Accumulation
EUR/USD: PAT + VPA 10/02/2024Good afternoon,
Today, my focus will be on identifying long entries for a long position, as we appear to have reached a selling climax.
On the 15-minute time frame, a robust demand zone is evident between 1.0300 and 1.0400. The market has made a significant move towards 1.0300, leaving indications of early buying activity from "Market Makers." A notable reversal occurred on October 1st, followed by the formation of a bullish wedge (which is typically a bearish pattern) that pushed the market below the previous low. Currently, we are beginning to form a triangle on the 15-minute chart, which serves as a critical signal for a potential market reversal, particularly since it has not managed to fill the liquidity above it. This downward movement seems designed to eliminate the remaining sellers and early buyers. Additionally, my strategy, "High Clear," has materialized, suggesting that a liquidity sweep of the recent low was anticipated.
I am now monitoring the fourth leg of the triangle as it approaches the lower congestion line, preparing for a potential breakout with the fifth leg. It is important to note that if a sixth leg forms, it would indicate a continuation of the market trend.
I suspect that the market is attempting to prompt traders to shift to short positions, setting the stage for one final significant rally towards 1.1300. I anticipate that the market could reach this level in the coming weeks, unless we observe the formation of a six-legged triangle.
The Pip Assassin
FX:EURUSD TVC:DXY XETR:DAX
RNDR Long Position (Accumulation Phase)Market Context: RNDR has been through an extended markdown phase, with market makers taking profits, driving prices down to fair value. Now, the market appears to be in an accumulation phase, where most of the weak hands have exited. This creates an opportunity for strategic entry, positioning for the next bullish move.
Trade Setup:
Entry: $4.70 - $5.30
Take Profit:
First target: $6.30
Second target: $7.50
Third target: $9.00
Stop Loss: Daily close below $4.50
This trade aims to capitalize on the potential accumulation phase as RNDR prepares for a possible move higher. #RNDR #Crypto #Accumulation #PriceAction #Trading
Stonks go Up..Here's an Aggressive One. buy (risk capital) at 1 cent or 2, Wait for the Triple!!!
-Earnings on Aug. 20th.
-Net Income accelerating.
-Have reduced their debt to Virtually zil.
(Positive revenue. picking-up.)
.43 Quick Ratio
-Not a done Deal, though, company still needs to deliver
-good risk/reward ratio for a 'small' amount of Risk capital.
ENSV very quiet...Consolidating leads to expansion!
I'll keep DCA up when I get some other good wins.
I dont believe we have see the bottom and the previous high is to be taken out. I do not believe that the ATH will get taken out nor will we double top.
I can see Oil to retrace down to $30-45 on my crystal ball. The current administration will continue to gut the strategic Reserves here in America and will cease to give any grants or funding to the oil industry. They are going to push their stupid ass green agenda and cause so many people in corporations to go near bankrupt. It'll end up almost being like a horror movie for many people but if this company survives it should thrive. Also after oil hits around 30 to $40 I think that we could see 160 on the table per barrel.
NOTHING I SAY IS FINANCIAL ADVICE CAN GO TO ZERO I WAS JUST A DUMB ROUGHNECK AND MWD IN THE INDUSTRY AND MY GRANDFATHER HAD AN OIL COMPANY AND MY PARENTS WERE ENGINEERS...
ENSV very quiet...Consolidating leads to expansion!
I'll keep DCA up when I get some other good wins.
I dont believe we have see the bottom and the previous high is to be taken out. I do not believe that the ATH will get taken out nor will we double top.
I can see Oil to retrace down to $30-45 on my crystal ball. The current administration will continue to gut the strategic Reserves here in America and will cease to give any grants or funding to the oil industry. They are going to push their stupid ass green agenda and cause so many people in corporations to go near bankrupt. It'll end up almost being like a horror movie for many people but if this company survives it should thrive. Also after oil hits around 30 to $40 I think that we could see 160 on the table per barrel.
NOTHING I SAY IS FINANCIAL ADVICE CAN GO TO ZERO I WAS JUST A DUMB ROUGHNECK AND MWD IN THE INDUSTRY AND MY GRANDFATHER HAD AN OIL COMPANY AND MY PARENTS WERE ENGINEERS...
Really as Simple as it seems- Very simple case for NG bulls on a long (2-5 year) basis. Macro trend simplified with nothing more than trendlines
- Shorter term bear play will be described in another post
- NG appears to be making a Jesse Livermore accumulation megaphone pattern as it did in the 90s/2000s
1) red long term downtrend line broken to the upside and retested beautifully.
