AMAZON - correction before another jumpThere are currently no strong factors supporting the recent fall, so I suppose it is a correction after an amazing run in the last 2 weeks.
The Fibonacci retracement from the last impulse point, as well as a powerful trend line may be factors for some nice earnings on July 23
To sum up everything, for me it is a STRONG BUY from 2900. It is a technical and a strong psychological level as well, with some fundamental factors that may help the price grow.
Good luck and stay safe!
A-shares
UBER chart analysisUBER did not have the best run since its market debut. Price was slowly declining after IPO and the current market cap is $56.91B. After hitting bottom in March, investors became interested in buying the cheap stock. Most investment funds and banks have price projections from $45 to $54 since then. UBER has also started to diversify its business, going for UBER EATs to compete with other delivery giants in the big pandemic market, where grocery shopping got heavily shifted to online ordering and delivery. Today company announced that it is in talks with investors regarding a stake in its Uber Freight division, according to Bloomberg that cited people with knowledge of the matter. Potential to raise $500 million in a funding round that would value the freight division around $4 billion after the deal, the report said. Nothing has been finalized yet, so the whole deal could change or be scrapped. But shows UBER’s commitment to diversify. And news moves the stocks.
Let us look at 1-hour chart for a technical view. UBER IPO opened around $45 in May 2019 and since then the price has been in a steady wave decline, an a-b-c pattern that bottomed at $13.75 in March this year after the pandemic sell off. As the stocks of the world steadily climbed higher on unprecedented financial stimulus, UBER rode the wave along with everyone else, enjoying a massive surge in stock price. Elliott wave count shows a clear 1-2-3-4-5 pattern ahead. We had a sharp bounce on wave 1 as investors rushed in to buy the stock on the cheap and a sharp wave 2 correction, followed by a bullish channel in wave 3. So far, the price finished wave 4, retracing a perfect 61.8% of wave 3 and just touching the end of wave 1. It shows great respect to EW rules. We also see a formation of the inverse Head & Shoulders pattern here with RSI divergence. Today at the close of the US session, UBER was priced at $32.79, also right on the cross of the 50SMA and 200SMA. The right shoulder of the pattern, or a corrective wave 2 within a bigger wave 5, is also a 61.8% retracement. More confirmation of a bullish move here is on the break and close above $34.50 resistance, that also serves as the neckline for the inverse H&S pattern. 2nd confirmation is the bullish breakout of the yellow downtrend line from the high of the $47.
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CADCHF H4 - Short Trade SetupCADCHF H4 - We monitored this yesterday and were looking for the retest, the rejection on the H4 candle started off nicely, but with just a couple of minutes left it's wicked up a fair bit, not to confirmation we are after, but lets just sit and wait for a little more clear rejection, possibly dig into the lower timeframe.
What to measure? Volume or share proportion?What to measure? Volume or share proportion?
Recently I keep thinking about what metric I should use to measure the strength of a trend.
Is it volume?
Of course, the volume would be a handy metric to look for. But let me tell you something:
Volume is often a biased figure, because if you only look for volume:
(1) You don't have any idea on how much money has been taken out/putting in a particular stock.
(2) You don't have any idea on how that amount of money affect your stock
For example, a stock with 10M volume and $0.001 each share would be very different from stock with 10k volume but with $10 each share,,,,
Or is it Volume*Price?
Volume*Price is a very effective way to measure the amount of money putting in a particular stock, but it still does not reveal the magnitude of this amount of money being put into
I have a different approach to this matter.
Since the pinescript @version4 allows us to plot the marketcap, now we can figure out how money flow impacts a particular stock.
Market Capitalisation is the total dollar market value of all of a company's outstanding shares.
Let's say it is roughly equal Total shares * Price.
And then we have the Volume amount.
My idea is that we can interpret the % of shares being traded within a particular point of time by calculating:
p % = (Marketcap * volume) /price
This p% represents how much proportion of the total supply is being traded. The higher it is, the stronger the current trend and vice versa.
The current Blue line that you are seeing is the %p of shares being traded. On some huge stocks like Banks, Apple or CBA it is just a few fractions for any given day. Some other less popular ones could observe ~1-3% of total supply being traded per day.
I even applied RSI to the %p. On the 5M time frame with Session Breaks displayed, I can see that on a daily basis the market moves in CYCLES.
The majority of money/volume that actually moves the market usually climaxed at the beginning/end of the market session and cooling down in midday.
(As people usually say stocks will come up again in the afternoon).
I am also looking to integrate this one with the Volume Profile on higher timeframes.
You can apply this observation to hop on the bandwagon or to day trade.
It is up to you.
Galliford Try Holdings #GFRD - Currently Under valued #Stock!I expect the descending triangle resistance line will break on the next test, which will give Galliford Try a slight boost - most likely to around 177.62 initially
Galliford Try has recently landed several large contracts which will help on its recovery and help break future resistance lines. For now this stock looks very undervalued and has great growth potential!
UBER outlookPrice reached and rejected 61.8%. Now at a decisive moment. If price gets back up and breaks the resistance zone, we should see the next wave up.
Alternatively if the price breaks the 61.8% level, then potential to short to next support zone.
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(HALTED) $WINSI don't know whats happening???? hahaha I thought I made a GREAT trade....
Market got halted so now im stuck holding some shares that nearly doubled and I'm curious to know when I can get this money and sell the shares... lol
DISNEY trading outlookDisney+ just announced that they will open streaming service in 8 more countries on September 15th. The chart shows the price between 50 and 200 SMA's.
A buy zone formed for better risk -reward. Final confirmation is the break of the 200SMA and back above 61.8%.
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UBER trade planPrice broke the channel and retested it. Now price at converging 50 and 200 SMA. Small support at 61.8 at 31.24.
Waiting for the break lower to sell more. Potential target at 28 and further fib levels.
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Apple outlookTech stocks approaching their all time highs again. Waiting for the break to the upside to buy.
Sentiment is positive even as we see a double top pattern with divergence, but it is far less likely to work with current market mood.
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TPC stock going up after finally reporting good results Tutor Perini Corp NYSE:TPC stock price plummeted hard in the last year. It went from $17ish levels in Nov19 all the way to its bottom at $2.50 during the market panic this Mar20. Since then the stock is going up (yesterday close at $7.77). Governments across the globe are planning massive infrastructure investments to support their economies. As construction and engineering provider and a government contractor , TPC is in a good position to perform in the upcoming crisis much better than the market ( TVC:SPX , NASDAQ:NDAQ CURRENCYCOM:US100 CURRENCYCOM:US30 CURRENCYCOM:EU50 XETR:DAX ).
The TPC stock has experienced a drawdown throughout 2019. The company was consistently reporting bad results and consecutive Earning Reports ended with a negative surprise.
The hypothesis that government contractors have a good chance to overcome this crisis well is supported by TPC's last Earnings Report. The current uptrend is supported by significantly good results, with a surprise of +0.28 (467%) . This is in line with analyst targets on TipRanks, where TPC is targeted in the range of $16-$18 . Targets at $17ish levels might seem out of bounds given the recent TPC's stock development, however, it is exactly the levels where the stock was several times during 2019, while consistently reporting bad results.
In the upcoming months, we expect the TPC price to be heading towards $11 levels, until the next earnings report. It is definitely a good stock for the upcoming quarter. Whether it grows even more, or even all the way back to $17 will highly depend on upcoming Earning Reports.