Abcde
CONTINUATION PATTERN IN EURCADHere we have an INTRADAY trade with an ABCDE correction pattern for CONTINUATION.
ENTRY: (1.5410 - 20 pips)
STOP LOSS: (1.5430 - 20 pips)
BE: (1.5390 - 20 pips) 1:1
TP1: (1.5370 - 40 pips) 1:2
TP2: (1.5350 - 60 pips) 1:3
CONFIRMATIONS:
1) The market is in general downtrend (trade with the trend ).
2) ABCDE correction pattern for continuation.
3) 1H resistance at the entry point (reversed the previous 2 times at this level).
4) 50% Fibonacci retracement of the drop.
5) 150 EMA works as resistance.
*If the market breaks the TP2, you can extend your take profit target.
**We don't have a clear price action sign so enter with 1/2 risk and if the market drop aggressive in smaller timeframes add on the other 1/2 risk.
LET'S SHORT EURCADEURCAD is in a downtrading market and it just made an ABC correction triangle witch indicates a continuation at 50% Fibonacci retracement.
It may convert into an ABCDE pattern but if it still hold the resistance level at 50% of Fib, you should short ! ! !
HAVE FUNN & HAPPY PROFITS ! ! !
ABCDE corrective pattern example GOLDPossible ABCDE corrective closed triangle pattern on 15m Gold chart.
News may decide the outcome. Break and hold below bottom of triangle can test minor support zones as marked below white dotted lines.
Read between the lines.
Risky management is key.
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Macro Bull Flag in BTC Just Broke Out Huge Risk/RewardRecently I have discovered that assets have not just been in a very bullish trend, but that they are showing signs of being within a specific bullish trend formation. Specifically, bull flags. I'm pretty astonished to have confirmed that this is the case by applying the characteristic ABCDE pattern they display.
The implication of this cannot be understated, especially as I am seeing bull flags on lower time frames forming continuation patterns and beginning to break out right now.
Bitcoin is, as I write, completing a break out. The rally has begun to take off, and will steam ahead towards the all time high.
Additionally, many are feeling a lot of FUD and pessimism about current market conditions, but according to my analysis here. The market should have completed it's final E move down and is ready for sustained upside from here on out until the breakout. I believe this breakout will happen in a little over a week.
Whenever breakouts happen from a completed pattern, that is ALWAYS the point of maximum price velocity in the market, whether a crash or a rally.
So the implication here is that, because the above pattern is an 8 month extremely bullish pattern, that has just completed, and we have signs of bullish continuation flags starting to breakout, as soon as these new bull uptrends reach and exceed the previous highs, there will be a massive unprecedented upside rally.
This is most likely to be a once in a lifetime scenario or even less common. The upward price momentum should be shocking and unfortunately cause disorientation and the urge to FOMO buy.
This is the first risk with this scenario
The second risk here is that the comedown from this excessively overbought condition will be as big in scope as the comeup. One thing to keep in mind here is some simple sayings, "Easy come, Easy go", "The faster it rises, the faster it falls" These are general truths that will bear out their time tested wisdom once again in this extreme and unsustainable new bull market we are entering.
Finally I want to touch on the grand opportunity that this presents to people who see the signs and are able to act in advance. THIS IS NOT A TIME FOR FOMO! If anything, reaching asset prices somewhere of an indicator level of $4,500 on the S&P500 and $27,000 to $50,000 in BTC are likely good places to consider asset liquidations. This is a way to take advantage of a temporary premium value in assets.
There will be a rally, a top, and a correction to this quick and easy money. My plan is to buy now, liquidate around indicator levels aforementioned, and rebuy at the following indicator levels that a bottom may be in at: $2,700 in S&P500 and $7,500 in BTC. These are previous support levels and are the likely places prices will stop in the coming correction.
Please remember that when you see shocking price movements in the markets in the coming weeks, the highs will be unsustainable, and will come down in short order. Please do not FOMO in and protect your family as well. The risk here is great, but there is also reward for smart money. I am choosing to go all in now. I'm mostly in LINK but also have some BTC and at times will use ETH. I have leverage available for these and will use it to maximize my ROI on the way up. On the other side I along with the smart money presumably will all be holding cash, metals, and other safe havens, or actively shorting the markets back to equilibrium median value. But the equilibrium will not occur before sending the markets to lows not seen since the March crash and February of 2019.
People who buy out of euphoria and hysteria will be hard pressed not to give in to panic selling when their inflated purchases lose more than 40% of their value after just a few short months. This will devastate small retail and retirement accounts who don't know any better.
The patterns I see and the momentum as well is unmistakable to me, if you read this please keep this in mind when you see surprising things happening in the financial news soon. And take appropriate precautions. Also, remember that if you are surprised, you're too late. There are financial professionals projecting $4,500 (30%) gains in the stocks by EOY and I predict $27,000-$50,000 in BTC value at the top, but the lows that I predict should come in at previous lows in the market at $2,700 S&P500 and $7,500 in bitcoin, not as bad as the March crash, but you can see how if you FOMO into this rally, you will rapidly lose all your value and more causing the urge for panic selling. This is a recipe for big losses to uninformed people.
And finally there is always some news to go with the charts, and in this case there will be a narrative as well. Believe me: THIS BULL RALLY AND CRASH ARE ALREADY IN THE CHARTS. I can see it very clearly, and my fractal analysis shows that the crash will be a necessary part of this, not optional.
