China A50, riding the PBOC stimulus IF the monetary stimulus keep pushing Chinese stocks, we could be building a new impulse to retest the 16,500 area. If broken, it could speed up to 20,500 points.
What I find positive: lots of shorts still pressing the price to the downside, that could be gone if the price squeezed to the upside.
What I find negative: movement has been too fast, no rise-consolidation-rise patterns.
For confirmation, breakout above 14,500 (upper Mogalef band)
A50china
China A50 prints important swing lowThe China 50 row traced over 7% from a high to the June low. But a triple bottom formed at the 12,000 level, just above the 200 day average. A Bullish divergence also formed on the two-period RSI whilst the triple bottom formed.
On Tuesday we saw clear range expansion to the upside and a daily close above the 200 day exponential moving average. This suggests an important swing low has formed around 12,000.
On the hourly chart, a bullish divergent formed on the 14-period RSI. Resistance was met at the monthly pivot point and RSI became overbought on the daily and hourly chart, and prices now retracing lower. But with a significant low likely forming around 12,000, the prices to buy dips towards 12,100 and target 12,500 near the monthly R1 pivot point.
China A50 holds 12400 with conviction. Bullish breakout pending?The China A50 trades within a bearish channel on the daily chart, although we strongly suspect it wants to break out of it to the upside.
If you look at the steady stream of weak data coming out of China over the past few months, why is the China A50 not breaking to new lows? In fact, each time the market has pulled back to the 12,400 area since early June buyers have stepped in. And they returned in force yesterday to produce a strong bullish engulfing candle at support.
Bulls could either wait for a break of the 12,857 high to confirm breakout. But if confident that some sort of ‘plunge protection team’ is defending the 12,400 level, any pullback towards it may prove to be a gift for bulls who are anticipating a countertrend breakout.
china A50 (bottom here)hello dear trader
this price action of (chinaA50)
FTSE China A50 Index is a stock market index by FTSE Group, the components were chosen from Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange, which issue A-share; B-share were not included. Other similar product were CSI 300 Index by China Securities Index Company and "Dow Jones China 88 Index" by S&P Dow Jones Indices
price can reverse in this area because : PRZ fibou 0.618 + priceaction level
good luck
A50 ready to test 15k To celebrate the new year, here some TA on the China A50 index:
The breakout of the descending triangle led to a powerful rally that is still in full place and will most likely bring us to 15k. The golden cross (50 SMA crossing 200 SMA from below) could be the fuel to propel us there. 15k represents a major resistance, if broken on the first attempt (unlikely), it will bring us to Valhalla.
Most likely we will get a retracement and form a nice shoulder for an inverse head&shoulders formation (bullish pattern). From there we will start to raise and visit the moon once the neck (likely 15k) is broken.
China A50 index to fall below the 500-week moving average?China A50 index ( CN50 ), a measure of the Chinese onshore market that keeps track of 50 of the biggest Chinese A-share companies listed on the Shenzhen and Shanghai stock exchanges, broke a major upward trend that had been in place since 2016.
The technical picture sees the A50 index currently dominated by a descending channel pattern, having fallen 42% from its peak in February 2021, with prices now approaching a remarkable 500-week moving average.
Given the slowdown in the Chinese economy caused by the government's Zero covid policy, the downward trend in Chinese stocks has been ongoing for a while. However, the most recent sell-off has been triggered by a crumbling confidence among foreign investors as a result of Xi Jinping's reelection as president for a third term and a leadership reshuffle within the Politburo Standing Committee during the 20th National Congress.
The A50 index may not have reached its bottom yet, if the Zero-Covid policy and growing doubts about the new policymakers' plans for the country's economic future continue to dampen Chinese growth prospects. Even though the weekly RSI is beginning to exhibit extremely oversold conditions, which is extremely unusual for this market and hasn't happened since August 2011, bears still have total control over the index. But, given the wild price swings of the past few days, some technical and short-term price bounces could still happen.
The psychological 11,000 point level, which is down 7% from here, and the 10,200 point level, which was the low of January 2019 (down 14% from here), provide the next significant supports. The A50 will have dropped 50% from its peak if it reaches levels from January 2019, which might encourage some dip buying there.