APPLE ($AAPL) – Q1 FY25 EARNINGS & WHAT’S NEXT APPLE ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) – Q1 FY25 EARNINGS & WHAT’S NEXT
(1/8)
Revenue: $124.3B (+4% YoY) – A new all-time record! Services soared +14% to $26.3B, offsetting a slight dip in iPhone sales. Let’s see how Apple’s holding up. 🍎📈
(2/8) – EARNINGS BEAT
• EPS: $2.40 (beat by $0.06)
• Gross margin: 46.9%, topping estimates 🔥
• Despite China sales dropping 11% to $18.51B, Apple still racked up big gains elsewhere 🌏
(3/8) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• Market cap $3.5T+, P/E ~30
• Some call it pricey vs. tech peers, but brand strength + services + potential AI expansions = possible undervaluation 🤔
• Compares favorably to Microsoft, Samsung, etc., given stable product + services synergy 🌐
(4/8) – RISKS TO WATCH
• Geopolitical: China manufacturing & sales reliance → Trade tensions? Tariffs? 🏭
• Innovation Pace: Competitors could leapfrog Apple in AI or other emerging tech 💡
• Regulatory: Antitrust cases (App Store) could pinch profitability ⚖️
• Economy: Premium pricing in downturn—brand loyalty helps, but can’t ignore recession effects 💸
(5/8) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Legendary brand loyalty & huge install base
Growing services revenue (+14%!)
Massive cash reserves for R&D & buybacks
Weaknesses:
Heavy dependence on iPhone sales
China manufacturing concentration
Opportunities:
AI, AR/VR expansions (Vision Pro, maybe more)
Emerging markets → untapped smartphone penetration 🌍
Services sector continuing to expand ⚡
Threats:
Fierce competition (especially in China) 🦖
Trade tensions & supply chain hiccups 🌐
Shifts in consumer tech tastes or new disruptors
(6/8) – CHINA SALES DENT
• China down 11%—that’s a chunk given its importance
• Local giants (Xiaomi, Huawei) are snapping at Apple’s heels 🦾
• Will Vision Pro + AI upgrades woo Chinese consumers back? 🤔
(7/8) – Is Apple undervalued at a $3.5T market cap & P/E of 30?
1️⃣ Bullish—Brand power + AI = unstoppable 🍀
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, but watch those China risks 🔍
3️⃣ Bearish—Too expensive, competition’s rising 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
AAPL
$3 to $8.77 vertical +182% after I told you about it at +40%!$3 to $8.77 vertical with 2 Buy Alerts right before the speed up 🚀💵 NASDAQ:AIFF
Hottest stock of the day, it was on my premarket watchlist while still only at +40% premarket 🔎 You have been warned on time
Who cares about -5% NASDAQ:TSLA and +3% NASDAQ:AAPL when so much more can be made here with catching just a piece of the move
Your Most Requested Stocks Are Here - 15 Stocks, 15 Analyses!Hello readers,
Just a few days ago, I ran a "poll" - huge thanks to everyone who participated in the comments! The response was amazing: 130 mentions, 80 different stocks, and 15 tickers that stood out with multiple mentions. Stay tuned as I break down the most requested ones!
I initially planned to let this run longer, but interest has cooled off a bit, so I’ve decided to wrap it up and start summarizing the results so you can analyze them through the weekend.
Now, let’s get to it:
✅ A technical breakdown of 15 stocks.
✅ Key price levels and volatility zones to watch.
✅ Possible scenarios and setups based on the charts.
Some charts tell a clear story, while others… well, let’s just say not all price action is tradable and I’ll explain why.
Which stocks made the list? Scroll down and let’s dive in!
15. Microsoft (MSFT)
Looking at Microsoft's price movements, I wouldn’t rush into a position just yet. The stock has been stuck in this price zone for more than a year. While buying at the current levels could work out, there is also a risk that it remains in this range for another year.
