APPLE, will we see 200$ again ?Hello traders, Hope you're doing great. What are your thoughts about NASDAQ:AAPL ?
for upcoming weeks, I expect an upward correction at first and after that I expect a SELL OFF situation in the market that causes a huge drop in stock market, my first Target is 200$.
This post will be Updated.
Trade Safe and have a great week.
Aaplanalysis
AAPL Shares Drop Amid Trump’s Tariffs Despite Strong EarningsAAPL Shares Drop Amid Trump’s Tariffs Despite Strong Earnings
Last week, Apple (AAPL) reported quarterly earnings that exceeded analyst expectations:
→ Earnings per share: $2.40 (expected: $2.35)
→ Revenue: $124.3 billion (expected: $124.2 billion)
Zacks analysts called the results “favourable,” yet Apple’s stock movement tells a different story:
→ On 31 January, shares opened with a bullish gap around $247, briefly improving AAPL’s weak start to the year.
→ By 3 February, the stock closed near $227, marking a 7.4% decline over just two sessions.
The downward pressure on AAPL may be due to:
→ Shifting sentiment around U.S. tech leadership in AI, following the success of Chinese startup DeepSeek’s free chatbot.
→ Trump’s tariffs, particularly the new 10% levy on Chinese imports, which could impact Apple’s future performance.
According to BofA Securities analysts:
→ The impact on profits should be “limited,” as around 80% of Apple devices can be manufactured outside China.
→ AAPL remains attractive, with a “buy” rating and a $265 price target, supported by stable cash flow, strong earnings, and AI-driven opportunities.
Technical analysis of Apple (AAPL) stock shows that the price has been forming a long-term upward channel (marked in blue) since summer 2024, with the following key observations:
→ Bearish perspective: The price has sharply dropped from the upper half of the blue channel (as shown by the arrow), testing a potential bearish breakout of the previous uptrend (marked in black) from late 2024.
→ Bullish perspective: The lower boundary of the channel, around $222, may serve as a key support level, potentially preventing further declines.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Apple (AAPL) Stock Price Analysis: Worst Start to the Year SinceApple (AAPL) Stock Price Analysis: Worst Start to the Year Since 2008
On 27 December, while analysing Apple (AAPL) stock, we noted: "Traders should consider the possibility of a pullback below the key psychological level of $250, with the price potentially retreating to the lower purple boundary."
A month later, Bloomberg reports:
→ By the close of trading on Friday, 24 January, the company's shares had fallen 11% since the start of 2025, marking the worst performance among the "Big Seven" companies.
→ This represents the worst start for AAPL shares since 2008, when the global financial crisis was in full swing.
→ Apple has also significantly underperformed the S&P 500, which has risen approximately 3.7% this year and hit a new record high earlier this week.
Can the bulls reverse this disappointing trend?
Technical Analysis of the AAPL chart shows:
→ The price remains within a broad ascending channel (which began in June when the company unveiled its Apple Intelligence tools), but it has now fallen into the lower half of the channel.
→ After briefly dipping below the November low at $219.50, the price recovered – a bullish sign of a Liquidity Grab, suggesting that Smart Money may be turning bullish.
Given this, it is reasonable to expect the downward trend to weaken, with market participants likely adopting a wait-and-see approach ahead of the company’s quarterly earnings report, scheduled for 30 January.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic, forecasting earnings of $2.35 per share and gross revenue of $124.2 billion (compared to $0.97 per share and $94.93 billion in the previous quarter).
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Apple: As Expected…Apple has made progress as part of our primary scenario, gradually edging lower toward our magenta Target Zone between $209.57 and $196.05. In this price range, we anticipate the low of the magenta wave (2) and, subsequently, a reversal to the upside. On the other hand, we consider it 37% (previously 40%) likely that AAPL will stage an immediate breakout above the resistance at $260.10 without first reaching our Target Zone.
Apple (AAPL) Stock Price Drops Below $240Apple (AAPL) Stock Price Drops Below $240
The last time Apple (AAPL) stock traded below the $240 mark was in late November last year.
Bearish sentiment is being driven by negative news surrounding the company:
→ CNBC reports analysts' views that the excessively thin design of the new iPhone SE 4 models will complicate sales in China. The analysts also note a decline in the appeal of the Apple Intelligence feature.
