and trading protocols.
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ADA - 47% CRASH | Buy here!
I am very bearish on specific altcoins such as ADA, XRP, SOL, LUNC, SHIB and much more. Why? Because the charts are terrible and I don't even know why you should buy these overpriced altcoins that will never make you rich. Some gains are possible, but you have to focus on altcoins with low market caps, not these Giants.
It's too late for the party. I am not saying these altcoins are bad. These coins are great, but the market cap is too high and whales want to buy them at a cheaper price.
Cardano is in a massive downtrend, basically in a free fall mode, and another 47% drop is likely in my opinion. There is pretty much nothing bullish on this chart; the bulls completely disappeared.
You can buy ADA at 0.1841, at least for a short-term bounce (150% - 300% profit). I will inform you about possible targets next year, so do not miss it and follow me!
The price is printing a falling wedge pattern and a descending triangle. As you can see, the bears destroyed the triangle without any problem!
From the Elliott Wave perspective, the market structure is insanely bearish and I expect 2 huge impulse waves downward to complete a major ABC correction.
The bears are in power and I would not play with them at all cost. We need much more time to recover from this abyss.
Look at my ideas about XRP and LUNC in the related section down below.
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Bitcoin - 2018 vs 2022
I know that bullish analysis on Bitcoin is extremely unpopular at this moment. I can feel it in the comment section of my several previous Bitcoin analysis.
The most popular ideas on TradingView are extremely bearish, and the sentiment is very negative and fearful.
Pretty much everyone is expecting 13k. In this case, I am not saying the crowd is wrong, because during a fifth impulse wave, the crowd might often be right.
The situation is, of course, very different this time compared to 2018, but I have seen a lot of these comparison analyses on Bitcoin, so let's do it.
The triangle in 2022 is really weird. It's probably not even a triangle. It looks like an inverse head and shoulders with a steep neckline or a double bottom reversal pattern.
Triangles usually appear just before the end of the trend or at the end of the trend. These patterns are, of course, very tricky.
There is a possibility of a last scam wick to the downside to 17,600-17,900 before the price explodes to the upside! But I hope the bulls will defend 17611 USDT because it's very important from the Elliott Wave perspective.
I hope the bulls will prevent Bitcoin from falling because I don't want a 5-year bear market, I think no one wants it in the crypto community.
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Bitcoin - 180% PROFIT on this trade! | Elliott Wave
In this analysis, you will discover a strategy or a plan for 180% profit on Bitcoin. Please, read!
The stock market and cryptocurrencies are in a bear market, but that does not mean that there are no opportunities. The fundamentals have never been worse for bitcoin since its existence.
On the chart you can see a great potential setup that you can take for a massive profit, up to 186%! 12500 USDT is a very strong level and there is a confluence to buy exactly at this point.
Confluence: start of the gap from 2020 + previous swing high from 2019 + impulse Elliott Wave completed + Wave A + previous Wave (1) support + previous breakout level of the Head and Shoulders pattern.
If you don't want to wait for this profit target, you can sell Bitcoin at 17600 USDT or 24000 USDT, which are strong resistance on the way up. But I think 24 000 USDT is definitely doable!
The price is below the 200 weekly moving average, which is really bad. This particular MA is considered a strong support/resistance by huge institutions and hedge funds.
According to my Elliott Wave analysis, there is a high probability that we are going to finish this incomplete impulse wave, so more downside is possible!
Buy bitcoin at 12500 USDT and sell it at 35900 USDT. It sounds like a great plan, doesn't it?
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SUSHI - Double breakout! An extreme uptrend is coming!
Great news for the SUSHI altcoin, because a descending parallel channel and a symmetrical triangle are currently breaking out with elevated volume!
Congratulations to the bulls for this success, and SUSHI is now completely free to go up to my profit target.
Take profit at the 0.618 FIB + strong horizontal resistance, which is between 5.289 - 5.890 USDT. This is an extremely strong resistance, so you want to take profit here at all cost!
According to my Elliott Wave analysis, a huge impulse wave has been completed, so there is an amazing opportunity for a massive uptrend in the immediate short-term.
As you can clearly see, the last bullish candle looks like a dildo, which you really want to see!
I believe this coin can pump extremely hard. But there is also a possibility of a slow uptrend. Let's see what is going to happen.
It's definitely a tremendous opportunity right here right now for the SUSHI coin, so do not waste any time and do your own research or just press the BUY button!
