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Accumulation

Will it hit my $TGT?With NYSE:TGT struggling to find its footing after its May downturn, it's due for good news. The upcoming earnings report might be the catalyst needed to challenge the persistent downward trend. Despite lagging behind NASDAQ:AMZN and NYSE:WMT , TGT is working hard to regain ground it suffered from overstocking issues and inefficient offloading strategies like promotions and sales, logistics updates, and donations. Anticipate news about these strategies, and potential dividend increases to attract new investors. Bullish Case - TGT, currently range-bound, is trying to incorporate pandemic-related impacts into its pricing. It's at least a $150 stock and should be valued accordingly. The downtrend is a reaction from major investors who want resolution to existing issues and a plan for longevity. They've had plenty of time to address these issues. Bearish Case - It's a range-bound distribution phase. Note how it's retracted over 50% of its gains from the pandemic low. Typically, continuation is 38%, but it's even surpassed the .618 golden ratio. It would be wise to avoid complications and let sleeping dogs lie. Claiming it would return to pandemic levels is too aggressive, but a price just above $100 should attract stronger supporters for a rebound. Conclusion - TGT isn't a fan favorite, and understandably so. However, the aggressive pullback is noteworthy, even WMT didn't face this level of pressure. The chart below shows a substantial divergence, presenting an opportunity. At this point, the ball is in TGT's court. How they act in the latter half of the year will determine their fate. Bullish - 140.27 Bearish - 125.25
NYSE:TGTLong
by JDTheGreat
Overview of accumulation breakout patternsWelcome to my new educational post As you can see in BCH/USDT chart, One weekly green candle is enough to overcome 1 year of bear/consolidation zone !! If you are surprised, let me tell you this is very normal behavior in crypto market as we saw this happened many times before Another example : DOGE / USD When to expect a coin to explode like that ? The accumulation pattern have many stages 1- After a period of bear market starts to deccelerate the price action becomes flat and usually take long time of horizontal accumulation between main supply and main demand (weeks / months / years ) 2- Multiple fakeouts can happen to make both buyers and sellers exhausted *The best buy (smart money) after the price reclaim the main demand after stoploss taken the second best buy after valid breakout (candle closing) The shorting is the vice-versa 3 - Finally the strong breakout take place and overcome many weeks / months or even years of bear / consolidation/ accumulation zone 4- After the coin make breakout many traders will avoid it in the early breakout but it will continue rise and rise ..and every time it rises more it becomes more risky Later it will turn to be crowded coin and many newcomers buy it at very high prices at this stage it becomes a gamble and MM will sell their profits on newbies Note : The distribution phase is the opposite of accumulation phase Note : not all coins can survive bear market, So the fundamental view has great role to support the coin I can tell you about potential coins in accumulation now which have chance to do similar thing : #FTT - #DYDX DO you know another potential coins in accumulation ? Tell me in comment section below ⬇️
Education
by Babenski
49
$KAS - accumulation?Kaspa $KAS has been performing very well so far and is currently trading around $0.0255-0.0260 Although a pull back to the green levels is possible, these are nothing but opportunities to load up. To me the red areas mean: Sell the pump there. After a retracement buy the dip at the next lower Fib (could be very well the red price lvl) I expect $KAS to touch the upper trendline some day in the future. From todays price that's impressive gains. Could see $KAS going up until the 3.6 fib expansion which would mean a price of $0.15 and a MC of around 4bn. That's a lot. That's Top 20. Sounds unrealistic, but even SET:ETC is at more than 3bn. NFA. Totally subjective fundamentals rating: Kaspa 8/10
Long
by NonComposMentis
1
All alts with this Chart Pattern will fly. Being Accumulated.My previous post on Bitcoin was wrong. Despite seeing a hidden bearish divergence signal, they sometimes appear falsely at bottoms when reversing. While looking at alts, I noticed this about them. Zooming in to hourly time frames (I got several points of confirmation, including increase in volume with price jump) that all alts with this pattern are being heavily accumulated. This is ground zero of the alt run. You need to buy all alts with this chart. Right. Now.
