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GOLD → Consolidation or continuation of the fall. 3013 triggerFX:XAUUSD is going through the strongest liquidation phase. The fall is triggered by profit-taking amid last week's strong news. Additional pressure is created by the strong NFP report released on Friday. The economic risk situation is bifurcating.... Gold prices rebounded after falling in the Asian session, consolidating the drop triggered by the intensifying trade war between the US and China. Donald Trump's comments about rejecting deals with China have heightened recession fears, raising the likelihood of a Fed rate cut. Against this backdrop, there was increased interest in gold as a protective asset, despite the rise in the dollar and bond yields. However, further strengthening of gold is questionable due to profit taking and lack of new economic data from the US. Technically, the price is consolidating under pressure against the support at 3017-3013. A descending triangle is forming on the local timeframe. Resistance levels: 3033, 3057 Support levels: 3017, 3013, 2981 Based on the current situation and strong pressure on the market, we can expect two situations to develop: 1) breakdown of support 3017 - 3013, if the structure of the descending triangle on the local timeframe will be preserved. The target will be the support of 3000, 2981. 2) Or, the price will close inside the range with the target of consolidation between 3057 - 3033 - 3013 (consolidation of forces after a strong fall and liquidation) Regards RLinda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
8
GOLD → Rising economic risks could push the price upwardFX:XAUUSD closed inside the range 2970 - 3060 and has all chances to strengthen as the situation between the USA and China is only getting hotter, which creates additional risks. Gold continues to rally from its recent low of $2,957, back above the $3,000 level amid a weaker dollar and a pause in rising US bond yields. The market is reacting to escalating trade tensions between the US and China, including the threat of new 50% tariffs and possible countermeasures by Beijing. Strengthening expectations of Fed rate cuts and recovering risk appetite also support gold's growth, but the instability of global trade policy keeps investors uncertain. At the moment the price is testing resistance at 3013 and after a small correction the assault may continue, and a break and consolidation above 3013 will open the way to 3033 - 3057. Resistance levels: 3013, 3033, 3057 Support levels: 2996, 2981 The trade war and the complex, politician-dependent fundamental backdrop allows us to strategize relative to economic risk. Technically, we are pushing off the strong levels I have outlined for you. The overall situation hints that China will not just give up and Trump will not lose face. An escalation of the conflict could send gold higher. The price may strengthen from 0.5 fibo, or from 3013 Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
ADAUSDT → Correction to the liquidity zone before the fall ↓BINANCE:ADAUSDT is in a bear market, under pressure. An exit from consolidation and a pullback with the aim of retesting the resistance (liquidity zone) before further decline is formed The fundamental background for cryptocurrencies is extremely negative. Bitcoin on yesterday's manipulation related to the 90-day tariff break, which was later denied by the White House began to form “helicopters” and high volatility. As the market calms down, the price returns to the selling zone, which creates pressure for Cardano as well. Technically, a false breakdown of 0.5 fibo is formed and the price is consolidating near the local support at 0.5800. The breakdown and consolidation of the price below 0.58 will provoke the continuation of the fall. A retest of the previously broken consolidation support at 0.6300 is possible. Resistance levels: 0.63, 0.6661 Support levels: 0.581, 0.5092, 0.4564 The market structure is exclusively bearish. A False breakout of resistance or breakdown of 0.581 will provoke a further fall, but the level of 0.5092, if broken, will finally drive the coin into the zone of emptiness, which may lead the price to fall to 0.45- 0.42. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
XRPUSDT → The bulls won't hold support. Falling to 1.9BINANCE:XRPUSDT is under pressure despite quite positive news. The coin, being in a downtrend, continues to test the key support. The chance of a breakdown is growing XRP continues to test a strong support zone on the weekly timeframe, relative to this zone, in the medium term, two scenarios can develop, which depend on the general mood in the market. If the current backdrop persists, the chance of a downside breakdown and further decline is quite high. At the moment, the focus is on the key support at 2.0637, relative to which the retests continue, and the reaction is getting weaker and weaker, which in general only increases the chances of a further fall to 1.9 - 1.63. Resistance levels: 2.265, 2.365, 2.509 Support levels: 2.0637, 1.9 The cryptocurrency market is going through bad times (Tariff War, high inflation, stock market decline, disappointment of the crypto community due to expectations) and until the situation starts to change, the technical picture will remain negative. XRP may continue its fall after a small correction. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
22
