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GOLD → Intra-range strategy. Waiting for NFPFX:XAUUSD remains consolidated in the 3340-3391 range. The price is stuck in the middle of the range due to the uncertainty created by upcoming unemployment news... On Friday, gold rose slightly, remaining within the range ahead of important US employment data (NFP), which could set the direction for the market. Optimism over the US-China deal and profit-taking on the dollar are supporting the USD, holding back gold's rise. A weak NFP (less than 100,000) will reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut and support gold. A strong report (above 200,000) will have the opposite effect. The probability of a rate cut in September is 54%. Technically, on the daily timeframe, the market structure is bullish. After a sharp breakout of resistance and a new high, the price is consolidating above the upward trend line, forming a plateau in the 3300-3340 zone. Another shakeout from support is possible before the trend resumes Resistance levels: 3375, 3391, 3414 Support levels: 3339, 3331 Forming a price forecast ahead of news, especially ahead of NFP, is a thankless task. Therefore, it is advisable to wait for the news and monitor the price reaction. A retest of the consolidation boundary and a rebound are possible. There is a chance that the price will remain in consolidation until next week, but again, it all depends on the fundamental background... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
5
USDCAD → One step away from distributionFX:USDCAD is recovering amid the dollar's growth. Unemployment news is ahead. A return of the price to the buying zone may support the currency pair. Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth, a change in the market phase is forming (unconfirmed). The price has stopped updating lows and is forming an eql, from which it is breaking out of the downtrend. The initial retest of liquidity at 1.366 may end in a correction. However, a quick retest and consolidation of the price above the level will confirm the change in sentiment Resistance levels: 1.3686, 1.3732 Support levels: 1.3675, 1.366 Despite the fact that the price broke the downward resistance, the currency pair is still under pressure from sellers who are waiting for the price to fall from 1.3686. A breakout, a change in market sentiment to bullish, and consolidation above 1.3675-1.3686 will confirm readiness for a recovery. Zones of interest: eqh 1.3732 Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
BITCOIN → Correction. The hunt for liquidity...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is recovering after liquidity was captured in the 100K zone. Locally, the technical situation is controversial despite the global bullish trend Bitcoin is changing its market character (106700) and breaking the bullish structure (103000) during a correction phase. As part of the downward momentum, the movement is testing liquidity below the 100700 support level. As for the liquidation, there are several reasons: the conflict between Trump and Musk, strangely enough, the market reacted with a fall; the liquidation of whales, history repeats itself... Traders are buying back Bitcoin, but technically the market has a bearish structure. Locally, there is a bearish trend, and a countertrend correction, “liquidity hunting,” is forming. Ahead lies a fairly important zone of 105900-106700. The initial retest may end in a false breakout, as there may not be enough potential for continued growth (after a strong buyback). Resistance levels: 105,900, 106,720, 110,400 Support levels: 103000, 101400, 100K After a correction from 105900, which could target half (0.5) of the trading range, the market may attempt to return to a bullish phase, provided that the bulls keep the price from falling and do not allow it to update local lows. That is, in the short term, I expect a decline from 105900 to 103000, but further, if the price starts to return to 105500-105900, there may be chances for growth to 110K Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
GOLD → Retesting resistance may lead to a breakoutFX:XAUUSD is still bullish. The price is consolidating in the range of 3390-3345, with an intermediate bottom forming inside the channel, which overall indicates positive signs. On Thursday, gold is consolidating ahead of $3390. Consolidation after growth, within a bullish trend, is a good sign. But, on the one hand, the price is supported by growing tensions between Russia and Ukraine. On the other hand, optimism about US trade negotiations with Canada, the EU, and China is strengthening the dollar and holding back demand for gold. Additional pressure on the dollar is coming from weak US macro statistics, especially ADP data and the decline in the ISM Services PMI, which have reinforced expectations of Fed policy easing. Traders are waiting for further signals from the regulator. Resistance levels: 3391.4, 3414, 3435 Support levels: 3365, 3345 Technically, gold is rising and forming a retest of consolidation resistance. If the 3391 level is broken, the price may head towards 3435. Before breaking through resistance, a correction or retest of 3365 may form. However, consolidation near 3391 and a gradual squeeze towards the level will increase the chances of a breakout and growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
ETHEREUM → Consolidation amid a bull marketBINANCE:ETHUSD is consolidating in the range of 2400-2750, and locally, the coin looks quite promising even against the backdrop of Bitcoin forming a correction... ETH is forming a strong consolidation within which it confirms a bullish market structure. After a false breakout of resistance, there is no sharp decline and the price returns to retest resistance. If the bulls hold their defense above 2530-2550, then in the short and medium term, ETH may demonstrate growth towards the intermediate target. Resistance levels: 2738, 2855 Support levels: 2525, 2470, 2400 A retest of support at 2525 - 2470 is possible, and if the price holds above this support zone, ETH may try to surprise us. There are good chances for growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
GOLD → Consolidation before a strong move...FX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a false breakout of resistance at 3365, awaiting economic data. The metal remains attractive to investors amid the economic crisis. Gold is supported by the weakening dollar amid increased trade risks. Today, US tariffs on steel and aluminum come into force, and Trump's ultimatum to trading partners expires. Investors are also awaiting news of a possible meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping amid new accusations against China. The focus is on key employment data (ADP) and the ISM services index, which could influence the dollar and expectations for the Fed's actions. Technically, the market may test the 3323 liquidity zone before continuing its growth. Resistance levels: 3365, 3391 Support levels: 3345, 3323, 3303 Overall, both the global and local trends are bullish, with the price forming a local correction after a false breakout of resistance. If the bulls hold their ground above 3323-3345 after retesting support, growth may continue in the short to medium term. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
7
AUDCHF → Hunting for liquidity. Fall from resistanceFX:AUDCHF is emerging from local consolidation and entering a distribution phase. Potentially, against the backdrop of a downtrend, the market may be interested in the liquidity zone at 0.5356 Globally, we have a strong downtrend and a countertrend correction that is facing pressure in the 0.545 zone. The decline is resuming, but at some point the market formed an EQH liquidity pool at 0.5356, which is most likely acting as a magnet pulling the price towards it... Based on the technical situation, we can conclude that if the price continues to form a distribution towards the target, the market is quite capable of stopping the price and returning to the downtrend phase. Resistance levels: 0.535, 0.5356 Support levels: 0.5327, 0.5314 Thus, a breakout of the resistance level of 0.5356 without the possibility of continuing growth and a return of the price below the resistance level with subsequent price consolidation in the sales zone (below 0.5356) may trigger a resumption of the downward trend. Best regards, R. Lind
Short
by RLinda
GOLD → Correction to liquidity before growthFX:XAUUSD is in the realization phase after exiting the “symmetrical triangle” consolidation. The price is supported by the trend and a complex fundamental background. Gold is retreating from its peak, remaining below risk support. The price of gold is falling moderately from $3,392, awaiting data on JOLTS job openings in the US. Gold is supported by trade and geopolitical risks: Trump doubled tariffs on metals, increasing pressure on the dollar. The conflict with China has escalated due to allegations of violations of agreements. Focus on US employment: Strong data could support the dollar and limit gold's gains, but the technical picture remains bullish. Resistance levels: 3365, 3391, 3409 Support levels: 3345, 3323 Against the backdrop of a rising dollar, gold may test deeper liquidity zones, such as 3345 and 3330. However, if trading forms between 3365 and 3345, followed by a retest of resistance and consolidation above 3365, this could trigger an early rise to 3391-3409. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
AAVEUSDT → A false breakdown provokes a change of characterBINANCE:AAVEUSDT.P maintains a bullish market structure. The coin is consolidating, with bulls trying to hold their ground above the key support line. Against the backdrop of a correction, the price is testing liquidity, with a false breakdown of support provoking a change in character to bullish within the local timeframe. Bulls are trying to maintain the bullish structure. The price is breaking through the resistance of local consolidation, forming a change in character, but before growth, the market may close the gestalt in the form of an order block or liquidity located in the 249.5 zone. Support levels: 249.11, 240.0 Resistance levels: 274.27, 280.47 Technically, the coin looks quite good and promising overall. If the bulls hold their ground in the 249-250 zone, then in the short to medium term, we could see good movement with the possibility of new highs... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Correction after distribution. Bullish trendFX:XAUUSD is testing the liquidity zone at 3350 and forming a false breakout of resistance within the uptrend. A correction is possible before growth continues. The fundamental background is quite controversial in the market. In the current situation, the focus is on relations between Russia and Ukraine, especially after the escalation that took place over the weekend. Everyone is watching the ongoing negotiations in Turkey. In addition, we should not forget about the situation with tariffs, which is still quite tense. Gold has been rallying since the opening of the session and has reached the order block. A false breakout of resistance is forming, which could trigger a correction to the zone of interest. The dollar is hitting support, which could form a local correction before continuing its movement. This could also affect the price of gold, which remains bullish in the market. Resistance levels: 3350, 3365, 3409 Support levels: 3303, 3264 The price has broken out of consolidation, with resistance tested and liquidity above 3350 realized. Relative to the current level, a correction is possible with the aim of retesting support before continuing to rise. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
BITCOIN → Correction or trend reversal? Why is 101K important?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is exiting the upward channel after a false breakout of the key resistance level of 110K (previous ATH). Liquidation? Quite an interesting situation with James Wynn. As they say, money loves silence, especially when it comes to a highly manipulated market... A week after the whale's actions, Trump decided to play the market again by creating emotional swings: he announced tariffs on the EU, canceled them, then made claims against China and is now ready to reintroduce tariffs on the EU. Things didn't end well with James... Liquidation before the rally? On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin is making a false breakout of the key resistance level of 110K. The phase and nature of the market are changing, the price is falling, breaking the structural support of 106500. The main question is where the stop and recovery will be. And will there be one... After exiting consolidation and the upward channel, the price within the distribution is moving towards liquidity and the order block. I would not rush to say that this is a change in the global trend; the current data fits the “correction” format. Support levels: 102000, 101400 Resistance levels: 106700, 108800 102-100K is a fairly important zone for the market; a breakout in this area could open the way to a (local) bottom. Bulls may not be able to hold the market, in which case a global sell-off could form. Therefore, I believe that retesting the 102000 level will end with a liquidity grab and a correction along the trend, during which the price may test the 106K - 108K level, which will determine the future of the market: consolidation, growth, or decline... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
29
GOLD → Retest support before news...FX:XAUUSD is in a correction phase amid a rising dollar. The price is heading towards the liquidity zone, which may support gold. Markets are awaiting PCE data... Gold is back in the red: PCE inflation and tariff news will decide everything. On Friday morning, gold fell, retreating from its recent rebound from weekly lows of around $3245. The price is under pressure from the strengthening US dollar, which was supported by court rulings on Trump's tariffs, but the situation around tariffs remains tense on all sides... The focus is on PCE inflation data. A weaker result could weaken the dollar and support gold. Traders remain cautious in anticipation of volatility. Support levels: 3282, 3270, 3260 Resistance levels: 3325 A retest of 3282-3270 could end in a false breakdown, but only if the fundamental backdrop is against the dollar, which would only support the price of gold. The price is most likely to be stopped by trend support, but no one can rule out the fundamental factor of surprise... As a target, during a bullish impulse, it is worth considering intermediate highs... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
AUDCAD → Support retest. False breakdown?FX:AUDCAD is within the range. The price is heading towards support within the local distribution. There may not be enough potential for a breakdown of support... Against the backdrop of the strengthening Canadian dollar, the currency pair is ready to test consolidation support. The price has no clear trend, consolidation is forming in the range of 0.891 - 0.885. The price is heading towards support, there is no pre-breakout base, the level is quite strong and the distribution may end with a false breakdown and a rebound... Support levels: 0.8858 Resistance levels: 0.8878, 0.8897 Below the level of 0.8858, there is a fairly large liquidity reserve, and there is no global trend, which means a neutral situation. Retesting the support zone after a sharp decline may end in a false maneuver and growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
GOLD → False breakdown and support from the falling DXYFX:XAUUSD , as part of a correction, confirms the upward trend line and returns to the consolidation (range), making a false breakdown of support amid the dollar's correction... The US dollar remains stable thanks to the Fed's hawkish minutes and the court's decision to block Trump's tariffs. Investors are waiting for Friday's inflation data (PCE), which could weaken the dollar and give gold a chance to rebound. Additional influence will come from US GDP data, jobless claims, and geopolitical news. On D1, gold is rebounding from strong support and heading towards resistance at the rising trend line. If economic risks remain high, gold could continue its rally despite conflicting bearish patterns... Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3325 Support levels: 3290, 3285, 3265 Gold is forming a false breakdown of support at 3265 as part of a correction and confirming the lower boundary of the upward channel. Consolidation above 3280 will confirm that bulls are holding the market amid high economic risks. Gold may test 3300-3310 and form a correction before continuing its growth towards 3325. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
DOGEUSDT → Long squeeze before growth?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P is consolidating. A range with clear boundaries has formed. Before a possible breakout, a liquidation (false breakdown) may form On D1, the structure is quite positive. Earlier, the price tested the downward resistance, but there was no reaction (fall) as such. Instead, the price is consolidating within the range of 0.211 (0.205) - 0.23 - 0.253. Bitcoin, like the entire crypto market, is consolidating within fairly clear boundaries. Based on the current situation, it would be logical to wait for one part of the market to be liquidated before the price can move in either direction. Based on the bullish market, there may be a retest of support in the form of a false break... Resistance levels: 0.2308, 0.253 Support levels: 0.213, 0.2116, 0.205 DOGE is consolidating with a focus on the 0.23–0.211 range. Against the backdrop of a bullish trend, a liquidation (long squeeze) relative to the lower boundary of the 0.23–0.205 range is possible before growth continues. A false break of support and liquidity capture would be useful maneuvers before implementation. However, if the market is aggressive enough and resistance at 0.23 is broken with subsequent consolidation above this level, it could trigger premature growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of news. Retest of resistanceFX:XAUUSD remained above the key support level of 3280 and is testing intermediate resistance. Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline, the metal has a chance to continue its growth... Gold is trading in consolidation ahead of the Fed meeting minutes. Easing trade risks and the dollar's recovery triggered a correction from the recent peak of $3366. Against the backdrop of the dollar's correction, the metal is entering a phase of local rally and testing resistance at 0.5f The Fed is maintaining a cautious tone, and the market is waiting for signals on interest rates. The escalation of the conflict in Ukraine and the threat of new sanctions from Trump did not cause significant concern in the markets. Investors are waiting for drivers Resistance levels: 3322, 3348, 3363 Support levels: 3290, 3282, 3265 A small correction may form from 3322 before growth continues. The market is interested in liquidity in the 3348-3363 zone, and the price is likely to test this zone. However, further developments depend on the fundamental background. Rising economic risks or hints of interest rate cuts could support the price of gold. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
EURJPY → False breakout of resistance. Reversal?FX:EURJPY is testing the resistance of the trading range as part of a distribution movement, but the situation ends with a false breakout and price consolidation within the flat. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, the Japanese yen is strengthening and thus exerting a corresponding influence on the currency pair. EURJPY is forming a false breakout of resistance within a distribution movement formed after a retest the support of the flat. The price returns to the channel. After a false breakout of resistance and a return of the price below a strong key level, a base is forming in the form of support at 163.2 (trigger). Resistance levels: 163.4, 163.6 Support levels: 163.2, 162.7 A breakdown of the 163.2 trigger and price consolidation below the key level could intensify the sell-off, triggering a further decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
11
GOLD → Correction before possible growthFX:XAUUSD entered a liquidation phase (rally) within the trading range at the opening of the session. The dollar's rise is to blame. The focus is on supporting consolidation... Investors remain interested in gold as a safe haven asset amid geopolitical risks and declining demand for US assets. The key drivers remain news about tax reform in the US, trade negotiations, and upcoming macro data. Gold is consolidating, but since the opening of the session, the price has been heading towards support. Against the backdrop of an upward trend, a trigger for bearish liquidity is likely to form before growth. Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth, gold is entering a correction phase. At the moment, all attention is on support and the liquidity zone of 3265. A false breakdown will trigger a price buyback. Resistance levels: 3322 Support levels: 3282, 3265 Since the price is still within the range and a countertrend correction is forming in the market, in our case, it is worth considering an intraband trading strategy. A false breakdown of support could trigger growth to intermediate resistance or to the upper border of the channel. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
27
BITCOIN → False breakout of 110K. Negative background???BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P hit a new all-time high of almost 112K on the back of improved economic and fundamental data, but the party didn't last long before Trump's next speech... Yesterday, Trump spoke and announced new tariffs on the EU. The markets reacted quite aggressively to this news. Despite the fact that the market has practically bought back all the losses, the question itself remains open. The introduction of 50% tariffs on Europe will increase the risk background, which could trigger a fall in both the stock market and cryptocurrencies. In this case, money will flow into gold (a safe asset)... Technically, Bitcoin is forming a false breakout of the global resistance level of 110K (previous ATH). The price is reacting and forming a bearish momentum (coinciding with the change in the fundamental background). The area between 109.8 and 110.3 is a resistance and liquidity zone relative to the previous ATH. If the bears hold the resistance, Bitcoin may get stuck inside the 110K - 106.8K (105K) range. Resistance levels: 109.8K, 110.3K, 112K Support levels: 106.8K, 105K Accordingly, if the 110K resistance holds amid the correction, consolidation below the resistance will confirm the formation of a false breakout, and in this case, Bitcoin may move to the 110K (112K) - 105K (102K) range. However, situations change daily, and if Bitcoin does break through 110K and manages to consolidate above its previous ATH, this will be a signal for growth... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
19
TRBUSDT → High probability of a false breakoutBINANCE:TRBUSDT.P is testing resistance in the 38,700 range as part of a rally. The current strong movement may end in a false breakout... TRB is forming a distribution pattern. After exiting consolidation, the price rallied 16%, exhausting its potential for further growth. A false breakout of resistance could trigger a correction. Bitcoin looks controversial in the overall situation. After a false breakout of the 110K resistance, the price is consolidating below the level. If the flagship correction begins, it may also trigger a correction in altcoins... Resistance levels: 38,700 Support levels: 35.98, 33.65 If the price fails to consolidate above the level and continue to rise, this will confirm the absence of bullish potential. A false breakout and price consolidation below 38.700 will trigger a correction to 36 - 33 Best regards, R. Linda!
by RLinda
GOLD → Consolidation. Retest of support before growthFX:XAUUSD is strengthening due to a complex fundamental backdrop. A false break of support at 3285 allows the price to update its local high to 3365. Gold fell moderately from a high of $3365 amid weak activity due to holidays in the US, despite the weak dollar. Investors are taking profits ahead of US inflation data. Pressure is also linked to hopes for a trade agreement between the US and Japan. However, the decline in prices is limited — geopolitical tensions, US budget problems, and instability in the Middle East are keeping demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Support levels: 3321, 3308, 3300 Resistance levels: 3363 Technically, gold is making a false breakout of consolidation resistance and is entering a correction phase, during which the price may test liquidity below 3320-3303 before continuing to rise. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
USDCHF → Retest support with the aim of breaking throughFX:USDCHF is also losing ground amid the dollar's decline. The price is testing the support of the range, a break of which could open the way to 0.811 USDCHF is consolidating, but at the same time, a local downward channel is forming. The currency pair is retesting support within the current downward movement. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming relative to 0.819. The fall of the dollar is having a corresponding effect on the price. Before continuing its decline, the currency pair may form a retest of 0.5 Fibonacci or close the FVG Resistance levels: 0.825, 0.8275 Support levels: 0.819, 0.8117 The downward structure will break down when the price leaves the downward channel. However, at the moment, while the price is consolidating at the bottom of the trading range, I expect a breakdown of support in the short term, followed by a continued decline to 0.811 - 0.805 Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
GOLD → Consolidation amid a bullish trendFX:XAUUSD is trading in consolidation. As expected, the retest of the 3290 support level will end with a strengthening. The price is heading towards the resistance of the range. The dollar is falling, which is supporting gold. The local trend is set by the fundamental background. The price of gold is strengthening and heading towards the resistance of the trading range, with the zone of interest being the liquidity located above 3346. The fundamental background is on the buyers' side, but since today is Friday, there is no strong news and the market is unlikely to seek a breakout from consolidation due to the lack of a driver. Thus, we can expect a correction from resistance before growth resumes, which may form next week. Resistance levels: 3346, 3360 Support levels: 3308, 3290, 3282 Consolidation after the break of the local downtrend amid a falling dollar means that bulls are building up potential before a possible continuation of growth. But at the moment, an intraday trading strategy can be considered. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8