→ Investment firm Moffett Nathanson downgraded Apple’s stock rating from "Neutral" to "Sell" and lowered its target price for AAPL from $202 to $188. According to analysts, the 30% growth in Apple stock for 2024 is largely unjustified.
→ Criticism from Mark Zuckerberg, who believes that Apple has not invented anything groundbreaking for a long time.
As we mentioned on 27 December, Apple’s stock appeared overbought and vulnerable to a correction.
Technical analysis of the AAPL chart today shows that the price has dropped to:
→ The median of the current channel (marked in blue);
→ The $235 level, which previously acted as resistance.
Therefore, it is plausible that in the short term, this block formed by these two lines may provide support to the falling price. This hypothesis is supported by the long lower wick on Friday’s candle, indicating increased buyer activity.
According to TipRanks:
→ Analysts' 12-month price target for AAPL stock averages $244.77;
→ Of 29 analysts surveyed, 19 recommend buying AAPL stock, while 3 recommend selling.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Apple (AAPL) Stock Ends the Year Near Record HighsApple (AAPL) Stock Ends the Year Near Record Highs
In 2024, Apple Inc. (AAPL) shares surged by approximately 35%, fueled by the introduction of Apple Intelligence, a groundbreaking AI technology integrated into the company's ecosystem. This feature, designed for iPhones and other Apple products, enhances both productivity and user experience.
Following the June launch of Apple Intelligence, AAPL stock price saw a sharp rise (indicated by the arrow), marking the beginning of a steady upward trend within a channel (highlighted in blue) that remains intact.
In early August, a sell-off in Japan's stock market and fears of a global recession defined the channel's lower boundary.
The stock subsequently rebounded, with prices fluctuating around the channel's central line (bolded) throughout autumn. This balance signified equilibrium between buyers and sellers.
As 2024 comes to a close, AAPL shares exhibit a strong upward momentum, resembling a Santa Claus rally. A new, steeper upward channel (depicted in purple) has emerged on the chart.
Analyst Predictions and Market Sentiment
Analysts are optimistic about AAPL’s prospects. Daniel Ives of Wedbush recently raised his price target for AAPL from $300 to $325, citing the underappreciated potential of Apple's AI initiatives. Ives believes the company is entering a multi-year iPhone upgrade cycle, driven by artificial intelligence integration.
Looking ahead to 2025, analysts project record-breaking iPhone sales of approximately 240 million units, marking a historic achievement for Apple. This momentum could drive AAPL shares to new highs. While the long-term outlook is positive, near-term risks remain.
Current technical indicators suggest AAPL may face a short-term correction:
- The price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel.
- The RSI indicates overbought conditions, with signs of a potential bearish divergence.
Traders should consider the possibility of a pullback below the key psychological level of $250, with the price potentially retreating to the lower purple boundary.
TipRanks Insights:
- Analysts’ average price target for AAPL by the end of 2025: $245.28.
- Among 29 analysts, 19 recommend buying, while 2 suggest selling.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice
AAPL Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaOn the monthly time frame, #AAPL exhibits a bullish trend with a recent retracement into an equilibrium zone. As we delve into lower timeframes, a base formation becomes evident. Specifically, we observe a double bottom setup followed by a break below the previous lows, a robust rally, and subsequently, a higher low formation.
As we continue analyzing the shorter timeframes, we notice a potential shift in the current downtrend. This change in character suggests the possibility of a structural break. My focus lies on identifying a buy opportunity if we witness a breakout and subsequent retest of the previous high on the 15-minute timeframe.
However, it’s paramount to acknowledge the inherent risks associated with trading. Always conduct thorough research, considering both fundamental market drivers and the broader macroeconomic landscape, in addition to your technical analysis. Implement sound risk management strategies to safeguard your capital.
Disclaimer: This analysis provides a technical perspective on AAPL and should not be construed as investment advice. Tailor your trading decisions to your specific risk tolerance, informed by comprehensive market research and a holistic assessment of all relevant factors.
🍏💻 Apple Inc. (AAPL) Analysis 🌐📱📊 Industry Impact:
Apple, a technology giant, known for smartphones, tablets, and smart devices.