CADJPY → Consolidation before the news. DowntrendFX:CADJPY continues to forge a downtrend, but within the current movement a symmetrical triangle of accumulative nature is forming The currency pair may continue its decline due to the strengthening of the Japanese Yen, while the Canadian is consolidating in a narrow range. The situation may be accelerated by today's news, namely Trump's speech, where he may announce new tariff measures. Technically, the price is correcting after the false break of 103.56, being below the previously broken upside support. Price is testing key resistance at 104.90, and against 0.5 Fibo is forming a false breakout. A consolidation below 104.69, a break of 104.525 could trigger further decline. Resistance levels: 104.900, 105.36, 105.74 Support levels: 104.525, 103.56 There are important news ahead, high volatility is possible, especially at the moment of Trump's speech, which may set a medium-term tone in the market. The currency pair is in consolidation on the background of the downtrend and the priority is to expect a continuation of the fall Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
GBPUSD → False break of weekly support + DXY fallFX:GBPUSD is going through a shakeout phase relative to the trading range. Last week was very challenging in terms of unpredictable moves and volatility. A strong NFP report on Friday allowed the dollar to strengthen, but the reaction from the opening of the new trading week has already exhausted itself as traders are still watching the tariff war, which simply crashed the stock, futures markets. Technically, the currency pair on this background can win out, as the pound sterling within the ascending trend, the fall of the dollar can continue the growth phase. On the chart, the price forms a false breakdown of the support conglomerate, which in general may push the price up due to the imbalance of liquidity and interests of money moving away from the dollar Resistance levels: 1.2932, 1.3010 Support levels: 1.2828, 1.2811 If the bulls will keep the price above 1.2868 and will be able to consolidate above 1.2932, in the short term the market can show growth up to the next target - resistance 1.3010. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
EOSUSDT → False Breakeout of resistance (counter-trend )BINANCE:EOSUSDT.P within the consolidation distribution 0.54 - 0.6 reaches the key resistance and forms a false breakdown without the possibility of continued growth. The cryptocurrency market is showing weakness, especially after yesterday's Trump speech and the approval of new Tariffs, which creates risks and pressure on the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin is back in the red zone after rallying, while altcoins will continue to look for a new bottom. EOS stands out in this list, which strengthened quite strongly and the purpose of this maneuver was countertrend accumulation and liquidity capture relative to the range of 0.7 - 0.8. The distribution is tempered by a false breakout of the level 0.82 - 0.86 Resistance levels: 0.82, 0.86 Support levels: 0.793, 0.666 If the bears hold the resistance 0.82 - 0.86 and the consolidation under the level will end with the breakout of the trigger 0.793 and price consolidation in the selling zone, it may provoke a reversal and fall to the zones of interest: fvg, 0.64, 0.541. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
BITCOIN → The price is consolidating, but there is a BUT!BINANCE:BTCUSDT is forming a consolidation after a false breakout of trend resistance. Against the backdrop of the global market crash (stock market, futures, forex) bitcoin looks quite strong, but I wouldn't get excited ahead of time Bitcoin is trading inside a downtrend and also inside a range (global 81200 - 88800 and local 81200 - 85600). As long as the price is inside the local range and below trend resistance it is worth considering selling. There have been periods in history when the price seemed strong in the moment, but then, bitcoin caught up with the fall of indices... The fundamental background for bitcoin is unstable: First of all, the price has hardly reacted in any way to the introduction of tariffs, backlash and economic data. The Fed is not giving a clear signal, the market is in uncertainty. Any info noise ( China, Fed rhetoric, company reports ) can cause shake-ups. But at the same time, the same old problems remain: the crypto community is not getting any support. Bitcoin's dominance is growing against the backdrop of its decline. Altcoins continue to storm the bottom. Technically , the situation is weak, the price cannot update local highs and consolidate above any strong support. It is possible to retest the trend resistance, or the zone of interest 85590 before the reversal and fall. Or, emphasis on the trigger 81187. A breakdown will provoke an impulse. Resistance levels: trend, 85585, 88840. Support levels: 81187, 78170, 73500 Buying in the medium term can be considered either after reaching the main target - 73-66K, or after the exit from the descending channel and price fixation above 88840. Now the emphasis is on a possible fall either from the resistance 85580, or when the support 81180 is broken Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
60
