AAPL
AAPL 1.22.2025 IdeaMy assessment is a fair price on the stock of $230 per share. AAPL now sitting at $222.5, I believe there is a high probability for a 5% up move within a few months.
Entry would be favorable if AAPL =< $220. I would enter direct shares here.
AAPL is of those companies that will be affected by tariffs. However, AAPL has benefitted from expanding its services economy. In other words, AAPL is not reliant on iPhone sales to drive their FCF. This opportunity is one for those looking for a discount on a MAG 7. Just be patient! But be flexible and anticipate further disruptions.
Apple Surges 3% in Premarket Amid AI Optimism & Strong ForecastApple Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AAPL ) has seen a notable 3.46% surge in premarket trading, defying concerns over declining China sales. The upward momentum follows an optimistic sales forecast, hinting at a resurgence in iPhone demand fueled by Apple's strategic adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) features.
Earnings Outlook
Apple’s latest earnings report revealed a nuanced performance, with robust overall revenue counterbalanced by a slight dip in iPhone sales. Despite a shortfall in China, where revenue declined 11% to $18.5 billion—falling short of the projected $21.57 billion—Apple’s services unit exhibited strong growth, climbing 14% year-over-year to $26.34 billion. This exceeded Wall Street expectations of $26.09 billion, reinforcing Apple’s ability to diversify revenue streams beyond hardware sales.
CEO Tim Cook emphasized that Apple Intelligence, the company’s AI-powered suite of features, is playing a crucial role in boosting iPhone sales where available. However, Apple’s cautious approach to AI investments, unlike its peers such as Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta (META), has insulated its stock from recent market turbulence. The restrained AI strategy aligns with Apple's focus on integrating AI within its hardware ecosystem, enhancing device functionality without excessive capital expenditure on data centers.
The company posted earnings of $2.42 per share on revenue of $124.3 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $2.36 EPS on $124.12 billion revenue. While iPhone sales, accounting for nearly half of Apple's revenue, declined to $69.14 billion from $69.70 billion year-over-year, the broader growth trajectory suggests a potential iPhone rebound in FY26.
Technical Outlook
From a technical standpoint, NASDAQ:AAPL is demonstrating strong bullish patterns. The stock is currently up 3.41%, benefiting from the renewed confidence in its growth trajectory. Prior to this recent rally, Apple shares had experienced a 15% decline since late December 2024. However, the current price action suggests a recovery, with NASDAQ:AAPL reclaiming 10% of its lost value, forming a falling wedge pattern—a historically bullish signal.
The premarket surge sets up the possibility of a gap-up pattern at market open, a strong bullish indicator that could further accelerate buying pressure. In the event of a pullback, immediate support lies at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, a key level that often dictates price reversals in technical analysis.
The China Factor and AI’s Role in Future Growth
While Apple’s sales slump in China remains a wildcard, analysts expect a recovery once Apple Intelligence is introduced in the region. The lack of AI features has been cited as a major reason for weaker-than-expected sales in the Chinese market. TD Cowen analysts predict that demand could rebound once Apple secures a local partner to facilitate AI integration, boosting sales in a highly competitive market.
Moreover, Apple's performance relative to its tech peers remains strong. In 2024, Apple stock surged 30.07%, outperforming Microsoft’s 12.09% increase but trailing Meta’s impressive 65.42% rise. Apple’s 12-month forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 31.12, compared to Microsoft’s 29.2 and Meta’s 26, indicating sustained investor confidence in Apple’s long-term growth potential.
AAPL Positioned for Further Gains
Apple’s ability to weather market challenges, coupled with its strategic AI rollout, positions it favorably for continued growth. The bullish technical setup, strong fundamentals, and AI-driven sales optimism indicate that AAPL could maintain its upward trajectory. Investors should monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as further developments regarding Apple Intelligence’s expansion into new markets.
With analysts raising price targets and market sentiment improving, Apple’s stock could be on track for a sustained rally in 2024 and beyond.
APPLE What Next? BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on APPLE and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 222.79 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 233.53
Safe Stop Loss - 217.21
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
APPLE Strong buy on the 1D MA200 targeting $260.Apple Inc. (AAPL) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up and the recent correction since the December 26 All Time High (ATH) is its technical Bearish Leg. The price posted a strong rebound yesterday following a test of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the first such contact since May 08 2024.
