EURO - Price can break support level and continue to declineHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered to flat, where it in a short time declined to $1.0810 level, after which bounced up.
Then price corrected $1.0810 level again and then rose almost to top part of flat, but then it started to fall.
Euro in a short time declined lower than $1.0810 level, breaking it and also exiting from flat, after which continued to decline.
Price at once rose to resistance line, after which it quickly fell to support level, which coincided with support area.
Next, EUR tried to grow but failed and fell back to $1.0690 level, where at the moment continues to trades near.
In my mind, price can make small movement up and then break support level and fall to $1.0600
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A-flat
GOLD → The mood is shifting. Resistance is broken... FX:XAUUSD breaks through downside range resistance and consolidates in bullish territory, opening up potential at 2365-2387.
Signs that the US labor and housing markets are cooling keep hopes for a September Fed rate cut alive, with an ECB rate cut helping to keep the gold price afloat. Another important nuance that makes investors wary: A meeting between the Russian President and the North Korean leader earlier this week, which confirms the tensions in geopolitics.
For now, all eyes are on the S&P Global Manufacturing and Services in the U.S. and the Fed Monetary Policy Report, which may shed more light on the economic outlook
There is still pressure on the market, but the price movement is detached from the dollar (correlation is decreasing), which indicates that the mood towards the metal is changing.
Resistance levels: 2365, 2387
Support levels: 2354, 2340
Technically, traders may try to break the resistance of 2365, if it succeeds, and the probability is high enough, we can go to 2387, then we need to watch the price reaction to the area. In case of false breakdown there is a probability to return to the support.
It is also worth taking into account the broken resistance that was not tested earlier
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → The market maker's trap. Ready to go down ↓ ?FX:GBPUSD is losing after a prolonged struggle for resistance. A major player does not let the market beyond 1.2800. On the background of the dollar growth, the currency pair may change the local trend
The fundamental background is unstable, the US dollar is still going through Wednesday, but based on the position of regulators the dollar looks ready to strengthen further, which is generally negative for GBPUSD. On D1, the area of 1.285-1.28 is worth watching. A major player is not still holding the barrier of limit resistance zones. After a shakeout and liquidity grab (trap from the market maker), the market is ready to go down as the current zones of interest are 1.258-1.257, 125.
Support levels: 1.271, 1.265
Resistance levels: 1.28
Technically, we should wait for a pre-breakdown consolidation and subsequent breakout of 1.271, or price consolidation below this area. Having received confidence and confirmation of readiness to decline, we can wait for the previously mentioned targets.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Shake up and bounce from MA-200 (D1) FX:XAUUSD is testing range and trend resistance, forming a false break of 2340 and touching MA-200 (D1). In the meantime, the dollar is strengthening and doesn't look like it's ready to give up....
Traders are expecting Initial Jobless Claims to be relatively lukewarm towards the US market. If the figure is lower than expected, it will provide additional support to the market, which would be a negative scenario for the metal price.
Technically, the price is in a downtrend. In relation to the range of 2340-2300 a false resistance breakout is formed (liquidity capture). The strong movement is similar to a shakeout in nature. A retest is possible before a further fall to the lower liquidity zone. There is still no strong buyer on the market.
Resistance levels: 2340, 2358
Support levels: 2332, 2325, 2315
With a retest target, the price may return to 2340, but there is no reason for gold to break the resistance yet. Consolidation below 2332 will send the price to 2315. BUT, provided the news is negative for the dollar, gold could test the trend resistance with a breakout target.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Bears are holding 2332. Possible shake up...FX:XAUUSD rises on Tuesday and Wednesday amid unexpectedly weak news in the US market, but at the same time the dollar does not tend to fall. Today is a day off in the US and gold is creeping up towards resistance.