🔄 Customer Retention:
Ability to retain existing customers and attract new ones evident.
Half of recent Mac and iPad buyers were new to those products.
🚀 Innovation and Product Launch:
Continuous innovation highlighted by the upcoming Apple Vision Pro spatial computer.
Vision Pro mixed-reality headset set to launch early next month.
💡 Market Positioning:
Initial pricing challenge at $3,499 for widespread adoption.
Positions Apple as a significant player in the virtual reality (VR) and Metaverse space.
📈 Market Analysis:
Bullish outlook on Apple (AAPL).
Suggested entry above the $172.00-$174.00 range.
🎯 Upside Target:
Upside target set in the $230.00-$240.00 range.
📣 Conclusion:
Apple's innovation and market positioning contribute to a positive outlook.
Entry suggestion and upside target align with potential growth in the tech sector.
Stay informed for evolving developments! 📰💹 #AppleInc #AAPLAnalysis #TechMarket 🌐📊
Apple(AAPL)- Weekly Forecast is Bullish Technical Analysis:
- Apple is doing now wave ((3)) in black
- H1 right side is turning down
- H4 right side is up
Technical Information:
- If you're a swing trader, you can buy wave ((4)) in black when it completes ABC correction
- For position trader , you must wait for wave II in red to complete in next 6 months
AAPL ~ Snapshot TA (Daily / Nov 2023)NASDAQ:AAPL chart mapping/analysis.
Clear breakout of descending parallel channel (white).
Bull target(s)
Overhead gap fills
Previous ATH (~197.70)
Ascending trend-line resistance (green dotted)
Upper range of ascending parallel channel (light blue)
Bear target(s)
Descending parallel channel (white) aka "return to scene of crime"
23.6% Fib
Ascending trend-line (green dotted) + 38.2% Fib confluence support zone
Descending trend-line (white dotted)
AAPL is Bullish in Weekly(W) and H4Technical Analysis:
- Now Apple(AAPL) is doing a wave ((5)) in black
- H1 right side is up
- H4 right side is up and it has a bullish structure
Technical Information:
- As a position trader you should buy in wave (II) in blue
- As a swing trader you should buy in any pull back in H4
- When we'll have more data we can consider a buy in wave IV in red
- WARNING : Don't sell AAPL now
AAPL rose sharply and broke throughAAPL rose sharply and broke through
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Apple stock for the past 4 years. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section at the beginning of 2020. As shown in the figure, after rebounding to a small peak in January 2022, Apple's stock broke out of the enlarged triangle consolidation pattern. After stepping back on the 0.809 level of the golden section in January this year, it rose sharply and broke through the highest point in 2022, reaching around the 1.618 level of the golden section in the figure! The next strong pressure level is at the golden section of 2.000 in the figure!
AAPL Elliott Wave Analysis (13/07/2023)In the 1h, it looks like AAPL just finished a correction as a wave 4 and it might be ready for more upside. However, as long as we do not take out the wave 3 high, we can still do a double correction as a wave 4. After the correction (single or double), we expect more upside to finish a complete impulse structure in the 4h. From there, we can expect a bigger pullback.
AAPL Is Bullish In Short TermTechnical Analysis:
- Now Apple(AAPL) is doing a wave ((5)) in black
- H1 right side is turning up
- H4 right side is up and it has a bullish structure
Technical Information:
- As a position trader we like to buy in wave (II) in blue
- As a swing trader we don't like to buy now but if AAPL makes a double short term correction in wave ((4)) in black it will be very good buy/long
- When we'll have more data we can consider a buy in wave IV in red
AAPL Short Idea for Long TermAAPL is bearish in Long run. High probability of Price test the Supply zone of 172.26 - 176.27 and a fall to the demand zone of 136.25 - 133.77 followed by an Imbalance in Price.
A strong reversal pattern of AB=CD has been established followed by a continuation pattern of H&S which can help the price reach to the supply area.
AAPL Hitting weekly resistance, a pullback is on the wayPrice pierced into the weekly resistance zone. This is a strong resistance zone. A considerable pullback is expected here before the next attempt to break this resistance.
If that expected pullback is there, the price will probably tap into this below weekly support and bounce from there.