AAPL Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaRecent rallies in AAPL have stalled, with the 1D chart indicating a possible bearish shift.
Key observations:
- Market Structure Break: A clear break of market structure to the downside, including a lower low followed by a lower high, signals a potential downward trend.
- Fibonacci Retracement: Price action has retraced to the crucial 61.8% - 78.6% Fibonacci zone. This area often acts as a strong support or resistance level.
- Trading Strategy: Consider short entry points within the Fibonacci optimal entry zone throughout February and March. This offers a short-term opportunity with a stop-loss placed above the previous high. Target the previous downswing low as a potential profit-taking point.
Additional Considerations:
Macroeconomic Factors: Stay informed about broader market conditions and news that could impact AAPL's price.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk assessment before trading.
Aapl_short
Back to 4400 Before Christmas, Down to...Assuming Minor wave C finished Intermediate wave 4 on Tuesday, next stop is the end of Intermediate wave 5 down. All models and the derivative analysis points to a very quick drop. Preliminary target bottom is 4179 before the Fed meeting. The full, yet narrow target bottom is the white box below. Once Primary wave 1 is finished (Intermediate wave 5 ends it), the market will see-saw upward for possibly a month and a half. The projected up and down is more of a perfect world scenario. The actual ABC waves will likely vary. The endpoint of Primary wave 2 is actually based on Primary wave 1 ending at 4179.50 on October 26th. I was surprised to see the models limit the Primary wave 2 high at 4400. That is basically where the market just was and it will drop about 200 points en route to 4400. The Primary wave 3 drop after 4400 should be pretty significant with lows likely below 3700 over 5-8 months.
I will continue to updates the forecasts as each micro wave completes. It is most interesting to see if Intermediate wave 5/Primary wave 1 complete in the target box as this was based on the new derivative analysis modelling I created. The standard deviation of historical data was very small, which hopefully means relatively accurate.
I currently have AAPL 170 and SPY 431 puts for November 3rd expirations as a test of these new models.
METHODOLOGY:
I operate a modified wave theory composed of Dow Theory and Elliott Wave Theory. All data is determined from comparing current wave locations with historical wave relationships. The listed percentages are based on previous movement extensions and retracement quartiles of the data. There is too much data to list all points but overlap of the quartiles based on specific relationships tends to point to more likely targets. The light pink levels are based on most specific data, light blue is slightly broader, and yellow levels are the broader set of data used. A red level typically indicates maximum historical move for the current wave throughout the historical data.
Derivative models take the annotated waves from the above methodology and compare specific ratioed-relationships to predict future movement based off of smallest standard deviations in processed models. ***Currently in beta testing to determine efficacy***
AAPL - AnalysisAAPL
Time for correction?
W1 – A triangle pattern may form. If this changes the direction of the trend, we could see a move towards the lows to 123.61 in the longer term.
The grounded option is a correction, and we see the price moving towards the level of 156.87. If the price retests the level of 171.22, then the road to a fall is open.
What can you expect?
Movement to the levels 168.24 - 156.87 - after breaking through the boundaries of the triangle.
Short
Goals – 168.24 – 160.64 – 153.69
Long-term (retest required) – target values 156.87 – 145.08 – 123.61.
Long – will be revised if the situation changes
AAPL: How to buy with a profit? Good entry - good income.Today we're here to talk about AAPL
Today: Shares are trading at 131.5 and we saw price stabilization in the last trading session. Now the market is in the consolidation zone, with the subsequent exit from it to the level of 127 - 125. Although the company's shares are very strong, negative phenomena continue to be observed on the market. And therefore, we will still see massive sales of this issuer.
Today we are waiting:
Today we are waiting for an attempt to move to the level of 135.00 per share. And if this attempt is broken, then I expect a sharp move to 127.50 - 125.00
What I recommend:
If you want to go short:
It is better to open short positions from the level of 137 - 135, but limit your losses.
If you want to buy:
Buy now is too risky. Ahead of the shares, you need to make a call to the level of 127-125 dollars apiece. If you want to buy it is better to wait for the bottom of the market in the area of the bottom and there.
If you are not in the market:
You can try to go short from the 135 level or wait until the market bottoms out at 127 - 125 and then buy.
Like and subscribe, thanks!
Also remember to contact me in 2 or 3 days for further trading advice.
Don't forget to like it, it really motivates me to share my market knowledge.
See you next time!
Bye!
Apple bull run finally ending this year?On the monthly chart, we can see a strong Bearish Divergence. Volume has been decreasing for the last few years with the price increasing, it is generally speaking a bearish signal. I wouldn't be surprise to see the trend changing this year. Watch smaller time frame to spot the reversal and time your entry if you wish to short it.
Trade Safe!!
APPLE OR APPLTRIANGLE PLAYING OUT. break may happen either side. GO SHORT WHEN RED LINE TOUCHES WITH STOP LOSS. Buy when price touches Green line (one lesser degree from 2004 support line), so plan to dump when needed. Go deep short if it fails to break the ultimate red line from the 2015 top. Using options strategy carefully.
APPLE traded both last weeks inside week before - BreakOutDanger97.27 $ 2. Target (3.30 $ Chance)
96.58 $ 1. Target (2.61 $ Chance)
93.97 $ last Price
93.42 $ 1. Support (0.55 $ Risk)
92.39 $ 2. Support (1.58 $ Risk)
Change/Risk Ratios are 1st 4.75 and 2nd 2.09
C/R Ratio = 1.Target/Support and 2.Target/Support
You can use both support levels as stop-loss price levels.
And both targets also even as take profit price leves too, if you want.
But take care! Think about it - and create your own opinion! It`s your own decision...
Best regards!
Aaron