Apple Inc.'s Stock Breakout and Future PossibilitiesApple Inc. (AAPL) has been a major player in the technology industry for decades. With its innovative products and constant growth, it has consistently attracted investors looking to gain from its success. In this update, I'll dive into the recent breakout of Apple's stock from its previous channel, the potential for further growth, and the need for caution in the face of overbought indicators.
The Inverted Head and Shoulders Breakout
In a previous update, I discussed the possibility of Apple's stock breaking out of the channel it had been trapped in for over a year. The inverted head and shoulders pattern that emerged broke out at $156, initially targeting $168 with a stretch target of $172 to $179. Against many expectations, AAPL has continued its upward trajectory, reaching a high of $174, marking a considerable increase from its bottom of $124 in June of the previous year.
Wave Structure and Potential Targets
From a wave structure perspective, it appears that we are currently witnessing the completion of a larger corrective move. However, identifying a clear 5-wave impulse from the lows proves challenging due to the corrective chop that occurred right in the middle of the inverted head and shoulders pattern. A possible target, based on this analysis, is $177, which is already within close range.
Caution Advised in the Face of Overbought Indicators
While the recent performance of AAPL has been nothing short of impressive, it is essential to exercise caution as numerous indicators on higher timeframes are pointing towards overbought conditions. Apple's stock has skyrocketed since hitting its bottom last June, which could be a cause for concern.
As we move into the next week, it is advisable to remain cautious, as there is a possibility of a more significant pullback in equities in the coming weeks. Investors should closely monitor market conditions, technical indicators, and any new developments that may affect Apple's stock performance.
Aaplshort
AAPL Apple Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AAPL here:
Then analyzing the options chain of AAPL Apple prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the $167.5 strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-5-19,
for a premium of approximately $3.37.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
AAPL On 4H Bearish Divergence with Rising WedgeAAPL is forming rising wedge with Bearish divergence and most likely to reverse the trend from Bullish to Bearish. We have to wait and observe the market first before taking any trade. Once it breaks down last "High Low" mentioned on the chart, we'll take our entry.
Trade Plan is mentioned on the chart.
AAPL last leg of correction - DownAAPL -Elliott Waves Analysis
We are in a double flat complex correction WXY. with Wave (C) of primary Wave Y still to unfold. If this is correct Wave (C) of Y will unfold in an impulse wave down (5 minor waves down)
Fibonacci:
Waves W = Wave y = 122
What do you think?
Legal Disclaimer: The information presented in this analysis is solely for informational purposes and does not serve as financial advice.
Apple by EOYApple based on current 119D movement. I still believe Apple is heading below $100 this year. It took a tad longer to see a drop because of corporate buybacks but that wont change the overall outlook for Apple.
Apple's price move from 2018 downward coincides with the Feds tapering. The August 2019 rally also coincides directly with the Fed increasing QE in August 2019. You can see somewhat normal movement until the price breaks out of the channel, although QE was introduced in 2008.
No QE = no more rallying. More QE = hyperinflation. Simple as that. I think the Fed will let equities take a bath to save the dollar... but than again, who knows?
Data Points:
MACD Crossed
RSI has room to come down
Q1 Guidance was grim
Don't Buy AAPL in Short TermAs we can see in the above weekly charter, Apple(AAPL) is doing a correction in wave (C) in black to complete the wave II in red. The wave (C) will be done in wave 5 in blue.
- ALERT: We expect Smart Buyers will appear around $140~142
- Apple(AAPL) has a strong correlation with NASDAQ and this also shows the similar structure. We need to continue following this correlation.
Apple -> Short Term ReversalHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Apple stock is currently retesting a quite obvious previous weekly downtrend resistance line exactly at the $165 area.
Also just recently Apple stock created a weekly inverted head and shoulders so I definitely do expect the market to reject this downtrendline to retest the neckline of the inverted head and shoulders at the $155 area and then from there create more continuation towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe you can see that market structure is still massively bullish so I am now just waiting for Apple to show me some more bearish rejection at the current levels and then there is a high chance that we will see a short term rejection away from the downtrend resistance trendline.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
AAPL Short Idea for Long TermAAPL is bearish in Long run. High probability of Price test the Supply zone of 172.26 - 176.27 and a fall to the demand zone of 136.25 - 133.77 followed by an Imbalance in Price.
A strong reversal pattern of AB=CD has been established followed by a continuation pattern of H&S which can help the price reach to the supply area.
AAPL ShortLooking for AAPL to retrace to the lower bounds of its current channel.
125-120 is the target zone.
Seems very unlikely for Apple to push up to ATH's given such uneasy market conditions, but anything could happen so best to keep a tight stop.
VIX at 22. Looking for short-term bull momentum in aapl to take it up to my entry and the short is on!
This is not financial advice, good luck!
Apple -> Could It Be More Obvious?Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe Apple stock is currently retesting a quite obvious previous resistance area which is turned resistance once again.
Just recently we also had a bullish ema crossover, which is always considered a bullish sign, so from here I do expect a short term rejection away from the support zone and then the longer term continuation towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe it seems like today's candle will close with a massive rejection wick, indicating selling pressure so it is quite likely that we will see at least a short term rejection away from this resistance area.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
$AAPL bearish inside bar?$AAPL continue to pull back along with other tech companies. after massive rally.
inflation is still high and consumer is start to spend their more strictly. despite the
high labor cost. most tech companies are started to reduce their labor force as they start
to feel the consumer spending their money carefully.
