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Ninja Talks EP 18: The FOMO ParadoxThe FOMO Paradox: Fearlessly Embrace the Joy of Missing Out In the vast realm of trading, where fortunes are made and lost, one peculiar phenomenon reigns supreme: FOMO, the Fear of Missing Out. It is a force that tempts even the most seasoned traders, whispering in their ears with alluring promises of quick gains and overnight success. But in this whimsical journey through the tradingverse, we shall embark on an intellectual escapade to unravel the paradoxical nature of FOMO, armed with humor, wisdom, and the power of restraint. 1. The FOMO Symphony: An Ode to Irrationality Imagine, dear reader, a symphony hall filled with traders, each playing their instruments of irrationality. The violins of impulsive buying, the trumpets of chasing trends, and the drums of unchecked greed. Amidst this cacophony, the conductor whispers, "Fear not the fear of missing out, for it is but a deceptive melody, luring you into a dance of folly." 2. The 'Emo' of FOMO: Trading with Feelings Ah, the emotional rollercoaster of FOMO, where rationality takes a backseat and the heart commands the trades. It's like being on a blind date with the market, where you're desperate for a connection, but all you end up with is a hefty loss and a broken heart. Remember, dear trader, emotions make for terrible trading partners. As Warren Buffett wisely said, "The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient." 3. FOMO and the Illusion of Predictability In the enchanted land of trading, FOMO whispers sweet tales of predictable trends, promising riches to those who dare not miss out. But as the legendary trader Jesse Livermore declared, "The market is designed to fool most of the people most of the time." So, when FOMO comes knocking at your door, be ready to greet it with skepticism and a firm understanding that market movements are as predictable as a cat chasing its own tail. 4. The Wisdom of the Watchful Owl Picture yourself as an owl perched high atop the trading tree, observing the market with unwavering focus. You know that succumbing to FOMO means flying blindly into the night, destined to collide with unforeseen risks. Instead, let patience be your wings, and knowledge be your guiding light. Remember the ancient proverb, "A wise trader is one who embraces the joy of missing out, for it is the gateway to disciplined decision-making." 5. The 'FauxMO' Rebellion: Making Fear Funny Let us unleash our inner court jesters and laugh in the face of FOMO! Embrace the power of satire and humor to disarm the seductive allure of quick profits. Create your own FauxMO index, where the most overhyped assets are mockingly celebrated. Treat it as a reminder that while FOMO may be real, it's better to join the circus of laughter than the parade of losses. As we bid adieu to the whimsical tradingverse, let us etch these words into our trading strategy: "Fearlessly embrace the joy of missing out, for it is in patience and restraint that true market mastery resides." Remember, dear trader, the market rewards those who approach it with intellect, discipline, and a hearty dose of humor. So, resist the siren call of FOMO and embark on your trading journey with confidence and a twinkle in your eye. Happy trading, and may the FOMO be with you... or rather, may it be far, far away!
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by NinjaTradingServices
1
Why Apple Stock Deserves a Prominent Place in Your PortfolioApple occupies a significant position in Berkshire Hathaway's investment portfolio, with an astounding value of $165 billion, making up 48% of the allocation as of March 31. Warren Buffett, the highly regarded investor known as the Oracle of Omaha, has expressed his belief that Apple stands apart from Berkshire Hathaway's other businesses. This positive sentiment aligns with Buffett's typical investment criteria, as Apple possesses many of the qualities he looks for in a company. Drawing inspiration from one of the greatest minds in the stock market, investors can greatly enhance their portfolios. Here are three compelling reasons why considering an investment in Apple stock is worthwhile, despite its 39% increase in value this year. While the iPhone continues to be a major contributor to Apple's revenue in the fiscal 2023 second quarter, accounting for 54% of it, the company has been actively expanding its services line in recent years. This segment has displayed impressive growth, with revenue reaching $13.3 billion in Q2 2020 and surging to $20.9 billion in the most recent fiscal quarter. Notably, the services segment is growing at a faster rate compared to Apple's products segment. This shift towards services brings significant financial benefits for Apple. Services enjoy an impressive gross margin of 71%, surpassing the 37% gross margin associated with products. As services contribute a larger share of the company's revenue, they are poised to positively impact Apple's overall profitability. Beyond the financial advantage, Apple's services segment plays a crucial role in fostering stronger customer loyalty. The renowned Apple ecosystem, which seamlessly integrates the company's hardware and software offerings, enhances the overall user experience. With over 2 billion active Apple devices worldwide, owners of these products have fewer reasons to switch to competing platforms. Apple's services, such as Music, Pay, and TV+, contribute to this loyalty by providing additional value and keeping users engaged within the Apple ecosystem. Warren Buffett has often emphasized the significance of pricing power as an indicator of an exceptional company. According to him, a truly outstanding business can consistently raise prices with minimal impact on demand, without the need for extensive deliberation. Apple, holding a significant position in Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, demonstrates an impressive ability to command pricing power, making it an attractive investment. Apple's flagship product, the iPhone, has seen price increases since its initial launch in 2007. Remarkably, consumers continue to willingly pay higher prices for the latest versions without hesitation. This exemplifies the strong demand and brand loyalty associated with Apple's products. Furthermore, even Apple's services have experienced price hikes, further reinforcing the company's pricing power. Through a combination of beautifully designed hardware products and its own user-friendly software ecosystem, Apple has established a differentiated offering, allowing it to maintain and strengthen its pricing power. The ability of Apple to consistently raise prices across its product and service lines without significant repercussions on consumer demand is a testament to the company's enduring appeal and exceptional business model. It is one of the key reasons why Berkshire Hathaway maintains a sizable stake in Apple. In a period characterized by heightened economic uncertainty, where concerns over inflation, rising interest rates, and the possibility of a recession loom large, it becomes prudent for investors to prioritize financially stable companies. Apple is a prime example of such a company. Over the years, Apple has demonstrated impressive financial strength and stability. The company's gross margin has expanded from 38.5% in fiscal 2017 to 43.3% in fiscal 2022, while its operating margin has risen from 26.8% to 30.3% over the same period. This growth in profitability is a remarkable trait, showcasing Apple's ability to become more profitable as it continues to grow. This success can be attributed not only to its pricing power but also to the benefits of economies of scale. Apple has optimized expenses and leveraged fixed costs more effectively, which is particularly noteworthy in the consumer hardware industry where financial challenges are common. Yet, Apple has emerged as a thriving outlier. Additionally, Apple generates substantial amounts of free cash flow, reaching an impressive $111 billion in fiscal 2022. The company is proactive in returning capital to shareholders, as evidenced by its stock repurchases amounting to $39 billion in the past six months. Moreover, Apple offers a dividend that currently yields 0.5%, further enhancing its appeal for income-oriented investors. Considering these compelling factors, the arguments in favor of owning Apple stock are exceptionally strong. The company's solid financial performance and stability suggest that it has the potential to be a reliable and enduring presence in investment portfolios for years to come. By following the lead of successful investors like Warren Buffett and recognizing the enduring appeal of Apple's products, services, pricing power, and financial stability, investors can make informed decisions that can enhance their portfolios in the long run.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by FOREXN1
16
Detail Price Level Trend Guide | NVDA TSLA AAPL AMZN GOOGL MSFT- NVDA short term 15m time frame bull break lacking follow through then weaker compare to QQQ into end of day on Friday - TSLA still relative stronger than QQQ gap filled 4h 12 EMA still full bull control guide - AAPL zero red flags trading around ATH, 2 day time frame 12 EMA full bull control guide - AMZN weaker of the big tech closed right at support into end of day potentially may break below it on Tuesday - GOOGL weakest of the big tech, may form a daily downtrend if we break prior pivot 121 level - MSFT similar to AAPL trading in ATH range, no red flags yet need to confirm hourly downtrend for bears, for bulls still in full control.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ArcadiaTrading
Correlation study: 10-year real interest rate vs. AAPL (1983 - )Apple share price (AAPL) plot above, inverted real rates (0-REAINTRATREARAT10Y) plot below + 1M 200ma, from 1983 to 2023. Results: -Strong inverse correlation with 10-year real interest rates and AAPL share price. -Real rates < 2 % positively correlate with stronger AAPL returns. -10-year real interest rates bounced from the 2 % level in September 2022 ... May 2023. "‘John Bull’, says someone, ‘can stand a great deal, but he cannot stand two percent. . ." - Walter Bagehot, 1852
FRED:REAINTRATREARAT10Y
by Smitty61
1