So please be smart with your money.
I am writing this on October 27th, 2020
I am open to any communications about his, thanks
Intratekram - Ben Ghrist - ghristb@gmail.com
AAPL Potential Upward Price-Action: iPhone Release - Election APPL seems to be following suite with the reset of the market, as we enter Octobear. With all the selling pressure around the $115 to $114 region, we could see AAPL fall, and find support at $111 to $110 region. However, the narrative could change, as AAPL new iPhone line up should be annouced in the coming weeks. Therefore, could have some price action that could flip the $117 region as support, and re-test the $127 to $126 resistence before the election.
Hunting for a new gold longsymmetrical triangle falling market Elliot wave caught from E to close. looking for 1823 bounce. hunting for a new long.
There is wiggle room for more low but bias continues strong for a retest - looking to see how it reacts coming back up to 1960 levels.
Short term long, long term long.
Crude Oil Forming Bearish Wedge Targeting 34.40Hello Fellow Trader!
Oil has been sold down quite hard from August highs giving back 17% in 13 trading days.
Wedge patterns are generally a sign of trend continuation when broken to the downside, and when found within bearish momentum trends, can become quite potent.
Key Points:
- Daily Chart – Showcasing the major support and resistance levels
- Price holding below the 200 EMA
- Price holding below the 50 EMA
- 5 wave wedge pattern completed
- Price moving into APEX of wedge – Could see a small spew upside before the major drop.
- Flag pattern for break out
- RSI could break trend and range simultaneously for momentum
Key Levels:
Support – 36.40, 34.40
Resistance – 50 EMA, 37.75
Entry Zone:
Optimal entry provides the greatest reward to risk ratio while supporting entry is a zone for reversal signals.
Optimal Entry – 37.30
Supporting Entry – 37.00
Candle Reversals for entry
- Bearish Shooting Star
- Bearish Engulfing
- Bearish Dark Cloud Cover
The Risk:
As traders, it is your job to mitigate the risk and only trade structures that provide high probability and great reward to risk ratios.
If you are not comfortable with defined exit levels, experiment with Moving Averages to help set solid exit rules to protect your capital.
IF: Price breaks above 37.88 level and violates 50 EMA – this would suggest the structure is not in our favour and would be wise to reduce exposure or close the trade until a solid signal gives us reasons to re-enter.
Reward / Reward Targets:
Optimal Entry 37.30 – Target 1 34.40 = 5x Reward to Risk
Supporting Entry 37.00 – Target 1 34.40 =3x Reward to Risk
EURAUD Superior Reward to Risk RatioHello Fellow Trader!
EURAUD Superior Reward to Risk Ratio
Daily Chart: EURAUD has crossed below a weekly trend line set back from February 2017 and forming a bearish 5 wave wedge (ABCDE).
To complete the wedge pattern, the final wave E is now in play for upside before the next fall.
The open today MUST hold the bullish engulfing 1 hour range for confirmation to enter.
Key Points:
- Price holding above the 50 EMA
- Price to reclaim 200 EMA
- Bullish Engulfing Pattern
- Price holding Fibonacci 50% retracement level
- Price zone of Fibonacci Extension 100%-123.6% (ABC)
- RSI could break trend and range simultaneously for momentum
Key Levels:
Support – 1.6240, 1.62104
Resistance – 200 EMA, 1.6300, 1.63282, 1.6400, 1.6500
Entry Zone:
Optimal entry provides the greatest reward to risk ratio while supporting entry is a zone for reversal signals.
Optimal Entry – 1.62400
Supporting Entry – 1.62500
Candle Reversals for entry
- Bullish Engulfing
The Risk:
As traders, it is your job to mitigate the risk and only trade structures that provide high probability and great reward to risk ratios.
If you are not comfortable with defined exit levels, experiment with Moving Averages to help set solid exit rules to protect your capital.
IF: Price breaks below 1.6200 – this would suggest the structure is not in our favour and would be wise to reduce exposure or close the trade until a solid signal gives us reasons to re-enter.
Reward / Reward Targets:
Optimal Entry 1.62400 – Target 1 1.63282 = 2.3x Reward to Risk
Optimal Entry 1.62400 – Target 2 1.6400 = 4x Reward to Risk
Optimal Entry 1.62400 – Target 3 1.6500 = 6.5x Reward to Risk
Supporting Entry 1.62500 – Target 1 1.63282 = 1.5 Reward to Risk
Supporting Entry 1.62500 – Target 2 1.6400 = 3x Reward to Risk
Supporting Entry 1.62500 – Target 2 1.6500 = 5x Reward to Risk
$XAGUSD - The future is silverHi, fellow traders!
There is a confirmation of a breakout from the symmetrical triangle in Silver, ABCDE Elliott wave correction is complete, silver is about to continue the bullish run, though the last impulse is weaker than it has to be, see the chart for resistances.
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GBP_USD: Reversal Pattern is Forming (M)Strong resistance will dump and sell the pound, with the formation of M is now on the way.
Setup the sell-limit at the resistance level, with 3.8 risk reward ratio, just be careful of setting the stop loss otherwise no stop loss.
WIth targets between 0.5 and 0.6 fib retracement creating the B leg of the prospect ABC or ABCE pattern.