Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,330 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,330 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Abcpattern
HYPE — How to Combine Fibonacci, VWAP and Market StructureAfter an explosive +392% rally in just 70 days — from $9.298 to a peak of $45.8 — HYPE has entered a consolidation range as expected. Structurally, this appears to be a 5-wave impulse now transitioning into a corrective ABC pattern. Based on current structure, we may now be forming wave B.
What’s Unfolding Now?
A potential Head & Shoulders pattern is developing, with price currently working on the right shoulder. The $40 mark stands out as a key resistance — both technically and psychologically:
0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the down move sits at $40.108
Structural resistance from prior highs
Ideal area for a short rejection
🎯 Short Setup:
Entry: Laddered short between 0.618 ($40.108) and 0.786 ($42.611)
Stop-Loss: Above $44 (after rejection adjust to entry)
Target: $28–$27 zone
R:R potential: 1:3 up to 1:9 depending on entry quality
📍 Why $28–$27 Is Key Support:
0.5 Fibonacci retracement of entire +392% rally sits at $27.549
Anchored VWAP from the rally origin ($9.298) aligns around this zone
Weekly & Monthly S/R convergence
VAH (Value Area High)
0.618 Fibonacci Speed Fan also aligns as dynamic support
Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies in this region
Weekly 21 EMA at $28.05/Weekly 21 SMA at $24.10 — both key moving averages providing layered support and trend structure
📐 Bonus Confluence Insight:
If this is indeed wave B, then projecting a 0.786/1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension from wave A aligns well with the 0.5 fib retracement at $27.5.
📚 Educational Insight:
Stacking confluences such as Fibonacci retracements, anchored VWAPs, volume zones, EMA/SMA levels, and harmonic structures helps identify high-probability zones where smart money is likely to act. These levels become even more powerful when they align across multiple tools and timeframes. Always confirm with price action.
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Gold: Breakout and Potential Retrace!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a selling opportunity around 3,390 zone, Gold was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,390 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCAD is Nearing The Daily Trend!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.36950 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.36950 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.60000 zone, NZDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.600000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NASDAQ Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a selling opportunity around 21,700 zone, NASDAQ was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 21,700 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD – Follow-Up UpdateEURUSD traded above the 1.1573 level on Thursday, marking a second break to the upside following the earlier trend-changing pattern — a potential sign of bullish continuation.
However, on the 1H/M15 chart, we've observed a minor ABC corrective decline (pullback). We’re now watching for a break below 1.1511, which could signal the start of a short-term bearish move.
🎯 Short-Term Target:
The next key level is 1.1214, a weekly structural support zone and the low of the previous trend-changing pattern.
📌 Key Zones to Watch:
Bearish confirmation: Break below 1.1511
Medium-term target: 1.1214
Stay alert to price action around these levels.
Trade safe, and have a blessed weekend.
Ripple is Approaching An Important ResistanceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XRPUSDT for a selling opportunity around 2.25 zone, Ripple is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2.25 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AVAX/USDT Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AVAX/USDT for a buying opportunity around 22.00 zone, AVAX.USDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 22.00 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SUI/USDT is Nearing an Important Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring SUI/USDT for a buying opportunity around 3.2460 zone, SUI/USDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3.2460 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SUI — Breakout or Breakdown? Long & Short SetupsSUI has been trapped in a trading range for the past 6 days, consolidating between key levels and building up liquidity for the next big move. When price goes quiet like this after an impulsive structure, it’s not time to trade—it’s time to observe, analyse, and prepare.
So, where’s the next high-probability setup?
Let’s break it down:
🔹 Elliott Wave Context
From my previous SUI analysis, I identified a completed 5-wave impulse structure. After such a move, a corrective ABC pattern is typically next.
SUI has been respecting technical levels with surprising accuracy throughout this cycle—especially Fibonacci levels and key horizontal zones.
📉 ABC Correction in Progress?
Wave A appears to be completed, and Wave B was rejected at the yearly level in perfect confluence with the golden pocket (0.618–0.666) retracement of Wave A. This strongly suggests that Wave C is now unfolding.
Using the 1:1 trend-based Fib extension, the projected Wave C target lands at:
➡️ $3.6413
Let’s dig deeper—does this level hold up under further scrutiny?
🔍 Multi-Layered Confluence at $3.56–$3.64
Here’s what aligns at this potential support zone:
1:1 Fib extension (Wave A = Wave C) → $3.6413
0.55 Fib retracement (from $3.1132 to $4.2967) → ~$3.64
Volume Profile POC from prior range → ~$3.59
0.618 Fib retracement → $3.5653
Weekly level → $3.5594
21-Day EMA → $3.5537
21-Day SMA → $3.6319
0.75 Fib Speed Fan (if hit on May 16) → aligns with zone
This stack of levels gives us a tightly packed, high-conviction support area between:
📍 $3.56 – $3.646
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🟢 Long Setup Idea:
Entry Zone: Ladder entries between $3.56 and $3.75
Stop-Loss: $3.4546 (beneath confluence zone)
Take-Profit Target: $4.588 (0.786 Fib retracement + -0.236 Fib extension)
R:R: ~5:1
🚫 Invalidation: If SUI reclaims the yearly level at $4.1152 before revisiting this support, the setup is invalidated.
🔴 Short Setup Idea:
If SUI pushes into the 0.786 Fib retracement at $4.588 and shows clear rejection (e.g., SFP, bearish engulfing, high-volume reversal), a short can be considered.
Entry: On rejection at $4.588
Stop-Loss: ~$4.714
Targets:
TP1: $4.325 (recent highs)
TP2: $4.1152 (yearly level)
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This is where trading becomes a game of patience. I’ve mapped both long and short setups based on structure, confluence, and price behaviour. Now it’s about waiting for price to come to your levels.
⏰ Alarms set.
📈 Let the chart do the work.
More updates to come as the range resolves. Stay sharp!
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