The price is resting in the strong resistance area of 2332, the limit resistance level formed by the sellers does not let the price go beyond it. Consequently, a shake up and subsequent false breakout may occur relative to the level, which may lead to a strong fall and liquidation, as there is no strong buyer in the gold market and the fundamental background is weak. The market is within the descending channel, but in the phase of consolidation, which sooner or later will move into the realization (distribution) phase. Before that a retest of the trend resistance is possible (capture of additional liquidity)
Resistance levels: 2332, 2340, 2356
Support levels: 2325, 2315, 2305
The overall situation is that we may see another bearish rally. There are no reasons to break the trend resistance at the moment. The most likely scenario is a false breakout under current circumstances.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Local trend change? Moving down ↓ ?OANDA:NZDUSD breaks trend support amid a strong dollar. The currency pair could move to the downside if the bears hold the resistance area on their count.
On the daily timeframe, the currency pair is inside the sideways channel, but at the same time breaks the ascending support line. Thus, the market is starting to look towards 0.6084 support as an area of interest.
The US market has a day off today, so the volatility may be low, but nevertheless we have prerequisites for the beginning of the downward movement. If the bears keep the price below 0.6150-0.6140, the market may enter the phase of downward movement and head towards such targets as: 0.6083, 0.6000.
Resistance levels: 0.6140, 0.6170, 0.6215
Support levels: 0.6083, 0.6000
At the moment the market is struggling for the area of 0.6140. Consolidation below the level or the beginning of the impulse to the support will confirm that the bears are holding the market, then we will have to wait for the achievement of the goals.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Support retest within the triangle before the news...FX:XAUUSD continues to be under strong pressure from sellers on the back of a strong dollar. The market failed to overcome the 2325 area and is heading for a support retest.
Ahead of the news (Core Retail Sales, Retail Sales), increased volatility is expected. Traders are expecting neutral-bullish data against the US market. If the figures are higher than expected, gold may head lower. The technical and fundamental background for gold is negative, there is no strong buyer in the market yet, the rising dollar does not allow traders to take premature steps.
The focus is on consolidation boundaries, a breakout of one or another boundary or level may trigger strong sell-offs (or buys).
Resistance levels: 2315, 2325, 2340
Support levels: 2305, 2295, 2287
The chart and fundamental background speaks for itself. The news may have a temporary bullish impact on the market, but I don't think it can turn the market around under the current circumstances. The overall bearish background for gold is likely to continue this time around.
Regards R. Linda!
EURCHF → A safe CHF could lead to a fall in the pairing OANDA:EURCHF is actively declining towards 0.9677 and is not ready to go up yet. Based on the general fundamental background, the currency pair may continue to fall towards 0.96 or 0.95
After a false breakdown of the range support, there is no strong reaction and the price returns to the level (retest). Fundamentally, CHF is stronger than EUR.
The reason for the strong fall of the currency pair is the strong Swiss franc, which is getting stronger on the background of growing risks of recession in Europe, because in this case the Swiss franc plays the role of a hedge asset. The situation is such that determines the medium-term potential. The currency pair may continue to decline after the breakout and consolidation of the price below 0.9677. In addition, the decrease in the ECB interest rate is also a favorable background
Resistance levels: 0.9738
Support levels: 0.9677
I expect that a retest of the support may lead to a breakout of the level, which will provoke a strong sell-off in the market.
Regards R. Linda!
EURO - Price can make small movement up and then bounce downHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A not long time ago price entered to flat, where it at once bounced up to $1.0890 level from $1.0770 level.
Then it turned around and little declined, after which price some time traded in flat and then made upward impulse.
Price exited from flat, and then declined lower $1.0890 level, after which it tried to rise, but failed.
Euro made a fake breakout of $1.0890 level and continued to decline inside pennant, where it later broke $1.0770 level too.
At the moment, price rising near support line of pennant, and I think it can make small movement up first.
After this, Euro can bounce down, thereby exiting from pennant and continuing to fall to $1.0660
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GOLD → Is the market bearish and preparing for what?FX:XAUUSD has been facing strong bears since the opening of the session. The price returns under 2325 and forms a consolidation. Earlier there was a retest of a strong resistance area. The market is still bearish
For the gold market the area of 2325 plays a key role at the moment. Bulls are not yet ready to overcome this area on the background of strong dollar and weak fundamental background for the metals market. A retest of 2325-2340 resistance is possible before further decline. As the market is still bearish and consolidation is forming, liquidation of buyers may follow in the nearest future. The prospective target is 2305-2290-2275.
There is no news today, fundamental and technical background is negative.