With the 1D RSI touching the oversold barrier (30.000) and rebounding, this is technically a strong buy opportunity at least for the medium-term, as it's not a direct Higher Low of the Channel Up.
Since December already completed a +59% rise from the April 19 2024 Low, we might be having technically a medium-term rebound similar to the October 26 2023 one that re-tested the High's Resistance (at the time). As you can see both corrections have hit the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
As a result, we treat this as a solid buy opportunity to target $260.
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AAPL Apple Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AAPL before the recent rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AAPL Apple prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 225usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-31,
for a premium of approximately $8.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Apple (AAPL) Stock Price Analysis: Worst Start to the Year SinceApple (AAPL) Stock Price Analysis: Worst Start to the Year Since 2008
On 27 December, while analysing Apple (AAPL) stock, we noted: "Traders should consider the possibility of a pullback below the key psychological level of $250, with the price potentially retreating to the lower purple boundary."
A month later, Bloomberg reports:
→ By the close of trading on Friday, 24 January, the company's shares had fallen 11% since the start of 2025, marking the worst performance among the "Big Seven" companies.
→ This represents the worst start for AAPL shares since 2008, when the global financial crisis was in full swing.
→ Apple has also significantly underperformed the S&P 500, which has risen approximately 3.7% this year and hit a new record high earlier this week.
Can the bulls reverse this disappointing trend?
Technical Analysis of the AAPL chart shows:
→ The price remains within a broad ascending channel (which began in June when the company unveiled its Apple Intelligence tools), but it has now fallen into the lower half of the channel.
→ After briefly dipping below the November low at $219.50, the price recovered – a bullish sign of a Liquidity Grab, suggesting that Smart Money may be turning bullish.
Given this, it is reasonable to expect the downward trend to weaken, with market participants likely adopting a wait-and-see approach ahead of the company’s quarterly earnings report, scheduled for 30 January.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic, forecasting earnings of $2.35 per share and gross revenue of $124.2 billion (compared to $0.97 per share and $94.93 billion in the previous quarter).
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Huge Earnings and Economic Surprises Ahead!🚨 Weekly Preview: Big Earnings and Economic News 🚨
Get ready for an action-packed week as we dive into major corporate earnings reports and crucial economic updates! 📊💼
🔍 Earnings Highlights:
Tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Tesla are set to release their quarterly results.
Also, goliaths such as Visa, Mastercard, ASML and more!
📈 Economic Indicators to Watch:
Inflation rates 📉
GDP Growth 📊
Federal Reserve policy decisions 💵
Stay tuned for in-depth analysis and insights on how these events could shape market trends and investor sentiment. Don't miss out on the key information that could impact your financial decisions! 📅📢
Apple: As Expected…Apple has made progress as part of our primary scenario, gradually edging lower toward our magenta Target Zone between $209.57 and $196.05. In this price range, we anticipate the low of the magenta wave (2) and, subsequently, a reversal to the upside. On the other hand, we consider it 37% (previously 40%) likely that AAPL will stage an immediate breakout above the resistance at $260.10 without first reaching our Target Zone.
APPLE: Strong buy on oversold technicals.APPLE turned oversold on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 31.524, MACD = -4.390, ADX = 40.988) as it hit the S1 level and got just $8 away from the 1W MA50. The latter is intact since May 2024 and is the core support level of the 2.5 year Channel Up. Apart from hitting the S1 level, the 1W RSI is entering the S1 Zone and the first bounce after a HH has been a strong buy signal inside this Channel Up (resembles October 23rd 2023 and June 13th 2022 lows). We are bullish (TP = 255.00) expecting an immediate reversal.
Once this breaks, we espect a rally of similar proportions to November (TP = 5.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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$AAPL Bounce Setup: Key Levels to Watch & 2-1-2u Reversal PotentThis is a strong setup for NASDAQ:AAPL to bounce as it held its 200-day EMA again today. Above $225, watch for targets at $227, $228.22, and the bearish gap fill at $230. Keep NASDAQ:AAPL on watch for a potential 2-1-2u reversal here.
However, if it loses support at $219.79, expect a possible retest of $216.39. Keep an eye on these levels, fam.
