NQ Weekly Lower High?If you remember from back in October 22' - The economic news media was on full panic mode. If you only listened to them, you would have been closing positions and preparing for more downside. Smart money did the opposite at that time. 1-5 Elliot Wave is something I had posted during the Oct 22' lows, expecting large demand at those levels.
Now we are almost a year into the future, and about 40% higher from the lows created last year. The economic news media is calling for ATH's, soft landings and it seems hard to believe. Another interest rate hike is right around the corner on Wednesday with 98% certainty, along with mega cap tech stocks earnings.
Do we form a lower high? Not sure, but it would really start to look good for people selling options moving into the bloody months of Sept and August. A move lower from these levels is starting to get more and more probable, and at some point, every bear is right. I am not a perma bear, I just believe that some mega cap stocks (NVDA) are completely disconnected from reality and a correction to some big names could leak into other tech stocks. Be prepared, and good luck.
Thanks,
AAPL
Apple -> Will It Hold Support?Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Apple 💪
Starting on the monthly timeframe you can see that after Apple broke out of the clear triangle formation in confluence with the bullish moving averages, Apple created a strong rally of 30% towards the upside, breaking major resistance.
The weekly timeframe looks a little bit overextended with barely and red candles during the last major push so we could certainly see a retest of the previous all time high at $180.
I am now just waiting to see how Apple reacts at the current level considering that we are once again retesting the bullish trendline - so far market structure is still bullish but if we see a break lower, the daily timeframe looks like a correction is inevitable.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
Apple -> Watch This Potential PatternHello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Apple 💪
Starting on the monthly timeframe you can see that after Apple broke out of the clear triangle formation in confluence with the bullish moving averages, Apple created a strong rally of 30% towards the upside, breaking major resistance.
The weekly timeframe on Apple is showing some overextension towards the upside and Apple hasn't retested the 0.236 fib level yet so we could indeed see a short term pullback now.
Apple could also created a solid double top on the daily timeframe and if Apple stock also breaks below the solid uptrend line we could certainly see a short term move lower to retest the previous all-time-high at the $180 level.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
APPLE Next stop 200 after a pull-backLast time we bought APPLE (AAPL) on the short-term was on June 05 (see chart below), after a technical pull-back, and easily hit our 190 target:
The stock has maintained the Channel Up since late March with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) in Support since January 25. Based on the 1D RSI, which has been within a Rectangle pattern while the stock is on the Channel Up, we are about to see a technical pull-back towards the Higher Lows (bottom) trend-line and then rebound for a Higher High. That is a short-term opportunity for buyers to target $200.
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Apple (AAPL) Short Term Still Looking to End Wave 5 HigherShort term view in Apple (ticker: AAPL) suggests the rally from 3.29.2023 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 3.29.2023 low, wave 1 ended at 167 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 159.70. The stock resumed higher in wave 3 towards 195.27 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Down from there, wave 4 unfolded as a double three structure. Down from wave 3, wave (a) ended at 190.99 and wave (b) ended at 192.98. Wave (c) lower ended at 189.20 which completed wave ((w)). Rally in wave ((x)) ended at 192.67 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Up from wave ((w)), wave (a) ended at 192.46, wave (b) ended at 190.24, and wave (c) higher ended at 192.67 which completed wave ((x)).
The stock resumed lower in wave ((y)). Down from wave ((x)), wave (a) ended at 187.04 and wave (b) ended at 189.96. Final leg wave (c) ended at 186.62 which completed wave ((y)) of 4 at the 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension area of wave ((w)). The stock has resumed higher in wave 5. Up from wave 4, wave ((i)) ended at 191.7 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 188.47. Wave ((iii)) still remains in progress and should complete with 1 more push higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 186.62 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing and stock to extend higher.
AAPL rose sharply and broke throughAAPL rose sharply and broke through
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Apple stock for the past 4 years. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section at the beginning of 2020. As shown in the figure, after rebounding to a small peak in January 2022, Apple's stock broke out of the enlarged triangle consolidation pattern. After stepping back on the 0.809 level of the golden section in January this year, it rose sharply and broke through the highest point in 2022, reaching around the 1.618 level of the golden section in the figure! The next strong pressure level is at the golden section of 2.000 in the figure!
Part 2 of All 7 Mega TECH stocks | QQQ Sp500 TREND GUIDE- I cant stress enough to follow the trend on these stocks, there will be a time to short when we see daily downtrend confirming
- FIRST STEP for bears is we need a hourly downtrend for anything to really happen
- As of now all mega tech are still healthy
Part 1 of All 7 Mega TECH stocks | QQQ Sp500 TREND GUIDE- I cant stress enough to follow the trend on these stocks, there will be a time to short when we see daily downtrend confirming
- FIRST STEP for bears is we need a hourly downtrend for anything to really happen
- As of now all mega tech are still healthy
AAPL Elliott Wave Analysis (13/07/2023)In the 1h, it looks like AAPL just finished a correction as a wave 4 and it might be ready for more upside. However, as long as we do not take out the wave 3 high, we can still do a double correction as a wave 4. After the correction (single or double), we expect more upside to finish a complete impulse structure in the 4h. From there, we can expect a bigger pullback.