Resistance levels: 2325, 2340, 2356
Support levels: 2315, 2305, 2295
Technically, gold may test the local lows or even update the interim lows. There is still no strong buyer ready to fight against the whole market. The price is trading in a bearish range.
Regards R. Linda!
AUDUSD → False breakdown of resistance. Ready to go down?FX:AUDUSD is forming a false break of the range resistance, but the market continues to struggle between traders. The focus is on the risk zone, the breakout of which will send the price flying downwards.
The trend is neutral, after a long-range retest of 0.66676 resistance a false breakdown is formed and the buyer has no potential to go up. A retest of the local maximum is possible, but all the emphasis is on the support at 0.6648. A break of this area will be a confirmation of the buyers' loss, as well as a break of the local uptrend, which will provoke the formation of a strong bearish impulse.
Resistance levels: 0.6668, 0.6715
Support levels: 0.665, 0.6558
Most likely, the buyers' strength will not be enough to pass the mentioned resistance from the first time. At the moment the seller is pushing the market and if the key support area is broken, the market will change its local mood
Regards R. Linda!
TON → The bulls are almost ready. Breakout 7.23, rally ...OKX:TONUSDT is starting to show bullish potential. This is quite interesting for us, because, in general, the coin's potential is huge. BTC momentum could push the coin to rally.
The bulls have held the defense above 5.985, forming an intermediate bottom. In the current range, the 6.45 - 6.65 area, where the maximum number of coins have been traded (bought), is a zone of interest for the big player and he will try to defend it. The range of market accumulation is 7.23 - 6.23. Until the price leaves this range, the market will be flat.
It is worth paying attention to the local descending resistance. There is an attempt to break through it and the price may strengthen to 7.23. The whole emphasis is on this area. A correction or pre-breakout consolidation may form before the breakout.
Resistance levels: 7.23, 7.67
Support levels: 6.7, 6.23
I am waiting for the retest of 7.23. It is interesting to see the reaction from which it will be possible to form further strategy (pullback or breakout). The probability of a breakout is increasing on the background of a strong bitcoin.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Open gestalt 2280 but the price goes up, what's next?FX:XAUUSD closed last week in the plus side despite the negative fundamental backdrop, but the focus is on the consolidation that the price is in. Previous patterns indicate that consolidation, amid a bear market, could be followed by buyers liquidation, but there is always a BUT!!!!
Relevant, gold is closing in a pat range of 2340-2325. . The market doesn't know where to move yet. So the big question is: where will the price go on Monday?
The general background is bearish, accordingly, the pressure from sellers continues. Technically:
If the 2340 resistance is broken, the price will head towards the descending channel resistance.
BUT, if the support is broken, the new trading week may start with a decline towards 2300.
From a fundamental point of view, gold has no support
China has temporarily reduced purchases.
But at the same time, a rather hot conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe may support the gold price. Against the backdrop of the rising dollar, gold traders may intensify the sell-off of the asset and strike another blow to the buyers who appeared in the range of 2290 - 2325.
There is not much news in the coming week, but the focus is on: CPI (eur), Core Retail Sales & retail Sales, Initial Jobless Claims, S&P PMI and Fed Monetary Policy. The data is expected to be relatively lukewarm for the dollar, but the situation changes daily.
Resistance levels: 2340, 2355
Support levels: 2325, 2305, 2290
Technically, the market maker has not yet reached the key liquidity below 2380, there are no strong and obvious preconditions for the medium term, it is worth paying attention to the daily price behavior.
Regards R. Linda!
NOT ▵ → Is a rally possible now? Why is 0.020 so important?BINANCE:NOTUSDT breaks the resistance of the descending wedge (bullish set-up) and forms consolidation inside the range 0.0169 - 0.0199. A retest of support or the previously broken pattern boundary before rising is possible.
NOT under dump, after a strong rally, has eliminated some traders and may strengthen at the moment after the bulls hold the defense above key support and liquidity zones. The coin is in a consolidation stage after exiting the descending range. The market's transition to the stage of active strengthening and growth may be a breakout and consolidation of the price above 0.0188 - 0.0199. The potential of the coin both technically and fundamentally is quite tempting, but everything depends on the bulls.