6 Big Tech Stocks Price Action Trend Guide |Support & Resistance- QQQ and SPY still very healthy pull back on the daily chart. although QQQ is definitely extended, but still want to see bears prove it to us first in the price action (changing of trends) - TSLA relative strength compare to QQQ filled its gap. - AMZN and GOOGL weaker, still cant get over its side ways range. - MSFT and AAPL trading in its ATH range no red flags at all on its charts yet - NVDA small red flag break of yesterdays double top with no bulls follow through and came back into the range, still need structural changes on the daily chart for it to really have any meaning - AMD daily downtrend confirmed today
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ArcadiaTrading
NVIDIA - A Scenario Few Are Considering. Few. Few. Few.NVIDIA's price action last week was a historic event in the markets, and at a very strange time. Whenever you see such an outlier, it's time to perk up and really give a deep think to what's going on in the world at large. For me, I had long since anticipated NVIDIA would print a new ATH, but I did not believe it would do it until the markets at large had started to moon, which I stated in a March call, which turned out to be pretty accurate. NVDIA - Expect Sideways Until Bear Puts Expire Worthless The fact that a megacap could take out the November of 2021 highs before the Fed started hiking is extremely indicative of what's going on, namely that the indexes and the market at large are sure to follow. I've heard some pretty good theories that NVIDIA being able to do what it's done has a lot to do with Chinese Communist Party entities running a "boomerang" through Cayman Islands-based proxies that are shuffling liquidity through big enterprises like the US banks located in Hong Kong. NVIDIA also reportedly relies on Taiwan-based TSMC to make its processors, and right now, Taiwan is the springboard for the western globalist interests to attempt to take control of Mainland China when the CCP collapses in the upcoming future. The Party has recently stated that the mainland is scheduled to get hit up by 60 million new cases ***per week*** of the nouveau variant of the Omicron version of the Wuhan-originating Coronavirus Disease, and yet the Communist Party is not reporting any hard figures on case counts and death through the global faucets, and has not since Xi dropped the Zero COVID social credit scheme in January. And on top of that is the soon-to-be 24 year long persecution of Falun Dafa by Jiang Zemin and its Shanghai faction combining with the CCP itself, a persecution that targeted 100 million people and committed the unprecedented sin of live organ harvesting. The sin of the persecution is so enormous that once brought into the public eye, no matter who you are in this world, you'll be brought down as retribution for evil. So there's a lot to watch out for in geopolitical tensions, and a lot at play. The biggest thing right now is that the markets are set to pump to provide people with a new distraction as they try, once again, to get rich, and quick, instead of paying attention to what is important in life. Everyone is now convinced that NVIDIA is unshortable, and some are even looking for a mild pullback to go long on the "parabolic trend line." Frankly speaking, there's a lot of risk in buying ATHs when you're dealing with something governed by a clever MM, and if the Q2 ER scam doesn't convince you that NVIDIA's MM is clever, "Sorry, I don't have time to explain it to you." In making this call, I would like to say that NVIDIA going parabolic is pretty likely. I'd also like to say that some formation like this, which we saw on Sun Microsystems in the Dotcom bubble, is also pretty likely: If the Sun fractal is valid, then this call is invalid. How it would play out is kind of like what Boeing did in 2018-19: Or what BTC CME Futures has already done Meaning that shorting will remain extremely risky, but going long won't necessarily have any opportunities to meaningfully pay. However, if the MMS are intending to conduct a turtle soup into a three drives/three Indians pattern, you do actually have the opportunity to Shortgod the top, get long at the bottom, and collect an even bigger trade. What this would involve is that starting in June NVDIA begins to retrace, and if it were to be so, it would likely retrace with a consistency that is as good as selling volatility has been in the last 9 months. It would refill the May gap completely, and rebalance the unbalanced March gap, which coincides with the recent market structure's range equilibrium at $250 and the week of April 24's pivot. Many have said that the debt ceiling crisis being resolved by the Federal government often results in a stock market crash since the market has to absorb all the new TBonds that the Treasury has to issue to keep the government afloat. If you couple that with how the market didn't go down at all during the debt ceiling crisis itself, a bear impulse appears more and more likely. If it were to do this, NVIDIA would also never print a $1 trillion market capitalization despite being so close. NVDIA likely would quickly bounce at this point and then the target would be one standard deviation above the May