Get started

Abcpattern

SUI — Breakout or Breakdown? Long & Short SetupsSUI has been trapped in a trading range for the past 6 days, consolidating between key levels and building up liquidity for the next big move. When price goes quiet like this after an impulsive structure, it’s not time to trade—it’s time to observe, analyse, and prepare. So, where’s the next high-probability setup? Let’s break it down: 🔹 Elliott Wave Context From my previous SUI analysis, I identified a completed 5-wave impulse structure. After such a move, a corrective ABC pattern is typically next. SUI has been respecting technical levels with surprising accuracy throughout this cycle—especially Fibonacci levels and key horizontal zones. 📉 ABC Correction in Progress? Wave A appears to be completed, and Wave B was rejected at the yearly level in perfect confluence with the golden pocket (0.618–0.666) retracement of Wave A. This strongly suggests that Wave C is now unfolding. Using the 1:1 trend-based Fib extension, the projected Wave C target lands at: ➡️ $3.6413 Let’s dig deeper—does this level hold up under further scrutiny? 🔍 Multi-Layered Confluence at $3.56–$3.64 Here’s what aligns at this potential support zone: 1:1 Fib extension (Wave A = Wave C) → $3.6413 0.55 Fib retracement (from $3.1132 to $4.2967) → ~$3.64 Volume Profile POC from prior range → ~$3.59 0.618 Fib retracement → $3.5653 Weekly level → $3.5594 21-Day EMA → $3.5537 21-Day SMA → $3.6319 0.75 Fib Speed Fan (if hit on May 16) → aligns with zone This stack of levels gives us a tightly packed, high-conviction support area between: 📍 $3.56 – $3.646 ___________________________________ 🟢 Long Setup Idea: Entry Zone: Ladder entries between $3.56 and $3.75 Stop-Loss: $3.4546 (beneath confluence zone) Take-Profit Target: $4.588 (0.786 Fib retracement + -0.236 Fib extension) R:R: ~5:1 🚫 Invalidation: If SUI reclaims the yearly level at $4.1152 before revisiting this support, the setup is invalidated. 🔴 Short Setup Idea: If SUI pushes into the 0.786 Fib retracement at $4.588 and shows clear rejection (e.g., SFP, bearish engulfing, high-volume reversal), a short can be considered. Entry: On rejection at $4.588 Stop-Loss: ~$4.714 Targets: TP1: $4.325 (recent highs) TP2: $4.1152 (yearly level) 🧠 Final Thoughts: This is where trading becomes a game of patience. I’ve mapped both long and short setups based on structure, confluence, and price behaviour. Now it’s about waiting for price to come to your levels. ⏰ Alarms set. 📈 Let the chart do the work. More updates to come as the range resolves. Stay sharp! ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
COINBASE:SUIUSDLong
by SiDec
12
BTC Back to $100K — The Final Dip Before All-Time Highs?Bitcoin has been trading slowly and steadily just below its all-time high at $109588. The key question now is: 💭 Is BTC ready to break through and print a new all-time high? Or does it need one more dip before liftoff? Let’s break it down. Elliott Wave Structure & Market Context BTC recently completed a clean 5-wave impulsive structure, with Wave 5 topping out into a major resistance zone. That confluence included: Value Area High (VAH) Weekly resistance Daily multi-level clusters Final resistance zone before price discovery After multiple rejections from this zone, BTC lacked the momentum for a breakout — so a retracement was expected. And that’s what we’re now seeing: a textbook ABC correction. 📉 ABC Correction Breakdown ✅ Wave A: Dropped sharply, nearly tapping the psychological $100K level ✅ Wave B: Retraced into the prior resistance band between $106133 and $104464 — rejected perfectly off the 0.786 Fib of Wave A 🔄 Wave C: Now unfolding To project the potential bottom of Wave C, we use the trend-based Fib extension (Wave A = Wave C). The 1:1 extension lands at: 🎯 $99875 — Right at the $100K psychological magnet Add this confluence: 🟢 Key swing high at $99475 ✅ 0.5 Fib retracement of the entire 5-wave rally 🔍 Psychological Level: $100K 🔑 Liquidity and demand zone This makes the $99K–$101K area a strong, high-conviction support zone. 