Markup ActivatedMarkup was activated this morning above 1089.43
If we clear 1111 I expect explosive upside to 1713.53
If we clear 1713.53 by July 12 (7/12/2022), it can run to test resistance at 2333.93
If we clear 2333.93 by July 21st, the initial target becomes 2752.20 - can hit this by July 25th
Above 2752.20 (within this time window) and they invoke chaos with respect to demand. Goal target will become 3458.32 by 8/4/2022, but it can reach as high as 6189.97-7665.74 by October 27
This window of opportunity closes on 9/1/2022, after which the probability of being able to break resistance at 2333.93 begins to accelerate, and approaches 0 past October 27 2022. A realization of 2333.93 after Sep 1 will likely result in a rejection, followed by a downside move to a new low where they will re-attempt an accumulation setup that can end this corrective wave.
Accumulation
Bitcoin Weely NTV and Gaussian Channel signal accumulation timeThe idea is pretty straight forward. Some ideas are targeted at traders and others are targeted towards investors. This idea is targeted more towards investors than traders but it can be used by both.
Bitcoin is a decentralized payment network while also being the name of the native currency of that network and the satoshi is the smallest unit of currency. Compare that with the SWIFT payment system which uses the dollar as currency with the cent as the smallest unit of currency.
Sometimes the system is cheap to use, and sometimes the system is expensive to use based on the network fees. The NVT helps us find times when the network is undervalued in some conceptual way. What do investors want to do? Buy things when they are relatively cheap and sell them when they are relatively expensive. This NVT by aamonkey helps us do that.
Likewise the weekly gaussian channel also helps us identify when something can be undervalued historically and help us with some long term planning. Perhaps you find buying underneath the red Gaussian channel to risky, because of how low prices could continue to go. Maybe wait for prices to get back inside or above, depending on your risk tolerance and how you want to manage the stress of investing or trading.
Likewise the trendlines also give you some resistance to watch for break outs. I personally have some altcoins I have been watching for a while and I like how they are looking individually and against BTCUSD. I think I will be taking my investments on them for now and they will be in the linked ideas.
But either way I see it as time to accumulate, so I will.
TDOC (zoom in from bigger picture idea)I posted the bigger picture view in my previous post where I provided the context for this idea, which is my near-term projection with 2 most likely paths of price action from current level)... see context overview below:
To summarize:
- the main pattern I am watching is the completion of wave C of an expanded flat - this is potentially wave II of a larger cycle, invalidated if price drops below 9. A local bottom at 27.30 on May 12 fits the criteria as the 5th subwave of C of this expanded flat, which would make it a 2.00 retracement of wave B of that EF (wave B is also my primary wave 5 at the all time high (ATH) of 308 back in Feb. 2021.
- (1) - (2) of circle C was a double combo off correction off the ATH that broke down and has been forming the Z of a triple combo off the ATH that encompasses wave circle C of the expanded flat
- (3) - (4) of circle C ended in an expanding triangle around the 1.618 retracement of circle B, this resulted in a nasty gap down to the level that TDOC went public (~28).. this was necessary to realize the 5th and final count of circle C, and also to retest TDOCs IPO level for support.
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So now were here. The goal of the big money seems to accumulating shares and establishing a bottom at larger cycle wave II before beginning mark up. The move off the new low has the setup to be very explosive upside for a couple reasons:
- it will simultaneously complete the expanded flat correction and the primary corrective wave
- there is a massive gap to fill to the upside
- potential for short squeeze with over 23% float, and the entire market is a dangerous enviroment for shorts right now if names like TDOC, SPOT, EPAM, etc. (i.e. solid companies with significant near-term upside potential) trigger the squeeze
Here's what the chart and the math is telling me for TDOC - there is room next week to make a run to low-mid 40s (point target 46) and complete E of the new triangle forming at (5) of circle C. There is also evidence that wyckoff accumulation began after the gap down and is now in either phase b or c.
-if c, then the spring was just realized at D of the blue triangle, and the next thing we will see is a sign of strength to a level > blue A. Looking at the trendline resistance through the highs of blue A & C, TDOC just broke above that Friday 6/24, and made a low just above the resistance (indicating potential support). The marginal gap is at 46, so it is possible to see a test of marginal gap fill at 46, which would be the SoS, followed by a backup/retest of the upper triangle for support before markup. I am getting confluence for the initial target from current level = 46, so I am expecting that to be the next level reached from here {confluence: 46 is my time series forecast by July 15, 46 is the extrapolated level that will be realized if RSI makes it to around 70 and becomes oversold - bullish momentum pointing to that, 46 is the 0.382 of the upper part of previous triangle (i.e. (4) of circle C), and 46 is the marginal gap). Thus, if blue D was in fact the spring, then expect the solid black path to materialize and continue to around 60 (0.618 w.r.t (4) of circle C, and just above the nominal gap fill in the mid 50s). Would likely consolidate at ~60 before deciding if it has the fuel to begin larger cycle III. If so, the next target will be 93 by Jan. 2023. IF solid black path is realized then will likely see an impulse wave off the 2022 low that has just begun to materialize.
