ACHR
ACHR: Long Position @ Wave 5 (Elliot)Step 1: Ride the Wave 5 Momentum
ACHR is about to start its Wave 5 rally, offering an excellent short-term long opportunity.
Currently we're in the middle of Wave 4 and we will likely experience 3 to 5 days of accumulation/indecision before Wave 5 starts.
Let’s break it down:
Slow Stochastic Bullish Momentum
The Slow Stoch oscillator is signaling strong bullish momentum, albeit in overbought territory. This is typical during Wave 5 and suggests further upside potential before the trend exhausts. Staying with the momentum while it lasts can be very rewarding.
Massive Volume Spike
In the last three weeks, ACHR has seen a significant increase in volume, indicating strong buying interest. Volume often leads price, and this kind of activity strengthens the case for continued upward movement. The surge in interest can drive the stock toward its next key resistance around $9.84.
Fundamental Catalysts Driving Momentum
Recently, ACHR has achieved major milestones, such as progress on FDA approvals and securing new contracts and orders. These developments add to the bullish sentiment, attracting more traders and creating a supportive backdrop for the rally.
Trade Execution: Enter a long position now to take advantage of the current momentum and aim for a target near $9.84 (the resistance zone). Consider tightening your stop-loss to protect profits as the stock approaches this level.
Step 2: Exit, Wait for the ABC Correction, and Re-Enter for a Bigger Move
After completing Wave 5, the market is likely to enter a corrective ABC phase. This is where it’s smart to exit your position and wait on the sidelines. Why? The correction will likely bring the price down to a more attractive level, allowing for a better risk-reward setup for the next big move.
Once the ABC correction concludes, re-entering around the key support zone sets up a new long opportunity with an eye toward the Q1 2025 target of $12. The long-term fundamentals of ACHR and its growing momentum in the market make this a high-probability setup.
Trade Execution: Watch for the corrective phase after Wave 5 completes. Use Fibonacci retracement levels or support zones to identify a potential re-entry point.
ACHR: Long Position (Two phases): Wave 5 and post-correctionToday, I want to share a trade idea on Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR), leveraging the current market structure and technical indicators to maximize gains. This plan follows a two-step long strategy: first, capturing the ongoing Wave 5 rally, and then exiting to wait for the corrective ABC pattern before re-entering for a bigger move towards the Q1 2025 target.
Step 1: Ride the Wave 5 Momentum
ACHR is about to start its Wave 5 rally, offering an excellent short-term long opportunity. Let’s break it down:
Slow Stochastic Bullish Momentum
The Slow Stoch oscillator is signaling strong bullish momentum, albeit in overbought territory. This is typical during Wave 5 and suggests further upside potential before the trend exhausts. Staying with the momentum while it lasts can be very rewarding.
Massive Volume Spike
In the last three weeks, ACHR has seen a significant increase in volume, indicating strong buying interest. Volume often leads price, and this kind of activity strengthens the case for continued upward movement. The surge in interest can drive the stock toward its next key resistance around $9.84.
Fundamental Catalysts Driving Momentum
Recently, ACHR has achieved major milestones, such as progress on FDA approvals and securing new contracts and orders. These developments add to the bullish sentiment, attracting more traders and creating a supportive backdrop for the rally.
Trade Execution : Enter a long position now to take advantage of the current momentum and aim for a target near $9.84 (the resistance zone). Consider tightening your stop-loss to protect profits as the stock approaches this level.
Step 2: Exit, Wait for the ABC Correction, and Re-Enter for a Bigger Move
After completing Wave 5, the market is likely to enter a corrective ABC phase. This is where it’s smart to exit your position and wait on the sidelines. Why? The correction will likely bring the price down to a more attractive level, allowing for a better risk-reward setup for the next big move.
Once the ABC correction concludes, re-entering around the key support zone sets up a new long opportunity with an eye toward the Q1 2025 target of $12. The long-term fundamentals of ACHR and its growing momentum in the market make this a high-probability setup.
Trade Execution: Watch for the corrective phase after Wave 5 completes. Use Fibonacci retracement levels or support zones to identify a potential re-entry point.
Final Thoughts
This two-step strategy focuses on trading the immediate momentum of Wave 5 while preparing for the post-correction opportunity. The increased volume and bullish technicals, supported by ACHR’s strong fundamentals, create a high-confidence trade setup. Timing your entries and exits carefully will allow you to capitalize on both the short-term rally and the long-term upside.
What do you think?
Let me know your thoughts or how you’re planning to trade ACHR in the comments!
Archer Aviation Chart with TargetsAnything aviation related carries extra risk. With that said the milestones that have been reached and expanding customer base the upside is tremendous. Agreements with Japan Airlines, United, Southwest, interest from the military, air taxi agreements in several large cities to provide air taxi service between large events and the main airports all speak to the where this industry is headed. I prefer ACHR over others in the space.
ACHR a penny personal air transport startup LONGACHR is a speculative penny stock with big momentum this past week for a continuation trade.
The chart is a basic 2 hour chart upside 20% to all time high no revenue burning cash but
improving on putting out the fire. No competition in its intended market. $5.00 strike calls for
March monthly for $75 look good. Once upon a time, I had a fellow ER doc who commuted to
work all the time by helicopter. Cost him some money but it added 10 hours a week onto his
life. He tells me this will be huge in time when the costs and economy of scale kick in. He
believe him 1000%. Buy, buy and then buy some more ( so long as you have your risk
management figured out. ).