No big catalyst so far for AAPL about up coming product except the new upcoming iphone.
which is nothing new anymore for most consumer.
below is the price level I'm looking for $AAPL:
AAPL average price move per day is $2-6 per day depending on market volatility and catalyst.
Below is the price level I'm looking for entry and exit for AAPL:
Buy call above 146.64 and sell at 147.38+ or above
Buy puts below 145.02 and sell at 143.74 or below
sometimes, the fist 30 minute of the opening bell is always volatile.
you can catch the move there. or wait for an 1 hour for better cheaper price
after it pulls back.
make sure that you set up alerts on those key level so you wont miss the move.
and always to take your profits as you see one.
Apple -> Is This The Top?Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
From a weekly timeframe Apple stock just recently tested and already rejected a very obvious previous weekly resistance area which was turned resistance once again.
You can also see that we are having a bullish weekly ema crossover, however I personally think that we will retest the next support area at $135 before then creating the continuation towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe I am now just waiting for a clear break and retest of the previous support zone which would then be turned resistance before I then do expect a next short term impulse towards the downside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
AAPL - short idea based on weekly chartsAAPL unable to overcome resistance - recent highs, Falling Window, sloping downtrend and this week a shooting star
Don't see too much support until start of 2023 rally around 130ish (target zone).
A weekly close above the recent highs line would negate my idea (158).
This is my first attempt at publishing a trade idea, Happy for any feedback, good or bad.
Finally not investment advice, just my take of the AAPL weekly chart. Please DYOR.
Sorry AAPL lovers - the STOCK is set to fall this week The AAPL stock has been moving up really nicely from 125 since the beginning of this year. Unfortunately it has come to a point where the market is telling us it has no energy to move up further.
Here is why the stock is set to go down.
1) There is strong resistance at 155.10 to 157.80
2) There is a triple top in H4 with divergence
3) RSI is overbought on H4 and D1.
The reality of another round of rate hikes in March (Perhaps another 0.5%) has also spooked the market. Inflation isn't abating with the last one being at 6.4% which was higher than the Fed and market expected so don't be surprised if we see a few weeks of weak stock market movements.
As for me, I will go short on the stock with stop losses above 165 and aim for the 125 price range.
AAPL pulls back, back to bearish move?$AAPL pulls back along with the market, just before President Biden speaks. on top of the power hour few minutes before the market close. aapl release
a news about laying off their contractors as part of mass tech layoffs. if you notice lately, most of the tech layoffs sometimes make positive effects on
company stocks. making it to bounce up from the bad news. In 1hr chart AAPL is entering the squeeze momentum. and it looks like it will continues to
pulls back tomorrow depending on the market conditions volatility.
AAPL average price move per day is $3 TO $4 per day depending on market volatility and catalyst.
Below is the price level I'm looking for entries and exit for AAPL
Buy call above 153.97 and sell at 155.49 or above
Buy puts below 152.59 and sell at 151.49 or below
make sure that you set up alerts on those key level so you wont miss the move.
and always to take your profits as you see one.
Another honorable mentions for bearish setups are semis:
$AMD , $QCOM, $TSM and $META
AAPL - Dont catch the falling KnifeThis is not an investment advice, please do your DD.
I think we are doing 2000 and 2008 again with a little twist. I expect a selloff until sometime in late February to mid March before we have a relief rally. A lot of people will say we have bottomed then but I think the real bottoming will be around November and that is probably when the fed will do its first rate cut as "inflation will no longer" be a problem. This will lead nicely to the election year and provide the catalyst for a new rally in all markets, crypto included (bitcoin halving in march 2024 or so) and will last for another 6 years before the final crash in all assets. Crypto, stocks, housing you name it will crash probably worse than 2008. The fed will step in again and will print the USD into oblivion but this time stimulus checks will be sent to your crypto wallet via US CBDC.
bearish on aaple short termwe are still not out of inflation, feds have predicted that this year will turn and we will be at a reasonable point, but we aren't there yet. that causes consumers to be on the savings side rather than buying for now. apple has a huge following, understood, but coming out with higher end phones at higher prices doesn't seem to make the most sense in the situation. people are getting less features for a higher price, with a better camera sure... i know im going to be ridiculed for being a green bubble on their phones but at least for the short term, doesn't seem like they have many "innovative" ideas that aren't already in other phones on the market. this is just my two cents. we're getting into folding screens, Samsung has DeX which allows users to have a desktop environment when plugged into a tv or monitor, or stream it over the air...
i will say, the processors that apple have been dishing out have been nothing but extraordinary, and the universal chips through iphone/ipad/macbook make the absolute most sense since they can massively cut down on cost and waste. all while on good silicon and providing very good battery life (as long as software doesnt bog it down)
short term... looking down, but i've always respected apple to keep in line with their audience and probably release some good numbers in the quarter coming with the M2 pro chip coming out
AAPL Hitting weekly resistance, a pullback is on the wayPrice pierced into the weekly resistance zone. This is a strong resistance zone. A considerable pullback is expected here before the next attempt to break this resistance.
If that expected pullback is there, the price will probably tap into this below weekly support and bounce from there.
AAPL Apple Options Ahead Of Earnings Last AAPL chart was pretty accurate:
Now looking at the AAPL Apple options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $140 strike price Puts with
2023-2-17 expiration date for about
$3.35 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
AAPL not finished yetHey traders
Look at the chart, we had 178 and 128 oscillations for this season
after some touches, I guess bears can break it down to other lower at 100 $
I know, it will take some time, 115 can reduce the speed, but for mid tern scenario, that's the target, 100$
what u think ? share your thoughts and leave a comment