COINBASE:BATUSDLong
by frosty4321
2
How to Use the Accumulation/Distribution IndicatorLearning how to identify accumulation and distribution in an asset is an important skill to have for any trader. Luckily, there’s a handy tool we can use: the aptly-named Accumulation/Distribution indicator. In this article, we’ll show you how this accumulation/distribution indicator works, where it’s best applied, and how you can combine it with other tools to boost your odds of success. What Is the Accumulation/Distribution Indicator? The accumulation/distribution indicator, also called the accumulation/distribution index, accumulation/distribution line, and abbreviated to A/D, is a cumulative indicator that uses price and volume data to measure the strength of an asset’s trend. It helps traders identify buying and selling pressure in the market and can show whether an asset is likely to continue trending or is due for a reversal. It was created by renowned trader Marc Chaikin, who also developed the famous Chaikin Money Flow indicator. Accumulation vs Distribution Accumulation occurs when buying pressure outweighs selling pressure, resulting in price appreciation. Conversely, distribution is where sellers have the upper hand over buyers, creating downward momentum. In practice, the plotted A/D line will move up when accumulation is present and down when distribution occurs. Accumulation/Distribution Oscillator Formula and Components The ADI seeks to quantify an asset's buying and selling pressure by considering its trading range and trading volume. First, it calculates the Money Flow Multiplier (MFM) using the following formula: MFM= ((Close−Low)−(High−Close)) / High−Low This results in a reading between -1 and 1. When the price closes in the upper half of its high-low range, the MFM will be positive. If it closes in the lower half, then MFM will be negative. In other words, if buying pressure is strong, the MFM will rise, and vice versa. Second, it generates the Money Flow Volume (MFV) with the following: Money Flow Volume = MFM × Volume For the first candle in a given chart, the MFV is the first A/D value. Since the indicator is cumulative, the MFV is added to the previous A/D value. In essence: First Calculation = (ADI = MFV) Subsequent Calculations = (ADI + MFV) This then creates the A/D line. While it may seem unnecessary to know the formula, it can provide us with significant insight into how an accumulation/distribution rating is given. For example, a strong bullish trend may cause an asset to close high in its trading range, producing an MFM reading close to 1. If this is backed up by high volume, the A/D line will surge upward. However, if the volume is lacking, then the A/D may only increase slightly. Thankfully, we don’t need to perform this calculation ourselves. With the free TickTrader platform we offer at FXOpen, you’ll find the accumulation/distribution indicator and dozens of other tools ready to help you navigate the markets. How to Use the Accumulation Distribution Indicator There are three popular ways to use the A/D indicator: identifying reversals, trend confirmation, and trading breakouts. Identifying Reversals One of the most effective uses of A/D is to spot potential reversals using divergences between the price and the A/D line. A bullish divergence occurs when the price falls, making lower lows, while the A/D line trends upward, creating higher lows. Conversely, a bearish divergence can be seen when an asset makes new highs, but the A/D puts in lower highs. It essentially shows us that while the price is moving in a specific direction, the underlying pressure supporting the move is waning. The example above demonstrates that fewer sellers are participating as the trend progresses lower; eventually, buyers take over and push the price much higher. Trend Confirmation A/D line can also be used to confirm the direction of a trend. In this context, traders monitor the alignment of the line with the price action. In an uptrend, both the price and A/D should be rising. If the A/D moves in the same direction as the price, it confirms the strength of the uptrend and suggests that the buying pressure is likely to continue. As in the chart, traders could have used the A/D and price alignment to position themselves in the direction of the bull trend. Similarly, during a downtrend, the price and the A/D should be falling. If the A/D is falling alongside the price, it indicates that the selling pressure is strong, and the downtrend is likely to persist. Trading Breakouts Lastly, A/D can help traders confirm breakouts beyond support/resistance levels. If there’s a critical level that a trader is watching to jump in on the breakout, a breakout beyond a similar level in the A/D indicator can signal the start of a new trend. In the example, we see a strong resistance level, both in price and the accumulation distribution chart. As the move is confirmed by A/D, breaking out above both dashed lines, traders have confidence that the price is ready to move higher. Integrating the Accumulation and Distribution Indicator with Other Tools While the A/D indicator is a valuable tool on its own, it’s best to use it in combination with other indicators to help filter out false signals and improve the accuracy of your predictions. Let’s take a look at two indicators to integrate with A/D: moving averages and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Moving Averages Moving averages are a popular tool used by many traders to determine the direction of a trend, especially when two moving averages cross over. As mentioned, the trajectory of the A/D line can show traders that a trend is supported by volume; similarly, a price sitting above or below a moving average can indicate a trend’s direction. Using the two together can provide an at-a-glance reading of a trend, which can be extremely useful for trend-following traders. In this example, we’ve used the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) cross indicator in TickTrader, with two 20-period and 50-period EMAs. The fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA, showing that a potential bullish trend is forming. The price continues to stay well above the 50-period EMA as time progresses, demonstrating that there’s a strong bull trend. We also have confirmation from the A/D line that the bullish momentum is backed up by supporting volume. Seeing this, traders can be confident that the trend will continue. When the EMAs cross over bearishly, as seen on the right-hand side, traders may start looking for the A/D line to confirm that a bearish trend has started and exit their position. RSI Similar to the A/D indicator, RSI can be used to both spot divergences and confirm trends. The divergences are the same as A/D; a lower low in a price with a higher low in the RSI indicates a potential bullish reversal, while a price making a higher high and a lower low in RSI is regarded as bearish. Meanwhile, an RSI reading above 50 is typically seen as bullish, while below is bearish. Using the two indicators together can offer traders extra confluence that the market is headed in a particular direction. In the chart shown, we can see that the price is making a lower low. However, the Apple stock’s accumulation/distribution line shows a bullish divergence, as does the RSI. Traders could have marked the most recent area of resistance (dashed line), and then waited for the price to break out above it before looking for an entry. This move was confirmed by the RSI moving above 50, showing that bullish momentum is truly entering the market and offering multiple factors of confluence. What to Do Next You now have a comprehensive understanding of the accumulation/distribution indicator, including its formulation, its three main uses, and how to combine it with other indicators for extra confirmation. Ready to put your newfound knowledge to the test? You can open an FXOpen account to apply what you’ve learned and hone your trading skills across a diverse range of markets, from forex and commodities to stocks and indices. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
3
Someone accumulating SHOP post earnings?Yet another Wyckoff pattern. I believe this pattern matches the Wyckoff schematic shared in the chart. I am making my list and checking it twice... Wyckoff checklist: PS—preliminary support, Done SC—selling climax, Done AR—automatic rally, Done ST—secondary test, Done Spring - optional, Done Test— test, ACTIVE. We are looking for a series of higher lows to confirm the uptrend. We have yet to confirm the first higher low. SOS—sign of strength, LPS—last point of support, BU—“back-up”,
NYSE:SHOPLong
by Decam9
6
GNRC a Wyckoff Reset in the making Accumulation PhaseGNRC Stock Price:102.78 Difference: $6.50 (undervalued) Over all Avg Price: $109 My Enterprise Value Price(enterprise value/outstanding shares): HKEX:122 True Price Value (market cap/outstanding): HKEX:104 Float Price (market cap/float): FWB:108 Market Capitalization: HKEX:6 ,470,000,000 outstanding shares: 62,030,000 float : 59,730,000 ev value: 7,550,000,000 p/e :18.98 eps : 5.41 PE ratio: 18.99815157 Weighted P/e: 2.5219906 Basically all this is saying is no matter how you look at the avg price of this stock, the current price is undervalued by min $2.00. The Big Picture Past The last time GNRC moved off its low right after the same Monthly Push down to start the process. Watch the lines see them converge. You don't understand these lines because you haven't been listening to me rant. These lines are every time frames Marriage of price and vol in one line. Along with the skinnier line with no kinks as the vol avg for that time frame.... When all these lines converge into one area along with price, accompany that with a larger time frame and you have something like what a rail gun is compared to a sling shot. the first move reaches then comes back down reloads and is launched double or more. and then its off and running. Present at double the price look at the lines... price is just under it and the lines are in a $15 range....what's needed to get them together? another push down? Time? a pop in price? Lets look at the supply vs the demand A closer look I marked the areas of the candles that had the highest percentage of buying and selling since it hit this zone. There are two bounces once it gets pushed down. I am not saying this won't go down. I am saying that at this price its a good deal. Depending on if they use the earnings on May 05 as a catalyst to run this up and back down then launch or this takes off before hand and the earnings is used to drop it to regain the final part of the float and make all of these lines converge.....one way or the other it starts at this price point. Look at the institutional ownership and where they bought? The top 17 Institutions that bought into this stock all bought on Dec 31, 2022. Every single one of them increased their position by more than 500%. I will do you one better, the top position holders of this stock, institutional, all bought or increased their shares on Dec 31, 2022. All 83 institutionals that own the most shares bought or adjusted thier shares on that date and the price range for that date was. $95.50- HKEX:103
NYSE:GNRCLong
by iCantw84it
2