Instead, I see two scenarios that offer a better approach:
1. This scenario relies on waiting for a pullback. A better price = better future returns. If the price drops to $290–$355/360, I would be ready to buy. Lower price levels often offer new liquidity, providing stronger momentum in the years ahead.
2. Wait for confirmation instead of guessing. Let the market show that investors are willing to push MSFT to higher levels before entering. Over the past year, the price action has established a resistance zone at $450–$460. A monthly close above this level would provide confirmation. However, patience is still key because the round number $500 could act as an obstacle. After a breakout, you have another two options:
Buy immediately after the breakout is confirmed - monthly close needed - or wait for a rejection from $500 before entering. This could provide an opportunity to buy at a similar price but with more confirmation and a stronger support level. This approach increases the chances that investment starts working more efficiently and from a better technical position.
14. Robinhood Markets (HOOD)
There isn’t much to say, the stock is flying. However, to add an educational perspective, these small pauses in the movement can create liquidity zones after a pullback.
If the stock pulls back and you find yourself wondering “Where is the right spot to enter?”, these pause areas provide potential opportunities. While this isn’t necessarily a setup, using these pullbacks effectively can help scale up your position in the stock or initiate a new one.
Many traders hesitate, thinking, "It's too expensive, it's too expensive," suddenly the price pulls back to a pause area. When that happens, you already know what to do - set your alerts.
13. Salesforce (CRM)
Confirmed Breakout:
We have three clean previous yearly highs - we mark them.
As investors, not traders, we focus on the strongest zone - we connect them.
Within this zone, there is a minor round number at $300, and for me, the strongest retest area is currently at $270–$300.
This level could serve as a key support zone for potential future entries.
12. Intel Corporation (INTC)
This is quite a difficult chart with poor price action, making it challenging to navigate. Personally, I wouldn’t take any action until one of these two scenarios becomes valid.
Deeper pullback for liquidity – The drop has been strong and intense and we could see lower prices as in 1996. A move below the current support level could attract new liquidity and hopefully, make the stock more attractive to investors.
Break above the strongest resistance – This scenario is highly time-consuming. Right now, the stock is trading below a major resistance area, and recovering won’t be easy, especially after such a sharp drop from a 2023 positive price trend. A break above $28 would make it more attractive for me.
For those already holding INTC, selling could be a strategic move. You could potentially buy back at lower prices, reducing the risk of having your investment stuck for several years. Given the current price action, breaking back above resistance will be a difficult battle - there are much better opportunities.
11. Novo Nordisk (NOVO_B)
I mentioned this stock on TradingView a few months ago, as well as at a financial conference in Estonia. The price has moved a bit but here is the initial technical thesis:
The key area remains 500–600 DKK, with the following criteria:
- A small pause in price movement, similar to what I discussed in the HOOD analysis.
- 50% retracement from the all-time high—for large-gap stocks, this level can offer strong volatility, if the fundamentals, in general, remain stable.
- The round number at 500 DKK, which could act as a psychological support level.
10. Coinbase (COIN)
A year and a half ago, I posted an analysis on TradingView about COIN, currently up almost 300% , highlighting an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. That pattern is also present today but on a much larger scale. Hopefully, history repeats itself and the outcome will be the same ;)
Currently, we have a massive Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. This pattern becomes valid only after a breakout from the neckline. Which has already happened! The price has also tested the neckline, but the movement has remained limited due to the strong resistance zone at $260–$290. Despite this, there has been a minor breakout above this level and from a technical standpoint, the price is currently trading within a potential buying zone for those interested.
Key criteria:
- A bullish Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is in place.
- The neckline breakout has already occurred.
- A minor breakout above the strong $260–$290 zone suggests further potential.
9. Meta Platforms (META)
"Pause areas" – If someone randomly picks stocks each month, for example, Apple this month, Amazon or Meta next month, then these price levels can be extremely useful for deciding what to buy.
