AB=CD
ETH - Getting close to Major levels. COINBASE:ETHUSD is moving towards some major levels in time and price.
We have the equal time and price with the August 2022 high, April 2023 high giving us a potential high around the 17th of December.
There are double 1.27% Extension areas from those previous 2 highs around 2300.
The 382 from the ATH @ 2400 and if we break that then the 2600 level will be waiting with double 1.618% Extensions.
Once a top comes in the retracement will be key to the next move.
I will post smaller TF targets shortly.
An interesting run into the end of the year might set up the course for next year.
Enjoy the Week. 👍👍
GOLD - last crash, then a new all time high! (buy here)GOLD is probably preparing for a last small crash to the main support of the expanding triangle in the major timeframe. This is a great opportunity to buy GOLD at the bottom of an expanding triangle because it is also in confluence with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. This Fibonacci level is very strong together with 0.618 because 0.618 + 0.382 = 1. You can buy gold here, or enter a long position on futures with leverage to increase your potential profit.
You probably know that I am very bullish on GOLD for the next few years and expect at least a double in price. After many years of sideways price action, GOLD finally broke out and made a significant new all time high. GOLD seems undervalued and should go higher.
It's always important to look at the Elliott Wave analysis, as it gives us a better understanding of the whole market structure. Where on the map are we currently? On the chart, you can see an impulse wave (12345) and after such move we can expect a corrective structure, such as ABC or WXY. Usually, you want to take a Fibonacci retracement of the previous impulse wave and look for 0.382 FIB or 0.618 FIB. I don't think GOLD will go all the way down to 2155, that would be pretty bearish after the previous breakout to a new all time high.
Buying gold at current levels is definitely a good idea, but if you want better price and timing, I would take the 0.382 FIB. This will also increase your risk-to-reward ratio.
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GILD will be selected for the new Tamiflu vaccine for Pandemic2It's no secret the elite are manufacturing pandemics to herd, destroy and remake society into a neofeudal system controlled by social credit scores. The next pandemic will be H1N1 which has already been shared within the news that milk in the markets has trace amounts of (no worry they say!).
After the establishment rolls out bird-flu for everyone's summer bingo card - Gilead Sciences, the only company that manufactures Tamiflu with options, will be selected to mass create these new vaccines.
The call options on this company are going crazy right now, July, August have a ton of OTM calls being bought, almost like someone is expecting this company to get the greenlight on something major. You could effectively buy .05 OTM calls on this company, but I'd wait a little longer. The TTM squeeze shows the last leg down is being finished. If the market's capitulate a little more, this would be a perfect time to buy those calls for this company.
Microsoft Next High & Target is Channel Top $570, ( AB = CD )Microsoft is Trending within the Channel. Next High and Target is the "Channel Top" at $570. Additionally, the ( AB = CD ) concept indicates that the AB impulse is Equal to the CD impulse.
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USDJPY: Swing Sell Happening! AB=CD PatternFX:USDJPY
Price is currently in process of making AB=CD pattern; after USDJPY created a record Higher High, most of the traders were expecting price to drop heavy and it just did that. After dropping heavily, price made some correction and formed a AB=CD pattern which is where we can expect price to drop exactly in same amount as A to B made. Our final target is 145-147 which will be somewhere 800-1000 pips. Use proper risk management.
GBPJPY: 1000+ Pips Selling Opportunity! What's yours views on itOur previous analysis on GBPJPY has rejected at the top and dropped 300+ pips, however, price jumped back to the initial entry and in our view we think price is just came back to test the liquidity. We still expect a strong bearish move to dominant in coming days. Expecting a strong bullish move on Yen, however the USD data can conflict our views.
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GOLD - Starting another wave up to 2720 (+17%)GOLD is in a strong bull market, that's for sure. The key to success is to trade with a trend to increase the probability of your decisions. GOLD is likely to make a multiyear bull market and can double or triple in price in a few years.
Of course, if you hold GOLD, that's very smart for the upcoming years. But right now, we need to take a look at short-term opportunities for swing and day traders. What I generally recommend is to trade with the bullish trend and employ only long-term strategies. Avoid shorting GOLD in general. As you can see on my chart, we have an ascending parallel channel, and the price is near its dynamic support upward-sloping trendline. What we want to do here is enter a long position.