Archer Aviation Inc. (NYSE: ACHR), an urban air mobility company, engages in designs, develops, manufactures, and operates electric vertical takeoff and landing aircrafts to carry passengers. The company was formerly known as Atlas Crest Investment Corp. and changed its name to Archer Aviation Inc. Archer Aviation Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Archer’s goal is to transform urban travel, replacing 60-90 minute commutes by car, with estimated 10-20 minute electric air taxi flights that are safe, sustainable, low noise and cost competitive with ground transportation. With a range of up to 100 miles, Archer’s Midnight is a piloted, four passenger aircraft designed to perform rapid back-to-back flights with minimal charge time in between flights.
"Archer Aviation Inc. (NYSE: ACHR) Company Shareholder Snapshot"
Shareholders can expect long term growth and appreciation that is expected from the enormous cash position, experienced management team, and dual revenue streams.
The Company
Raised $1 Bln. of Capital
Went public in 2021 on NYSE
Key Investors: United Airlines, Jeep, Peugeot, Fiat, Maserati, Jet.com, and Moelis group
Key Company Highlights
Industry leading engineering team
COO and Chief Engineer have each previously built 7 eVTOL aircraft
VP of Tesla 100 person powertrain team
Targeting commencement of operations in 2025
"Archer Aviation Aircraft 2 Unique Revenue Streams for Explosive Growth"
The company has two explosive revenue growth strategies that have the potential for long term shareholder growth year after year.
Archer Air - Aerial Ride Sharing
Archers core business
Initially targeting 50% of revenue mix
Grow 70% to 80% of revenue mix over long term
Targeting 40%+ GM
Archer Direct - Aircraft OEM
Can provide meaningful upfront cashflows & revenue diversity
Targeting 50% of revenue mix
Transitioning to 30% over the long term
Targeting 50%+ GM
"Archer Aviation Aircraft Overview Electric Vertical Take-Off And Landing"
Performance
Range: Up to 100 miles, optimized for 20 to 50 mile rapid back-to-back trips with minimal charge time.
Speed: Up to 150MPH
Payload: Industry leading 1,000lbs, pilot + 4 passengers
Advantages
Safety: Will be certified at levels similar to todays commercial airliners
Noise: 100X quieter than a helicopter
Cost: Approximately 1/3 the cost to manufactured and to operate than a traditional helicopter
"Urban Congestion Is Not Sustainable - Archer (ACHR) Solves Issue"
In 2018, 55% of the world's population lived in urban areas according to the United Nations, a proportion that they project to increase to 68% by 2050
Traffic congestion cost the US economy nearly $87Bln. in 2018.
Vast majority of trips in urban areas are less than 50 miles long, but take more than an hour.
Major cities across the world have a similar dynamic, especially trips from airport to city center.
Archer Aviation ($ACHR) Clears Regulatory HurdleArcher Aviation Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:ACHR ) has achieved a milestone that underscores its commitment to safety and operational excellence. The company announced on February 8, 2024, that it has received its Part 145 certification from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), positioning itself as a frontrunner in the burgeoning electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft industry.
FAA Certification
The granting of Part 145 certification is a testament to Archer's unwavering dedication to meeting the highest standards of safety and compliance. This regulatory approval empowers the company to conduct specialized aircraft repair services, ensuring that its fleet maintains peak performance while adhering to stringent FAA regulations. Such certification is indispensable for commercial aviation operators like Archer, as it authorizes them to perform crucial maintenance tasks on aircraft components, including airframes, essential for ensuring the safety and reliability of their operations.
Adam Goldstein's Confidence
Adam Goldstein, Founder and CEO of Archer, expressed his confidence in the company's vision, stating, "This is a major vote of confidence from the FAA on Archer’s promise and potential for operating a full-scale urban air mobility service in cities across the country." Goldstein emphasized Archer's commitment to working closely with regulatory bodies worldwide to ensure the safety and readiness of its aircraft, heralding a new era of sustainable, low-noise, and cost-competitive urban air travel.
Archer Aviation's Vision
Archer's innovative approach to urban mobility aims to transform the way people commute, offering an alternative to the congested roadways and lengthy travel times associated with traditional transportation methods. With its piloted, four-passenger aircraft, the Midnight, Archer ( NYSE:ACHR ) envisions slashing commute times from 60-90 minutes to a mere 10-20 minutes, providing commuters with a swift and efficient mode of transportation.
The significance of Archer's Part 145 certification extends beyond regulatory compliance; it underscores the company's commitment to fostering trust and reliability within the aviation industry. By adhering to rigorous safety and quality benchmarks, Archer ( NYSE:ACHR ) ensures that maintenance and repair services are performed by authorized experts, bolstering the safety and security of airline operations and passenger travel.
Technical Outlook
NYSE:ACHR is in a Bullish Flag Pattern indicating further Surge or breakout. We can see it consolidating at the $4.59 support and aiming towards a new Resistance level.
Conclusion
Archer's successful attainment of Part 145 certification marks a pivotal moment in the company's journey toward commercialization, setting the stage for the realization of its ambitious urban air mobility vision. As Archer ( NYSE:ACHR ) continues to collaborate with regulatory authorities and advance its technology, the prospect of widespread adoption of electric air taxis inches closer to reality, promising a future where urban travel is not only faster but also more sustainable and accessible than ever before.