For META, the key picking areas are marked on the chart as reference points for potential pickers:
8. NIO (NIO)
Mentioned three times, and I feel sorry for those expecting a useful analysis on NIO - I don’t have one. Technically, there is nothing to work with here.
The price action is basically dead, moving randomly without any clear structure. Yes, I could draw lines and mark support levels but that would be misleading for both - you and me.
Volume has dropped significantly compared to previous movements. When volume declines this much, previous price levels become irrelevant. As I mentioned at the beginning, if there’s something to analyze, I’ll share it. Right now, there isn’t.
-------------
Closing Section (For TradingView Post), that wraps up the first eight stocks from the picks! I hope you found this analysis valuable but that's not all!
The remaining 7 stocks are now live on my Substack-ENG, including:
🔹 Tesla (TSLA) – Will history repeat itself?
🔹 Amazon (AMZN) – Smart entry levels instead of buying at all-time highs.
🔹 Palantir (PLTR) – The high-risk, high-reward case.
…and four more stocks that were highly requested!
Substack-ENG link is in my BIO (clicking the website icon), or you can find it by scrolling up - just below the main image.
See you there,
Vaido
Disclaimer:
This post is not investment advice, and the ideas presented are not recommendations to buy or sell any securities. It is intended for educational and analytical purposes, reflecting my personal view of the current market situation. Every investor should conduct their own independent analysis and consider the risks before making any decisions.
Golden Pocket March Rally? Downside Gap Fill by 2/28? $SPYA break of the current High would invite a straight shot to the 1.61 Golden Pocket Above. Anything Below leaves room for Election Rally Gap Fill. Keep an eye on the fib. Don't try to be a HERO inside of the box. Wedge forming. March may lead to a large decline. Be wary.
750 dolla spy.gm,
wanted to share my outlook on the stock market today.
---
fear is accelerating. uncertainty is going parabolic in a way we haven’t seen since the covid crash. people are running. insiders are exiting. the herd is collectively turning bearish.
but i’m bullish.
---
here’s exactly why:
-quantitative easing is coming back.
-rate cuts are on the horizon.
-the us dollar is depreciating.
-economic expansion is inevitable.
-the artificial intelligence boom is just getting started.
---
while most people fumble their bag up here, drowning in fear, we look for significantly higher prices into 2026.
---
ps. i left out upside targets and timeframes because none of that matters at the moment. only the structure does. if you like the structure, use it. don't give me any credit. i don’t need it.
if you make a dolla this next year, donate a tenth of it to someone who needs it more than you. the universe will handle the rest.
🌙
Apple (AAPL) Recovers 50% from Recent DeepApple (AAPL) Recovers 50% from Recent Decline – Technical Outlook & Forecast
Apple Inc. (AAPL) has made a strong recovery after experiencing a sharp decline earlier this month. The downturn, which affected several major U.S. tech stocks, was largely triggered by the release of China’s AI model, DeepSeek, on the 21st. However, the broader market has since rebounded, regaining much of the lost ground.
Technical Analysis
AAPL is currently trading at a key technical level, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of its recent decline. This indicates a partial recovery from the previous drop, positioning the stock at a potential decision point for traders.
Support Level: $231
Resistance Level: $260
Current Price Area: Near 50% Fibonacci retracement
Trade Plan
Given the recent recovery, I anticipate a potential pullback before further upward movement. My strategy is as follows:
Entry: Waiting for a pullback to $237
Stop Loss (SL): $231 to limit downside risk
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $260, aligning with resistance levels
Conclusion
AAPL's recovery from its recent dip suggests strong buying interest. However, market volatility remains a factor, so careful risk management is essential. Trade with caution and follow your risk strategy.