- if we are only in phase b of the wyckoff accumulation, then it is likely the spring will be at a lower low around 14-19. So the dotted black path is second most likely and would look like:
- pop to 46 to complete blue E
- drop to 14-19 to complete (5) of circle C, Z of triple combo, and ultimately larger cycle II
- pop to low 50s to mark the SoS
- retest triangle resistance around mid 30s
- pop to 0.618 at ~60, consolidate, and then continue toward 90s by early 2023
* indication in favor of solid black path materializing is via a proprietary method I developed using stochastic differntial equations. I won't go into the details here, but I have learned not to bet against it when it gives a bullish signal - I got that signal Friday 6/24. Also, the fact that we got bought up at the critical support around the IPO price is a good sign it doesn't need to make a new low... however, if they want to do one more shakeout before markup then they will take it lower
** indication in favor of dotted black line materializing is that the DMI at the daily level does not yet show the properties I'd expect to see if spring was already realized (sorry not shown), it does, however, exhibit the properties of a spring already occuring at the 2-4 hour intervals. Also, I use proprietary control charts as supplemental analysis and they indicate there is moderate probability that after 42-46 there will be risk to 14-19.
Here is my plan of action based on the above, as well as the linked idea of the bigger picture (this is not financial advice):
- Buying shares Monday and will add in the bounce zone of 14-19 if given the opportunity
- Buying Jul 8 2022 35.00 calls and looking to sell when underlying reaches 42 and then 46 next week (both paths are pointing to initial target of 46)
- Buying Oct 21 2022 50.00 calls with expectation we see solid black path, hedging with July 15 30.00 puts in case we see dotted black path - in which case I will exit the Oct calls if TDOC closes below 32 and then re-enter Oct 21 45.00 calls once TDOC bounces at 14-19 using the profits from the hedge.
Bye.
Drafting Some Early BTC Bottom StructVery draft events and key levels for a potential BTC accumulation. Wyckoff names are notional. Extremely loose contextual nodes. Interested to see some more structure form.
Expecting lower, would not be at all surprised to observe a fairly short accumulation and blast out of here.
Confirmation on HTF. Enter on LTF when money is moving in the market.
Potential long set up on $SWIRSWIR had a massive run recently and has had a healthy 20% correction to the 50 fib with an U/D ratio of just under 2, which is a good indication that institutions are accumulating this stock. Price is currently under the 78.6 fib and volume is drying up whilst price holds relatively steady; a trade targeting $25 and a stop at yesterday's low (also the open and near the 50 fib) gives 11% profits and a nice R/R
MICS looking strongLooks like MICS had a big insitutional buyer recently, showing a huge amount of volume come in that drove the price up after a 30/1 stock split. Price has held since then with an U/D ratio of over 2 - a strong indication that this is being bought by institutions. This could almost pass for a high tight flag too. There looks to be supply at $9.31, but a long trade with a stop at the 78.6 fib targeting $9.31 has a good R/R and potential 20% profit
Springish Obvious and typical *Drunk Spider Web* pattern unfolding.
DMI indicates we just saw the spring of a wyckoff accumulation phase - still needs to complete sign of strength and backup/retest before markup.
Within this zone can also see a triangle that broke out, then retested support. However, ROKU has quite a web of resistance - could swing long near term calls around 100 strike and hedge 3:1 (perhaps Jul 8 100c, Jul 1 85p)
Confirmation for big long would need to see a run from here to around 111, then test of around 100 and bounce from there. If that plays out I’d become very bullish with initial target 140. Not Financial Advice.
I WANT TO BE MORE THEN A BI WEEKLY PAYCHECKlook, sure if i had income coming in more frequently i would be accumulating every new low yet im glad that right now i don't because it allows more time to watch the market take shape. long term this coin we all know its where the world is headed, collapse of the dollar and migration over to digital currencies. my roommate told me yesterday that he would never invest in something he can't hold; sadly next two bull runs in the next 10 years will be ignored be alot of the masses that have this same sentiment and refuse to adapt. Have a good day lads
EURUSD 15 min TFHI everybody
Tuesday, LN session
I think daily bias is BULLISH, and SM wants to go above the daily high. Also 2 last candle are in a daily range.
in 1 hour chart, price is accumulating. it formed relative equal high.