GOLD → It all depends on NFP and Powell....FX:XAUUSD got shaken by 600 pips on both sides. Technically, after such a move the price may go into consolidation, but the near-term outlook will depend on NFP and Powell. Gold hit a high of 3168 and went into correction. President Trump's imposed duties on imports from China (up to 54%) and other countries caused a sharp drop in the dollar and bond yields, reinforcing expectations of a Fed rate cut. Traders turned to profit-taking, which led to a correction. Now the market is waiting for the NFP report and Powell's speech. Weak data may return the upward momentum to gold, especially if the dovish rate expectations are confirmed. However, volatility may persist after the publication, given the impact of Friday's flows and Powell's speech Resistance levels: 3107, 3116, 3135 Support levels: 3086, 3067, 3055 Technically, it is difficult to determine a clear place from where to expect a move as there is news ahead (NFP, Powell's speech). But based on the falling dollar and high economic risks, we can bet on the continuation of the price growth from one of the mentioned support levels: 3086, 3067, 3055. Exit from the channel and consolidation of the price above 3110 - 3116 will again attract increased interest in buying Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
26
EURGBP → False break of liquidity zone (resistance)FX:EURGBP within the distribution (news background) tests resistance 0.84616 and liquidity zone, but without the possibility of continued growth the price forms a false breakout The dollar index falls amid Trump's introduction of new tariffs, which generally provokes a rally in the whole market. But before NFP, the market shifts to profit-taking because of the growing risks. There are quite important news ahead, which may provoke high volatility. Technically, after a strong move, the currency pair forms a false resistance breakout and consolidates in the selling zone. If the bears keep the price below 0.84616, in the short term we should wait for a correction to 0.5 fibo or to the fvg zone. Resistance levels: 0.84600 Support levels: 0.8427, 0.8396 The situation is quite complicated due to unstable background, but technically we have a classic situation with a false breakout of strong resistance, and as we know, according to statistics, the strongest movements start after it (in relation to the trade of level breakout). Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
GOLD → Correction. Liquidity is the target. News aheadFX:XAUUSD on the background of yesterday's news reaches the target of 3166 and enters the phase of deep correction on the background of profit-taking. The level of economic risks is still high Despite the pullback, the gold price retains much of its recent record high, thanks to rising risks of a global trade war and a US recession. Gold corrects from record $3,168 but remains strong amid trade and recession risks. The correction is due to the following nuances: Profit taking ahead of key US jobs data. Waiting for jobless claims and services PMI. But, Trump's new tariffs, a weaker dollar and lower bond yields are driving gold buying. Resistance levels: 3116, 3135 Support levels: 3107, 3097 Against the background of high economic risks, falling dollar index, gold still has chances to continue its growth. False breakdown of support may give such a chance. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
GOLD → Consolidation. News. False breakdown. Growth?FX:XAUUSD and TVC:DXY in consolidation ahead of important news and Trump's speech. Economic risks are rising and the future outlook depends on fundamental data... Trade tensions support gold demand. Trump may impose global tariffs of up to 20% which will increase risks to the economy. Investors are piling into gold in anticipation, pushing its price to a record $3,150 A key factor is the details of the tariffs. If tariffs are softer than expected, gold could fall to intermediate support zones. If the trade war escalates, the rise could continue beyond 3150 Economic risks are rising and gold may test 3107 - 3100 support before rising further. Technically, 3100 - 3107 is a zone of interest and liquidity. If bulls hold the support, gold will continue to rise. Otherwise, gold may form a correction towards 3075 - 3065 Resistance levels: 3126, 3135, 3147 Support levels: 3107, 3100, 3091 The price is correcting to consolidation support in the moment. A strong and sharp fall is fraught with the risk of a liquidity grab and a false breakdown. In this case, gold may strengthen to one of the key resistances. But the further and medium-term development of events depends on the evening news.... Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
GOLD → The rally is intensifying. Growth after false breakdownFX:XAUUSD is breaking upwards and is trying to consolidate above the previous high of 3127 as part of a correction. This would be an ideal support for the bulls. The rally, on the background of political and geopolitical problems only intensifies Tariff escalation pushes up gold demand. Trump rejected the idea of lowering tariffs and the Treasury Secretary named a list of 15 countries that fall under the new measures. This has caused the dollar to weaken and fears of stagflation to rise, boosting demand for gold as a protective asset. Central banks and investors continue to build positions in gold, but corrections are possible before the tariffs announcement on April 2 and the release of U.S. economic data Technically, we have a strong bullish trend, it is risky to sell, we are looking for strong areas or levels to buy. For example, if the price consolidates above 3127, or after a false breakdown of 3119 / 3111 Resistance levels: 3147, 3155, 3166 Support levels: 3127, 3119, 3111 Before the continuation of the growth there may be a correction to the key support areas to normalize the imbalance in the market as well as to capture the liquidity. Consolidation above the level after a false breakdown will be a good signal for growth. But! News ahead and high volatility is possible! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