high, coming in at $540, which would also take the psychological $500 level. Doing this will encourage and trap bears all the way down, and then slaughter bulls over $500. Doing this will slaughter the bulls that have already bought the top, and at present, the bears have literally all been killed. Projected time frame for this to happen would be something like a September bottom and the top would come in the middle of '24 with the next U.S. Presidential Election on the horizon. Of course, that assumes that the world remains in good enough shape to be stable in any way a year from now. I do not have conviction that this will be the case it will play out, but I wanted to post this theory because the timing, logic, and price action all support it strongly, and it's the one scenario that nobody is considering, which also happens to generate a lot of alpha if you can get on top of it.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by LordWrymouth
6
NVDA TSLA AMZN GOOG MSFT AAPL QQQ Sp500 Detail Price Level Guide- NVDA ATH in price discovery mode - TSLA relative weaker than QQQ today potentially need some consolidation for the bulls after a fast move. - GOOGL weakest of all Tech still in range for potentially daily bearflag - MSFT AAPL testing 52 week high resistance - QQQ zero signs of bear still, need AT LEAST an hourly downtrend for anything to happen - SPY weaker than QQQ today but zero red flags still at the moment same thing n
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ArcadiaTrading
I'm not that techno-optimistic. I tend to share the view that the tech sector at SPX is pulling the whole S&P company's along with it in many ways. Consideration of the whole SPX for a while loses its meaning, separation is necessary. Let's group a few big horses together and see what's out there. Okay: NASDAQ:AAPL*NASDAQ:NVDA*NASDAQ:GOOGL*NASDAQ:MSFT*NASDAQ:META could be more, but I think that would be quite telling. Oh my God, Carl... 99.2% The last time this overbought was in 2019. And you think these guys will go even higher without a correction?
NASDAQ:AAPL
by averkie_skila
1
TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN GOOGL MSFT|Sp500 QQQ Price Level Trend Guide- CPI Data 830am EST tomorrow - FOMC & PPI Wednesday - TSLA side ways tightening range will break tomorrow, 4h 12 EMA full bull control guide - NVDA bull break from falling wedge - AAPL likely testing all time high again soon - AMZN retracing almost all of its drop likely testing its recent high - GOOGL weakest of the big tech still potential forming a daily downtrend - MSFT in the middle still has potential to form that daily downtrend but QQQ needs to start its weekly consolidation - SPY testing 0.65 golden pocket resistance - QQQ gap filled looking for weekly consolidation soon
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by ArcadiaTrading
2
Apple -> Make It Or Break ItHello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe you can see that Apple stock is still retesting the previous all-time-high which is roughly at the $185 area and which is still acting as resistance. You can also see that weekly market structure is still bullish, however Apple stock is a little bit overextended towards the upside after the recent 50% which was created over the past couple of weeks, so I do expect some short term rejection but then the longer term continuation towards the upside. On the daily timeframe you can see that Apple stock is again approaching the previous reversal area at the $185 level from which we already had a harsh rejection towards the downside, but Apple stock might also be able to create a new all-time-high, so I am now just waiting for a clear direction and then I will upload another analysis for you. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by basictradingtv
41
Apple Vision Pro Product Will Add Value To AAPL Stock I wanted to share some exciting news about Apple’s latest Apple Vision Pro product. This new device boasts some seriously impressive specs, including a high-resolution display and a powerful processor. But what sets it apart is its unique way of interacting with virtual reality. Instead of relying on clunky controllers, the Apple Vision Pro uses advanced eye-tracking technology to allow for a more natural and intuitive experience. This could be a game-changer for the VR industry, which has struggled to gain widespread adoption due to its high cost and complex setup. With the Apple Vision Pro, we could see a new wave of interest and excitement in VR, which could translate into big profits for investors. So, I encourage you to consider investing in Apple long-term. With their track record of innovation and success, I believe they have the potential to revolutionize the VR industry and bring it into the mainstream. Thank you for your time and consideration. Have a wonderful day! Please let me your thoughts via a comment.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by bryandowningqln