AAPL Shares Drop Amid Trump’s Tariffs Despite Strong EarningsAAPL Shares Drop Amid Trump’s Tariffs Despite Strong Earnings
Last week, Apple (AAPL) reported quarterly earnings that exceeded analyst expectations:
→ Earnings per share: $2.40 (expected: $2.35)
→ Revenue: $124.3 billion (expected: $124.2 billion)
Zacks analysts called the results “favourable,” yet Apple’s stock movement tells a different story:
→ On 31 January, shares opened with a bullish gap around $247, briefly improving AAPL’s weak start to the year.
→ By 3 February, the stock closed near $227, marking a 7.4% decline over just two sessions.
The downward pressure on AAPL may be due to:
→ Shifting sentiment around U.S. tech leadership in AI, following the success of Chinese startup DeepSeek’s free chatbot.
→ Trump’s tariffs, particularly the new 10% levy on Chinese imports, which could impact Apple’s future performance.
According to BofA Securities analysts:
→ The impact on profits should be “limited,” as around 80% of Apple devices can be manufactured outside China.
→ AAPL remains attractive, with a “buy” rating and a $265 price target, supported by stable cash flow, strong earnings, and AI-driven opportunities.
Technical analysis of Apple (AAPL) stock shows that the price has been forming a long-term upward channel (marked in blue) since summer 2024, with the following key observations:
→ Bearish perspective: The price has sharply dropped from the upper half of the blue channel (as shown by the arrow), testing a potential bearish breakout of the previous uptrend (marked in black) from late 2024.
→ Bullish perspective: The lower boundary of the channel, around $222, may serve as a key support level, potentially preventing further declines.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Head & Shoulders reversal pattern: AAPL chartBeautiful symmetric reversal Head & Shoulders pattern is in the making.
We have three peaks with the highest in between called Head.
Left and right peaks are "shoulders".
The line between valleys of the Head is called Neckline.
This pattern reverses the price course at the climax.
Trading technique:
Sell entry is triggered on the breakdown of the Neckline
Stop loss is at the invalidation point - breakup of the Right Shoulder (red dashed line)
Take profit is set at the height of the Head subtracted below Neckline (blue dashed line)
US100 Trade LogUS100 setup: Long position with "1:4 RRR" and "0.5% risk" based on accumulation and gap fill breakout.
- Entry within the "1H FVG" , targeting a push towards the "daily Kijun" .
- Structure confirms a potential continuation move, though risk remains controlled.
- Powell’s recent remarks and market liquidity shifts may fuel volatility.
- Stops placed below the accumulation zone; aiming for an extended move if momentum holds.
-10% CRASH Bears coming, Bulls, BTD for a Blow off Top $SPYDecline Ahead, we have the exact same chart on the monthly. I guess that means we could have just one month at least of red. This is a weekly chart with the same pattern as the monthly on SPX. I will post it shortly. We have a 9 Count Sell Signal with a 13 Count Follow up. The 14th Candle takes a 10% dip. On several occasions in this candle combo. I will attach a link to another example.
-10 Decline in the next month, Buy the dip for a Blow off top Refer to a Previous Post. Blow OFF TOP COMING. BUT NOT BEFORE A COUPLE OF SCARES. Short the RIP. BUY THE DIP. Patience. 4-6 weeks of 10% moves back and forth... Accumulate the wins for the Longs... Hold for a year... Short everything Mid 26' if it gets that far MCFLY
Trade high probabilities using game theoryAccording to statistics, 95% of traders are losing longterm. Not because they lack skill, but because they involve in high variance (or poor probability) situations.
What is game theory? we can define GT with three principles.
*People dont want to lose. (hence.. predictable).
*People buy good things at good price, or they are profit maximizing.
*Everyone is strategic.
** we assume that "nobody can predict future".
** markets respond to feedbacks or signals.
Practice: the higher something goes, potential narrows and risk increases. Deeper something falls, "potential" becomes attractive. Once market decides that it will fall -- people assume crash as possibility. People who can buy at a strong trend line - has benefit of having more information.