🟢 Long Trade Setup Entry zone: Ladder between $101K – $99K Stop-loss: Below GETTEX:97K Target: New all-time high at $109588 R:R: ~3:1+ Structure: Correction into high-confluence zone + psychological level = high probability setup 📌 Summary: BTC likely finishing Wave C of ABC correction $100K = confluence of Fib, structure, psychology, and liquidity Setup is simple: Wait for price to retest this zone and trigger your plan If this level holds, BTC may be ready to attempt a breakout into price discovery Let the chart come to you — and trade the reaction, not the anticipation. 📉🔁📈 ____________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
16
MSTR | Back to 120s / Double Digits | FractalPrice action blew off to a high around $540 and since then closed back under the historical close. The goal here is to see price action consolidate under resistance in the preparation for a major sell-off To invalidate all of this I would like to see more of an accumulation pattern back above major resistance, but if we see an increase in aggressive selling then price will be hunting for at least $120. Price action also looked a bit familiar to the 2021 sell-off with the same blow-off-top and a ABC pattern breakdown After the C sell-off price retraced back to B and then finally flushed out back to major support Current price action has pretty much done the first phase and we should expect some consolidation before the next big move.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Nathanl19
DEEP - Finding The Next Trade SetupDEEP recently took out the January 13, 2025 low at $0.12345 with a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP), followed by a successful retest. This led to a bounce that hit a key level at $0.12141, presenting a solid long opportunity with minimal risk. After this, the market turned bullish, forming a 5-wave structure and rallying to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.18643 (measured from the $0.20473 high to the $0.11922 low). This was a key take-profit zone for longs and a great short opportunity. Adding confluence, the anchored VWAP also acted as resistance just above at $0.19, offering another low-risk short setup. Additionally, a key resistance level at $0.1809 further reinforced the rejection zone. Current Price Action & Short Setup From the 0.786 Fib retracement, DEEP retraced 20% downward, nearly touching the 0.618 retracement of the 5-wave structure before bouncing. Now, price is finding resistance at the golden pocket (0.618 at $0.17347 and 0.666 at $0.17534) of the recent drop, aligning perfectly with the daily 21 EMA ($0.1757) and daily SMA ($0.17347). This setup suggests an ABC corrective move is forming. Using the trend-based Fibonacci extension, the 0.786 extension aligns with the 0.618 retracement at $0.1457, creating a strong short setup. Short Entry: Between $0.17347 - $0.17534 Target: $0.1457 (0.786 trend-based Fib extension / 0.618 retracement) Stop Loss: $0.1845 Risk/Reward: 2.5:1 There’s also potential to extend the target to the 1:1 trend-based Fib extension at $0.13733, but this would depend on price action. Potential Long Setup If price reaches the $0.1457 support zone, this could present a high-probability long opportunity. Entry: Around $0.1457 Risk/Reward: 2:1 or better, but confirmation is needed before executing the trade
Short
by SiDec
4
BTC to new high...It seems that BTC to be at the beginning of wave c:B. price is supported in green zone that it includes fibonacci 1.618 of wave W and fibonacci 0.5 of wave a:B and fibonacci 1.272 wave X. I expect that price to rise to red zone that it includes fibonacci 1.38 and fibonacci 1.23 of wave A and fibonacci 1 of wave a:B. after that price completes the extended flat pattern in red zone, I expect the price to decline below the end of wave A and probably below 80,000.
Long
by Mr_elliottt
SOL Trade Setups: Key Levels to Watch for Big Moves!Solana has been on an impressive run, hitting a new all-time high (ATH) at $295. The previous ATH from 2021 at $260, along with the recent swing high of $264.63 (December 2024), are now acting as key resistance levels. Bulls are struggling to break above the $260 range and we’re seeing some bearish control as SOL trades below the weekly open, never a great sign for upward momentum. Short Trade Setup It’s looking like SOL could be in an ABC pattern, working on wave C. Here’s a potential short trade setup: Entry: Around $260 if price revisits that zone. Stop Loss: Above $270. Take Profit: $220, where strong support lies. R:R Ratio: About 3:1. If you’re already short, congrats! If not, $260 could be your next chance to jump in. Support Zone and Long Setup There’s plenty of support stacking up between $220 and $217, making it a great zone to consider for a long position: Point of Control (POC): At $218.50, from the November-January range Fib Levels: The 0.786 trend-based Fib extension is at $220.23 The 0.618 retracement (low of $169 to high of $295) is at $217.27 EMAs: The 200 and 233 EMAs on the 4H chart line up nicely with the $217 level Channel Support: The median line from $264 to $169 also lands around $217 Long Setup Plan Entry: Ladder longs between $220 and $217 Stop Loss: Below $217, maybe around $214 Take Profit 1: $239 for a mid-range bounce Take Profit 2: Move your SL to entry and let the rest ride for bigger gains Patience is Key Whether you’re waiting for $260 to short or $220 to long, the setups are there, now it’s about watching the levels and being patient. Both trades offer solid risk-to-reward ratios, so no need to rush in. Stay ready and let’s see how this plays out!
COINBASE:SOLUSDShort
by SiDec
4
HBAR’s Next Support and Resistance TargetsHBAR hit a key high at $0.3922 but faced rejection, suggesting the formation of a trading range or a potential ABC corrective structure. A developing head and shoulders pattern further signals possible bearish momentum in the short term. Key levels and trade setups: Short Setup: Entry: Around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the current wave Stop Loss: Above the $0.3922 key high Take Profit: Targeting the Fib Retracement 0.382 at $0.34356 R:R: A favorable 5:1 if taken from the 0.618 retracement or 2:1 when entering after losing the dOpen Support Zone: Anchored VWAP, weekly level and Fibonacci speed fan 0.618, depending on timing, align near $0.34356–$0.33284. This confluence provides a robust area for potential price bounces. Long Setup: Entry: Within the support zone, contingent on bullish confirmation Stop Loss: Below the support zone
Short
by SiDec
LTC Trade Zones: Short or Long?LTC has been making some moves recently, with a solid rise getting close to a key high. But the current price action hints at an ABC corrective structure, so a pullback could be on the way. Short Setup: Entry: Between the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the current wave Stop Loss: $141.4 (the previous high) Target: $130.7 R:R: About 2:1 Long Setup: Entry: Around $130, with confirmation Stop Loss: $126.45 Targets: First at $134 Second at $147 (the key high) R:R: A nice 5:1 potential Why These Levels? The $130 support zone lines up with the 1:1 Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension ($130.29) It’s also near a previous swing high, adding more weight to it as a strong level Plan: If price moves into the retracement zone, a short trade targeting $130 makes sense If it hits the $130 support and shows strength, a long setup targeting $134 and $147 could be a great play
Short
by SiDec
DOGE’s Next Move: Key Levels to WatchAfter a remarkable bull run from September to December 2024, DOGE concluded its rally with a rising wedge pattern, a sign of exhaustion. This structure also marked the completion of a 5-wave Elliott structure. The breakdown from the wedge came with a clean retest, followed by a significant drop. Current Market Outlook The new year began with a bullish rise, reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.364 (drawn from the high at $0.48434 to the low at $0.26216), a great short setup. Presently, DOGE appears to be forming an ABC corrective structure, with wave C in progress. Additionally, a Head and Shoulders pattern is developing, with the neckline sitting close to the yearly open at $0.316. Support and Confluence Zones 1.) Fibonacci Level: The 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement of the 5-wave structure is positioned at $0.2353, which aligns with the Head and Shoulders target for strong confluence. 2.) Fair Value Gap (FVG): There is an unfilled FVG and November’s untested high at $0.22888, which adds significant support confluence. 3.) Trend-Based Fib Extension: Using the Trend-Based Fib Extension from wave B, the 0.786 Fib lies near the $0.2353 - $0.22888 range for further alignment. 4.) Monthly Level: The monthly level at $0.22 strengthens the case for this zone being a critical support area. 5.) Fib Speed Fan: If price drops to the $0.2353 - $0.22 region between January 17th and the end of the month, the 0.75 Speed Fan Fibonacci will also align with the support zone, further emphasising its importance as the fair value trend line. Trade Setups Short Setup: Entry: Around the $0.397 0.618 Fib Retracement level Stop Loss: Above $0.43 Take Profit: Targeting around $0.25/24 Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ~5:1 Potential Long Setup: Entry: Within the $0.2353 - $0.22 support zone (confirmation needed) Stop Loss: Below $0.22 Take Profit: Targeting around $0.275
Short
by SiDec
Is ZEN Preparing for a Bounce? Key Levels to WatchZEN recently broke down from a 10-day descending triangle, signaling bearish continuation with strong selling volume. This triangle forms the B wave of an ABC corrective pattern, indicating further downside is likely before any potential reversal. Let’s dive into the technical details and key levels to watch. Key Observations and Levels: 1.) Descending Triangle Breakdown: The measured move target of the descending triangle lies at $18.7, aligning perfectly with multiple confluences: The 0.702 Fibonacci retracement from the recent lows. The previous trading range highs, adding historical support to this level. 2.) Fair Value Gap (FVG): Back in December, ZEN broke out of its previous trading range, leaving an unfilled FVG around $19.5, our previous high on December 7th, 2024. This gap represents a significant area where price may return before resuming its trend. 3.) Support Zone – $20 to $18.7: The $20 psychological level is a key point and aligns with our support trendline from previous lows. The Fibonacci negative 1 extension of the descending triangle also targets $18.7, further reinforcing this level as a significant support. 4.) Trade Setup: The $20–$18.7 zone presents a strong support area with multiple confluences, making it a favourable entry point for a long position. However, confirmation is essential! Watch for bullish candle patterns and volume signals before entering. Conclusion: ZEN’s breakdown from the descending triangle suggests further downside, but the $20–$18.7 zone offers a robust support area with several technical alignments: Fibonacci retracements, the descending triangle target, historical range highs and an unfilled FVG. This zone presents an attractive long opportunity, provided confirmation signals are present. Monitor the price action closely in this range to capitalise on a potential bounce. Happy trading everyone!
Long
by SiDec
ZEN - Is It Time for a Correction?It appears that ZEN is in the process of forming a potential ABC corrective structure: Wave A and Wave B Context: Wave A (5 impulsive waves down) is complete, forming the foundation of this corrective pattern. Wave B retracement is currently unfolding, heading toward the golden pocket zone (Fib 0.618 - 0.666). If price extends further to Fib 0.786, this would offer the best short entry with minimal risk and high reward potential. Ideal Short Entry Zone: The golden pocket (Fib 0.618 - 0.666) is identified as the optimal area for initiating short positions. For added precision, consider laddering entries from Fib 0.618 up to Fib 0.786, especially during fast impulses. Wave C Target Zone: The projected Wave C target remains the 1:1 trend-based Fibonacci extension at $24.46, with the following key confluences: Anchored VWAP at $29 Point of Control (POC) from the old trading range Psychological level of $30 Fib speed fan 0.618 aligning with the support zone Trading Plan Short Setup: Ladder short entries in the Fib 0.618 - 0.786 zone, monitoring price action for confirmation. Aim for Wave C completion around the $30-$29 support zone Long Setup (Wave C Completion): Watch for signs of reversal at the $30-$29 support zone, which offers significant confluence for long entries.
Short
by SiDec
11
VIRTUAL - Short Setup with 30% PotentialWe are currently observing a completed 5-wave structure and the emergence of wave A, which found support around $2.5. Now, price action is forming wave B, which aligns with a resistance area marked by the Fib 0.618 retracement and the daily level. Trade Setup: Short Entry: For a riskier entry, you can enter now and ladder your position up to the Fib 0.618 and 0.718 levels. A stop loss should be placed above the 0.786 Fib for protection. Head and Shoulders Projection: Using the bar pattern and the length of the left shoulder, we estimate that wave C will form over the next 2-3 days, confirming the head and shoulders setup. Take Profit Target: Low at $2.3266 – First target for securing profits. Overall Target: The 0.618 Fib retracement of the entire 5-wave structure at $2.1002. Risk-Reward (R:R): Potential for 3:1 and 5:1 trades, offering a gain of 20% - 30%. Additional Notes: If dOpen is lost with volume confirmation, this provides an opportunity to add to the short position. With the holiday season approaching, this short setup allows for some time off the screen while still capitalizing on market movements. This setup offers an excellent blend of risk and reward, with options for both aggressive and conservative short entries. Happy trading.
Short
by SiDec
7
XLMUSDT - ABC correctionXLM had an increase of over +600% in just 20 days followed by a 15-day consolidation phase suggests an exhaustion of the previous trend. The sideways movement aligns with an ABC correction, where wave C is likely unfolding. Key Levels and Confluence Trend-Based Fibonacci Extensions: 1:1 Target for Wave C: $0.3873 Key Support Zone: $0.3725−$0.3873 Market Sentiment Lack of Volume: Reflects reduced interest from buyers, confirming a bearish bias. Below Weekly and Monthly Opens: These levels often act as dynamic resistance, showing bears are in control for now.
Short
by SiDec
4
ACHR: Long Position @ Wave 5 (Elliot)Step 1: Ride the Wave 5 Momentum ACHR is about to start its Wave 5 rally, offering an excellent short-term long opportunity. Currently we're in the middle of Wave 4 and we will likely experience 3 to 5 days of accumulation/indecision before Wave 5 starts. Let’s break it down: Slow Stochastic Bullish Momentum The Slow Stoch oscillator is signaling strong bullish momentum, albeit in overbought territory. This is typical during Wave 5 and suggests further upside potential before the trend exhausts. Staying with the momentum while it lasts can be very rewarding. Massive Volume Spike In the last three weeks, ACHR has seen a significant increase in volume, indicating strong buying interest. Volume often leads price, and this kind of activity strengthens the case for continued upward movement. The surge in interest can drive the stock toward its next key resistance around $9.84. Fundamental Catalysts Driving Momentum Recently, ACHR has achieved major milestones, such as progress on FDA approvals and securing new contracts and orders. These developments add to the bullish sentiment, attracting more traders and creating a supportive backdrop for the rally. Trade Execution: Enter a long position now to take advantage of the current momentum and aim for a target near $9.84 (the resistance zone). Consider tightening your stop-loss to protect profits as the stock approaches this level. Step 2: Exit, Wait for the ABC Correction, and Re-Enter for a Bigger Move After completing Wave 5, the market is likely to enter a corrective ABC phase. This is where it’s smart to exit your position and wait on the sidelines. Why? The correction will likely bring the price down to a more attractive level, allowing for a better risk-reward setup for the next big move. Once the ABC correction concludes, re-entering around the key support zone sets up a new long opportunity with an eye toward the Q1 2025 target of $12. The long-term fundamentals of ACHR and its growing momentum in the market make this a high-probability setup. Trade Execution: Watch for the corrective phase after Wave 5 completes. Use Fibonacci retracement levels or support zones to identify a potential re-entry point.
NYSE:ACHRLong
by felipegomesbwm