Also, my Elliott Wave count suggests that GOLD is going to make another 2 huge waves to the upside in the following few weeks. Always start making your Elliott Wave count from the bottom of the trend. This trend started on October 5, 2023. If you see something like (1)(2)(1)(2) at the start of a trend, it is called an Elliott Wave nest, a strong bullish setup. This occurs very often on the stock market and in Bitcoin, so make sure you learn this technique. Overall, I am very bullish on GOLD and if you trade futures, you can make good money with leverage.
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EURAUD: A huge swing buying opportunity is forming 800+ pip moveOANDA:EURAUD
Price has created a unique pattern which suggest that buy swing impulse is in making, we have seen how price has behaved, upcoming news might also impact on how price may move. Long term target consist 800+ pips move. If you are planning to take this trade then please use accurate risk management and do your own research too.
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USDCAD | Hidden Bullish Divergence | AB=CDThe USDCAD chart has currently formed a Harmonic AB=CD Pattern, which indicates a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). Additionally, there is a Hidden Bullish Divergence on the 1-hour time frame, suggesting that the current downtrend is about to shift into an uptrend. Furthermore, the price has mitigated the Order Block (OB) and is now moving upwards. These confirmations indicate a short-term bullish momentum, although the overall structure on the higher time frame remains bearish.
In summary:
1: Harmonic AB=CD Pattern: This pattern suggests a potential reversal zone (PRZ).
2: Hidden Bullish Divergence: Observed on the 1-hour time frame, this indicates a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend.
3: Order Block (OB): The price has mitigated the OB and is moving upwards, supporting the short-term bullish momentum.
4: Higher Time Frame Structure: Despite the short-term bullish signals, the overall structure on higher time frames remains bearish.
It's important to consider these factors together and conduct thorough analysis before making any trading decisions.
Bitcoin - 300,000 USD by 2025, here is why!There is almost no doubt that Bitcoin will continue in the bull market in 2024/2025. After the ETF approval, Bitcoin is going up as institutional investors gain confidence in this type of investment. But what all people want to know is when to sell Bitcoin and prepare for the next bear market. Bitcoin's bear markets are very devastating, and the usual correction is around 80% - 70% from the peak. That's why it's good to time a good exit point if you are a trader. If you are a hodler, then you probably have your bitcoin in a Trezor hardware wallet and you don't care about volatility, even though it's not nice to see that your portfolio is down by 70%.
To determine the exit point, we need to use technical analysis on a weekly/monthly scale. In the chart, you can see price action in recent years and all these swings during previous bear markets. We can draw a massive ascending parallel channel and take a look at the market cycles. Selling at the top of the upward-sloping trendline is definitely a good idea, but will Bitcoin offer this opportunity? Sometimes markets turn bearish just before key levels.
From a time perspective, October or September 2025 seems like the right time to sell Bitcoin and go into fiat or stable coins. Then buy again, cheaper after the crash. The 2021 peak is a strong level, and Bitcoin should never go below this level. I think Bitcoin volatility should decrease, and we should not see tremendous crashes anymore, but a 50% or 60% crash is something that is definitely very likely. Forget about 80% or 90% of the crashes that happened in 2015 or 2018.
This chart is a representation of the logarithmic scale. If you switch to a classic linear scale, we get a target for the whole bull market of only around 130,000 USD. I will do a linear scale representation in one of the next analyses, so make sure you follow my account so you don't miss this very important analysis!
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Bitcoin - 10% crash is coming, buy at 62k (here's why)Bitcoin is preparing for a pretty significant crash (in June). Why do I think so? We need to look at the previous price action because in May, Bitcoin pumped by 25%. If we take a look at May's price action, we can see that the uptrend created a FVGAP at 62k, and these gaps tend to be filled sooner rather than later. This is, of course, not the only reason why I am bearish.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin finished the first impulse wave (1) and after such move we can expect a corrective ABC pattern because markets always move in waves. In general, a typical retracement for waves (1) is 0.618 FIB and also 0.382 FIB in strong bull markets. The 0.618 FIB overlays perfectly with the mentioned FVGAP, which gives us a pretty solid buying opportunity if the price reaches this level. The next good opportunity is to short Bitcoin on the futures market.