Get Ready to Experience the Power of Apple's iPhone 15!Are you ready to witness the next big thing in smartphones? Brace yourselves, as Apple's upcoming iPhone 15 will take the tech industry by storm! With its groundbreaking features and cutting-edge technology, the iPhone 15 puts the company in a massive position of strength. The rumors are already spreading like wildfire, and it's no surprise that Apple fans worldwide are eagerly waiting for the launch of this revolutionary device. From the sleek design to the advanced camera system, the iPhone 15 promises to be a smartphone game-changer. As an Apple enthusiast, I cannot wait to get my hands on this incredible device. And I strongly encourage you to consider investing in Apple, as the iPhone 15 will be a massive success. With Apple's reputation for delivering innovative and high-quality products, there's no doubt that the iPhone 15 will exceed all expectations. So, get ready to experience the power of Apple's iPhone 15 and join me in investing in this incredible company. Let's be a part of the revolution and witness the future of technology. Thank you for your time, and I look forward to your thoughts.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by bryandowningqln
5
$U One for the WatchlistUnity Software made big news (or was it) with the announcement that their software would be part of Apple Vision Pro. This may or may not be a big deal. Apple my not have hit the mark on VR with a headset that costs near $4000… not exactly for the mass market, IMO. That said NYSE:U has been steadily increasing revenue and finally made a .01 cent profit last quarter (Hey, it’s profit). I have drawn in a blue line that seems to be an area of resistance since Sept 2022. There is also a green line on the chart which is an 18-month AVWAP. Coincidentally, they seem to be merging right now. That to me is important because “if” price can get and stay over both areas most of the resistance will be gone and it might be free to rise in value. All TBD. The other good news is that it is above the 40-week MA (white and all other shorter-term MAs). And finally, this is a nice long base, the longer the base the higher the move, or so it is said. I have this on my watchlist with an alert set at 42.50 so that it brings my eyes back to this and I do not need to watch it every day. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Thanks for looking. Constructive comments always welcome.
NYSE:U
by jaxdog
Creating Your Trading Strategy: Simple Steps and Common PitfallsWhen it comes to using technical analysis for making trading decisions, a solid, simple, yet robust trading strategy is an essential foundation for traders to achieve consistent profits. However, constructing that strategy can be a challenge, especially for those new to trading, as there is an overwhelming amount of information out there. There are nearly countless books written on the subject of trading strategies. We want to simplify the process so that you can develop your own approach and get started. Step 1: Determine your market, timeframe, and trading methodology The overall first step in constructing a trading strategy is to determine: the market, trading methodology, and time frames you wish to take on. This will help you choose the appropriate indicators and approach to your trades. There are several markets to choose from, but it is highly recommended that you pick one when you first start trading. It is easy to look at all of the opportunities present in the market and potentially overplay your hand by trading too many, which can lead to devastating losses. As an example, if you wanted to scalp the forex market, it would be best to pick one or two currency pairs to trade rather than trying to monitor all major currency pairs for opportunities. Defining your trading methodology is another aspect of this step. Are you intending to hold stock or ETFs long-term? Do you want to swing trade or day trade cryptocurrencies? Maybe you believe you want to scalp the forex market. Doing your own research into these varying methodologies is a paramount step in formulating your strategy. Research all of them to better understand what they are and how they may fit your overall goals and risk tolerance. Your trading style can help determine what overall time frames you are looking at. A long-term holder will typically rely on higher time frames such as the daily or weekly timeframe. While a trader who predominantly scalps may rely more heavily on the 1-minute or 5-minute timeframes. Choosing the appropriate time frames and sticking with them for your trading decisions will help you achieve discipline and consistency. Step 2: Choose your indicators When choosing indicators for your trading strategy, it is important to know that there are several broad indicator categories to choose from. Included in these categories are: trend-following indicators, momentum indicators, volatility indicators, and volume indicators. Trend-following indicators help traders identify the direction of the trend, while momentum indicators measure the overall strength of a trend. Volatility indicators help traders identify the level of price volatility in the market, and volume indicators measure the amount of trading activity taking place. Traders commonly pick a combination of these to be included in their strategy to help give a clearer overall picture of the