I expect massive gains for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
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DXY - The best news for crypto/stocks!
This is great news for the stock market and crypto, because it looks like the DXY index has reached its destination at the top of the ascending parallel channel on the monthly chart.
The end of 2022 and 2023 could be very bullish for the stock and crypto markets! Maybe this is the last time we see Bitcoin below 20 000 USD.
2% inflation is on the table, we had a massive selloff in certain stocks, and they simply cannot fall in a straight line!
If we take a look at the RSI indicator, we are in overbought territory. It pretty much screams for a correction. Then we can make a final uptrend and print a bearish divergence on the 5th wave.
A previous swing high from 2001 is definitely a strong resistance and I believe we will take stop losses above this high before a huge downtrend will be in-play. But not now. It could happen in 2025.
According to my Elliott Wave analysis, I am missing a final impulse wave to the upside, so do not celebrate too much yet. For now, we are ready for an ABC correction to the downside on this chart.
As you can see, we hit the 1.618 FIB extension measured from wave 1 to wave 2. Extremely strong resistance indeed!
Look at my ideas about Bitcoin and the SPX 500 in the related section down below.
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XRP - 80% decline, be prepared!
An 80% drop is not sci-fi. But at the end of the day, you can buy cheap XRP at 0.1 USDT and hold it to 589 USDT, as the Simpsons predicted.
I am very bearish on XRP because the bears are in full control and I will tell you why in this analysis.
The price is trending in a massive descending parallel channel (very bad) and the first thing we want to see is a break of the channel to think about buying XRP.
XRP has been in a bear market since 2017. It has been 5 years and we didn't even hit a new all-time high during the 2020–2021 bull market.
As you can see on this chart, we have broken down out of the symmetrical triangle, which is an extremely bearish signal. You don't want to see triangles at the top of the uptrend as a bull.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, this whole structure is totally incomplete and I am missing an impulse wave dawnward.
We have strong support at 0.1013 USDT, where the market should take stop losses below this swing low before continuing higher to new all-time highs.
It's very dangerous to buy XRP at this moment because this mini uptrend might already be complete.
But after all, I think XRP will experience a massive bull market, maybe in 2023-2025, to new all-time highs because it looks very solid on the monthly scale.
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S&P500 - What if the bottom is in?
I am not saying the bottom is in, but what if the bottom is in? In this analysis, I will tell you why it is possible!
Everyone is extremely bearish on the stock market. There is a record of purchasing PUT options from retail investors and usually the majority is wrong. But in this case, the majority could be right. We don't know.
As you can see, we have a huge parallel channel on the daily chart, and I would love to see a breakout above the channel.
But from the Elliott Wave perspective, an ABC correction (ZigZag) can be considered as completed with an extended A wave. If you are an Elliott Wave trader, you see a nice impulse wave as a C wave.
If we take a look at the RSI indicator, we can see a bullish divergence on the daily timeframe. This gives us hope for at least a bullish bounce to the upside.
The 200 moving average is powerful on the weekly and daily chart. This MA is considered a strong support/resistance by huge institutions and hedge funds together with the 0.618 FIB retracement.
Interest rates are rising, which is, of course, very bad for the stock market. I know this and that's why I am not buying stocks, because I am a trader, not an investor, even though I have bitcoins for the long term.
So, has the stock market reached its bottom? I would say maybe a 30% probability.
Look at my idea about Bitcoin in the related section down below.
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Polygon MATIC - Bullish flag! A huge breakout is imminent.
Matic is preparing for a huge uptrend if the bulls break the bullish flag. It's a pretty good opportunity, so you don't want to miss it!
The bullish flag on the daily chart is supported by an ABC correction (ZigZag), so it makes the bullish flag much stronger.
Also, we have started this uptrend with a strong impulse wave, which indicates massive buying pressure from the bulls.
The next resistance is at the top of the massive parallel channel on the weekly chart. You can zoom out this chart to see this channel in all its full beauty.
I strongly recommend waiting for a breakout above the flag, because, of course, the bears can step in at the resistance of the downward trendline.
Polygon effectively transforms Ethereum into a full-fledged multi-chain system (aka Internet of Blockchains). This multi-chain system is akin to other ones such as Polkadot, Cosmos, Avalanche etc. with the advantages of Ethereum’s security, vibrant ecosystem and openness.