(1) Downtrending VIX highs and accumulating lows. a strong signal about SPX peak, with everyone expecting a market correction before US election. ---> GT in practice.
(2) pre-election. Markets be wobbly, pointing to 50-50 probability or risk. Maybe there was fear of NVDA/AAPL high valuations, or the fear due to Trump tariff policy (markets are 6m forward looking) as bond yields were rallying.
If we assume statistically, markets boom after elections. We can predict GT in action (or call it market forces). imo that still is a profitable risk.
People hate uncertainty and they love guarantees. So the "wobble" was reasonable.
(3) VIX higher low.. predictably (GT) sell off follows. Almost as by the book.
other way to put it? people maximize potential while minimize loses/risk. There are periods of volatile markets and periods for one directional rallies.
P.S. Blue arrows are longterm macd turning points.
AAPL 1.22.2025 IdeaMy assessment is a fair price on the stock of $230 per share. AAPL now sitting at $222.5, I believe there is a high probability for a 5% up move within a few months.
Entry would be favorable if AAPL =< $220. I would enter direct shares here.
AAPL is of those companies that will be affected by tariffs. However, AAPL has benefitted from expanding its services economy. In other words, AAPL is not reliant on iPhone sales to drive their FCF. This opportunity is one for those looking for a discount on a MAG 7. Just be patient! But be flexible and anticipate further disruptions.
Apple Surges 3% in Premarket Amid AI Optimism & Strong ForecastApple Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AAPL ) has seen a notable 3.46% surge in premarket trading, defying concerns over declining China sales. The upward momentum follows an optimistic sales forecast, hinting at a resurgence in iPhone demand fueled by Apple's strategic adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) features.
Earnings Outlook
Apple’s latest earnings report revealed a nuanced performance, with robust overall revenue counterbalanced by a slight dip in iPhone sales. Despite a shortfall in China, where revenue declined 11% to $18.5 billion—falling short of the projected $21.57 billion—Apple’s services unit exhibited strong growth, climbing 14% year-over-year to $26.34 billion. This exceeded Wall Street expectations of $26.09 billion, reinforcing Apple’s ability to diversify revenue streams beyond hardware sales.
CEO Tim Cook emphasized that Apple Intelligence, the company’s AI-powered suite of features, is playing a crucial role in boosting iPhone sales where available. However, Apple’s cautious approach to AI investments, unlike its peers such as Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta (META), has insulated its stock from recent market turbulence. The restrained AI strategy aligns with Apple's focus on integrating AI within its hardware ecosystem, enhancing device functionality without excessive capital expenditure on data centers.
The company posted earnings of $2.42 per share on revenue of $124.3 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $2.36 EPS on $124.12 billion revenue. While iPhone sales, accounting for nearly half of Apple's revenue, declined to $69.14 billion from $69.70 billion year-over-year, the broader growth trajectory suggests a potential iPhone rebound in FY26.
Technical Outlook
From a technical standpoint, NASDAQ:AAPL is demonstrating strong bullish patterns. The stock is currently up 3.41%, benefiting from the renewed confidence in its growth trajectory. Prior to this recent rally, Apple shares had experienced a 15% decline since late December 2024. However, the current price action suggests a recovery, with NASDAQ:AAPL reclaiming 10% of its lost value, forming a falling wedge pattern—a historically bullish signal.
The premarket surge sets up the possibility of a gap-up pattern at market open, a strong bullish indicator that could further accelerate buying pressure. In the event of a pullback, immediate support lies at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, a key level that often dictates price reversals in technical analysis.
The China Factor and AI’s Role in Future Growth
While Apple’s sales slump in China remains a wildcard, analysts expect a recovery once Apple Intelligence is introduced in the region. The lack of AI features has been cited as a major reason for weaker-than-expected sales in the Chinese market. TD Cowen analysts predict that demand could rebound once Apple secures a local partner to facilitate AI integration, boosting sales in a highly competitive market.