Apple Stretched Too FarNow that's a heck of a stretch.
Price has reached the U-MLH of the white Pitchfork and is nearing the yellow Center-Line.
What's it mean?
White U-MLH = Upper Extreme
Yellow CL = Price got back to balance, in the context of the yellow path/traction.
All this means, that the Air get's very, very thin!
Waiting for a short Signal with a target back to the white CL (Center-Line).
NVDIA vs APPLE Which one reached $4 Trillion first??With NVIDIA surpassing APPLE as the worlds largest company in terms of market cap, we want to get your opinion on which one you think will reach $4 Trillion first.
NVDA looks to have the momentum over AAPL but of course anything can happen. Fundamentals/ technicals aside, which do you think will become the world's first 4T dollar company?
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Apple - The Path For 2025 Is Clear!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is reversing towards the downside
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of months Apple rallied more than +50% without showing any weakness on the smaller timeframes. Some profit taking is totally expected and with market structure perfectly aligning, this could develop into a significant correction.
Levels to watch: $250, $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Apple (AAPL) Breaking Below Bullish Channel?Chart Analysis:
Apple's stock price has broken below a long-standing ascending channel, signaling a potential shift in its bullish structure.
1️⃣ Ascending Channel (Green Shaded Area):
Price has decisively broken below the lower boundary of the channel.
This breakdown suggests increasing bearish pressure, especially as the price approaches key support levels.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at $239.23, now acting as immediate resistance.
200-day SMA (red): Rising at $217.27, providing potential dynamic support.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 28.27, indicating oversold conditions, which could lead to a short-term bounce.
MACD: Bearish momentum persists, with the MACD line trending below the signal line in negative territory.
What to Watch:
Reactions near the 200-day SMA, as a bounce from this level could halt further declines.
If bearish momentum continues, further downside towards $210-$215 is possible.
A recovery above the 50-day SMA is needed to negate the bearish breakdown and restore confidence in the uptrend.
Apple's break below the ascending channel warrants caution, but oversold conditions and proximity to key support levels could spark short-term volatility.
-MW
1/20 Weekly Watchlist + NotesWeekly Watchlist and Market Analysis Using #TheStrat
Indexes - SPY went failed 2D week following the previous week going 3 and we nearly went 3 on this last week, but came up short with little room to go to previous week highs. This week we look to go 3-2-2U to confirm the month being failed 2D that has now retraced more than 50% of the previous months range, meaning we are now closer to taking out previous month highs than we are to reclaiming previous month lows. With full timeframe continuity green, we know that buyers are full in control at the moment, and this upcoming week looks to confirm that further as we look to target previous weekly highs on our way up to ATH levels. No daily actionable signal and a couple daily gaps to the downside, so we will see what happens Tuesday pre market whether we gap down to give last weeks buyers some corrective activity, whether we gap up, clear weekly magnitude (at the high of the weekly 3 from the week prior to this last week) before seeing if we expand further to confirm the month attempting to go 3 or begin reversing back through last weeks range. Finally, we may just open flat and see where intraday signals and continuity take us.
(Slightly pressed for time at the time of writing so I apologize for the lack of detail like my normal posts)
Watchlist:
Bullish:
NVDA - 2-1-2U Daily, 2-2 Weekly. Daily BF looks interesting
PLTR - 3-2-2U Weekly. High rVOL
WMT - Hammer 2-2 Week, MoMo Hammer Daily. Inside green Month which isn't great this late in the month, but not bad enough to ruin this setup for me
DLTR - Hammer 3-2-2U weekly after month went 3. Looking to go back through the months range now. Note: DG full FTFC red so no sector support
IONQ - 3-1 Week at M Exhaustion. MASSIVE range on this one. Nearly 30% underlying move from weekly trigger to magnitude
HIMS - Hammer failed 2D, Weekly 3-1, Failed 2D month attempting to go 3
Bearish:
DOCU - Weekly 3-2-2 Shooter. Daily Big red 3 following double inside day so potential 3-2D daily to trigger shooter week down. Filling in massive gap from the last earnings report
Neutral:
DAL + UAL: Both have inside weeks. DAL at exhaustion risk. UAL bright green. Relative strength in the airline industry
APPLE Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
APPLE looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 229.96 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 224.52
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 239.93
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK