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AB=CD

Bitcoin - 10% crash is coming, buy at 62k (here's why)Bitcoin is preparing for a pretty significant crash (in June). Why do I think so? We need to look at the previous price action because in May, Bitcoin pumped by 25%. If we take a look at May's price action, we can see that the uptrend created a FVGAP at 62k, and these gaps tend to be filled sooner rather than later. This is, of course, not the only reason why I am bearish.  From the Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin finished the first impulse wave (1) and after such move we can expect a corrective ABC pattern because markets always move in waves. In general, a typical retracement for waves (1) is 0.618 FIB and also 0.382 FIB in strong bull markets. The 0.618 FIB overlays perfectly with the mentioned FVGAP, which gives us a pretty solid buying opportunity if the price reaches this level. The next good opportunity is to short Bitcoin on the futures market.  The next reason why I am bearish is this small red trendline. As you can see, the trendline is breaking down, which is, of course, a sign of weakness. This trendline is part of the rising wedge pattern, so it adds to the overall bearishness. Currently, I am bearish, so be careful during the summer as the price action is not the most volatile for Bitcoin during this season. Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Short
by Xanrox
72
GOLD - Will double in price in a few years! (cup and handle)GOLD is at its all-time high levels and will continue in the price discovery action. Why? On the chart, you can see a cap and handle formation that is currently breaking out on the monthly chart. This is a huge event for gold, and therefore the price can double in a few years from now. Does it mean that we will see a multi-year bull market? Definitely yes. This cup and handle formation is fully confirmed. The monthly candle closed above the neckline of this pattern with a bullish engulfing candle.  How to trade? If you are an investor, simply buy gold and hold, you can expect a pretty good and reliable return in a few years. If you are a swing trader, I recommend trading with the trend and going for buy/long only strategies. Do not short gold on futures, as it will lower the probability of success. And if you are a day trader, also focus on long-only strategies, and you can potentially short GOLD, but only with limit orders that you put above the current price. Avoid trading bearish breakouts, as they tend to take liquidity (stop losses) and reverse.  What is the profit target for gold in 2026 or 2030? There is no historical price action, so to determine our profit targets, we need to use the Fibonacci extension tool and Elliott Wave theory with simple trendlines. On the chart, you see my Fibonacci projection (wave 1 -> wave 2). Usually, the market tends to react to the 1.0 extension, the 1.618 FIB extension, and the 2.0 extension. These are strong levels, but only for a short-term bounce. As my title says, I am expecting a huge bull market, so do not forget to follow my account to stay updated! Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xanrox
29
USDJPY Short Opportunity: Key Factors and Strategic EntryHello, traders! I’m on standby to short the USDJPY, and here's why this setup is compelling. This analysis covers two crucial parts, providing context and strategic entry points. Part One: Macro Fundamentals 1. China’s Treasury Offload : - China sold $53.3 billion of Treasuries and agency bonds in Q1 2024. This reduction in US dollar assets can impact USDJPY negatively. 2. BRICS Currency Moves : - BRICS countries are trading $4 billion in local currencies, sidelining the US dollar. This shift decreases demand for USD, potentially weakening USDJPY. Part Two: BOJ Interventions 1. Recent BOJ Action : - The Bank of Japan intervened in the FX market on April 29, 2024, but the attempt seemed to fail. Our community was alerted on April 26, 2024, giving us an early advantage. 2. Potential Future Intervention : - BOJ might intervene again, but this could upset G7 partners. If intervention fails or doesn’t happen, USDJPY could fall sharply. Trading Strategy: Bearish Patterns Confluence Key Levels and Patterns: - Entry Point : Short USDJPY at 159.27. - Confluence : This level aligns with a Bearish Bat Pattern and an ABCD Pattern, strengthening the case for a short position. Final Thoughts Considering the macro fundamentals and recent BOJ actions, the stage is set for a potential sharp fall in USDJPY. The bearish patterns at 159.27 provide a technical basis for entry, adding to the conviction. Stay vigilant and manage risk carefully. Happy trading!
Short
by RaynLim
Bitcoin - Pullback is required, buy again lower!In my previous analysis, I suggested buying cheap Bitcoin at 67k and now the price has gone up to 71k in a single day: What now? Will this pump continue? It's possible, but I am waiting for lower prices because the current pump has created a huge FVGAP on the daily chart. These GAPS tend to be filled sooner rather than later. What's more, the price hit a critical point of resistance that you can see on the chart. We have 2 parallel channels, and the price is currently at this critical point. My suggestion is to wait for lower prices, 68k seems to be a strong support, but also the bottom of the ascending blue parallel channel. Bitcoin is very bullish on the weekly chart, so there is a strong probability of prices above 100K this year. What is my ultimate target for Bitcoin for the whole bull market? I will soon share my special technical analysis on the monthly chart, and you will see a detailed graphic representation of it. Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Xanrox
29
XRP and the US Coinbase Trader Participation GapCoinbase recently relisted XRP and with that, a trading gap appeared, but interestingly enough, if you look at just the price action that US traders participated in via Coinbase, you will find that XRP has indeed completed an AB=CD move. On the other hand, the original target was 2 dollars when looking at the price action globally, but I think the US trade data is most likely to take precedence over the global data, and due to that, I have plotted an ABCD on the left chart that ignores all the non-US data and only includes the data in which the US was involved in. Doing this ends up making our ABCD PCZ a 1.13, which lands just under 1 dollar. As typical, the profit target for such a pattern would be back to the level of C, so in this case, around 20 cents, which would fill the US Gap.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by RizeSenpai
Bitcoin is ready to reach a new all time high! (Buy now)Bitcoin finally revealed its direction and its bullish. On the chart we can see 2 parallel channels. The first one is currently breaking out and there is no doubt that the second parallel channel will break as well. Next resistance is exactly at the top of the first parallel channel, I am expecting a pullback from this strong dynamic line. From the Elliott Wave perspective, the WXYXZ corrective pattern is now confirmed, so this is also a very bullish sign for the next weeks and months! On the 1h chart I can spot a strong buying activity from whales, so this also adds to my bullish bias. When new all time-high? And what is the ultimate target for this bull run in 2024/2025? I will reveal my strong technical analysis in the next post, so make sure you follow my account! Right now it's strongly recommended to trade with the bullish trend, that means only long strategies and do not short Bitcoin on the futures market. This will increase the probability of success for your trades. I am bullish as all bearish scenarios were invalidated.
Long
by Xanrox
29
BTCUSD: Monthly BHG Confirmed; Now Targeting $146,000 - $174,000Bitcoin after bouncing from a Bullish Cypher PCZ and Breaking out of a Falling Wedge has back tested the wedge as support and has closed bullishly above the backtest and now we have a confirmed Break-Hook-and-Go on the monthly timeframe as well as Hidden Bullish Divergence on the MACD. If this is truly the bottom then I would think Bitcoin is likely to complete an AB=CD BAMM that will take it to a 1.618 Fibonacci Extension which sits at $173,805
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by RizeSenpai
Bitcoin - Life time opportunity, buy now, new ATH soon!Bitcoin is forming this bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, and we have a lifetime opportunity to buy Bitcoin at the bottom of the flag. What's more, we have a long-term trendline starting in October 2023, which is another reason to buy Bitcoin in confluence with multiple technical indicators. A lot of people are calling for Bitcoin winter, but I don't think so. I see the recent price action as a great buying opportunity on the other side.  It is always important to do an Elliott Wave technical analysis to see the full picture. From my point of view, Bitcoin has formed and completed the WXYXZ triple-three corrective pattern inside this bullish flag. What you want to do as a trader is trade a breakout above the flag or buy at the bottom of the flag, potentially trading a breakout of the last Z wave. Another reason why I think Bitcoin is bottoming out is the chart of Ethereum. This is probably one of the best indicators for Bitcoin, so we cannot miss doing analysis on it. You can check out my analysis of ETH in one of my previous posts, but I can tell you now that the crash was pretty strong (more than 30%) and we are in a bull market, so we definitely want to buy the DIP and prepare for another huge wave to the upside. Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Long
by Xanrox
87
Bitcoin - new ATH soon. Best time to buy nowBitcoin looks very strong at this moment. We can see that the price is breaking out of the descending parallel channel on the daily chart. The price is above the channel and has already retested the downward-sloping trendline. We should see a strong pump from the current price.  Why is bitcoin pumping? From a technical perspective, it's pretty easy to say. Take a look at the previous price action. We have a false breakout below the key levels; it was a bear trap created by market makers to get as much liquidity as possible for their huge orders, as they cannot simply do so whenever they want.  From the Elliott Wave perspective, there is nothing bearish at this moment. I see that the corrective pattern WXYXZ has been completed, and we are starting a brand new impulse wave to the upside. The next target is around 71k because we have his important red trendline, so make sure you are aware of it. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Xanrox
43
Short-Term Resistance Calling for Attention on USD/JPYSince topping at ¥156.77 on 14 May, short-term price action on the H1 chart for the USD/JPY has exhibited a downside bias. Of late, as you can see, recent flow chalked up a pullback from a low of ¥153.60 and has initiated the process of forming the D-leg of an ‘alternate’ AB=CD bearish formation at ¥154.95 (marked by a 1.618% Fibonacci projection ratio). The rationale behind selecting this alternate pattern, and not the 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio (or the equidistant AB-CD), is simply down to the confluence that the 1.618% Fibonacci projection attracts: a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio at ¥154.97 and a nearby 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio at ¥154.81.
Short
by FPMarkets
Bitcoin - Ultimate bottom will be here, but now 13% crash!The price action of Bitcoin is relatively boring on the higher time frames, why is that? The answer to this question may be that summer is almost here, and statistically, Bitcoin has been going sideways pretty much every summer. Usually, the fun begins in August/September, when the volatility comes into the market.  What can we expect from Bitcoin in the following weeks? I am expecting a 13% crash because we need to hit the major red trendline on the daily chart. This trendline should hold the price of Bitcoin to the end of the bull market, so you want to buy every touch of it! We also have a 200-daily moving average that is currently pretty much at the same price as the mentioned trendline. The 200-MA is considered a strong dynamic support or resistance from huge institutions and hedge funds, so you definitely want to keep an eye on it.  The price of Bitcoin is inside the bullish flag pattern, as you can see on the chart. This is a pretty strong confluence with the trendline to buy cheaper Bitcoin. Right now, I am bearish and expecting lower prices in the next few days and weeks. The bulls still need to show more strength before I can turn bullish. The best option seems to be to be patient and buy at the touch of the major red trendline! You can also place a high-leverage trade here if you trade futures. Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Short
by Xanrox
29