Resistance levels: 0.0188, 0.0199, 0.023
Support levels: 0.0169, 0.0153
Since the price is inside the range, for an active price action the price must overcome one of the boundaries, the most likely scenario is a retest of the support (false breakdown) before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD - Price can bounce down to $2305 support line of triangleHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price entered to flat, where it first reached $2360 level, after which declined to $2315 level.
Then price bounced from this level and made upward impulse higher than $2360, breaking it and exiting from flat.
Price entered to triangle, where it at once bounced from resistance line to support line, breaking $2360 and $2315 levels.
After this, Gold in a short time rose to $2315 level, broke it, but soon fell back to support line of triangle.
Next, price bounced from this line, broke $2315 level again, and now trades near resistance line.
In my mind, Gold can make small movement up, and then bounce down to $2305, breaking support level.
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GOLD → Retest of resistance before possible decline to 2290FX:XAUUSD is forming the range of 2325 - 2290. In general, the market is bearish and the local bullish distribution that happened since the opening of the session may lead to a false breakdown and further decline
Today at 15:00 GMT Fed Monetary Policy Report. I think it is worth paying attention to the Fed comments.
As for Gold. All attention to the resistance area of 2315-2325. Most likely we should wait for a false breakdown, at the moment there is no potential to go up against a strong bear market. Against the background of the growth of the dollar index gold traders can strengthen the sales of gold. Consolidation of the price (after the false breakdown) below 2325 or below 2315 may lead the market down to 2300-2290.
Resistance levels: 2325, 2340
Support levels: 2315, 2305, 2291
Friday may end with the price testing the resistance and returning to the boundaries of the sideways range, i.e. to the flat state.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → The currency pair may lose up to 2.5% ↓FX:EURUSD is testing the 1.0884 resistance again after breaking the local channel. But it does not lead to success, as the bears are not letting the price up yet amid the complex fundamental environment.
Technically, the currency pair is under a strong resistance zone. The limit level of 1.0884, formed by a big seller, continues to have a negative impact on the price. EURUSD may test 1.0802 in the near future. It is necessary to monitor the price reaction to this area. A quick retest or consolidation could be a prerequisite for a downside breakout and further fall to the lower boundary of the global range at 1.0606
Resistance levels: 1.0884, 1.0942
Support levels: 1.0802, 1.0736
I expect that the bears will continue to dominate the market on the background of the expensive dollar, which may lead to the fact that the currency pair may lose up to 2.0-2.5% of its value.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Shakeout and false breakdown of 2325. PPI aheadFX:XAUUSD rises to 2340 on the back of yesterday's CPI and Powell's comments form a shakeup in the market and the price of the metal drops to 2308, forming a false breakdown of the key liquidity area of 2325.
Today the market is expecting PPI (MoM) and Initial Jobless Claims. Producer Price Index is expected to be lower than last period 0.1% instead of 0.4%, but it all depends on the actual data. Mind you, yesterday the market got a CPI of 3.3%, versus the expected 3.4%. But Powell did not say anything interesting in the change of views and still sticks to the hawkish side. Technically, gold is breaking local upside support and forming a consolidation below 2325. If the data is bullish for the dollar, gold could continue to fall towards 2290-2265.
Resistance levels: 2325, 2340
Support levels: 2305, 2291
Technically gold is showing weakness, but it reacts quite strongly to any small positive news. The whole emphasis on today's news, if the fundamental background remains negative, we will consider the targets below, if there are hints of a change in the background, we can consider price growth to 2340-2355.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → CPI and FED. What to expect from the market? FX:XAUUSD is stopping after correction, traders are afraid to make premature decisions as news is ahead. A consolidation below 2315 is forming.
False break of support leads the price to retest 2310-2315, after which traders take a breather before the news.
All eyes remain on the upcoming big events, CPI and Fed. Key US CPI data will help shape the Fed's view on interest rates, which will significantly impact the value of the US dollar and gold prices in the near term. The market is expecting neutral (no change) data, which could generally keep the same fundamental backdrop. But, all eyes are on the actual data as the market is still confused by last Friday's higher NFP than expected.