NZDUSD → Consolidation within the correctionFX:NZDUSD is forming a local correction on the background of the uptrend. The dollar has been consolidating and strengthening for the last week, which generally creates pressure on the forex market NZDUSD after a false break of the trend resistance, which also coincided with the stopping of the strong decline of the dollar, entered the correction phase. Locally, it is a downtrend, followed by consolidation, which in general forms a flag - a figure of continuation of the movement. The chart reveals strong levels that can be paid attention to. The dollar may continue its growth due to the US policy, which generally has a negative impact on the market. The price exit from the current consolidation may be accompanied by a strong impulse. Emphasis on 0.575 - 0.571. Resistance levels: 0.57426, 0.57674 Support levels: 0.571, 0.5684 After stopping at 0.571, the price is not pulling back, but forming consolidation on the background of the local downtrend. Most likely a big player lures the crowd to get to the imbalance zone or trend support at their expense. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Growing economic risks increase interest ↑FX:XAUUSD rallied aggressively due to high interest driven by rapidly rising economic risks, mainly related to Trump's tariffs. For selling, the risk is very high, with the stock and cryptocurrency market declines only adding to the interest in the metal Markets are taking refuge in defensive assets amid WSJ reports of Trump's possible tariff hike of up to 20% for most US trading partners. This could trigger inflationary pressures and stagflation, weakening the dollar and bond yields, which supports the gold price. This week all eyes are on Trump's speech on Wednesday, PMI, NonFarm Payrolls and Powell's speech Technically, it is not worth selling now as it is high risk, and for buying we should wait for a correction to key support levels Resistance levels: 3127 Support levels: 3103, 3091, 3085 We are not talking about any trend reversal now. It is worth waiting for a local correction or consolidation, the market will mark important levels, liquidity zones or imbalances against which you can build a trading strategy. Gold will continue to grow because of the strongly increasing risks. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
5
USDJPY → Key Level Retest. Attempt to change the trend FX:USDJPY in the correction phase is retesting the previously broken boundary of the downtrend. The market is trying to break the trend on the background of the dollar correction The dollar is having a rather difficult life because of economic and geopolitical nuances regarding the USA, as well as high inflation. Against this background, the index may continue a deeper correction, as the rhetoric of interest rate cuts may be prolonged, which may put pressure on the markets. The currency pair tried to overcome the downtrend resistance earlier and succeeded, but this is not enough for a trend change, it needs confirmation. Support levels: 148.92, 148.21 Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95 If the bulls hold the defense above 148.92 - 149.5, we have a good chance to catch a trend change. It will be the readiness to go to the resistance of 150.16 range, and the breakout of this level and price fixation above it will be the confirmation of the trend change Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
GOLD → Correction after a false breakout. A reversal?FX:XAUUSD is forming a false break of the channel resistance within the rally, we should wait for a correction, but not for a trend reversal. Let's see what we can expect from the price in the short and medium term. Gold is reacting to market turmoil over Trump's tariff plans. Investors are looking for protection ahead of the possible imposition of new duties from April 2, boosting demand for the metal Fears of a trade war and a slowing global economy are supporting gold despite positive US GDP data. PCE data and tariff updates will be key catalysts for further movement. Higher inflation could dampen the rally, while weak data will reinforce bets on a Fed rate cut, helping gold to rally further. The energy to continue the move is gone, so I am waiting for a correction to the imbalance zone or to 0.7 Fibo to accumulate potential. The price may consolidate in the zone of 3050 - 3075 before it continues its growth Resistance levels: 3075, 3085, 3095 Support levels: 3059, 3055 The correction after a strong rally can be quite deep. The imbalance zone 3066 - 3063 and liquidity zone 3057 play an important role. False breakdown of support may resume growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