This is a pretty strong setup for the bulls. Let me know in the comment section what you think about MATIC.
I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
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XRR - RIPPLE / USDTXRP -RIPPLE seems to be doing a flat "ABC" correction as a rule that waves "A" and "B" must have 3 moves and wave "C" must have 5 moves to finish the correction, now RIPPLE is in a lawsuit against the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) since they want to classify RIPPLE (XRP) as a value but everything seems to be moving towards XRP being the winner, apart from the fact that it is having a very good adoption by banks and countries with large institutional capital behind. I think the XRP trial is going to end in their favor and with them a big rise will be seen, its CEO said that by July 2023 the case will be closed.
PS: You can finish before that date
Preferably wait for a 1-2 pattern when we believe that wave "C" is over to ride the next impulsive wave
Trust Wallet TWT - Very durable altcoin, when pump?
TWT is an extremely durable altcoin. During the bear market in 2021-2022 this coin held its value very well.
The platform was acquired by Binance in July 2018. So there is a huge expectation for the Trust Wallet platform.
The full Trust Wallet team is not public, but it is known to comprise over 20 individuals — many of which have overlapping roles at Binance.
This altcoin can basically pump anytime soon, but we can also go sideways for another few months. I believe the value of this coin will increase.
The price is making higher lows. The structure is very bullish on the weekly chart. We have an ascending parallel channel with a symmetrical triangle inside.
The local uptrend started with a beautiful impulse wave, which is an amazing sign for the bulls. But, we don't know yet when the correction ends.
From my perspective, this altcoin provides a very low risk and pretty good reward, so it's worth it.
I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
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BTC.D - The Alt Season is around the corner! Don't miss it.
The Alt Season is around the corner, I can see it on this chart! It's not a question of if it will happen, but when it will happen.
The lighting network is not supported by major exchanges because they don't want it and it's not in their business plan (as per the statement). This is, at this moment, very positive for altcoins.
It's really important to pick the right altcoins because we are not in 2017 when even scam coins pump.
We have been moving sideways on this chart for a long time, but nothing lasts forever. I expect a breakdown of this bearish rectangle pattern very soon!
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, this structure is very bearish and we should continue down with another impulse wave. From an EW standpoint, an ABC correction has been completed, so there is probably nothing that can stop this downtrend.
ALT SEASON usually happens when the BTC.D goes down. It's usually during bull markets. When we are in a bear market, everyone is selling their altcoins and buying bitcoin instead.
The 0.618 FIB extension from wave (1) to wave (2) is the next target, but I think we can go even lower later.
Make sure to pick the right altcoins. I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
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Warning ! Possibility of inverted flat and major decline !NVDA has started a rally from the latest low and brought hope for bulls.
This rally resembles 5 legs impulsive waves and MAY be a very strong Bull Trap !
Inverted flat corrections are one of the most complicated patterns in bear market. Two pictures inserted in the chart are captured from a very useful book written by Frost and Prechter titled : "Elliott wave principle key to market behavior " chapter 1, figures 1.35, 1.36, 1.37,1.40 and 1.41. Figure 1.37 shows a real example of this tempting wave pattern and major decline after completion of pattern in Dow Jones Industrial Average from Aug to Nov 1973.
The key to recognize this pattern is to recognize internal pattern of previous waves. I showed internal wave patterns of previous waves for NVDA and as you see it is very similar to text book examples.
I showed two strong resistance zones which can resist against NVDA rally and push it back down to a new low if this analysis becomes true.
These resistance zones are related to different inverted flat correction patterns : Irregular and Running . Although there are some clues for recognizing which pattern is developing before the fact by means of Fibonnaci ratios, I prefer to be conservative and take both of them into consideration for now.
Please note, we are in the world of possibilities not certainties and the scenario I suggested here is a real possibility . I do not claim that this scenario surely happens but I can confidently warn traders and investor to keep this pattern in their mind .
Good luck everybody.
BNB Binance - Explosive move soon!
BNB proved to be the strongest high-cap altcoin, and that's why I expect an explosive move if the bulls break the major trendline!
The stock market is crashing pretty strongly, but the crypto market is extremely durable, which is awesome, isn't it?
You probably don't want to buy BNB right now, because we are very close to strong resistance and there is a chance to go lower. First we need to make a new high above 300 USDT.