The next reason why I am bearish is this small red trendline. As you can see, the trendline is breaking down, which is, of course, a sign of weakness. This trendline is part of the rising wedge pattern, so it adds to the overall bearishness. Currently, I am bearish, so be careful during the summer as the price action is not the most volatile for Bitcoin during this season.
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
AUDUSD: 1000+ PIPS Swing Buying Opportunity Approaching! FX:AUDUSD
A swing buy opportunity on AUDUSD is approaching, after looking at how price has moved in recent time. Giving us enough confidence to swing buy at the right area as we have marked on the chart. Please use accurate risk management to have upmost success in the market.
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GOLD - Will double in price in a few years! (cup and handle)GOLD is at its all-time high levels and will continue in the price discovery action. Why? On the chart, you can see a cap and handle formation that is currently breaking out on the monthly chart. This is a huge event for gold, and therefore the price can double in a few years from now. Does it mean that we will see a multi-year bull market? Definitely yes. This cup and handle formation is fully confirmed. The monthly candle closed above the neckline of this pattern with a bullish engulfing candle.
How to trade? If you are an investor, simply buy gold and hold, you can expect a pretty good and reliable return in a few years. If you are a swing trader, I recommend trading with the trend and going for buy/long only strategies. Do not short gold on futures, as it will lower the probability of success. And if you are a day trader, also focus on long-only strategies, and you can potentially short GOLD, but only with limit orders that you put above the current price. Avoid trading bearish breakouts, as they tend to take liquidity (stop losses) and reverse.
What is the profit target for gold in 2026 or 2030? There is no historical price action, so to determine our profit targets, we need to use the Fibonacci extension tool and Elliott Wave theory with simple trendlines. On the chart, you see my Fibonacci projection (wave 1 -> wave 2). Usually, the market tends to react to the 1.0 extension, the 1.618 FIB extension, and the 2.0 extension. These are strong levels, but only for a short-term bounce. As my title says, I am expecting a huge bull market, so do not forget to follow my account to stay updated!
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
USDJPY Short Opportunity: Key Factors and Strategic EntryHello, traders!
I’m on standby to short the USDJPY, and here's why this setup is compelling. This analysis covers two crucial parts, providing context and strategic entry points.
Part One: Macro Fundamentals
1. China’s Treasury Offload :
- China sold $53.3 billion of Treasuries and agency bonds in Q1 2024. This reduction in US dollar assets can impact USDJPY negatively.
2. BRICS Currency Moves :
- BRICS countries are trading $4 billion in local currencies, sidelining the US dollar. This shift decreases demand for USD, potentially weakening USDJPY.
Part Two: BOJ Interventions
1. Recent BOJ Action :
- The Bank of Japan intervened in the FX market on April 29, 2024, but the attempt seemed to fail. Our community was alerted on April 26, 2024, giving us an early advantage.
2. Potential Future Intervention :
- BOJ might intervene again, but this could upset G7 partners. If intervention fails or doesn’t happen, USDJPY could fall sharply.
Trading Strategy: Bearish Patterns Confluence
Key Levels and Patterns:
- Entry Point : Short USDJPY at 159.27.
- Confluence : This level aligns with a Bearish Bat Pattern and an ABCD Pattern, strengthening the case for a short position.
Final Thoughts
Considering the macro fundamentals and recent BOJ actions, the stage is set for a potential sharp fall in USDJPY. The bearish patterns at 159.27 provide a technical basis for entry, adding to the conviction.
Stay vigilant and manage risk carefully. Happy trading!
DXY next update.....
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GBPJPY - Bearish Trade The chart in bullish trend depicted Harmonic Reversal Bearish AB=CD chart pattern.
The trade plan is Sell stop at breakout of last HL of bullish trend at 198.174, Stop loss at first LH at 200.003 and TP 1 at 196.335 & TP 2 at 194.490.
After trade exexution at 198.174, sellers will remain in control.
Bearish Divergence is observed at PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) of bullish trend.