potential market direction. It is crucial to keep your strategy simple, so we recommend using 2-4 indicators at most. Choosing the right indicator combinations can be difficult, but is crucial to the success of your trading strategy. While it may be tempting to use multiple indicators in the hope of finding the perfect combination, having too many indicators can do more harm than good. When you have too many indicators, it becomes difficult to make clear decisions. You may end up with conflicting signals that can cause confusion and lead to losses or missed opportunities. It's important to choose only a few indicators that complement each other and provide valuable information about the market conditions. This will allow you to make more informed decisions and stick to your trading plan with greater confidence. Step 3: Define your entry and exit rules Once you have chosen your indicators, the next step is to define your entry and exit rules. This will help you determine when to open and close trades. For entries, you are taking the signals generated by the indicators you have chosen in step two and making a clear and definable set of rules for entering a trade. There can be other factors, such as market structure that play a role, but from an indicator standpoint, it is good to make these rules easy to follow. Your chosen technical indicators can also be used to exit trades. For example, traders may incorporate moving averages into their strategies, and moving averages can be used for both entries and exits. Other exit conditions include having hard set take profit or stop losses. We covered this topic in our stop loss article a few weeks back (and we highly recommend you check it out). No matter how you decide to make your entry and exit rules, please ensure you implement proper risk mitigation techniques to protect your account, and in turn, help you grow. Step 4: Backtest your strategy and practice, practice, practice Before putting your strategy into action it is essential to backtest it using historical data. This will help you determine if your strategy is profitable and identify any areas that need improvement. Note that while backtesting is an important part of determining if your strategy is successful, past results are not indicative of future success. Another aspect of this step is putting your strategy into practice. We never recommend diving straight into the deep end with your money before practicing. There are many free demo account options out there to get started. It is recommended that you find one that fits your needs based on the market you will be trading. The key part of this step is patience and carrying over that patience for when you are ready to go live with your strategy. Common pitfalls to avoid: When constructing a trading strategy, it is important to avoid common pitfalls that can lead to losses or missed trading opportunities. Some common pitfalls include: Overcomplicating your strategy: Using too many indicators or rules can make your strategy overly complex and difficult to follow. Failing to backtest and practice: Backtesting is essential to ensure your strategy is profitable and identify areas that need improvement. Ignoring risk management: Proper risk management is essential to minimize losses and maximize profits. Losing patience and jumping right in: It is easy for anyone to find a hot new indicator they believe is their edge in the market and to subsequently jump right into trading. Don’t fall into this trap as the outcome is seldom good! Take your time and become a student of the market you are trading, and a student of your strategy In conclusion, constructing a robust yet simple trading strategy using indicators requires careful consideration of your market and timeframe, choosing the appropriate indicators defining your entry and exit rules, and backtesting your strategy. There are other aspects of technical analysis that could be tied in between the steps listed above such as market structure and patterns. However, the goal of this article was to make the process as simple as possible to help traders get on the right path. By avoiding common pitfalls such as overcomplicating your strategy, failing to backtest, ignoring risk management, and chasing after losses, traders can increase their chances of success in the markets.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by LeafAlgo
5
TSLA NVDA GOOGL AMZN AAPL MSFT | QQQ SPY Price Levels Analysis- TSLA still relative strength compare to QQQ once we lose that strenth daily consolidation might be on its way. - NVDA likely testing 366 soon, will be interesting to see the price action when we come to the gap territory - GOOGL back to low of its chop zone support range- bull break lacking follow through - AAPL still in daily uptrend holding better than its peers - MSFT also weak losing its daily uptrend now neutral trend. - QQQ still have daily uptrend intact - SPY no red flags today held very well despite QQQ weakness money rotate into SPY sectors and IWM. - VIX barely moved much due to money rotating around need every sector to drop for VIX to spike fast
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ArcadiaTrading