5th Wave Almost Complete - SELL The BreakdownGood evening traders,
Crude oil has seen a bullish breakout from a bull flag pattern. However, we are possibly seeing a 5th wave top setting up at the moment, inside a rising wedge formation.
Due to positive vaccine news and the global economy coming back online in the near future, the long term picture remains bullish for crude oil.
However, the short term picture could see a pullback due to the technical structures.
We are waiting for a breakdown from the rising wedge formation to enter a sell position.
Stop loss will need to go above the most recent swing high.
Any thoughts or comments are welcome.
ABC
Bitcoin it's into this bearish movement soon!!! ABC correction!!So, this is a counsel for you on what kind of trend we are. So, at the moment, we could to continue drop in the next days, remember that Bitcoin doesn't have force to continue up and maybe a correction it's neccesary to continue up!!! Now, I believe that Bitcoin it's trying to break up the historic maximum near of $20,000 USD. Remember the Bitcoin history maximum was $19,664 USD. That it's a higher price that Coinbase exchange registered in the history of Bitcoin.
So, I have my own target to find down a short position if Bitcon for second time doesn't find with successful to break down the maximum historic price that Bitcoin it's reach up!!!
Bitcoin - ABC correction ?I think it would actually be good to complete an ABC correction at this point. It would give all the indicators a chance to reset, fill the CME gap, and give us all a chance to back up the truck. :) You can see where the price broke and retested the yellow trend line and it would make since to continue down to either the 1.0 or 1.27 Fib. Of course Bitcoin does what it wants, when it wants. I already have a good long position but if the opportunity presents itself I will add more under $10K.
Good luck!
BBS out.
GOLD (XAUUSD) - THE BIG ABC DOWNAfter the preview idea of the ABC correction (the Gartely pattern) up to 1965 that earned 1000+ pips in both ways (buying the B and selling the C), this idea would shows my bigger ABC Cycle count with shorts target to 1765. In the follow you can see 2 my short ideas on Gold that are still in play. I will update this idea with screeshots of the inner moves count if it will play out well. Good luck! :D
LET'S SHORT EURCADEURCAD is in a downtrading market and it just made an ABC correction triangle witch indicates a continuation at 50% Fibonacci retracement.
It may convert into an ABCDE pattern but if it still hold the resistance level at 50% of Fib, you should short ! ! !
HAVE FUNN & HAPPY PROFITS ! ! !
SILVER (XAGUSD) - big ABC correction (GARTELY) in completitionCorrelating the moves and the count with GOLD chart, we might are close to the completiton of a big Gartely Pattern (and ABC correction in terms of EW counts). So the red rectangle would be the short are to try to hold for a potential huge move down.
INFRATEL - Elliott wave analysis - Go short on bounceINFRATEL - It was dropped in diagonal wave A and correcting in B wave, so go short near 190-196 with stop loss above 206.10 for target below 167 or lower. It will unfold in simple ABC zigzag pattern.
Give thumbs up if you really like the trade idea.
GOLD (XAUUSD) - Possibile GARTELY PATTERN or ABC CORRECTIONSo, we are again in a giant correction and probably we will rest into it untill post elections (middle November?). What i see as possibility now is a slowly drop to 1880 - 1855 area, then from there a rise up to al least 1955. So a strategy atm would be to hold the sells untill 1880 and close them from there to 1860 and then try a buy to 1955.
GBPUSD in a bear correction?Nice looking bear flag + major horizontal level => definitely on my weekly watchlist.
For the setup to be valid, I need to see small bear consolidation/flag on the H1/H4 before entry.
I will also manage this potential trade aggressively, as price is approaching the rising trendline of the flag and can reverse.
''The Great Gartley Controversy''Here is a link to Scott Carney's own web-page, supposedly something he has written himself:
harmonictrader.weebly.com
I want to outline something interesting here. I quote from the article above:
'' It is important to note that there are others who have assigned different Fibonacci numbers to the framework of the Gartley Pattern. However, they have used a variety of Fibonacci numbers at the D points, essentially labeling any AB=CD pattern as a Gartley if it completes at a 0.618 or 0.786 without regard for the precise alignment. This has created much confusion among the technical community and it has challenged the reputation of the pattern. ''
Before going further into this, I also want to note a key takeaway from this quote. When he says that there are ''others'' who have assigned different Fibonacci numbers to Gartley patterns, he is talking about Larry Pesavento.
Before ''The Harmonic Trader'' was released by Carney in 1998, Pesavento had already published books on the subject in 1997.
It did not take Carney long to trademark harmonic patterns thus eliminating Pesavento's chances of ever mentioning it again.
In the article above, Carney talks about people spreading misinformation, when in fact it turns out he's actually the one doing it.
He went on to market it, and of course the brokers loved it!
So enough about all this controversy.... Lets look at the chart!
Here we see what appears to be a Gartley pattern formation with a completion at the 0.618 retracement! I wonder what Carney has to say about that?
Should you wait for the 0.786 retracement to enter as the mainstream harmonic trading strategies suggest?
Pesavento simply explained that what we are looking for is golden triangles
Carney makes it very complicated.
What are your thoughts on The Great Gartley Controversy??
Leave a comment below
GOLD (XAUUSD): Riding Giants (updated idea for the 3rd wave)This is an update of my old ideas from August 2020 (links are below). According with this EW count, 1930-1938 (1945 might be the max extension) would be the potential 2nd wave completion area and consequently a big short for the 3rd big potential wave down. The target for this 3rd wave would be around at 1740