Moreover, Apple's performance relative to its tech peers remains strong. In 2024, Apple stock surged 30.07%, outperforming Microsoft’s 12.09% increase but trailing Meta’s impressive 65.42% rise. Apple’s 12-month forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 31.12, compared to Microsoft’s 29.2 and Meta’s 26, indicating sustained investor confidence in Apple’s long-term growth potential.
AAPL Positioned for Further Gains
Apple’s ability to weather market challenges, coupled with its strategic AI rollout, positions it favorably for continued growth. The bullish technical setup, strong fundamentals, and AI-driven sales optimism indicate that AAPL could maintain its upward trajectory. Investors should monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as further developments regarding Apple Intelligence’s expansion into new markets.
With analysts raising price targets and market sentiment improving, Apple’s stock could be on track for a sustained rally in 2024 and beyond.
APPLE What Next? BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on APPLE and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 222.79 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 233.53
Safe Stop Loss - 217.21
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
APPLE Strong buy on the 1D MA200 targeting $260.Apple Inc. (AAPL) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up and the recent correction since the December 26 All Time High (ATH) is its technical Bearish Leg. The price posted a strong rebound yesterday following a test of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the first such contact since May 08 2024.
With the 1D RSI touching the oversold barrier (30.000) and rebounding, this is technically a strong buy opportunity at least for the medium-term, as it's not a direct Higher Low of the Channel Up.
Since December already completed a +59% rise from the April 19 2024 Low, we might be having technically a medium-term rebound similar to the October 26 2023 one that re-tested the High's Resistance (at the time). As you can see both corrections have hit the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
As a result, we treat this as a solid buy opportunity to target $260.
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AAPL Apple Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AAPL before the recent rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AAPL Apple prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 225usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-31,
for a premium of approximately $8.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Apple (AAPL) Stock Price Analysis: Worst Start to the Year SinceApple (AAPL) Stock Price Analysis: Worst Start to the Year Since 2008
On 27 December, while analysing Apple (AAPL) stock, we noted: "Traders should consider the possibility of a pullback below the key psychological level of $250, with the price potentially retreating to the lower purple boundary."
A month later, Bloomberg reports:
→ By the close of trading on Friday, 24 January, the company's shares had fallen 11% since the start of 2025, marking the worst performance among the "Big Seven" companies.
→ This represents the worst start for AAPL shares since 2008, when the global financial crisis was in full swing.
→ Apple has also significantly underperformed the S&P 500, which has risen approximately 3.7% this year and hit a new record high earlier this week.
Can the bulls reverse this disappointing trend?
Technical Analysis of the AAPL chart shows:
→ The price remains within a broad ascending channel (which began in June when the company unveiled its Apple Intelligence tools), but it has now fallen into the lower half of the channel.
→ After briefly dipping below the November low at $219.50, the price recovered – a bullish sign of a Liquidity Grab, suggesting that Smart Money may be turning bullish.
Given this, it is reasonable to expect the downward trend to weaken, with market participants likely adopting a wait-and-see approach ahead of the company’s quarterly earnings report, scheduled for 30 January.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic, forecasting earnings of $2.35 per share and gross revenue of $124.2 billion (compared to $0.97 per share and $94.93 billion in the previous quarter).
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Huge Earnings and Economic Surprises Ahead!🚨 Weekly Preview: Big Earnings and Economic News 🚨
Get ready for an action-packed week as we dive into major corporate earnings reports and crucial economic updates! 📊💼
🔍 Earnings Highlights:
Tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Tesla are set to release their quarterly results.
Also, goliaths such as Visa, Mastercard, ASML and more!
📈 Economic Indicators to Watch:
Inflation rates 📉
GDP Growth 📊
Federal Reserve policy decisions 💵
Stay tuned for in-depth analysis and insights on how these events could shape market trends and investor sentiment. Don't miss out on the key information that could impact your financial decisions! 📅📢