2) weekly chart shows higher highs and higher lows beginning to develop on a longer time frame after the nasty drop from 2021 highs to lows which bottomed in the 2$ vicinity.
3) Shorter term black trendline still providing resistance upon the 3rd test. Confirmation of a breakout here is yet to be seen (this was where the short play revolves around)
4) major resistance around the upper red horizontal line at roughly 3.19. Lesser resistance just below red horizontal line.
Conclusion: NG has been and continues to be extremely cheap historically.
As NG resolves these resistance zones it appears a 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8 megaphone pattern will generate as NG eventually reaches the 12-14$ area within the next few years.
Natural Gas expected to tag lower trendline and upper trendline of megaphone pattern accordingly with seasonality and resistance levels along the way.
Volatility is expected as the cylinder widens and price action becomes more erratic, though long term, the trend is bullish, but the Widowmaker is not for the faint of heart. Scaling in, and buying near lower trendline tags is likely most likely to increase probability of maximum profit.
Hamster Combat (HMSTR) Analysis: Acc, Dist & Whale Activity
💡 Overview :
Hamster Combat BITGET:HMSTRUSDT.P is currently presenting some strong opportunities for both accumulation and distribution . Based on key technical indicators and on-chain analysis, we have identified significant support zones for buying, as well as resistance levels for taking profits.
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Price and Market Dynamics:
📊 Current Price Levels : HMSTR has recently traded between $0.0045 and $0.0065 , showing that the market is cycling between accumulation (buying) and distribution (selling).
- Accumulation Zone : This is where buyers are entering the market, typically in the price range of $0.0045 - $0.0055 . This zone is a support level , meaning the price tends to bounce off these levels because there is high buying demand.
- Distribution Zone : This is where sellers (including large holders or whales) are exiting their positions, pushing the price down. For HMSTR, this zone lies at $0.0060 and above . This is a resistance level , meaning that as the price rises, it tends to hit this ceiling and fall back down due to increased selling pressure.
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📈 Accumulation Strategy:
- When to Buy : Accumulate HMSTR in the range of $0.0045 to $0.0055 , where it's supported by buy orders and the market sees it as undervalued.
- Why this matters : This is a low-risk entry point because the downside is limited by the strong support here.
- How to do it : Place buy orders in the accumulation zone and plan to hold through the coming upward move.
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### 📉 Distribution Strategy:
- When to Sell : The distribution zone lies at **$0.0065 and above**, where whales start to exit their positions. If you're holding, this is an ideal zone to take profits .
- Why this matters : Selling in this zone locks in profits before the price faces resistance and selling pressure pushes it back down.
- How to do it : Sell a portion of your holdings as the price approaches $0.0065 - $0.0070 , where we see heavy whale activity.
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### 🐋 Whale Activity:
- Whales (large holders) have been accumulating between $0.0050 and $0.0060 , signaling their belief in the asset's long-term value. When whales accumulate, it typically means they expect the price to rise.
- However, whale outflows are being observed near $0.0070 , meaning these large holders are taking profits here. This creates strong resistance at that level.
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⚙️ Key Technical Indicators:
1. MVRV Ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) :
- Low MVRV signals that HMSTR is undervalued , a prime accumulation opportunity.
- Action : Buy when MVRV is low for long-term growth.
2. NVT Ratio (Network Value to Transaction Volume) :
- A declining NVT means the network is growing faster than the transaction volume, often signaling a bullish market.
- Action : Look for long positions as network strength increases.
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📊 Take Profit and Stop Loss Levels:
- Take Profit :
- Short-Term : Sell at $0.0065 (previous resistance).
- Medium-Term : Sell more at $0.0070 (whale exit point).
- Stop Loss :
- Conservative traders should place a stop loss at $0.0047 .
- Aggressive traders can place it at $0.0050 for tighter risk control.
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Derivatives and Open Interest Analysis 📈:
- Open Interest is rising, indicating that more traders are entering the market, particularly in the derivatives space .
- Positive funding rates further suggest that long positions are dominating .
- Action : Expect potential price volatility due to this interest; ensure you're managing risk with stop losses and setting take profits at key resistance zones.
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Mini Report:
Hamster Combat (HMSTR) is showing clear accumulation and distribution patterns based on whale activity and technical indicators. Accumulation is ideal between $0.0045 and $0.0055 , where whales and long-term holders are buying in. The distribution zone begins around $0.0065 , with selling pressure intensifying near $0.0070 due to whale outflows.
Key technical indicators, such as the MVRV Ratio (signaling undervaluation) and the NVT Ratio (reflecting network growth), support a bullish outlook in the short term. However, risk management is essential, with stop losses recommended at $0.0047 for conservative traders.
Actions Explained: :
- 📉 Accumulation (Buying) : This is when you want to enter at lower prices, like the $0.0045 to $0.0055 range, because the market sees value here. The price is supported, and there's more buying pressure.
- 📈 Distribution (Selling) : Here’s where you take profits as the price hits $0.0065 - $0.0070 because whales are selling, creating resistance.
- 🐋 Whale Activity : Whales are big players who can move markets. When they accumulate, it’s a bullish signal, but when they sell at $0.0070 , it creates resistance .
- 💰 Take Profits and 🛑 Stop Losses : Set take profits at key resistance points to lock in gains and use stop losses to protect yourself from market drops.
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This detailed plan, backed by on-chain data and whale activity, offers a roadmap for navigating the HMSTR market. 📊 Follow the price zones and manage your risk , and you'll be set up for a successful trade... TradeGod_1111...
XAUUSD / SENSETIVE AREA TRADING - 4HXAUUSD / 4HTIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Yesterday: Gold prices declined by 1.70%.
Today: Prices began to recover, rising by 0.95%.Analysts expect a further increase in prices, potentially reaching gains of 1.50%
Gold is currently trading below a supply zone between $2,655 and $2,665. This zone represents a key resistance level, where sellers may dominate and prevent further price
If gold continues to trade below the $2,655–$2,665 supply zone, it could decline further, with support levels at $2,637 and $2,614.
If the price breaks above the supply zone, it may rise towards $2,686, a potential resistance level.
Despite the recent dip, the market is under bullish pressure, indicating that buyers are still in control and could push prices higher in the near future.
Supply Zone : 2,655 and 2,665$.
Demand Zone : 2,637$ and 2,614$.
XRP/USDT: A SLEEPING GIANT! 5-6X PROFIT POTENTIAL!!Hey everyone!
If you're enjoying this analysis, a thumbs up and follow would be greatly appreciated!
XRP looks very promising right now, breaking out from a weekly symmetrical triangle. Historically, similar breakouts have yielded returns of 6-7x, and I’m anticipating a similar outcome this time.
After being contained within this triangle for the last four years, this breakout could signal a significant upward movement. I recommend accumulating during dips.
Entry Range: $0.56 - $0.66
Short Term Target: $1.50 / $2.80
Mid Term Target: 4x - 5x
Long Term Target: 8x - 10x
Stop Loss: Weekly close below $0.50
What are your thoughts on XRP's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern? Share your analysis in the comments below!
SHIB/USDT Secondary trend. Channel. 14 months accumulation.Logarithm. Time frame 1 week for clarity of the channel range. 3 weeks ago, there was an exit of the price under the support of the accumulation channel by a large percentage. Many long positions were liquidated.
The chart shows the percentages from this reversal zone to the channel resistance, as well as the average profit percentage when exiting this accumulation channel from the average set price to the significant first resistance.
This is what the chart of this cryptocurrency looks like on a line chart without the “market noise” volatility.
Accumulation Zone. Pump/Dump and compliance with risk and money management.
Remember, this is a pamp/dump meme cryptocurrency, which even at -93% down from peak pumping and with a set zone of about 14 months (!) is at an inadequate profit. That's why follow risk management in your work.
It is more rational to work on such cryptocurrencies, not with stops (high volatility, slippage at high %, high probability of beaten out before price increase, the large value of stop is meaningless, they can beat out at -2% and -40%), and work from average buy/sell price (only spot!) with reasonable observance of money management.
Wyckoff accumulation Schematic 2 setting up in the market:My thoughts on the crypto market looking at the HTF to the LTF setups playing out in these lows in altcoins.
Im thinking we capitulated into HTF key demand levels and SSL in August for the august monthly candle leaving a large downside range in most pairs creating the sellers climax (SC) event with huge volume nodes and wicks, starting the initial phase of the accumulation process in this local range and stopping the previous trend.
We have then ranged further and reaccumulate in the August candle in key levels creating the AR, ST and UA events in the range. Then as we moved into the September monthly candle where we failed to run the august lows with the ST event in phase b, as seller volume droped off as price tests the range lows indicating a lack of sellers after the SC event, giving us a possible wyckoff accumulation model 2 taking place as shown in the schematic below.
In turn leaving SSL intact on the august lows below $49,500 which we may not run, whilst people expect another sweep lower to take the LTF range lows, not realising its a potential accumulation range setting up in a larger overall range from the capitulation, without the need for an external LQ sweep to the lows again.
Im seeing a lot of coins following last points of support in accumulation structures on the LTF in key levels, flipping LTF bullish on the daily and now pushing higher.