Nevertheless, any initial reaction to the US CPI data may be temporary as gold traders will quickly switch to the FOMC & FED meeting.
Resistance levels: 2315, 2325, 2354
Support levels: 2305, 2291, 2267
Technically and fundamentally, gold is weak at the moment. On the background of high volatility, the price may try to break through 2325 and test the liquidity area of 2335-2345, then move to the decline phase, if the fundamental background is suitable for this. Risks of further decline are quite high, but the coming news can both strengthen this decline and break the market structure.
Regards R. Linda!
INJUSDT → Interested buyer. Ready to rise to 43.0?BINANCE:INJUSDT looks stronger than bitcoin and the crypto market. Against the background of the general decline, the coin is growing and this is a rather strong premise.
The price may return to the range of 29.0 - 43.0.
On D1, a pre-breakout setup is forming regarding the 29.2-29.45 area. If the price can consolidate above this area, then further traders will open bullish potential, the target of which could be a rise towards resistance (intra-range movement). The coin looks green in the red market and it means that someone is interested in it (big player). On the overall negative fundamental background there is a risk that the coin will go down, but for now I am looking out for further upside.
*The long scenario will be broken if the price closes below yesterday's opening.
Resistance levels: 33.62, 43.4
Support levels: 29.21, 29.85
The potential is there. It can be realized if the bulls hold the defense above the key support area.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Price range. Test of resistance before the news FX:XAUUSD is testing trend resistance. The struggle continues, but on the background of strong dollar the price can test the minimum or even update it. The news is coming and the market may go flat.
GOLD is testing the strong resistance area 2304 as well as the pullback level 2314.7, forming a new key resistance within the correction. The technical and fundamental background for gold is negative, in the mid-term we should expect a fall, but tomorrow we are waiting for news such as: CPI, FOMC and FED meeting, where obviously the overall inflation situation and the US interest rate will be discussed.
If we pay attention to D1, we can see that the dollar continues to grow in an uptrend, at tomorrow's speeches, the regulators may continue to support the dollar, which may have a negative impact on gold, which by then may test the liquidity area 2304-2314-2325 before a further possible fall.
Support levels: 2300, 2291, 2267
Resistance levels: 2304, 2314, 2325
Today the market may trade within the range of 2291 - 2325, the prospective direction can be discussed tomorrow (before the news), but within the intra-day I would expect a retest of resistance and a possible decline to support.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Negative fundamental backdrop could break the trend FX:GBPUSD is bumping into a strong limit resistance zone lined up by sellers. As the fundamental background changes, the bears are strengthening their positions. An impulsive downward movement is forming in the market
The opening session is formed with a gap on D1, in general this is rare in the forex market, but indicates potential. We are interested in the level of 1.271. A break of this area will be a trigger for a fall, because, in general, the short and medium-term outlook based on the fundamental background is predetermined.
Most likely, the first test of the support area will be followed by a bounce, but a retest of the support will strengthen the chances of a breakout and further decline to our target.
Resistance levels: 1.28
Support levels: 1.271, trend support
In the long term, we are waiting for a test of support and market reaction to the mentioned area. The local trend may be broken. Consolidation of the price in the selling zone will be the confirmation.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Causes of the fall. Can gold fall even lower? 2265?FX:XAUUSD is making a new low and there are a number of reasons for that. The price after Friday's sell-offs is returning in the bearish trend boundaries, which determines the medium-term prospects for us
On D1, price is still in a global sideways range and support (global liquidity zone) is still untested. So why did gold fall? The market was negatively affected by the strengthening of the dollar, due to the positive NonFarm Payrolls for the US market, which generally forms a medium-term mood for the markets. Traders also moved to the bearish train on the background of news related to the suspension of global gold purchases by the Central Bank of China.
Technically, the continuation of the downtrend on H1 is most likely. On D1, a takeover is forming and Friday's close is practically at the minimum values (The movement, theoretically, is not over yet), but before that the market may test the lower boundary of the consolidation (the nearest resistance).
Resistance levels: 2315, 2325
Support levels: 2291, 2267
I expect local strengthening before the subsequent fall. Traders may try to buy back some of the decline (liquidity gathering) before further testing support with a view to breakout.
Regards R. Linda!