I think SM will come below the 1.05082 level or 1.04982 level, buy the sell stops and go higher
THINK about market cycles...
Year Bitcoin Price ($) Change ($) Year-over-year (%)
2022 47,743 18,351.22 62.44
2021 29,391.78 22,203.31 308.87
2020 7,188.46 3,318.99 85.77
2019 3,869.47 -9,542.97 -71.15
2018 13,412.44 12,414.75 1,244.35
2017 997.69 563.23 129.64
2016 434.46 120.54 38.40
2015 313.92 -456.51 -59.25
2014 770.44 757.13 5,690.96
2013 13.30 8.04 152.56
2012 5.27 4.97 1,655.90
2011 0.30 0.21 249.65
2010 0.09 0 0
BBIG Big deal rounding up for accumulation should pop by June 28Savvy Money Show
$BBIG ''Yellowstone' Production Company 101 Studios Announces New Partnership Deal' -Us Magazine; Vinco Ventures Shares Move Higher; Co's Subsidiary PZAJ Mentioned Named In Article As Partner - BZ
Savvy Money Show
vinco
Savvy Money Show
just seen bbig are asking for vote to increase share
Savvy Money Show
mkt cap 543 million v ev 502 million ps 18 pb 4
Savvy Money Show
would only be a short term trade on news but I would be careful
Savvy Money Show
it is a meme stock has a following but nowhere like amc gme
Savvy is a genius Fundamentalist pls like follow sub him.
by iCantw84it
06.14.22
Bullish on EURUSD After a frustrating start to the week, persistence paid off catching a nice long on EURUSD...
HTFs - On Monday, price reached the daily demand zone with a rejection and then began to move sideways. This was an early indication that price could be building a cause (accumulation) to potentially reverse to the upside. See the daily screenshot.
s3.tradingview.com
As price was ranging, there were multiple aggressive bullish impulses on the 1h where highs were breaking again signalling early buying could be occurring. On Wednesday, the lows were broken followed by an immediate rejection deep within the daily demand zone which looked to be a possible Spring phase of the accumulation mentioned earlier. During the Thursday Asia session, price trickled back down to the lows which held (Spring Test). The lower time frames showed what was happening.
LTFs - A small accumulation began just after London open and continued through to New York. This a great example of how price is fractal. In the screenshot, there were multiple bullish impulses breaking highs within ranging price action, followed by corrective moves back down. Adding this price action to the HTF analysis was enough for me to set my buy order at the range lows.
s3.tradingview.com
Next week I'll be looking to see if price continues after this bullish move. It's worth noting I took 2 losses earlier in the week before this trade returned over +10R. Trust yourself
BTC Accumulation Phase Testing out a new indicator I found, it's interesting that every time BTC has fallen below the top band, it has stayed in between both bands and moved sideways until breaking out to the upside. At this moment, BTC broken below the top band and even touched the bottom band as support, not sure if we have reached the bottom yet but based on past circumstances and if BTC doesn't break below the bottom band I could say we could be moving sideways until late November of this year.
Are we entering an accumulation zone?In earlier cycles entering below the 200 weekly moving average (blue line) and staying above the 300 weekly moving average has been great accumulation zones.
If we extend trendline between accumulation bottom 1 and 2 we end up with a log scale channel that corresponds with the same area.
Accumulation Finished: DUSK can Fly?This presentation is for informational and educational purposes only; it should not be construed as investment advice of any kind.
Accumulation process is nearly complete, maybe we are at the last stage before prices fly, as we have the further price increase with good momentum in a combination with extreme increase of the volume confirms the absorption of supply, so, the bullish mood of the market.
Can we see DUSK flying?
Are you with the first or second scenario?
THE BEST AREAS TO ACCUMULATE BTC I am excited to see BTC in this price.
Everyone who have experience in trading know this is the biggest discount he will EVER see.
I marked two major areas that will reverse the price.
Target 1: 19,600-17,700
Target 2: 12,000-10,000
whales will start accumulating BTC from those demand areas (because the Imbalance candles)
If price drop below 17,700 then the next target will be 12K-10K which also the strongest.
BTC is effected by the Dollar and the NASDAQ. This is the only reason for the bear market.
I am not reccomend using leverage for long term positions, like this one.
If you liked the Technical analysis please like and follow.
Keep your trading safe👋
Potential Accumulation USOILPotential Accumulation forming in Daily demand, price broke structure on the 10m giving what looks like a SOS and now we've had a pullback into the 10/15m Demand where price has rejected from, i'm looking for price to clear the highs and pump, lets see!
Let me know your thoughts!
* Disclaimer **
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.