The chart is printing a descending broadening wedge, a bullish pattern on the daily chart, so it's best to wait for a breakout.
The next major resistance is at the previous all-time high, which is around 692 USDT, but I believe we will go higher in the future.
According to my Elliott Wave analysis, we have started the new uptrend with a pretty strong impulse wave, which is a great sign of strength. A major ABC correction has been completed successfully as well.
The BNBBTC pair is at the new all-time high already, as I informed you in my previous analysis. Also, the BNBETH pair is very bullish.
I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins (BEL, QNT, INJ, SUSHI). You can find them in the related section down below.
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Injective INJ - RECORD volume! +1200% profit
INJ was recently listed on the CoinBase exchange and the interest in this coin has increased significantly!
+1200% profit or even more is not sci-fi at all. Personally, I would take profit at my first target for quick gains, but if you want to hold for the long term, then you can go for it.
Buy INJ right now, because it looks like it wants to skyrocket very soon. I don't think we will go lower than this point.
As you can clearly see, we have a parallel descending channel on the 3D chart that is currently breaking out, and there is definitely a great chance for an explosive bull market.
Also, there is a local bullish flag that is breaking out as well, so you can buy a double breakout, which is nice to see. Isn't it?
According to my Elliott Wave analysis, a major ABC correction has finished successfully, and I am expecting an impulse structure.
If we take a look at the volume indicator, there is an elevated volume, which is very important. There is a buying activity from whales.
INJ is a great altcoin with huge potential, so why are you still waiting and not buying?
I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
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TOTAL Crypto - Are we still in a bull market?
This is a major outlook on the total crypto market cap, which is probably the most important indicator.
As you can clearly see, we are in a bull market on the weekly/monthly timeframe, but if the bulls give up, then it can turn into a 5–10 year bear market, which will be the first bear market in the history of cryptocurrencies!
Please, do not write in the comment section things about previous bear markets in 2018, 2019, and now 2022. This is nothing compared to what may come.
But nothing is lost at all, because we are holding the key market structure!
The price is above the 200 weekly moving average, which historically has never been broken. We are above the previous swing high from 2018 and this is the most important support that must hold. The 0.382 FIB + the ABC correction is another bonus.
The chart is printing a massive falling wedge/bullish flag #2. You can compare this pattern with the previous structure from 2018.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, an ABC correction of the previous impulse wave has been completed successfully with a 0.382 FIB, which is a reasonable retracement.
If you buy Bitcoin or Ethereum right now and it fails, then it was definitely a great trade and you should be proud of it. You took the risk, you took the chance. I think this is a great lifetime opportunity.
The money printer is up and running at full speed. Inflation is very high, so it's definitely great for cryptocurrencies.
October and November are extremely bullish months for Bitcoin, so there is a great chance for a bounce!
This is my verdict. We are still in a bull market and this was just a correction. We are preparing for another bull run, so do not miss it!
I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
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Ethereum has bottomed out! 10 000 USD next target!
There is a great chance that Ethereum has bottomed out! But first we need to break the downward sloping trendline to confirm this bias.
I am sure aggressive traders are already buying the ABC correction and the 0.618 FIB retracement, which is definitely worth the lower stop loss they have for this trade.
After the merge, the price of ETH rapidly went down, maybe just to shake out the long-term hodlers. It was a sell the news event, but maybe just in the short term.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, the ABC correction has been completed successfully as a ZigZag (wave 2) and we are prepared for a tremendous impulse wave 3 to the upside.
However, this ABC correction can transform into an impulse wave, which will be extremely bearish and 500 USD per ETH will be very possible. But you shall not pass!
The next target is 10,000 USD for the long-term trade, but you can take profit at the next strong resistance (3580 USD) if you don't want to wait or want to allocate your money somewhere else.
The chart is printing a symmetrical pattern, but it is not the best looking one, so I drew it on canvas maybe for entertainment purposes.
You don't want to miss my previous analysis of Bitcoin! Check out the related section down below.
I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins (QNT, BEL).
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Bitcoin - The bottom is in! Next target 300,000 USD!
Warning: This analysis may completely transform you into a super bull!
Interest rates are rising, which is bad for the stock market, but is it also bad for Bitcoin? Maybe not at all. On the other side, inflation is pretty high and the money printer is running, which is good for Bitcoin.
We have a huge falling wedge pattern on the weekly chart that is very close to a massive breakout! The upper sloping trendline is very important and can indicate the end of this bear market.