Did you miss NVDA's move? What now?NVDA's gap up on a stellar earnings report should NOT have been a surprise, as the chart has been showing strength since January when I mentioned it in my Morning Reports. It was completing the bottom at that time. The trend upward was showing pro traders in control of price after Dark Pool quiet accumulation. It has 64% of the shares held by institutions, which is normal for a giant-cap stock. It should actually be a Dow 30 component rather than INTC but, alas, that won't happen for a while. NVDA stair-stepped upward. This is probably one of the hardest trendline patterns to see without rectangles drawn around the step, but one of the most important to recognize professional buyer dominance. What now? The gains are now extreme. And the pros are taking profits. That means there is very high risk for buying at this moment. CAN it move higher? Of course! Euphoric retail buying can easily drive prices upward further for a short period of time. Just remember that without institutional buying at this level, any upside from here may be short-lived.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Bank Nifty Trade Setup (26-May-2023)This will be my personal trade Setup, This is not an advice of any kind to initiate trade according to this setup. Picture is worth a thousand Words as from the chart Bank Nifty is moving between 751 points from 11th May and if traded with patience and with proper trade setups one can make profits. This will be my Trade Setup for Tomorrow: From price action we can see price is moving in Horizontal Channel and Today it made lows and took support near same zone which is previously tested as long as price don't don't this zone we have to trade within this range of 770 points. Setup will be 1.) If it opens flat nearby support is 43633 if it sustains this support on 15 mins then will look for CE Buy for nearby resistance which is placed at 43756 and then 43830. 2.) If gap down will look for price to take support at same support zone where it took support today or it's same as Today's low. and will take CE Trade from that level. 3.) If opens gap up then i will look at resistance which is 43756 and 43830 then i will look for PE Trades for nearby support zone or CPR levels. Views are on long trade if it respects this channel. maybe we can see break above this channel on last monthly Expiry :) Hit like to keep me motivated for keeping my trading journal also if you can help as Trading View is holding rewards if Ideas or Script can be listed in Editor Picks :) . also one can comment how i can make it better or any improvements i can make in my trading setups or improving this journal.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by TradeInsights
2
BTC Wickoff 2022-2023 Shake out-Mark up?Hi dear community and my lovely followers. I would like to add another analysis which add more confluence to my previous analyses that BTC is preparing for another huge jump. As you see I Have drown BTC wickoff accumulation model 2022-2023 which shows that BTC hasn't only bottomed out but also has finished its main accumulation phase/A,B,C,D/ and now it is in a phase E /both profit-taking and acquisition of additional shares (“re-accumulation”) by Smart money/. In phase E can be small shakouts which we show at the moment, stay level headed, keep patience as BTC is preparing for Mark up to 35-37K. As I published in my previous analyses, I expect BTC to pump from 26K zone and think BTC has bottomed testing 200 weekly MA and 100 daily MA, but the worst case scenario could be test of previous support zone at 24.2-25K where Smart money will add their bags before new highs. I don't expect lower prices specially after taking out huge amount liquidity below 27K and 26.5k. BTW taking into account some bearish chart patterns/like H&S, rising wedge breakdown/ 99% expect 25K and even lower prices, as a contrarian trader I always go against the herd and expect bounce from this zone/although I have plan for both scenarios/. Don't forget to check my previous analyses/below this one/ where I shows you what are other factors which force me to expect higher prices. Don't be shake out, BTC will surprice everyone. I will also add more charts below this one, where you can find very interesting views. Don't forget to follow, like, comment, retweet. I will appreciate any kind of support. Have a good day , I wish you good trades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ergal91
13
📈How to Day Trade with Trend: Accumulation📍The accumulation stage in trading refers to a period when market participants are accumulating a particular asset, typically with the expectation of a future price increase. During this phase, the price of the asset tends to range between two significant levels known as support and resistance. Traders closely observe these price levels as they provide valuable insights into the potential direction of the upcoming breakout. 📍Support and resistance levels are psychological and technical barriers that the price of an asset tends to respect. 🔹Support represents a price level where buying pressure is expected to outweigh selling pressure, causing the price to "bounce" or reverse its downward movement. 🔹Resistance represents a price level where selling pressure is expected to exceed buying pressure, causing the price to reverse its upward movement. 📍During the accumulation stage, the price of the asset oscillates within a range defined by these support and resistance levels. Market participants who believe in the potential upside of the asset accumulate it by buying at or near the support level. As the price approaches the resistance level, some traders start to take profits or sell their holdings, creating selling pressure that prevents the price from advancing further. This creates a cyclical pattern of price movement between the support and resistance levels, resulting in a range-bound market. It's important to note that the accumulation stage and subsequent breakout are not always easy to predict. False breakouts, where the price briefly moves beyond a support or resistance level but quickly reverse 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
2