BITCOIN → Break of the bullish structure. Moving to 78-68KBINANCE:BTCUSD has been slowly recovering for the last two weeks, but failed to overcome the resistance. The bears held the trend. The price is breaking the local bullish structure and preparing for a strong fall. Bitcoin's fundamental background is weak, expectations were not met by the crypto summits, nor by any major announcements or hints of a crypto reserve. The crypto community still didn't get what they expected from Trump. The strong drop was triggered by the SP500 index falling, driven by rising inflation, reduced consumer pressure and new trade tariffs. These factors have contributed to increased uncertainty in the markets, prompting investors to move to safer assets such as gold and government bonds Technically, the price has been in consolidation (correction channel) for two weeks and after breaking the support of the figure, the price entered the realization phase within the global downtrend. Resistance levels: 85300, 86350, 89400 Support levels: 83600, 81270, 79980, 78100 Emphasis on the support at 83600. The price fixing under this zone may provoke further fall to 80-78K. But I do not exclude the fact that a small correction to the zone of interest is possible (to capture liquidity) before a further fall to the previously identified key zones of interest. Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
45
LAYERUSDT → Far retest of key resistance at 1.400BINANCE:LAYERUSDT.P is forming a realization within the uptrend. The coin is stronger than the market, but the initial reaction to the strong resistance at 1.400 may be in the form of a false breakout and a pullback to 1.275 or 0.5 fibo Since the opening of the session, LAYERUSDT has passed the daily ATR, but after reaching the resistance, the coin may not have the potential to continue rising. Liquidity above the 1.400 level may hold this area and prevent the coin from breaking through this zone the first time around. Bitcoin is testing trend resistance at this time and could likely form a rebound or a continuation of the decline, which could affect altcoins accordingly! Resistance levels: 1.400 Support levels: 1.2932, 1.2747, 0.5 fibo BUT ! Everything depends on the price reaction at 1.400. A sharp and distributive approach with 90% probability will end in a false breakout and correction to the mentioned targets. But, if LAYER starts to slow down and consolidate in front of the level, an attempt of breakout and struggle above 1.400 is possible and further movement will depend on it. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
16
GOLD → Consolidation forms a trigger. Rally?FX:XAUUSD continues to rise amid weakening dollar demand due to Trump's imposition of new tariffs. GDP and Initial Jobless Claims ahead Gold is further supported by renewed concerns about a slowdown in the US economy due to trade duties. However, growth beyond ATH remains questionable due to geopolitical nuances. The market focus shifts to macroeconomic data: the final US GDP for the fourth quarter and jobless claims will be released today. Also the attention will be drawn to the speeches of the Fed representatives, who earlier made it clear that they are in no hurry to cut rates due to inflation risks caused by Trump's tariff policy Resistance levels: 3038, 3046, 3056 Support levels: 3033, 3025 The strong resistance is 3038. Breakdown and price consolidation above this level will provoke continuation of growth (there is a chance of ATH retest). But, since there is news ahead, gold may test the zone of interest and liquidity 3030-3025 before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
GOLD → Price returns to the channel to form a bullish structureFX:XAUUSD is completing a correction, breaking channel resistance and consolidating above the downtrend line. Traders are waiting for economic data and tariff war actions Trump confirmed plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on April 2, limiting exemptions. The new duties have raised fears for the U.S. economy, which has weakened the dollar and boosted demand for gold.Markets are also keeping an eye on talks between the U.S., Ukraine and Russia.Focus is also on US durable goods orders data - a strong reading could cool expectations of a Fed rate cut, limiting gold's gains Resistance levels: 3033, 3045, 3056 Support levels: 3013, 3004 Gold may test the support zone before rising further. The focus is on the current consolidation 3033 - 3013. A key resistance is formed ahead, a breakdown of this zone may provoke a continuation of growth to 3045 - 3056. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Tense fundamental environment and retest of 3025FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction within the descending channel. The situation is becoming complex and confusing. The focus is on the channel resistance and on the support at 3004.9. Further price movement depends on the fundamental data... The problem is the uncertainty around the US tariff policy and the outcome of talks between Russia and the US on ceasefire in Ukraine. The market is focused on US consumer confidence data and comments from Fed officials. The rise in the dollar, supported by Bostic's hawkish statements and strong PMIs, is pressuring gold, but the lack of clarity on tariffs and geopolitical tensions are limiting its further decline Technically, the situation is simple in that it all depends on the resistance of the current channel. A break and consolidation above 3025 will trigger growth. A false break of the channel resistance will provoke a continuation of the decline both to 3004 and to 2980. Resistance levels: 3024.6, 3038, 3056 Support levels: 3004.9, 2987, 2981 Based on the difficult fundamental environment, which is far from any positive decisions, the tensions in the Middle East, and the tariff war, I can conclude that gold will try to strengthen once again, as we have technical support: a strong bullish trend, a strong 3004 level, and a cascade of locally rising lows. A failed breakdown will be false and in this case, a price consolidation under 3017 will trigger a fall to 3004. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12