As you can see, the price is currently below the 200 weekly moving average. This particular MA is considered a strong support/resistance by huge institutions and hedge funds, but they do not see it as a level, but rather as a zone. So even if we are a little bit below the MA, it's still holding. We need to break below the previous swing low to confirm the breakout of the MA. What's more, if you take a look at the TOTAL crypto market cap chart, 200MA is above the current price, which can be a more reliable indicator.
If we take a look at the oscillators, the RSI indicator is printing a bullish divergence, which is a strong reversal signal, especially on the weekly chart. Also, the MACD indicator has a bullish tick on the histogram + bullish divergence between the swing lows as well.
We have history's highest volume, so a lot of bitcoin changes owners, which can be interpreted as a bullish signal. It's really a record volume on the Binance exchange, which is currently the biggest crypto exchange.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, an ABC correction has been completed successfully and we can definitely start a new impulse wave to new all-time highs in the immediate short term!
On Tradeview, I post potential scenarios. Today I can post a bullish analysis and tomorrow a bearish analysis. It's up to you how you decide to trade. Usually, I do not publish trading setups publicly, only privately. I can only give you all the reasons to buy or sell a specific asset here on TradingView.
I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins (QNT, BEL, STPT). You can find them in the related section down below.
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Bella BEL - Do not miss this altcoin!
Only 5% of people will catch this massive upcoming uptrend on BEL. Others will jump in at the top, as usual.
As you can see, we have started this brand new uptrend with a very strong impulse wave, which indicates a powerful interest from the bulls!
You want to wait for wave 2 to be finished and catch the third impulse wave, which is usually the strongest wave of all of them.
Wave 2 is represented as a bullish flag, so you can buy a breakout above this pattern for a confirmation trade, which I strongly recommend to do.
2.36 USDT is the first profit target for a quick profit, and the next target is 5.37 USDT.
The price bounced successfully from the 0.618 FIB retracement, which is another sign that the bottom could be in!
I don't know about you, but I really don't want to miss this altcoin!
Check out QNT altcoin, which offers an incredible opportunity in the immediate short-term!
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Bitcoin - No one is talking about this!
There are currently 3 options with a high probability of happening:
1) Bitcoin will crash very soon, so after that we can start an alt-season on altcoins after the crash to 13k (best option).
2) Bitcoin will go sideways for another 3 months and create a descending triangle, which will be the most boring time (you don't want it).
3) Bitcoin will go slightly up to the yellow trendline to catch all traders in a trap and then it will crash (disgusting scenario).
4) The bottom is in and Bitcoin will reach 200 000 USDT next year (no chance).
Bitcoin is below all possible trendlines on the macro scale, so the bearish pressure is extremely high at this moment!
Pretty much no one is talking about this parallel channel on the LOG scale. Also, no one is talking about the yellow trendline.
But I would not be surprised at all if we break this parallel channel, because at this point, everyone will turn super bullish and after that, Bitcoin will drop like a rock.
To complete an impulse structure from an Elliott Wave perspective, the price needs to print another impulse sub-wave to the downside.
At this point, if we break 32 000 USDT, I can say that the bottom is in, which I would love to absolutely!
If you haven't heard about the QNT (quant) altcoin, it's time to buy!
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The big short - S&P 500!
The situation for the stock market is really terrible. The fundamentals have never been worse in the last decade and it looks like we are going to drop even lower.
We have probably started a brand new major uptrend in interest rates that can reach 15% - 20% in the near future. Also, government bonds are rising, which is deadly for the stock market.
Let's be honest, it's not the best time to be in the markets if you are an investor. I believe there is an opportunity for swing traders and also day traders.
There is a possibility of a 10-year sideways bear market for the whole stock market, as happened in 2000 - 2009 or 1968 - 1980.
The price is moving in a descending broadening wedge pattern and there is more than enough space to go lower from the current price.
Regarding my Elliott Wave analysis, we have completed 2 first waves (A, B) and we are currently in a C wave if we want to stay bullish. It can also be a third wave of the impulse (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) as a bearish scenario.
I expect the 2700 level to be a strong support, which is also the FIB 1.618 extension from wave A -> B. There is also a confluence with the POC level of an expanding triangle from 2018 - 2020.
Look at my ideas about GOLD and Bitcoin in the related section down below.
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