Im thinking we see a possible expansion set up for October Q4 out of the lows in line with LTF bullish structure, going from LTF bullish accumulation following last points of support (LPS) into new HTF bullish structure as we come into Q4.
Thats kinda how im seeing the market set up right now and im leaning towards not seeing a further crash lower into new lows and the prior August lows for the most part just yet and more so towards this being an accumulation range with a pullback to LPS before a new bullish move higher into ATHs
Island Gap Potential, Dark Pool Buy Zone, HFTsThis stock has the potential to form an island gap, which are caused by High Frequency Trading activity that triggers on news. The gap down was too huge, so fundamentals are above the current price. This would be a gap UP potential at this point, to create the island gap.
The lows have been established clearly, so selling short this stock is not wise. But smaller funds and retail may try, as they tend to sell short stocks within a Dark Pool buy zone. Chaikin Osc and Money Flow Index are moving upward but the angle of ascent on price is steeper. The faster price ascent could be rapid accumulation from derivative developers.
UIPath creates software for Robotic Process Automation. It was one of the stocks discussed in the Case Study I did with my students in the summer of 2022 on the disruptive new technologies to watch over the next decade.
BTC/USD: Ready to Break the Channel and Soar to 100K Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading within a well-defined descending channel for the past few weeks, showing signs of consolidation. However, several key indicators suggest that BTC is preparing for a breakout, potentially leading to a significant rally that could push the price toward the highly anticipated $100,000 level.
Bitcoin is on the verge of a significant breakout. All signs point to the beginning of a new bullish cycle, with a realistic path toward $100,000. Traders should watch closely for a decisive move above the channel, as this could mark the start of the next major leg up in BTC's journey.
Risk Management: As always, set appropriate stop losses and manage risk carefully. Volatility is inherent in crypto markets, and while the outlook is bullish, it’s essential to stay disciplined.
DISCLAIMER:
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. But you must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading
Why I won't be 'shaken' out of my Silver-accumulation longs
Please, check out my charts. The 4HR, Daily and Weekly.
How bullish is looking for Silver. Today's price-action has already taken out last weeks high.
I recommended to many of the traders following me here on TV, to get into a Long position(s) in Silver today. Why? Well without even speculating on the FED making it's move on interest rate reductions & where my personal view is the obvious one that the Gold price is going to skyrocket, notwithstanding this the Silver chart on the high T/F's is so bullish at the moment.
If one of the Gurus tells you to sell Gold or Silver at the moment and take TP, you are losing the compounding effect of accumulation IMHO. Just chuck on a loose trailing stop. But make it loose because the market-maker 'coats' will drive price down to your stop & take you out. I see it time and time again, which is why I generally only use 'soft-mental-stops'. I'd rather lose the lot myself than have a coat take me out.
BTC Ideasintresting PA.
PA Struggling to break Supply.
Range forming. Some ex still didn't took 1st tap - could indicate as re-accumulate neither distribution. But decent break of range Low (63.500) - would confirm distribution and possible po3 play. Targeting 48k
In case of re-Accumulation and Supply fail - ATH
BTC PA IdeasPrice tapped into crucial demand IMO.
If we hold it, a 4h MS remains bullish, after a dayli SFP.
Possible LTF Accumulation could happen here. Targeting 62700
If demand fails. High chanches to take HTF range Low one more time.
Possible MTF Accumulation cound happen. If price SFP and break some MS. Targeting ATH
Bitcoin (BTC) in Critical Consolidation PhaseMarket Observations:
Despite good news and rising equities, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is consolidating and moving sideways, which isn't a strong sign for bulls.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Level: $60,000 – This level must hold, or BTC could move towards the downside.
Breakout Level: $62,500 – A clean break above this level would demolish the bear thesis and likely trigger long FOMO in the markets.
Current Market Range:
BTC is still in a massive range, similar to summer 2023. If the fractal pattern follows, this accumulation phase could continue for another 35 days.
Market Outlook:
Stay cautious as BTC consolidates, and keep an eye on the key levels that could determine the next major move.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Cryptocurrency #SupportAndResistance #Consolidation #FOMO #Fractal #Accumulation
Smart ADA Accumulation: Prepare for the Best Opportunity Until 2Starting from the next few months, accumulate as much ADA Cardano as possible and stake it. We are entering the best accumulation phase, which should extend until May 2025. There is still plenty of time to accumulate! In the end, you will have an average price between 0.15 and 0.3 and keep some extra funds for the downturn.
BINANCE:ADAUSDT
CRYPTOCAP:ADA.D